SIO: Invest 91S

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SIO: Invest 91S

#1 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Feb 24, 2011 8:56 pm

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Potential Cyclones:
A developing Tropical Low, 1002 hPa, is located in the Timor Sea, near 12.5S
129.5E, about 150km west of Darwin at 12:30pm CST and moving slowly west. The
low is expected to move slowly towards the southwest during the next three days
and deepen as it moves into a more favourable environment. By Sunday, the low is
expected to be located in the Western Region, refer to the Western Region
Tropical Cyclone Outlook for further information.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone being in the Region on:
Friday: Low.
Saturday: Moderate.
Sunday: Low.
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#2 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Feb 25, 2011 12:26 am

Potential Cyclones:

At 11:00am WST a developing tropical low [18U], 1001 hPa, was located near 13.7S
125.5E, about 140km west northwest of Kalumburu, moving west
southwest. It is likely that the low will move towards the southwest during the
next three days and deepen as it moves into a more favourable environment. On
Saturday the low is expected to be in the Western Region. The low may form into
a tropical cyclone on Sunday. Tropical Cyclone Advices [IDW24100] will be issued
for this low by Thursday evening. Please refer to the latest Advice for further
details.

Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region:
Saturday :Moderate
Sunday :High
Monday :High
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#3 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Feb 25, 2011 8:19 am

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TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 2
Issued at 8:49 pm WST on Friday 25 February 2011

A Cyclone WATCH is current for a developing tropical low for coastal areas from
Kalumburu to Wallal.

At 8:00 pm WST a tropical low was estimated to be
75 kilometres west northwest of Kalumburu and
445 kilometres northeast of Derby and
moving slowly southwest, parallel to the coast.

The low may develop into a tropical cyclone on Sunday as it moves towards the
southwest, close to the west Kimberley coast. GALES are not expected in coastal
areas within the next 24 hours, however GALES could develop on Sunday between
Kalumburu and Wallal.

FESA-State Emergency Service advises that there are no community alerts at
present.
Communities between Kalumburu and Wallal, including Derby and Broome, should
listen for the next advice.

Details of tropical low at 8:00 pm WST:
.Centre located near...... 14.0 degrees South 126.0 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 110 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... slowly towards the southwest
.Wind gusts near centre... 85 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ below cyclone intensity
.Central pressure......... 998 hectoPascals

The next advice will be issued by 3:00 am WST Saturday 26 February.

Cyclone advices and State Emergency Service Community Alerts are available by
dialling 1300 659 210

A map showing the track of the cyclone is available at:
http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone
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#4 Postby Grifforzer » Fri Feb 25, 2011 5:18 pm

IDW24100
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this warning.

PRIORITY

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 3
Issued at 2:51 am WST on Saturday 26 February 2011

A Cyclone WATCH is current for a developing tropical low for coastal areas from Kalumburu to Wallal.

At 2:00 am WST a tropical low was estimated to be 75 kilometres west northwest of Kalumburu and 445 kilometres northeast of Derby and moving slowly southwest, parallel to the coast.

The low may develop into a tropical cyclone on Sunday as it moves towards the southwest, close to the west Kimberley coast. GALES are not expected in coastal areas within the next 24 hours, however GALES could develop on Sunday between Kalumburu and Wallal.

FESA-State Emergency Service advises that there are no community alerts at present. Communities between Kalumburu and Wallal, including Derby and Broome, should listen for the next advice.

Details of tropical low at 2:00 am WST:
.Centre located near...... 14.0 degrees South 126.0 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 110 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... slowly towards the southwest
.Wind gusts near centre... 85 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ below cyclone intensity
.Central pressure......... 998 hectoPascals

The next advice will be issued by 9:00 am WST Saturday 26 February.
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#5 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Feb 25, 2011 10:35 pm

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Re: SIO: Invest 91S

#6 Postby Crostorm » Sun Feb 27, 2011 12:54 am

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IDW24100
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this
warning.

PRIORITY

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 9
Issued at 8:53 am WST on Sunday 27 February 2011

A Cyclone WATCH is current for a developing tropical low for coastal areas from
Cape Leveque to Port Hedland.
The Cyclone WATCH for coastal areas from Mitchell Plateau to Cape Leveque has
been cancelled.

At 8:00 am WST a tropical low was estimated to be
330 kilometres north northeast of Broome and
225 kilometres north of Derby and
moving southeast at 3 kilometres per hour.

The low may develop into a tropical cyclone by late Monday if it moves towards
the southwest and remains over water. GALES are not expected in coastal areas
within the next 24 hours, however GALES could develop by late Monday or early
on Tuesday between Cape Leveque and Port Hedland if the low tracks to the south
west.

HEAVY RAINFALL is expected on the Dampier Peninsula north of Broome during
Sunday. On Monday and Tuesday heavy rainfall is likely east and southeast of
Port Hedland including Telfer and parts of the De Grey catchment.

FESA-State Emergency Service advises that there are no community alerts at
present.
Communities between Cape Leveque and Port Hedland, including Broome and Port
Hedland, should listen for the next advice.

Details of tropical low at 8:00 am WST:
.Centre located near...... 15.3 degrees South 123.6 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 110 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... towards the southeast at 3 kilometres per hour
.Wind gusts near centre... 85 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ below cyclone intensity
.Central pressure......... 995 hectoPascals

The next advice will be issued by 3:00 pm WST Sunday 27 February.

Cyclone advices and State Emergency Service Community Alerts are available by
dialling 1300 659 210

A map showing the track of the cyclone is available at:
http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone
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#7 Postby Crostorm » Sun Feb 27, 2011 12:56 am

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