WPAC: SARIKA - Tropical Depression

[supercane]

Last JTWC advisory:
WTPN31 PGTW 110300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (SARIKA) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
110000Z --- NEAR 23.6N 117.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
REPEAT POSIT: 23.6N 117.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 26.1N 118.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 28.9N 119.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
110300Z POSITION NEAR 24.2N 117.4E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 05W (SARIKA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM
EAST-NORTHEAST OF HONG KONG, CHINA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEAST AT
15 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS MAKING LANDFALL
APPROXIMATELY 20 NM NORTHEAST OF SHANTOU, CHINA. CONVECTION SURGED
MILDLY DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS DUE TO THE LIFT PROVIDED BY THE ON-
SHORE MOVEMENT. TD 05W WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN AND BECOME ABSORBED INTO
THE THE MEI-YU BOUNDARY OVER SOUTHEASTERN CHINA. AS TD 05W COMPLETES
EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION NEAR SHANGHAI, IT WILL RETURN TO SEA AS AN
UNSTABLE WAVE ALONG THE SEASONAL FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THIS IS THE FINAL
WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER
(NAVMARFCSTCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF
REGENERATION.
//
NNNN

WTPQ20 RJTD 110300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1103 SARIKA (1103)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 110300UTC 24.5N 117.1E GOOD
MOVE N 14KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 70NM
FORECAST
24HF 120300UTC 27.7N 119.5E 85NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Expect downgrade to TD on next JMA advisory, as CMA has already done:
WTPQ20 BABJ 110300
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
TD SARIKA 1103 (1103) INITIAL TIME 110300 UTC
00HR 24.0N 117.0E 998HPA 15M/S
P12HR NNE 16KM/H=

[Chacor]

Dead at 0600Z:

WTPQ20 RJTD 110600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TD DOWNGRADED FROM TS 1103 SARIKA (1103)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 110600UTC 25N 117E
MOVE N 15KT
PRES 1002HPA =

With this, we now have had 3.0 tropical storms this season. We are currently 0.3 named storms behind yearly average (about average, in other words).