ATL: INVEST 93L - DISCUSSION

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Ivanhater
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ATL: INVEST 93L - DISCUSSION

#1 Postby Ivanhater » Tue May 31, 2011 7:44 pm

BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_al932011.invest
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201106010037
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
INVEST, AL, L, , , , , 93, 2011, DB, O, 2011060100, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , AL932011
AL, 93, 2011060100, , BEST, 0, 330N, 732W, 25, 0, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
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ATL: INVEST 93L MODELS

#2 Postby Ivanhater » Tue May 31, 2011 7:45 pm

Run here
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#3 Postby RL3AO » Tue May 31, 2011 7:47 pm

Thats the North Carolina area.
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#4 Postby gatorcane » Tue May 31, 2011 7:47 pm

Invest but no code designation by nhc?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L

#5 Postby Florida1118 » Tue May 31, 2011 7:53 pm

Whos gonna stay up until 2am for the first TWO? :lol:
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#6 Postby Migle » Tue May 31, 2011 7:53 pm

gatorcane wrote:Invest but no code designation by nhc?


Should be yellow at the 1AM TWO tonight
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#7 Postby HURAKAN » Tue May 31, 2011 7:54 pm

Image

latest
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#8 Postby northjaxpro » Tue May 31, 2011 7:55 pm

So our feature off the SE US coast has become 93L. I have to admit I wasn't anticipating this designation so quickly by NHC. Looks to impact my region in about 24-36 hours.
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#9 Postby HURAKAN » Tue May 31, 2011 7:55 pm

Image

it's already in NRL
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#10 Postby BigB0882 » Tue May 31, 2011 8:00 pm

If it would cross FL and move to LA and bring us some cooling rain we would really appreciate it.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L MODELS

#11 Postby cycloneye » Tue May 31, 2011 8:02 pm

The models didn't have anything about this.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L MODELS

#12 Postby cycloneye » Tue May 31, 2011 8:04 pm

WHXX01 KWBC 010051
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0051 UTC WED JUN 1 2011

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL932011) 20110601 0000 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
110601 0000 110601 1200 110602 0000 110602 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 33.0N 73.2W 31.5N 76.7W 30.6N 80.2W 29.8N 83.9W
BAMD 33.0N 73.2W 31.6N 76.4W 30.8N 79.0W 30.1N 81.2W
BAMM 33.0N 73.2W 31.4N 76.8W 30.3N 80.3W 29.4N 83.8W
LBAR 33.0N 73.2W 31.3N 75.3W 30.2N 76.8W 29.5N 78.2W
SHIP 25KTS 27KTS 33KTS 37KTS
DSHP 25KTS 27KTS 33KTS 33KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
110603 0000 110604 0000 110605 0000 110606 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 29.5N 87.7W 31.6N 94.8W 36.1N 97.0W 38.1N 93.6W
BAMD 29.3N 83.5W 28.8N 89.6W 31.0N 95.4W 32.5N 97.6W
BAMM 28.8N 87.4W 29.8N 95.0W 33.1N 99.6W 35.5N 100.2W
LBAR 29.0N 79.5W 27.5N 82.2W 26.6N 84.4W 26.8N 85.9W
SHIP 40KTS 47KTS 56KTS 62KTS
DSHP 36KTS 37KTS 28KTS 27KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 33.0N LONCUR = 73.2W DIRCUR = 210DEG SPDCUR = 16KT
LATM12 = 35.5N LONM12 = 70.7W DIRM12 = 207DEG SPDM12 = 16KT
LATM24 = 38.7N LONM24 = 69.9W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 0NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1017MB OUTPRS = 1019MB OUTRAD = 170NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

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Re:

#13 Postby northjaxpro » Tue May 31, 2011 8:04 pm

BigB0882 wrote:If it would cross FL and move to LA and bring us some cooling rain we would really appreciate it.


Amen to that. We desperately need the rain here in NE FL and all over the state for that matter. Hopefully this system will provide some relief needed for sure.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L

#14 Postby Nimbus » Tue May 31, 2011 8:07 pm

I saw this on the water vapor loop sliding southwest and I wondered what it was? Almost has some outflow established already.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L

#15 Postby Florida1118 » Tue May 31, 2011 8:12 pm

Pressures are very high though, from 1016 to 1017mb so its not very strong pressurewise...
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#16 Postby HURAKAN » Tue May 31, 2011 8:19 pm

Image

Latest
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L

#17 Postby wxman57 » Tue May 31, 2011 8:19 pm

And the weak surface low is well NE of the convection, indicative of quite strong NE winds aloft. Too much shear for development, but could bring a few heavy showers to NE FL and/or SE GA tomorrow night/Thursday.
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#18 Postby HURAKAN » Tue May 31, 2011 8:30 pm

Image

Image

Cool pics!
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#19 Postby brunota2003 » Tue May 31, 2011 8:34 pm

Neat little feature...would love to see some obs from that area.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L MODELS

#20 Postby MGC » Tue May 31, 2011 8:50 pm

Looks like Ivan after it split in two and redeveloped....sure hope 93L tracks along the NGOM coast and dumps some rain on us....don't see this becoming a TC.....MGC
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