Anthony's naked again!
SPAC: ANTHONY (11U/09P) - Tropical Cyclone
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HURAKAN
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HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE BRISBANE
AT 1259UTC 27 JANUARY 2011
GALE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA
SITUATION
At 1200 UTC Ex-Tropical Cyclone Anthony was centred within 30 nautical miles of
latitude sixteen decimal eight south (16.8S)
longitude one hundred and fifty four decimal three east (154.3E)
Recent movement : northwest at 8 knots
Maximum winds : 35 knots
Central pressure: 998 hPa
Ex-Tropical Cyclone Anthony may redevelop into a tropical cyclone during the
next 12 to 24 hours.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 90 nautical miles in SE quadrant
and within 180 nautical miles in SW quadrant
FORECAST
NE/SE winds 34/40 knots within 90 nautical miles in SE quadrant and within 180
nautical miles in SW quadrant with very rough seas and moderate to heavy swells.
Forecast positions
At 0000 UTC 28 January: Within 45 nautical miles of 16.1 south 153.5 east
Central pressure 995 hPa.
Winds to 35 knots in the southern semicircle.
At 1200 UTC 28 January: Within 75 nautical miles of 15.2 south 153.0 east
Central pressure 991 hPa.
Winds to 40 knots near centre.
REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular
weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either
email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732200221 or satellite to SAC 1241
through Land Earth Station Perth 212.
Next warning will be issued by 1900 UTC 27 January 2011.
WEATHER BRISBANE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE BRISBANE
AT 1259UTC 27 JANUARY 2011
GALE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA
SITUATION
At 1200 UTC Ex-Tropical Cyclone Anthony was centred within 30 nautical miles of
latitude sixteen decimal eight south (16.8S)
longitude one hundred and fifty four decimal three east (154.3E)
Recent movement : northwest at 8 knots
Maximum winds : 35 knots
Central pressure: 998 hPa
Ex-Tropical Cyclone Anthony may redevelop into a tropical cyclone during the
next 12 to 24 hours.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 90 nautical miles in SE quadrant
and within 180 nautical miles in SW quadrant
FORECAST
NE/SE winds 34/40 knots within 90 nautical miles in SE quadrant and within 180
nautical miles in SW quadrant with very rough seas and moderate to heavy swells.
Forecast positions
At 0000 UTC 28 January: Within 45 nautical miles of 16.1 south 153.5 east
Central pressure 995 hPa.
Winds to 35 knots in the southern semicircle.
At 1200 UTC 28 January: Within 75 nautical miles of 15.2 south 153.0 east
Central pressure 991 hPa.
Winds to 40 knots near centre.
REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular
weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either
email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732200221 or satellite to SAC 1241
through Land Earth Station Perth 212.
Next warning will be issued by 1900 UTC 27 January 2011.
WEATHER BRISBANE
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HURAKAN
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Existing Cyclones in the Eastern Region:
Ex-Tropical Cyclone Anthony is situated over the central Coral Sea and is moving
slowly west-northwest. It is likely to move northwest over the next couple of
days. Likelihood of Ex-Tropical Cyclone Anthony redeveloping into a cyclone in
the Eastern Region on:
Friday: High
Saturday: High
Sunday: High
Ex-Tropical Cyclone Anthony is situated over the central Coral Sea and is moving
slowly west-northwest. It is likely to move northwest over the next couple of
days. Likelihood of Ex-Tropical Cyclone Anthony redeveloping into a cyclone in
the Eastern Region on:
Friday: High
Saturday: High
Sunday: High
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HURAKAN
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Re: SPO: TROPICAL CYCLONE ANTHONY (09P)
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE BRISBANE
AT 1859UTC 27 JANUARY 2011
GALE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA
SITUATION
At 1800 UTC Ex-Tropical Cyclone Anthony was centred within 40 nautical miles of
latitude sixteen decimal one south (16.1S)
longitude one hundred and fifty four decimal four east (154.4E)
Recent movement : north at 6 knots
Maximum winds : 35 knots
Central pressure: 995 hPa
Ex-Tropical Cyclone Anthony is likely to redevelop into a tropical cyclone
during the next 6 to 18 hours.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 90 nautical miles in the northern semicircle
and within 90 nautical miles in SE quadrant
and within 180 nautical miles in SW quadrant
FORECAST
NE/SE winds 30/35 knots within 90 nautical miles in SE quadrant and within 180
nautical miles in SW quadrant.
NW/NE winds 30/35 knots developing within 90 nautical miles in the northern
semicircle by 0600 UTC 28 January.
Very rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell.
Forecast positions
At 0600 UTC 28 January: Within 70 nautical miles of 15.0 south 154.0 east
Central pressure 992 hPa.
Winds to 35 knots
At 1800 UTC 28 January: Within 100 nautical miles of 13.9 south 153.5 east
Central pressure 989 hPa.
Winds to 40 knots.
REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular
weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either
email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732200221 or satellite to SAC 1241
through Land Earth Station Perth 212.
Next warning will be issued by 0100 UTC 28 January 2011.
WEATHER BRISBANE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE BRISBANE
AT 1859UTC 27 JANUARY 2011
GALE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA
SITUATION
At 1800 UTC Ex-Tropical Cyclone Anthony was centred within 40 nautical miles of
latitude sixteen decimal one south (16.1S)
longitude one hundred and fifty four decimal four east (154.4E)
Recent movement : north at 6 knots
Maximum winds : 35 knots
Central pressure: 995 hPa
Ex-Tropical Cyclone Anthony is likely to redevelop into a tropical cyclone
during the next 6 to 18 hours.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 90 nautical miles in the northern semicircle
and within 90 nautical miles in SE quadrant
and within 180 nautical miles in SW quadrant
FORECAST
NE/SE winds 30/35 knots within 90 nautical miles in SE quadrant and within 180
nautical miles in SW quadrant.
NW/NE winds 30/35 knots developing within 90 nautical miles in the northern
semicircle by 0600 UTC 28 January.
Very rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell.
Forecast positions
At 0600 UTC 28 January: Within 70 nautical miles of 15.0 south 154.0 east
Central pressure 992 hPa.
Winds to 35 knots
At 1800 UTC 28 January: Within 100 nautical miles of 13.9 south 153.5 east
Central pressure 989 hPa.
Winds to 40 knots.
REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular
weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either
email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732200221 or satellite to SAC 1241
through Land Earth Station Perth 212.
Next warning will be issued by 0100 UTC 28 January 2011.
WEATHER BRISBANE
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HURAKAN
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WTPS21 PGTW 262000
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
105 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 18.6S 158.1E TO 16.9S 155.4E
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IM-
AGERY AT 261800Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 18.4S 157.8E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 03
KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF FORMER TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC)
09P (ANTHONY) HAS RE-STRENGTHENED AND IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.4S
157.8E, APPROXIMATELY 695 NM EAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA. A BUILDING
UPPER LEVEL (U/L) RIDGE HAS BEGUN TO REPLACE A FILLING U/L SHORTWAVE
TROUGH THAT HAD BEEN RESPONSIBLE FOR WEAKENING THE TC BELOW WARNING
CRITERIA. CENTRAL CONVECTION IS GRADUALLY BEGINNING TO REDEVELOP
NEAR THE CENTER AS U/L CONDITIONS IMPROVE, BUT IT IS FAIRLY RECENT,
WEAK AND UNORGANIZED. NONETHELESS A 261133Z ASCAT SHOWS A WELL-
DEFINED 25 TO 30 KNOT CIRCULATION AND TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER
PRODUCTS SHOW THE COLUMN BEGINNING TO RE-MOISTEN AS FLOW WORKS ITS
WAY FROM THE DEEP TROPICS ALONG THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE
CIRCULATION INTO THE SYSTEM CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS
ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
272000Z.//
NNNN
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HURAKAN
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TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - EASTERN REGION
Issued by BRISBANE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
at: 0157 UTC 28/01/2011
Name: Tropical Cyclone Anthony
Identifier: 11U
Data At: 0000 UTC
Latitude: 16.0S
Longitude: 155.1E
Location Accuracy: within 25 nm [45 km]
Movement Towards: north northeast [023 deg]
Speed of Movement: 5 knots [9 km/h]
Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 35 knots [65 km/h]
Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 50 knots [95 km/h]
Central Pressure: 990 hPa
Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant: 90 nm [165 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant: 90 nm [165 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant: 180 nm [335 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant: 90 nm [165 km]
Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 64-knot winds:
Radius of Maximum Winds:
Dvorak Intensity Code: T3.0/3.0/D1.0/24HRS
Pressure of outermost isobar: 1000 hPa
Radius of outermost closed isobar: 100 nm [185 km]
Storm Depth: Deep
FORECAST DATA
Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure
[UTC] : degrees : nm [km]: knots[km/h]: hPa
+12: 28/1200: 14.9S 154.7E: 070 [130]: 035 [065]: 992
+24: 29/0000: 14.5S 153.8E: 100 [185]: 045 [085]: 986
+36: 29/1200: 14.6S 153.0E: 130 [245]: 055 [100]: 979
+48: 30/0000: 16.0S 151.9E: 165 [305]: 060 [110]: 977
+60: 30/1200: 17.7S 150.3E: 210 [395]: 060 [110]: 977
+72: 31/0000: 19.0S 148.3E: 260 [480]: 060 [110]: 975
REMARKS:
Curved band pattern applied with 0.55 degree wrap on log10 spiral, giving DT
2.5. MT 3.0 and PT 3.0. FT based on PT.
Convection and organisation has significantly improved around Tropical Cyclone
Anthony over the past 24 hours. Tropical Cyclone Anthony is currently being
guided in a north northeasterly direction with the assistance of a mid level
ridge extending from over southern Australia and across the northwest Coral Sea.
This mid level ridge will weaken a little and slip southwards over the next
couple days as another mid level ridge begins to build over the eastern Coral
Sea. This secondary ridge will be the main driving force in allowing Tropical
Cyclone Anthony to develop a southwesterly track on Sunday.
Copyright Commonwealth of Australia
==
The next bulletin for this system will be issued by: 28/0700 UTC by Brisbane
TCWC.
Issued by BRISBANE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
at: 0157 UTC 28/01/2011
Name: Tropical Cyclone Anthony
Identifier: 11U
Data At: 0000 UTC
Latitude: 16.0S
Longitude: 155.1E
Location Accuracy: within 25 nm [45 km]
Movement Towards: north northeast [023 deg]
Speed of Movement: 5 knots [9 km/h]
Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 35 knots [65 km/h]
Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 50 knots [95 km/h]
Central Pressure: 990 hPa
Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant: 90 nm [165 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant: 90 nm [165 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant: 180 nm [335 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant: 90 nm [165 km]
Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 64-knot winds:
Radius of Maximum Winds:
Dvorak Intensity Code: T3.0/3.0/D1.0/24HRS
Pressure of outermost isobar: 1000 hPa
Radius of outermost closed isobar: 100 nm [185 km]
Storm Depth: Deep
FORECAST DATA
Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure
[UTC] : degrees : nm [km]: knots[km/h]: hPa
+12: 28/1200: 14.9S 154.7E: 070 [130]: 035 [065]: 992
+24: 29/0000: 14.5S 153.8E: 100 [185]: 045 [085]: 986
+36: 29/1200: 14.6S 153.0E: 130 [245]: 055 [100]: 979
+48: 30/0000: 16.0S 151.9E: 165 [305]: 060 [110]: 977
+60: 30/1200: 17.7S 150.3E: 210 [395]: 060 [110]: 977
+72: 31/0000: 19.0S 148.3E: 260 [480]: 060 [110]: 975
REMARKS:
Curved band pattern applied with 0.55 degree wrap on log10 spiral, giving DT
2.5. MT 3.0 and PT 3.0. FT based on PT.
Convection and organisation has significantly improved around Tropical Cyclone
Anthony over the past 24 hours. Tropical Cyclone Anthony is currently being
guided in a north northeasterly direction with the assistance of a mid level
ridge extending from over southern Australia and across the northwest Coral Sea.
This mid level ridge will weaken a little and slip southwards over the next
couple days as another mid level ridge begins to build over the eastern Coral
Sea. This secondary ridge will be the main driving force in allowing Tropical
Cyclone Anthony to develop a southwesterly track on Sunday.
Copyright Commonwealth of Australia
==
The next bulletin for this system will be issued by: 28/0700 UTC by Brisbane
TCWC.
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Crostorm
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Re: SPO: TROPICAL CYCLONE ANTHONY (09P)
IDQP0005
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this
warning.
PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 1
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 4:56pm EST on Friday the 28th of January 2011
A Cyclone WATCH is now current for coastal and island communities from Innisfail
to Sarina.
At 4:00 pm EST Tropical Cyclone Anthony, Category 1 was estimated to be
980 kilometres east northeast of Townsville and 890 kilometres east northeast of
Bowen, moving north northeast at 7 kilometres per hour.
Tropical Cyclone Anthony is moving in a northerly direction and is expected to
move in a southwesterly direction during Saturday.
Damaging winds are expected to develop about coastal and island communities
between Innisfail and Sarina late on Sunday.
People between Innisfail and Sarina should consider what action they will need
to take if the cyclone threat increases.
- Information is available from your local government
- For cyclone preparation and safety advice, visit Queensland's Disaster
Management Services website [www.disaster.qld.gov.au]
- For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service [SES] on
132 500 [for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on
buildings or roof damage].
Details of Tropical Cyclone Anthony at 4:00 pm EST:
.Centre located near...... 15.7 degrees South 155.3 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 55 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... towards the north northeast at 7 kilometres per hour
.Wind gusts near centre... 95 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ 1
.Central pressure......... 988 hectoPascals
Please ensure that neighbours have heard and understood this message,
particularly new arrivals or those who may not fully understand English.
The next advice will be issued by 11:00 pm EST Friday 28 January.
This warning is also available through TV and Radio Broadcasts; the Bureau's
website at http://www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 212. The Bureau and the State
Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly.
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Crostorm
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- Contact:
SDC Ian Stewart TC Anthony update Friday Jan 28
Some notes from State Disaster Co-ordinator Ian Stewart's update:
- Deputy Ccommisioner Stewart was re-appointed State Disaster Coordinator this afternoon
- TC Anthony has reformed and is expected to cross the Queensland coast early Monday morning, but it could be as soon as Sunday afternoon
- significant rain is expected
- another system near Fiji may form into a cyclone and move towards Queensland late next week
- people should be aware of their local evacuation plans and listen to the advise of the BOM and emergency services
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xU2bZyt6j6U
Some notes from State Disaster Co-ordinator Ian Stewart's update:
- Deputy Ccommisioner Stewart was re-appointed State Disaster Coordinator this afternoon
- TC Anthony has reformed and is expected to cross the Queensland coast early Monday morning, but it could be as soon as Sunday afternoon
- significant rain is expected
- another system near Fiji may form into a cyclone and move towards Queensland late next week
- people should be aware of their local evacuation plans and listen to the advise of the BOM and emergency services
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xU2bZyt6j6U
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HURAKAN
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- Posts: 46086
- Age: 37
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 2
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 10:38pm EST on Friday the 28th of January 2011
A Cyclone WATCH is now current for coastal areas from Innisfail to Saint
Lawrence and adjacent inland areas.
At 10:00 pm EST Tropical Cyclone Anthony, Category 1 was estimated to be
960 kilometres east northeast of Townsville and 860 kilometres east northeast of
Bowen.
Tropical Cyclone Anthony is currently slow moving. Anthony is expected to turn
to the southwest during Saturday while gradually intensifying.
Damaging winds are expected to develop about coastal and island communities
between Innisfail and St Lawrence late on Sunday.
People between Innisfail and St Lawrence should consider what action they will
need to take if the cyclone threat increases.
- Information is available from your local government
- For cyclone preparedness and safety advice, visit Queensland's Disaster
Management Services website [www.disaster.qld.gov.au]
- For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service [SES] on
132 500 [for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on
buildings or roof damage].
Details of Tropical Cyclone Anthony at 10:00 pm EST:
.Centre located near...... 16.1 degrees South 155.2 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 75 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... slow moving
.Wind gusts near centre... 95 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ 1
.Central pressure......... 997 hectoPascals
Please ensure that neighbours have heard and understood this message,
particularly new arrivals or those who may not fully understand English.
The next advice will be issued by 5:00 am EST Saturday 29 January.
This warning is also available through TV and Radio Broadcasts; the Bureau's
website at http://www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 212. The Bureau and the State
Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly.
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 10:38pm EST on Friday the 28th of January 2011
A Cyclone WATCH is now current for coastal areas from Innisfail to Saint
Lawrence and adjacent inland areas.
At 10:00 pm EST Tropical Cyclone Anthony, Category 1 was estimated to be
960 kilometres east northeast of Townsville and 860 kilometres east northeast of
Bowen.
Tropical Cyclone Anthony is currently slow moving. Anthony is expected to turn
to the southwest during Saturday while gradually intensifying.
Damaging winds are expected to develop about coastal and island communities
between Innisfail and St Lawrence late on Sunday.
People between Innisfail and St Lawrence should consider what action they will
need to take if the cyclone threat increases.
- Information is available from your local government
- For cyclone preparedness and safety advice, visit Queensland's Disaster
Management Services website [www.disaster.qld.gov.au]
- For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service [SES] on
132 500 [for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on
buildings or roof damage].
Details of Tropical Cyclone Anthony at 10:00 pm EST:
.Centre located near...... 16.1 degrees South 155.2 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 75 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... slow moving
.Wind gusts near centre... 95 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ 1
.Central pressure......... 997 hectoPascals
Please ensure that neighbours have heard and understood this message,
particularly new arrivals or those who may not fully understand English.
The next advice will be issued by 5:00 am EST Saturday 29 January.
This warning is also available through TV and Radio Broadcasts; the Bureau's
website at http://www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 212. The Bureau and the State
Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly.
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HURAKAN
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TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - EASTERN REGION
Issued by BRISBANE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
at: 1232 UTC 28/01/2011
Name: Tropical Cyclone Anthony
Identifier: 11U
Data At: 1200 UTC
Latitude: 16.1S
Longitude: 155.2E
Location Accuracy: within 40 nm [75 km]
Movement Towards: southeast [136 deg]
Speed of Movement: 1 knots [1 km/h]
Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 35 knots [65 km/h]
Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 50 knots [95 km/h]
Central Pressure: 997 hPa
Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant: 90 nm [165 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant: 90 nm [165 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant: 140 nm [260 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant: 90 nm [165 km]
Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 64-knot winds:
Radius of Maximum Winds:
Dvorak Intensity Code: T2.5/3.0/W0.5/12HRS
Pressure of outermost isobar: 1006 hPa
Radius of outermost closed isobar: 210 nm [390 km]
Storm Depth: Deep
FORECAST DATA
Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure
[UTC] : degrees : nm [km]: knots[km/h]: hPa
+12: 29/0000: 15.9S 153.9E: 070 [130]: 040 [075]: 994
+24: 29/1200: 16.3S 152.7E: 100 [185]: 045 [085]: 991
+36: 30/0000: 17.4S 150.7E: 130 [245]: 050 [095]: 989
+48: 30/1200: 18.8S 148.6E: 165 [305]: 055 [100]: 983
+60: 31/0000: 20.4S 146.3E: 210 [395]: 035 [065]: 997
+72: 31/1200: 22.1S 144.4E: 260 [480]: 025 [045]: 1003
REMARKS:
DT difficult with lack of organized convection. MET used as FT with CI held at
3.0 due to Dvorak constraints.
Tropical Cyclone is currently slow moving under a weak steering pattern.
Developing upper ridge to the east and upper trough to west will steer the
Tropical Cyclone to the southwest from Saturday. This steering will be
maintained until landfall.
System intensification has been restrained by high shear to the south. With time
this shear will decrease allowing the Tropical Cyclone to gradually intensify
during the next 24-48 hours.
Copyright Commonwealth of Australia
==
The next bulletin for this system will be issued by: 28/1900 UTC by Brisbane
TCWC.
Issued by BRISBANE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
at: 1232 UTC 28/01/2011
Name: Tropical Cyclone Anthony
Identifier: 11U
Data At: 1200 UTC
Latitude: 16.1S
Longitude: 155.2E
Location Accuracy: within 40 nm [75 km]
Movement Towards: southeast [136 deg]
Speed of Movement: 1 knots [1 km/h]
Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 35 knots [65 km/h]
Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 50 knots [95 km/h]
Central Pressure: 997 hPa
Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant: 90 nm [165 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant: 90 nm [165 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant: 140 nm [260 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant: 90 nm [165 km]
Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 64-knot winds:
Radius of Maximum Winds:
Dvorak Intensity Code: T2.5/3.0/W0.5/12HRS
Pressure of outermost isobar: 1006 hPa
Radius of outermost closed isobar: 210 nm [390 km]
Storm Depth: Deep
FORECAST DATA
Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure
[UTC] : degrees : nm [km]: knots[km/h]: hPa
+12: 29/0000: 15.9S 153.9E: 070 [130]: 040 [075]: 994
+24: 29/1200: 16.3S 152.7E: 100 [185]: 045 [085]: 991
+36: 30/0000: 17.4S 150.7E: 130 [245]: 050 [095]: 989
+48: 30/1200: 18.8S 148.6E: 165 [305]: 055 [100]: 983
+60: 31/0000: 20.4S 146.3E: 210 [395]: 035 [065]: 997
+72: 31/1200: 22.1S 144.4E: 260 [480]: 025 [045]: 1003
REMARKS:
DT difficult with lack of organized convection. MET used as FT with CI held at
3.0 due to Dvorak constraints.
Tropical Cyclone is currently slow moving under a weak steering pattern.
Developing upper ridge to the east and upper trough to west will steer the
Tropical Cyclone to the southwest from Saturday. This steering will be
maintained until landfall.
System intensification has been restrained by high shear to the south. With time
this shear will decrease allowing the Tropical Cyclone to gradually intensify
during the next 24-48 hours.
Copyright Commonwealth of Australia
==
The next bulletin for this system will be issued by: 28/1900 UTC by Brisbane
TCWC.
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Re: SPO: TROPICAL CYCLONE ANTHONY (09P)
IDQP0005
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this
warning.
PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 3
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 5:05am EST on Saturday the 29th of January 2011
A Cyclone WATCH is now current for coastal areas from Innisfail to Saint
Lawrence.
At 4:00 am EST Tropical Cyclone Anthony, Category 1 was estimated to be
910 kilometres east northeast of Townsville and 810 kilometres east northeast of
Bowen.
Tropical Cyclone Anthony is currently slow moving. Anthony is expected to turn
to the southwest during Saturday while gradually intensifying.
Damaging winds are expected to develop about coastal and island communities
between Innisfail and St Lawrence during Sunday.
People between Innisfail and St Lawrence should consider what action they will
need to take if the cyclone threat increases.
- Information is available from your local government
- For cyclone preparedness and safety advice, visit Queensland's Disaster
Management Services website [www.disaster.qld.gov.au]
- For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service [SES] on
132 500 [for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on
buildings or roof damage].
Details of Tropical Cyclone Anthony at 4:00 am EST:
.Centre located near...... 16.1 degrees South 154.7 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 110 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... slow moving
.Wind gusts near centre... 95 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ 1
.Central pressure......... 999 hectoPascals
Please ensure that neighbours have heard and understood this message,
particularly new arrivals or those who may not fully understand English.
The next advice will be issued by 11:00 am EST Saturday 29 January.
This warning is also available through TV and Radio Broadcasts; the Bureau's
website at http://www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 212. The Bureau and the State
Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly.
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this
warning.
PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 3
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 5:05am EST on Saturday the 29th of January 2011
A Cyclone WATCH is now current for coastal areas from Innisfail to Saint
Lawrence.
At 4:00 am EST Tropical Cyclone Anthony, Category 1 was estimated to be
910 kilometres east northeast of Townsville and 810 kilometres east northeast of
Bowen.
Tropical Cyclone Anthony is currently slow moving. Anthony is expected to turn
to the southwest during Saturday while gradually intensifying.
Damaging winds are expected to develop about coastal and island communities
between Innisfail and St Lawrence during Sunday.
People between Innisfail and St Lawrence should consider what action they will
need to take if the cyclone threat increases.
- Information is available from your local government
- For cyclone preparedness and safety advice, visit Queensland's Disaster
Management Services website [www.disaster.qld.gov.au]
- For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service [SES] on
132 500 [for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on
buildings or roof damage].
Details of Tropical Cyclone Anthony at 4:00 am EST:
.Centre located near...... 16.1 degrees South 154.7 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 110 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... slow moving
.Wind gusts near centre... 95 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ 1
.Central pressure......... 999 hectoPascals
Please ensure that neighbours have heard and understood this message,
particularly new arrivals or those who may not fully understand English.
The next advice will be issued by 11:00 am EST Saturday 29 January.
This warning is also available through TV and Radio Broadcasts; the Bureau's
website at http://www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 212. The Bureau and the State
Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly.
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