EPAC: BEATRIZ - Remnants

[cycloneye]

Product: Air Force Tropical RECCO Message (URNT11 KNHC)
Transmitted: 20th day of the month at 16:49Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 302)
Storm Number: 02
Storm Name: Beatriz (flight in the Northeast Pacific basin)
Mission Number: 1
Observation Number: 06

Observation Time: Monday, 16:45Z
Radar Capability: Yes
Aircraft Altitude: Below 10,000 meters
Coordinates: 17.4N 99.3W
Location: 54 miles (87 km) to the NE (46°) from Acapulco, Guerrero, México.
Turbulence: None
Conditions Along Flight Route: In the clear
Pressure Altitude: 7,320 meters
Flight Level Wind: From 180° at 16 knots (From the S at ~ 18.4 mph)
- The above is a spot wind.
- Winds were obtained using doppler radar or inertial systems.
Flight Level Temperature: -15°C
Flight Level Dew Point: -17°C
Weather (within 30 nautical miles): Overcast / Undercast
400 mb Surface Altitude: 7,600 geopotential meters

[CrazyC83]

Descending. Now in proper header.

URPN15 KNHC 201711
AF302 0102E BEATRIZ HDOB 23 20110620
170100 1630N 10007W 3926 07724 0410 -146 -194 212025 026 /// /// 03
170130 1628N 10009W 3927 07721 0408 -149 -197 208021 022 /// /// 03
170200 1627N 10011W 3929 07719 0409 -144 -195 204030 036 /// /// 03
170230 1626N 10013W 3917 07739 0408 -138 -192 205024 027 /// /// 03
170300 1624N 10015W 3939 07702 0410 -139 -185 219025 028 /// /// 03
170330 1623N 10017W 3925 07725 0408 -145 -182 207020 021 /// /// 03
170400 1621N 10019W 3925 07728 0409 -147 -184 201020 021 /// /// 03
170430 1620N 10021W 3926 07724 0409 -150 -186 200021 022 /// /// 03
170500 1618N 10023W 3926 07724 0408 -150 -187 200023 023 /// /// 03
170530 1617N 10025W 3927 07719 0407 -150 -188 204023 023 /// /// 03
170600 1616N 10027W 3925 07724 0408 -150 -186 203023 024 /// /// 03
170630 1614N 10029W 3926 07722 0408 -148 -186 199025 026 /// /// 03
170700 1613N 10031W 3926 07725 0410 -140 -187 188024 027 /// /// 03
170730 1611N 10034W 4040 07524 0401 -131 -186 190019 021 /// /// 03
170800 1610N 10036W 4182 07242 0378 -116 -179 181019 020 /// /// 03
170830 1608N 10038W 4337 06963 0359 -101 -172 194027 029 /// /// 03
170900 1607N 10040W 4501 06687 0342 -088 -168 189028 030 /// /// 03
170930 1606N 10042W 4666 06406 0323 -074 -163 186023 026 031 004 03
171000 1604N 10043W 4821 06150 0305 -058 -159 189017 022 034 005 00
171030 1603N 10045W 4977 05901 0289 -044 -150 186031 033 031 004 00
$$
;

[CrazyC83]

URPN15 KNHC 201731
AF302 0102E BEATRIZ HDOB 25 20110620
172100 1541N 10116W 8426 01548 0079 +164 +051 219025 026 035 002 00
172130 1540N 10117W 8430 01543 0078 +160 +055 219026 026 035 000 00
172200 1539N 10119W 8429 01543 0078 +162 +057 218025 025 035 000 00
172230 1538N 10120W 8429 01546 0077 +165 +060 213024 024 034 000 00
172300 1537N 10121W 8432 01542 0077 +163 +062 210025 025 033 000 00
172330 1536N 10122W 8426 01546 0073 +165 +064 218027 027 031 001 00
172400 1535N 10124W 8430 01544 0074 +167 +065 222028 029 029 000 03
172430 1534N 10124W 8430 01543 0074 +170 +068 226029 029 030 000 00
172500 1533N 10125W 8429 01544 0074 +165 +071 225028 028 029 003 03
172530 1531N 10125W 8436 01537 0073 +166 +074 226025 027 031 002 03
172600 1531N 10127W 8425 01547 0077 +161 +077 220024 026 036 002 00
172630 1530N 10128W 8430 01541 0074 +163 +079 219025 026 034 001 00
172700 1530N 10130W 8430 01542 0073 +164 +080 215026 027 034 002 00
172730 1530N 10131W 8434 01538 0079 +156 +080 229031 032 038 005 00
172800 1529N 10132W 8427 01543 0078 +154 +079 227032 032 038 008 00
172830 1528N 10134W 8428 01541 0082 +148 +076 227031 031 036 008 00
172900 1527N 10135W 8429 01542 0073 +163 +073 225030 030 032 000 00
172930 1526N 10136W 8431 01539 0073 +165 +071 227030 031 031 000 00
173000 1525N 10137W 8428 01541 0070 +168 +072 228030 031 031 001 00
173030 1525N 10138W 8430 01541 0070 +166 +075 227030 030 032 000 03
$$
;

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BEATRIZ INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022011
1100 AM PDT MON JUN 20 2011

...HURRICANE HUNTERS APPROACHING THE CENTER OF BEATRIZ...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 103.4W
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM SW OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO
ABOUT 175 MI...285 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM ZIHUATANEJO NORTHWESTWARD TO LA FORTUNA

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM NORTH OF LA FORTUNA NORTHWARD TO CABO
CORRIENTES

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FROM TECPAN DE GALEANA WESTWARD TO EAST OF ZIHUATANEJO
* FROM NORTH OF LA FORTUNA TO CABO CORRIENTES

PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BEATRIZ WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.4 WEST. BEATRIZ IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS WITH SOME
DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
BEATRIZ IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE COAST WITHIN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA TONIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND BEATRIZ IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY.
AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY
INVESTIGATING BEATRIZ AND WILL PROVIDE INFORMATION ON THE STRENGTH
OF THE STORM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST WITHIN
THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE COAST WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA
LATER TODAY...MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.

RAINFALL...BEATRIZ IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS
OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ALONG THE COASTS OF THE STATES OF GUERRERO...
JALISCO...COLIMA...AND MICHOACAN IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...WITH
POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES OVER MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUD SLIDES.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING
IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. NEAR
THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE
WAVES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN

[CrazyC83]

URPN15 KNHC 201741
AF302 0102E BEATRIZ HDOB 26 20110620
173100 1524N 10139W 8430 01541 0070 +168 +078 227030 031 031 001 00
173130 1523N 10141W 8428 01543 0067 +172 +080 227031 032 033 000 00
173200 1522N 10142W 8429 01541 0068 +170 +083 228031 032 032 001 00
173230 1521N 10143W 8433 01538 0070 +168 +085 228031 032 033 001 00
173300 1520N 10144W 8429 01542 0070 +168 +087 227030 031 033 001 00
173330 1520N 10145W 8428 01543 0071 +168 +089 228031 032 034 001 00
173400 1519N 10146W 8429 01541 0070 +167 +090 224032 032 035 000 00
173430 1518N 10148W 8430 01542 0072 +164 +091 228032 033 034 000 00
173500 1517N 10149W 8438 01531 0077 +156 +092 228030 032 /// /// 03
173530 1518N 10150W 8438 01533 0079 +154 +092 229030 030 033 000 03
173600 1519N 10152W 8432 01539 0073 +163 +090 227032 032 032 001 03
173630 1519N 10153W 8426 01544 0071 +163 +089 227032 032 032 000 03
173700 1520N 10154W 8432 01538 0072 +165 +089 224031 032 031 000 00
173730 1521N 10155W 8429 01541 0070 +165 +089 226031 033 031 000 00
173800 1523N 10157W 8430 01541 0074 +165 +089 228035 036 030 000 00
173830 1524N 10158W 8428 01542 0074 +162 +089 228033 034 029 000 00
173900 1525N 10159W 8430 01541 0072 +164 +089 225033 034 029 001 00
173930 1526N 10200W 8429 01542 0073 +165 +087 226025 028 029 001 00
174000 1527N 10201W 8433 01539 0072 +167 +086 236027 029 028 001 00
174030 1528N 10203W 8428 01544 0071 +165 +085 233028 028 028 001 00
$$
;

[supercane]

[CrazyC83]

000
URPN15 KNHC 201751
AF302 0102E BEATRIZ HDOB 27 20110620
174100 1530N 10204W 8430 01542 0073 +165 +084 237030 031 030 001 00
174130 1531N 10205W 8429 01542 0072 +163 +084 238033 033 031 000 00
174200 1532N 10206W 8432 01538 0071 +165 +084 235035 035 031 000 00
174230 1533N 10207W 8428 01541 0068 +164 +084 236035 035 030 001 00
174300 1534N 10208W 8432 01536 0066 +170 +084 236035 036 030 000 00
174330 1535N 10209W 8429 01538 0065 +168 +085 236037 037 030 000 00
174400 1536N 10211W 8428 01538 0064 +165 +086 236038 038 030 001 00
174430 1537N 10212W 8433 01532 0065 +162 +086 234038 039 032 002 00
174500 1539N 10213W 8425 01538 0068 +157 +086 235037 038 030 002 00
174530 1540N 10214W 8432 01529 0065 +159 +084 240037 038 034 004 00
174600 1541N 10215W 8424 01537 0070 +148 +082 236034 036 040 011 00
174630 1542N 10216W 8434 01532 0075 +142 +080 240036 039 040 011 00
174700 1543N 10217W 8425 01532 0067 +150 +077 238039 039 035 002 00
174730 1544N 10219W 8429 01529 0063 +156 +076 237040 040 035 001 00
174800 1545N 10220W 8431 01526 0063 +155 +075 239040 041 035 001 00
174830 1546N 10221W 8432 01526 0060 +159 +076 244039 039 036 000 00
174900 1547N 10222W 8430 01525 0058 +161 +077 243039 040 034 001 00
174930 1549N 10223W 8429 01525 0056 +162 +079 243041 043 033 001 00
175000 1550N 10224W 8429 01526 0053 +164 +081 247043 044 035 000 00
175030 1551N 10225W 8429 01524 0053 +160 +084 242043 044 036 001 03
$$
;

[CrazyC83]

000
URPN15 KNHC 201801
AF302 0102E BEATRIZ HDOB 28 20110620
175100 1552N 10226W 8429 01522 0051 +164 +086 243044 045 036 001 00
175130 1553N 10227W 8438 01512 0050 +160 +087 241046 047 037 000 03
175200 1554N 10228W 8428 01521 0048 +161 +089 242046 047 037 000 00
175230 1556N 10229W 8428 01518 0044 +163 +091 241047 048 038 000 00
175300 1557N 10230W 8429 01514 0040 +166 +092 240046 047 040 000 03
175330 1559N 10231W 8432 01509 0037 +166 +093 239045 046 039 000 03
175400 1600N 10231W 8429 01513 0034 +170 +094 237047 047 042 001 00
175430 1601N 10232W 8429 01509 0032 +170 +096 235046 046 044 000 03
175500 1603N 10233W 8431 01505 0027 +172 +097 236045 045 044 000 03
175530 1604N 10234W 8428 01505 0017 +185 +098 238044 046 046 001 00
175600 1606N 10235W 8430 01501 0013 +185 +101 240045 046 051 001 03
175630 1607N 10236W 8434 01496 0012 +183 +103 245049 050 051 003 03
175700 1608N 10236W 8429 01497 0009 +185 +105 246051 052 051 000 03
175730 1610N 10237W 8430 01493 0006 +185 +108 246050 052 051 000 03
175800 1611N 10238W 8430 01491 0005 +178 +109 247051 053 049 001 03
175830 1613N 10239W 8425 01493 0002 +178 +110 248050 052 052 001 03
175900 1614N 10240W 8434 01479 9990 +193 +110 245045 047 055 000 03
175930 1615N 10240W 8429 01482 9986 +192 +111 245045 046 054 000 03
180000 1617N 10241W 8428 01480 9985 +187 +112 239046 047 055 001 03
180030 1618N 10242W 8432 01473 9988 +172 +112 238053 054 057 001 03
$$
;

[CrazyC83]

000
URPN15 KNHC 201811
AF302 0102E BEATRIZ HDOB 29 20110620
180100 1620N 10242W 8430 01470 9986 +168 +111 246058 061 058 004 00
180130 1621N 10243W 8422 01471 9979 +164 +108 249064 066 058 001 00
180200 1623N 10244W 8434 01451 9970 +167 +105 245063 066 062 007 00
180230 1624N 10244W 8432 01442 9965 +159 +102 249067 069 066 022 00
180300 1626N 10245W 8430 01441 9960 +152 +099 247069 074 070 025 00
180330 1628N 10245W 8426 01435 9950 +153 +096 248062 071 065 025 00
180400 1629N 10246W 8432 01424 9939 +158 +095 247035 045 057 020 03
180430 1631N 10246W 8422 01426 9922 +180 +093 236032 035 037 003 00
180500 1632N 10247W 8434 01415 9918 +190 +094 235029 031 032 003 03
180530 1633N 10248W 8427 01417 9912 +192 +098 226025 027 029 001 03
180600 1635N 10249W 8435 01407 9909 +194 +102 223018 022 025 000 00
180630 1636N 10251W 8430 01411 9907 +195 +106 203011 013 024 000 00
180700 1637N 10252W 8424 01418 9898 +213 +109 184008 010 024 001 03
180730 1638N 10254W 8430 01409 9895 +216 +113 112006 009 029 002 03
180800 1638N 10255W 8430 01412 9902 +205 +119 045013 018 038 002 00
180830 1639N 10257W 8425 01420 9911 +193 +124 015024 027 043 000 03
180900 1640N 10258W 8429 01418 9919 +182 +127 019032 033 049 001 03
180930 1641N 10259W 8426 01426 9924 +182 +128 027036 039 053 002 00
181000 1642N 10300W 8432 01423 9929 +184 +128 030047 049 057 003 00
181030 1643N 10301W 8432 01432 9936 +183 +128 031056 058 058 001 00
$$
;

74 kt FL, 70 kt SFMR supports Hurricane Beatriz. Pressure 990mb.

Someone else feel free to take over - obs are at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/URPN15-USAF.shtml?

[CrazyC83]

Latest obs suggest Hurricane Beatriz. I would go with 65 kt as a blend of the SFMR (70 kt) and FL (59 kt adjusted).

[Extratropical94]

They are currently flying from the SE towards the NW, the SE side had the highest winds so far.

000
URPN15 KNHC 201821
AF302 0102E BEATRIZ HDOB 30 20110620
181100 1644N 10303W 8429 01440 9946 +180 +127 034059 060 055 003 00
181130 1645N 10304W 8430 01447 9954 +180 +126 035061 063 054 002 00
181200 1646N 10305W 8425 01458 9962 +177 +125 034059 060 053 001 00
181230 1647N 10306W 8433 01458 9972 +173 +124 034058 060 052 003 00
181300 1648N 10307W 8428 01471 9982 +172 +122 035056 057 051 005 00
181330 1649N 10308W 8429 01474 9990 +170 +121 037053 054 051 004 00
181400 1651N 10309W 8426 01482 9995 +168 +119 034051 052 049 005 00
181430 1652N 10310W 8432 01480 0001 +169 +117 035050 051 049 006 00
181500 1653N 10311W 8428 01491 0008 +168 +115 033049 051 048 006 00
181530 1654N 10312W 8427 01493 0019 +151 +113 030048 049 048 010 00
181600 1655N 10314W 8441 01485 0031 +142 +109 035048 049 047 013 00
181630 1656N 10315W 8425 01499 0032 +143 +104 038045 046 045 013 00
181700 1657N 10316W 8430 01499 0027 +159 +098 041046 046 044 006 00
181730 1658N 10317W 8429 01502 0030 +160 +094 040045 047 044 006 00
181800 1659N 10318W 8430 01504 0030 +163 +091 043046 048 044 006 00
181830 1701N 10319W 8429 01507 0032 +164 +089 044047 048 045 006 00
181900 1702N 10320W 8428 01512 0034 +168 +088 045046 047 044 005 00
181930 1703N 10322W 8432 01510 0037 +169 +089 043043 043 045 004 00
182000 1704N 10323W 8429 01514 0038 +169 +091 044044 045 044 005 00
182030 1705N 10324W 8430 01515 0042 +164 +092 045046 047 043 003 00
$$
;

Borderline-hurricane-force winds in NW quadrant

[supercane]

[supercane]

000
URPN12 KNHC 201826
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE EP022011
A. 20/18:07:20Z
B. 16 deg 37 min N
102 deg 53 min W
C. 850 mb 1342 m
D. 70 kt
E. 144 deg 14 nm
F. 245 deg 74 kt
G. 143 deg 13 nm
H. 991 mb
I. 17 C / 1518 m
J. 22 C / 1520 m
K. 11 C / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345 / 8
O. 0.02 / 2.5 nm
P. AF302 0102E BEATRIZ OB 09
MAX FL WIND 74 KT SE QUAD 18:03:20Z
CURVED BAND S THRU NW
;

[Extratropical94]

Observation 31, still flying towards the NW

000
URPN15 KNHC 201831
AF302 0102E BEATRIZ HDOB 31 20110620
182100 1706N 10325W 8428 01519 0044 +163 +094 047043 045 043 004 00
182130 1707N 10326W 8430 01516 0045 +164 +095 049042 042 043 006 00
182200 1709N 10328W 8432 01518 0048 +163 +095 046043 044 044 006 00
182230 1710N 10329W 8429 01521 0050 +161 +095 044043 044 043 006 00
182300 1711N 10330W 8428 01524 0054 +158 +096 043043 043 045 011 00
182330 1712N 10331W 8426 01527 0063 +144 +095 039040 041 048 016 00
182400 1713N 10332W 8432 01521 0069 +133 +094 041043 044 053 021 00
182430 1714N 10333W 8421 01532 0069 +135 +091 043042 043 042 013 00
182500 1715N 10335W 8430 01525 0059 +154 +088 042041 042 039 008 00
182530 1717N 10336W 8428 01529 0055 +165 +086 044042 043 037 003 00
182600 1718N 10337W 8430 01527 0064 +154 +086 042039 040 035 003 00
182630 1719N 10338W 8429 01527 0062 +154 +088 050034 038 047 011 00
182700 1720N 10339W 8429 01524 0068 +141 +090 042033 037 044 014 00
182730 1721N 10341W 8449 01502 0054 +155 +092 046038 043 043 007 00
182800 1722N 10342W 8413 01541 0055 +159 +093 039032 041 044 007 00
182830 1724N 10343W 8430 01523 0052 +163 +096 044033 038 046 007 00
182900 1725N 10344W 8435 01523 0061 +153 +097 041039 042 046 009 00
182930 1726N 10345W 8424 01531 0065 +146 +098 042040 040 043 008 00
183000 1727N 10346W 8436 01521 0066 +147 +097 046038 039 040 005 00
183030 1728N 10348W 8427 01530 0054 +167 +096 047037 039 040 004 00
$$
;

[supercane]

First VDM out.
000
URPN12 KNHC 201826
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE EP022011
A. 20/18:07:20Z
B. 16 deg 37 min N
102 deg 53 min W
C. 850 mb 1342 m
D. 70 kt
E. 144 deg 14 nm
F. 245 deg 74 kt
G. 143 deg 13 nm
H. 991 mb
I. 17 C / 1518 m
J. 22 C / 1520 m
K. 11 C / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345 / 8
O. 0.02 / 2.5 nm
P. AF302 0102E BEATRIZ OB 09
MAX FL WIND 74 KT SE QUAD 18:03:20Z
CURVED BAND S THRU NW
;

[Extratropical94]

1800Z best track
EP, 02, 2011062018, , BEST, 0, 166N, 1029W, 60, 989, TS, 34, NEQ, 50, 50, 40, 40, 1006, 200, 15, 0, 0,
EP, 02, 2011062018, , BEST, 0, 166N, 1029W, 60, 989, TS, 50, NEQ, 25, 25, 20, 20, 1006, 200, 15, 0, 0,

[cycloneye]

Code: Select all

KMIA 201835
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1835 UTC MON JUN 20 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE BEATRIZ (EP022011) 20110620 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        110620  1800   110621  0600   110621  1800   110622  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.6N 102.9W   17.8N 103.4W   18.6N 103.8W   19.3N 104.3W
BAMD    16.6N 102.9W   17.7N 103.9W   18.7N 104.9W   19.6N 106.0W
BAMM    16.6N 102.9W   17.7N 103.9W   18.4N 104.9W   19.0N 105.8W
LBAR    16.6N 102.9W   17.9N 103.7W   19.4N 104.8W   20.6N 105.9W
SHIP        60KTS          71KTS          77KTS          75KTS
DSHP        60KTS          71KTS          77KTS          75KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        110622  1800   110623  1800   110624  1800   110625  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    20.2N 104.9W   21.2N 107.2W   21.7N 110.9W   21.9N 115.0W
BAMD    20.2N 107.0W   21.2N 109.9W   22.1N 113.6W   22.9N 117.0W
BAMM    19.4N 106.9W   19.9N 110.0W   20.3N 114.2W   20.2N 118.1W
LBAR    21.8N 106.6W   24.8N 106.3W   27.5N 104.0W   28.4N 102.2W
SHIP        72KTS          56KTS          35KTS          18KTS
DSHP        72KTS          56KTS          35KTS          18KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  16.6N LONCUR = 102.9W DIRCUR = 330DEG SPDCUR =   8KT
LATM12 =  15.4N LONM12 = 102.3W DIRM12 = 321DEG SPDM12 =   9KT
LATM24 =  14.1N LONM24 = 100.7W
WNDCUR =   60KT RMAXWD =   15NM WNDM12 =   50KT
CENPRS =  989MB OUTPRS = 1006MB OUTRAD =  200NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   70NM RD34SE =   70NM RD34SW =   50NM RD34NW =  50NM
 


[Extratropical94]

Observation 32

000
URPN15 KNHC 201841
AF302 0102E BEATRIZ HDOB 32 20110620
183100 1729N 10349W 8430 01527 0057 +166 +096 045034 035 039 002 00
183130 1731N 10350W 8427 01532 0061 +159 +098 045032 033 038 000 00
183200 1732N 10351W 8434 01525 0062 +157 +099 046033 034 038 001 00
183230 1733N 10352W 8440 01520 0061 +159 +101 039029 032 038 000 00
183300 1734N 10354W 8419 01545 0063 +158 +102 039025 028 038 001 00
183330 1735N 10355W 8421 01537 0065 +153 +103 044027 029 038 003 00
183400 1736N 10356W 8439 01521 0062 +160 +104 047026 028 037 002 00
183430 1737N 10357W 8427 01534 0062 +161 +104 048027 028 035 001 00
183500 1739N 10358W 8435 01527 0064 +163 +106 053027 027 034 000 00
183530 1740N 10400W 8432 01532 0059 +170 +108 056027 028 033 002 00
183600 1741N 10401W 8428 01534 0055 +175 +111 059026 027 033 000 00
183630 1742N 10402W 8429 01532 0055 +171 +114 062026 027 032 000 00
183700 1744N 10403W 8429 01531 0054 +172 +116 060024 025 033 000 00
183730 1745N 10405W 8432 01529 0056 +170 +118 059023 024 032 000 00
183800 1746N 10406W 8431 01532 0057 +169 +119 057021 022 032 000 00
183830 1747N 10407W 8430 01532 0059 +165 +120 055019 020 031 000 00
183900 1748N 10408W 8429 01535 0061 +162 +120 054019 019 031 000 00
183930 1749N 10410W 8429 01534 0064 +158 +120 052015 016 031 000 00
184000 1751N 10411W 8429 01534 0064 +160 +119 053013 015 031 000 00
184030 1752N 10412W 8430 01532 0062 +161 +118 054010 011 031 001 00
$$
;

[supercane]

[HURAKAN]

It should be a hurricane at 2 pm PT