SPO: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 07F

[HURAKAN]

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TD07F [1000HPA] ANALYSED NEAR 21.0S 161.1E AT
202100 UTC, MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS. POSITION POOR BASED ON
MTSAT VIS/IR/EIR IMAGERY WITH ANIMATION AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE
OBSERVATION. SST AROUND 30 DEGREES CELCIUS.

ORGANISATION HAS NOT IMPROVED MUCH IN THE LAST 12 HOURS. CONVECTION
IS DISPLACED TO THE EAST OF THE LLCC. SYSTEM LIES UNDER AN UPPER
DIFFLUENT REGION IN A MODERATELY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION EXTENDS UP TO 500 HPA.

GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND GRADUALLY MOVING IT
SOUTHEASTWARD WITH SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION.

POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS IS MODERATE.

NO OTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE AREA.

[Crostorm]

[HURAKAN]

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TD07F [998 HPA] ANALYSED NEAR 21.8S 163.0E AT
210600 UTC, MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 KNOTS. POSITION POOR BASED ON
MTSAT IR/EIR IMAGERY WITH ANIMATION AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE
OBSERVATION. SST AROUND 30 DEGREES CELCIUS.

ORGANISATION HAS NOT IMPROVED MUCH IN THE LAST 12 HOURS. CONVECTION
IS DISPLACED TO THE EAST OF THE LLCC. SYSTEM LIES UNDER AN UPPER
DIFFLUENT REGION IN A MODERATELY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION EXTENDS UP TO 500 HPA.

GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND GRADUALLY MOVING IT
SOUTHEASTWARD WITH SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION.

POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS IS MODERATE.

NO OTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE AREA.

[HURAKAN]

Latest

[HURAKAN]

Looks like this one is leaving before developing