WPAC: INVEST 90W

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HURAKAN
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WPAC: INVEST 90W

#1 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Jan 30, 2011 8:00 pm

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#2 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Jan 30, 2011 8:01 pm

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Re: WPAC: INVEST 90W

#3 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jan 30, 2011 8:24 pm

And here is the first invest of for sure many that will be up in the WPAC on 2011. It doesn't look too bad.
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#4 Postby Chacor » Sun Jan 30, 2011 10:09 pm

LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 07N 129E WEST 15 KT.
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#5 Postby KWT » Mon Jan 31, 2011 5:35 am

Looks like a rainmaker from the track the models take...ECM doesn't do anything with it and I think thats the right call.
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#6 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Jan 31, 2011 10:10 am

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Re: WPAC: INVEST 90W

#7 Postby dexterlabio » Mon Jan 31, 2011 10:50 am

Rains over Visayas and Mindanao seem to be non-stop. Luckily for Manila, only the cool northeasterly wind surge affects us, but the temperature is really going down. :eek:
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#8 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Jan 31, 2011 8:35 pm

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#9 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Jan 31, 2011 8:35 pm

AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 9.9N 128.1E,
APPROXIMATELY 245 NM EAST OF CEBU, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS A VERY BROAD AREA OF DISORGANIZED CONVECTION MOSTLY
NORTH OF AN ILL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THIS AREA IS
AT THE TAIL END OF A SHEARLINE EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHEAST JUST TO
THE WEST OF GUAM. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE AREA IS TO THE
SOUTH OF A RIDGE AXIS IN A ZONE OF MODERATE EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR, ALBEIT, WITH GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGES
SHOW SHALLOW AND SCATTERED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
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#10 Postby KWT » Mon Jan 31, 2011 9:14 pm

You can sorta see a weak attempt at the system wrapping up on that image Hurakan but its a pretty poor attempt, just a rainmaker it seems.
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#11 Postby Chacor » Tue Feb 01, 2011 9:25 am

LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 06N 127E WEST SLOWLY.
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