ATL : INVEST 95L - Models

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cycloneye
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ATL : INVEST 95L - Models

#1 Postby cycloneye » Mon Dec 20, 2010 2:30 pm

Nothing to develop from this,but a thread for models has to be made, on December 20th????? :double:

WHXX01 KWBC 201819
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1819 UTC MON DEC 20 2010

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL952010) 20101220 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
101220 1800 101221 0600 101221 1800 101222 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 11.6N 55.1W 12.1N 57.0W 12.6N 59.0W 13.1N 61.0W
BAMD 11.6N 55.1W 12.1N 56.4W 13.0N 57.7W 14.1N 58.6W
BAMM 11.6N 55.1W 12.0N 56.5W 12.5N 58.2W 13.0N 59.6W
LBAR 11.6N 55.1W 12.5N 56.6W 14.2N 58.0W 16.2N 57.8W
SHIP 25KTS 26KTS 27KTS 25KTS
DSHP 25KTS 26KTS 27KTS 25KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
101222 1800 101223 1800 101224 1800 101225 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 13.5N 62.9W 14.0N 65.7W 14.1N 67.9W 14.9N 70.7W
BAMD 15.6N 58.8W 21.0N 47.0W 22.1N 28.4W 19.5N 27.0W
BAMM 13.6N 60.9W 14.8N 62.5W 17.6N 60.7W 22.2N 45.4W
LBAR 17.8N 55.7W 21.8N 48.3W 27.6N 37.5W .0N .0W
SHIP 23KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS
DSHP 23KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 11.6N LONCUR = 55.1W DIRCUR = 285DEG SPDCUR = 12KT
LATM12 = 10.9N LONM12 = 52.8W DIRM12 = 282DEG SPDM12 = 12KT
LATM24 = 10.6N LONM24 = 50.4W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 20NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

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Re: ATL : INVEST 95L - Models

#2 Postby cycloneye » Mon Dec 20, 2010 7:04 pm

The first runs by GFDL and HWRF at 18z dont show development.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/hwrftc2. ... =Animation

ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST 95L

INITIAL TIME 18Z DEC 20

DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.


FORECAST STORM POSITION

HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)

0 11.2 55.0 285./12.0

STORM DISSIPATED AT 0 HRS AT THE ABOVE PSN.

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Re: ATL : INVEST 95L - Models

#3 Postby cycloneye » Mon Dec 20, 2010 7:47 pm

Code: Select all

281
WHXX01 KWBC 210014
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0014 UTC TUE DEC 21 2010
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL952010) 20101221 0000 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        101221  0000   101221  1200   101222  0000   101222  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    11.9N  56.0W   12.3N  58.2W   12.8N  60.5W   13.4N  62.7W
BAMD    11.9N  56.0W   12.6N  57.3W   13.6N  58.4W   14.8N  59.1W
BAMM    11.9N  56.0W   12.2N  57.7W   12.7N  59.3W   13.2N  60.8W
LBAR    11.9N  56.0W   13.1N  57.4W   15.0N  58.2W   17.0N  57.5W
SHIP        25KTS          26KTS          26KTS          23KTS
DSHP        25KTS          26KTS          26KTS          23KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        101223  0000   101224  0000   101225  0000   101226  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    14.0N  64.7W   14.3N  67.2W   14.5N  69.5W   15.5N  72.3W
BAMD    16.6N  58.8W   22.5N  41.9W   22.5N  26.2W   19.8N  25.9W
BAMM    13.8N  62.1W   14.9N  63.4W   17.3N  61.6W   20.3N  54.3W
LBAR    19.0N  54.9W   24.4N  45.9W   30.5N  31.9W     .0N    .0W
SHIP        20KTS           0KTS           0KTS           0KTS
DSHP        20KTS           0KTS           0KTS           0KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  11.9N LONCUR =  56.0W DIRCUR = 290DEG SPDCUR =  10KT
LATM12 =  11.3N LONM12 =  54.0W DIRM12 = 288DEG SPDM12 =  11KT
LATM24 =  10.7N LONM24 =  51.6W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   20NM WNDM12 =   20KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
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