ATL : Ex SHARY - Discussion

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Re: ATL : SHARY Tropical Storm - Discussion

#81 Postby somethingfunny » Fri Oct 29, 2010 4:21 pm

From the visible loop it looks like Shary is definitely tightening up ahead of the approaching cold front, and could be making a run at hurricane intensity before the sandblaster hits her.
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#82 Postby KWT » Fri Oct 29, 2010 4:39 pm

Shary certainly is a classic late season N.Atlantic storm, they often have stronger winds then you'd expect because of I guess the tighter pressure gradients present, and it does look ok at the moment...
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#83 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Oct 29, 2010 4:43 pm

Image

Latest
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#84 Postby KWT » Fri Oct 29, 2010 4:44 pm

Its sure got an interesrting presentation there Hurakan, very tight looking curl but convection isn't all that strong really...
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#85 Postby KWT » Fri Oct 29, 2010 6:59 pm

Shary now offically upto 70mph so not far short of being a hurricane...
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#86 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Oct 29, 2010 7:26 pm

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Latest ... maybe at it starts to turn non-tropical it gets the extra push to reach hurricane status but the window is closing fast
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#87 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Oct 29, 2010 7:34 pm

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eye looks better on radar
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#88 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Oct 29, 2010 8:29 pm

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Looking good
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#89 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Oct 29, 2010 8:55 pm

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Loop
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#90 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Oct 29, 2010 9:10 pm

Hurricane Shary perhaps with the eye on the radar?
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#91 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Oct 29, 2010 10:43 pm

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Convection keeps increasing, Shary giving it a final push
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#92 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Oct 29, 2010 10:59 pm

Image

Latest
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#93 Postby neospaceblue » Sat Oct 30, 2010 3:51 am

We have a hurricane.

000
WTNT35 KNHC 300835
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE SHARY ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202010
500 AM AST SAT OCT 30 2010

...SHARY INTENSIFIES AS IT MOVES RAPIDLY NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE
CENTRAL ATLANTIC OCEAN...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.6N 59.4W
ABOUT 325 MI...525 KM ENE OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 965 MI...1550 KM SSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 35 MPH...56 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SHARY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 33.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.4 WEST. SHARY IS MOVING
TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 35 MPH...56 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY UNTIL THE SYSTEM DISSIPATES BY
LATE TOMORROW.

MICROWAVE DATA INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED
TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SHARY IS A
CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.
WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO COMMENCE LATER TODAY...WITH SHARY LIKELY
LOSING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS EARLY TOMORROW.

SHARY IS A SMALL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 10 MILES...20 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
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#94 Postby KWT » Sat Oct 30, 2010 4:52 am

Well Shary becomes our next hurricane of the season, it really is racing away to the NE so I don't think Shary will stay as a hurricane for long...
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Re: ATL : SHARY - Hurricane - Discussion

#95 Postby Macrocane » Sat Oct 30, 2010 6:21 am

Wow what a season! :eek: 11th hurricane of the season, Shary has been a nice surprise.
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Re: ATL : SHARY - Hurricane - Discussion

#96 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Oct 30, 2010 7:12 am

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Shocking Shary!!
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#97 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Oct 30, 2010 7:53 am

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Shary racing away
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#98 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat Oct 30, 2010 9:00 am

Interesting discussion, I wonder if they would rather call it a 65 kt subtropical storm? They don't like calling it a "hurricane" but had no choice based on Recon yesterday.
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#99 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Oct 30, 2010 9:37 am

HURRICANE SHARY ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202010
1100 AM AST SAT OCT 30 2010

...SHARY RACING NORTHEASTWARD...EXPECTED TO TRANSITION TO A
POST-TROPICAL STORM BY TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.9N 55.6W
ABOUT 580 MI...935 KM ENE OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 755 MI...1220 KM S OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 40 MPH...65 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES
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Re: ATL : SHARY - Hurricane - Discussion

#100 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 30, 2010 1:35 pm

Downgraded to Tropical Storm at 18z Best Track.

AL, 20, 2010103018, , BEST, 0, 379N, 529W, 60, 991, TS,
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