ATL: ARLENE - Remnants

[tolakram]

Looks different to me.

http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/satelli ... on=-92.328

I see the eddy, perhaps it's an organizing LLC instead?

[NDG]

based on the visible image loops, this is where the LLC appears to be forming

I agree with you.

[NDG]

Buoy 42055 pressure thought it has gone up this morning slightly it still a couple of mb lower than 24 hrs ago. Though easterly winds have gone down it is still reporting 10 foot waves and the buoy is not where strong convection is.

[cycloneye]

Plane is flying.

URNT15 KNHC 281550
AF308 01AAA INVEST HDOB 01 20110628
154030 2917N 09000W 4097 07393 0379 -180 //// 056018 018 /// /// 05
154100 2915N 09002W 4098 07396 0381 -182 -184 058019 019 /// /// 03
154130 2913N 09004W 4098 07397 0381 -185 -194 054019 019 /// /// 03
154200 2911N 09006W 4098 07379 0371 -185 -205 056019 020 /// /// 03
154230 2909N 09008W 4098 07384 0373 -185 -215 053020 020 /// /// 03
154300 2907N 09010W 4099 07400 0392 -188 -224 048020 020 /// /// 03
154330 2905N 09012W 4098 07417 0404 -192 -230 042021 021 /// /// 03
154400 2902N 09014W 4099 07423 0411 -190 -237 048021 021 /// /// 03
154430 2900N 09016W 4098 07424 0410 -190 -243 053021 022 /// /// 03
154500 2858N 09018W 4099 07417 0408 -186 -249 054022 023 /// /// 03
154530 2856N 09020W 4092 07431 0409 -185 -255 060022 023 /// /// 03
154600 2854N 09022W 4043 07517 0412 -192 -260 065021 021 /// /// 03
154630 2851N 09024W 3998 07603 0416 -198 -268 064019 019 /// /// 03
154700 2849N 09026W 3960 07671 0420 -200 -279 064017 018 /// /// 03
154730 2847N 09028W 3935 07729 0428 -201 -290 069016 016 /// /// 03
154800 2845N 09030W 3925 07749 0431 -200 -304 069017 017 /// /// 03
154830 2843N 09032W 3925 07745 0431 -200 -318 067017 017 /// /// 03
154900 2841N 09034W 3926 07744 0429 -197 -329 059017 017 /// /// 03
154930 2839N 09036W 3925 07745 0429 -194 -318 056017 017 /// /// 03
155000 2837N 09038W 3926 07745 0430 -194 -282 053017 017 /// /// 03
$$

[cycloneye]

URNT15 KNHC 281600
AF308 01AAA INVEST HDOB 02 20110628
155030 2834N 09040W 3926 07743 0430 -195 -256 054017 018 /// /// 03
155100 2832N 09042W 3926 07744 0432 -195 -257 053017 017 /// /// 03
155130 2830N 09044W 3926 07746 0431 -191 -259 045016 016 /// /// 03
155200 2828N 09046W 3926 07747 0433 -191 -254 044016 017 /// /// 03
155230 2826N 09048W 3930 07748 0433 -195 -250 043018 018 /// /// 03
155300 2824N 09050W 3926 07743 0432 -195 -250 042018 018 /// /// 03
155330 2821N 09052W 3926 07752 0432 -191 -254 042016 017 /// /// 03
155400 2819N 09054W 3924 07750 0429 -191 -250 037017 018 /// /// 03
155430 2817N 09056W 3930 07739 0430 -193 -245 037020 020 /// /// 03
155500 2815N 09058W 3926 07745 0430 -190 -248 036020 021 /// /// 03
155530 2813N 09100W 3925 07751 0431 -195 -244 037022 022 /// /// 03
155600 2810N 09102W 3927 07744 0431 -196 -246 041022 022 /// /// 03
155630 2808N 09104W 3926 07751 0431 -193 -241 040021 021 /// /// 03
155700 2806N 09107W 3926 07745 0432 -190 -235 037020 020 /// /// 03
155730 2804N 09109W 3927 07743 0432 -190 -238 034017 018 /// /// 03
155800 2802N 09111W 3923 07755 0433 -190 -262 038016 016 /// /// 03
155830 2759N 09113W 3927 07742 0432 -190 -260 042015 016 /// /// 03
155900 2757N 09115W 3926 07746 0433 -190 -245 049014 014 /// /// 03
155930 2755N 09117W 3926 07750 0433 -190 -232 052015 015 /// /// 03
160000 2753N 09119W 3925 07752 0434 -190 -239 052016 016 /// /// 03
$$

[MGC]

Looks like an eddy to me and with the lack of convection and the shear I would cancel recon....Not even close to a TC IMO.....MGC

[cycloneye]

URNT15 KNHC 281610
AF308 01AAA INVEST HDOB 03 20110628
160030 2751N 09121W 3927 07746 0433 -190 -240 050017 017 /// /// 03
160100 2749N 09123W 3925 07747 0433 -190 -237 045017 017 /// /// 03
160130 2746N 09125W 3927 07746 0432 -190 -243 044017 017 /// /// 03
160200 2744N 09127W 3926 07747 0433 -190 -257 044016 017 /// /// 03
160230 2742N 09129W 3926 07752 0433 -190 -260 044016 016 /// /// 03
160300 2740N 09131W 3927 07746 0434 -190 -243 047016 017 /// /// 03
160330 2740N 09131W 3927 07746 0435 -190 -243 046017 017 /// /// 03
160400 2735N 09134W 3926 07746 0435 -190 -248 049017 017 /// /// 03
160430 2733N 09136W 3925 07754 0435 -191 -250 047018 018 /// /// 03
160500 2731N 09138W 3926 07751 0433 -190 -242 046018 018 /// /// 03
160530 2729N 09140W 3926 07750 0434 -191 -243 044018 018 /// /// 03
160600 2727N 09142W 3926 07748 0432 -190 -249 044018 018 /// /// 03
160630 2724N 09144W 3926 07748 0432 -192 -251 042019 019 /// /// 03
160700 2722N 09146W 3927 07740 0431 -192 -252 044018 019 /// /// 03
160730 2720N 09148W 3923 07753 0432 -194 -253 047019 019 /// /// 03
160800 2718N 09150W 3927 07746 0432 -194 -253 051018 019 /// /// 03
160830 2716N 09152W 3923 07752 0432 -195 -254 050019 019 /// /// 03
160900 2713N 09154W 3927 07746 0432 -195 -245 048019 020 /// /// 03
160930 2711N 09156W 3927 07747 0432 -187 -244 045015 018 /// /// 03
161000 2709N 09158W 3923 07752 0431 -185 -256 052014 014 /// /// 03
$$
;

[MississippiWx]

Respectfully disagree. We have had some light westerly winds all morning and convection is becoming a lot better organized. Looks like it's on its way to becoming a TD.

[cycloneye]

We will know the real story about how is the structure of this disturbance as soon as the next couple of hours when the plane arrives.

[cycloneye]

Who wants to continue?

URNT15 KNHC 281620
AF308 01AAA INVEST HDOB 04 20110628
161030 2707N 09200W 3930 07738 0430 -185 -259 059015 015 /// /// 03
161100 2705N 09202W 3923 07750 0433 -189 -258 059014 014 /// /// 03
161130 2702N 09204W 3931 07740 0435 -187 -332 059016 016 /// /// 03
161200 2700N 09206W 3926 07751 0434 -187 -452 065014 014 /// /// 03
161230 2658N 09208W 3923 07752 0433 -187 -277 066014 014 /// /// 03
161300 2656N 09210W 3930 07743 0434 -186 -263 060014 014 /// /// 05
161330 2654N 09212W 3923 07756 0434 -187 -301 061014 014 /// /// 05
161400 2652N 09214W 3926 07750 0433 -187 -264 059013 014 /// /// 03
161430 2649N 09216W 3930 07737 0433 -187 -281 063012 012 /// /// 03
161500 2647N 09218W 3923 07756 0433 -190 -270 060012 012 /// /// 03
161530 2645N 09220W 3930 07741 0432 -190 -276 059011 013 /// /// 03
161600 2643N 09222W 3925 07750 0432 -186 -267 067009 009 /// /// 03
161630 2641N 09224W 3925 07751 0432 -185 -277 070009 009 /// /// 03
161700 2639N 09225W 3930 07739 0433 -180 -275 079006 006 /// /// 03
161730 2637N 09227W 3923 07754 0433 -184 -273 084006 007 /// /// 03
161800 2634N 09229W 3930 07737 0432 -180 -271 107004 005 /// /// 03
161830 2632N 09231W 3925 07751 0430 -179 -271 136001 001 /// /// 03
161900 2630N 09233W 3923 07750 0431 -175 -263 246002 003 030 000 03
161930 2628N 09235W 3926 07746 0430 -180 -268 275002 002 030 001 00
162000 2626N 09237W 3927 07748 0432 -175 -269 264003 004 031 000 00

[Dave]

I'll take it Cycloneye...still setting up pictures though.

[Dave]

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KNHC 281630
AF308 01AAA INVEST HDOB 05 20110628
162030 2624N 09238W 3929 07738 0431 -178 -269 253002 003 030 000 01
162100 2622N 09240W 3927 07743 0433 -175 -269 226005 006 030 000 03
162130 2620N 09242W 3926 07749 0432 -175 -274 226005 005 /// /// 03
162200 2618N 09244W 3925 07749 0431 -175 -265 215006 007 /// /// 03
162230 2616N 09246W 3927 07743 0431 -174 -270 219006 007 /// /// 03
162300 2614N 09248W 3926 07747 0431 -170 -267 240004 005 /// /// 05
162330 2612N 09249W 3926 07744 0432 -170 -268 258004 004 /// /// 03
162400 2609N 09251W 3926 07749 0431 -167 -272 270003 004 /// /// 03
162430 2607N 09253W 3926 07745 0431 -166 -269 260003 003 /// /// 03
162500 2605N 09255W 3926 07741 0431 -167 -265 278002 003 /// /// 03
162530 2603N 09257W 3926 07745 0430 -170 -270 284003 004 031 001 05
162600 2601N 09259W 3926 07746 0431 -170 -270 275003 004 030 001 00
162630 2559N 09300W 3926 07749 0431 -170 -269 238003 004 031 000 00
162700 2557N 09302W 3926 07744 0431 -170 -267 223003 004 030 000 00
162730 2555N 09304W 3925 07749 0431 -170 -261 200004 005 030 000 00
162800 2553N 09306W 3926 07745 0432 -170 -260 208004 004 031 000 00
162830 2551N 09308W 3926 07746 0432 -170 -271 222002 002 031 000 00
162900 2549N 09310W 3922 07758 0434 -170 -266 202003 005 031 000 00
162930 2547N 09311W 3930 07734 0431 -170 -265 182004 005 031 000 00
163000 2544N 09313W 3926 07742 0431 -170 -273 206002 002 030 000 01
$$
;

[micktooth]

I really have to wonder why they are sending out Recon for this. What real information will be gained and how many tax payer dollars will be going into this flight???

[Dave]

[brunota2003]

I really have to wonder why they are sending out Recon for this. What real information will be gained and how many tax payer dollars will be going into this flight???

This flight will provide us data from a system that is organizing...data we hardly ever get. I think it is pretty important.

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KNHC 281640
AF308 01AAA INVEST HDOB 06 20110628
163030 2542N 09315W 3929 07741 0431 -166 -272 238002 003 031 000 01
163100 2540N 09317W 3922 07754 0433 -168 -263 198003 004 031 000 01
163130 2538N 09319W 3927 07740 0432 -170 -269 173003 004 032 000 01
163200 2536N 09321W 3927 07748 0432 -170 -265 161005 005 032 000 00
163230 2534N 09322W 3923 07753 0434 -170 -273 160006 006 032 001 00
163300 2532N 09324W 3924 07754 0432 -170 -270 161007 007 031 001 00
163330 2530N 09326W 3927 07746 0432 -170 -274 160007 007 032 000 00
163400 2528N 09328W 3927 07746 0433 -165 -269 158005 006 032 000 00
163430 2526N 09330W 3925 07753 0433 -167 -268 160006 007 033 000 00
163500 2523N 09331W 3925 07752 0434 -169 -268 156007 008 033 000 00
163530 2521N 09333W 3931 07739 0434 -167 -271 150007 007 032 000 00
163600 2519N 09335W 3924 07751 0434 -165 -269 148005 006 033 000 00
163630 2517N 09337W 3926 07749 0434 -164 -269 144004 004 033 000 01
163700 2515N 09339W 3927 07748 0435 -164 -273 146005 006 033 001 00
163730 2513N 09341W 3925 07751 0434 -165 -272 144003 004 033 000 00
163800 2511N 09342W 3927 07747 0434 -163 -267 123001 003 033 000 00
163830 2509N 09344W 3925 07754 0436 -160 -267 309001 002 033 000 00
163900 2507N 09346W 3927 07748 0436 -160 -269 307002 002 034 001 00
163930 2504N 09348W 3925 07755 0436 -160 -262 342001 002 033 001 01
164000 2502N 09350W 3926 07751 0436 -160 -263 035001 002 033 000 01
$$
;

[Dave]

[ozonepete]

I really have to wonder why they are sending out Recon for this. What real information will be gained and how many tax payer dollars will be going into this flight???

This flight will provide us data from a system that is organizing...data we hardly ever get. I think it is pretty important.

Of all of the data we get, data on how TCs form is the type of data we know the least about and need a lot more of.

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KNHC 281650
AF308 01AAA INVEST HDOB 07 20110628
164030 2500N 09351W 3923 07758 0437 -160 -256 332002 003 033 001 01
164100 2458N 09353W 3926 07760 0442 -160 -256 036001 002 /// /// 03
164130 2455N 09353W 3926 07753 0435 -160 -259 329000 002 032 001 03
164200 2453N 09352W 3926 07747 0435 -159 -258 146001 002 032 001 00
164230 2450N 09352W 3925 07753 0435 -160 -263 162003 004 032 000 00
164300 2447N 09351W 3926 07748 0436 -160 -257 120004 004 032 000 00
164330 2445N 09351W 3925 07749 0435 -162 -255 103006 007 033 000 00
164400 2442N 09351W 3927 07742 0434 -165 -255 097009 010 040 008 00
164430 2439N 09350W 3926 07747 0433 -165 -249 086008 009 040 012 00
164500 2437N 09350W 3923 07751 0434 -164 -243 095009 009 038 005 00
164530 2434N 09349W 3926 07746 0434 -161 -248 098009 009 036 005 00
164600 2431N 09349W 3923 07764 0440 -163 -247 077009 011 035 003 00
164630 2429N 09348W 3925 07756 0440 -165 -238 064008 009 035 001 00
164700 2426N 09348W 3927 07758 0441 -166 -245 066008 009 036 000 00
164730 2424N 09347W 3926 07755 0441 -165 -236 072008 009 034 000 00
164800 2421N 09347W 3925 07757 0440 -168 -240 063008 009 034 000 00
164830 2418N 09346W 3926 07756 0440 -169 -234 074007 008 034 001 00
164900 2416N 09346W 3928 07746 0440 -167 -232 097009 010 035 001 00
164930 2413N 09346W 3926 07756 0441 -168 -230 154011 011 035 001 00
165000 2410N 09345W 3925 07756 0440 -168 -228 133016 017 035 001 00
$$
;