NIO: DEPRESSION (01A)
Moderator: S2k Moderators
GFs still going strong with this system which is interesting. Will have to wait and see what the 12z ECM says this time.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
00z ECM still not doing anything with it, amazing considering how agressive it was a few days ago.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
OMAN MARINE FORECAST FOR COASTAL WATERS (UPTO 24 NAUTICAL MILES)
VALID FROM 04/1800 TO 05/0600 UTC
=====================================
REGIONAL SYNOPSIS : LOW PRESSURE AREA EAST OF ARABIAN SEA.
WEATHER : PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG MUHAFADHAT DHOFAR COAST.
MAINLY CLEAR SKIES OVER REST OF THE COASTS
WARNING : NIL
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS & VISIBILITY DETAILS FOLLOWS:
VALID FROM 04/1800 TO 05/0600 UTC
=====================================
REGIONAL SYNOPSIS : LOW PRESSURE AREA EAST OF ARABIAN SEA.
WEATHER : PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG MUHAFADHAT DHOFAR COAST.
MAINLY CLEAR SKIES OVER REST OF THE COASTS
WARNING : NIL
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS & VISIBILITY DETAILS FOLLOWS:
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ABIO10 PGTW 041230
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
/REISSUED/041230Z-041800ZJUN2011//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 17.0N 72.5E,
APPROXIMATELY 120 NM SOUTH OF MUMBAI, INDIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN IMPROVING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC) WITH INCREASED DEEP CONVECTION. A 040431Z ASCAT PASS DEPICTS
STRONG 20 TO 25 KNOT WESTERLIES ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE
LLCC AND WEAKER 10 TO 15 KNOT WINDS ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY.
UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES MARGINAL DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND LOW
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT (29 TO 30 DEGREES CELSIUS). MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO
LOW.//
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
/REISSUED/041230Z-041800ZJUN2011//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 17.0N 72.5E,
APPROXIMATELY 120 NM SOUTH OF MUMBAI, INDIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN IMPROVING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC) WITH INCREASED DEEP CONVECTION. A 040431Z ASCAT PASS DEPICTS
STRONG 20 TO 25 KNOT WESTERLIES ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE
LLCC AND WEAKER 10 TO 15 KNOT WINDS ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY.
UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES MARGINAL DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND LOW
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT (29 TO 30 DEGREES CELSIUS). MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO
LOW.//
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