EPAC: Invest 90E

[HURAKAN]

23/1745 UTC 11.1N 95.3W TOO WEAK 90E -- East Pacific



Floater: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/float6.html

If not official, should be soon

[Florida1118]

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT MON MAY 23 2011

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A WEAK
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 350 MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE AS
IT MOVES LITTLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

[HURAKAN]

INVEST, EP, E, , , , , 90, 2011, DB, O, 2011052318, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , EP902011

Link: ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/index/ ... ms.txt.nhc

[cycloneye]

18:00z Best Track

EP, 90, 2011052318, 01, CARQ, 0, 111N, 951W, 20, 1010, DB

[KWT]

Hmm there is decent convection there at the moment, so certainly needs close watching just in case, though to my knowledge the models don't seem too keen on it right now.

I suspect we will get our first EPAC system in the next 10-14 days however.

[Florida1118]

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT MON MAY 23 2011

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN ASSOCIATION WITH A WEAK AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF
OF TEHUANTEPEC HAVE DECREASED AND BECOME LESS ORGANIZED DURING THE
PAST SEVERAL HOURS. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THIS SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES LITTLE OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
NNNN

[Florida1118]

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 240530
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT MON MAY 23 2011

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINS DISORGANIZED IN ASSOCIATION
WITH A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. DEVELOPMENT...IF
ANY...OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES
LITTLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN

[ROCK]

Hmm there is decent convection there at the moment, so certainly needs close watching just in case, though to my knowledge the models don't seem too keen on it right now.

I suspect we will get our first EPAC system in the next 10-14 days however.

the CMC seems rather bullish on it from the 12z.....also brings it closer to the coast....0z not doing much with it...


http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... =Animation

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... =Animation