WPAC: MEARI [Falcon] - Remnants

#261 Postby **oaba09** » Fri Jun 24, 2011 4:58 pm

Tried going to work but our vehicle almost stalled due to the flood. The engine, oil, and battery warning lights started flashing and the steering wheel got heavy to I decided to return to home.

#262 Postby **StormingB81** » Fri Jun 24, 2011 5:08 pm

Stormed turned...its calm here wasnt bad at all very little rain

#263 Postby **supercane** » Fri Jun 24, 2011 5:36 pm

WTPN32 PGTW 242100
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 07W (MEARI) WARNING NR 013
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
241800Z --- NEAR 25.4N 124.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 18 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.4N 124.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 28.6N 123.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
225 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 32.2N 123.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 35.8N 123.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 38.4N 123.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 43.3N 127.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
242100Z POSITION NEAR 26.2N 124.0E.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (MEARI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 210 NM
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AIR BASE, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. RECENT ANIMATED
INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS A VERY LARGE, POORLY ORGANIZED CIRCULATION
WITH CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC) ASSOCIATED WITH LARGE SCALE CONVERGENT INFLOW. ALSO EVIDENT
IN ANIMATION IS A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL CIRCULATION TO THE NORTHWEST
OF THE LLCC WITH DEEP CONVECTION AND BANDING. THIS CIRCULATION IS
ORBITING THE LLCC CYCLONICALLY AND DOES NOT HAVE A SURFACE
REFLECTION. THE POSITION OF 07W IS CONFIRMED THROUGH THE PGTW FIX,
RADAR FIXES FROM JAPAN, A 241539Z TRMM IMAGE AND A 240929Z WINDSAT
PASS. INTENSITY IS BASED ON THE WINDSAT PASS SHOWING 55KTS;
INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM PGTW AND RJTD OF 45KTS ARE UNREPRESENTATIVE
OF ACTUAL INTENSITY DUE TO THE LARGE SIZE OF THE SYSTEM. UPPER LEVEL
ANALYSIS PUTS THE SYSTEM BETWEEN AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO THE WEST
AND AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TO THE EAST. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) IS
INCREASING IN THE GRADIENT BETWEEN THESE TWO UPPER LEVEL FEATURES,
BUT DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE AFFECTING THE SYSTEM AT THIS TIME. 07W IS
CURRENTLY TRACKING ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-PACIFIC
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) ANCHORED TO THE EAST. A STRONG GRADIENT
BETWEEN THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO THE WEST AND THE STR TO THE EAST
IS HELPING TO ACCELERATE 07W AND DEFLECT THE TRACK FURTHER WEST THAN
PREVIOUSLY FORECASTED. AS THE SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE YELLOW SEA AFTER
TAU 24 IT WILL PASS ACROSS UNFAVORABLE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND
VWS AND START TO WEAKEN. NEAR TAU 36 THE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH A
BLOCKING HIGH OVER MANCHURIA AND START TO SLOW IN TRACK SPEED. AS
THE BLOCKING HIGH LIFTS OUT OF THE AREA, THE SYSTEM WILL FOLLOW THE
FLOW INTO LAND NEAR THE CHINA AND NORTH KOREA BORDER. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
250300Z, 250900Z, 251500Z AND 252100Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION
06W (HAIMA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THAT
SYSTEM.
//
NNNN

WTPQ21 RJTD 242100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1105 MEARI (1105)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 242100UTC 27.1N 123.8E FAIR
MOVE N 16KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 180NM EAST 120NM WEST
30KT 400NM SOUTHEAST 210NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 252100UTC 33.9N 124.1E 85NM 70%
MOVE N 16KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
45HF 261800UTC 37.7N 124.2E 180NM 70%
MOVE N 13KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
69HF 271800UTC 43.9N 127.0E 250NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

TXPQ25 KNES 242222
TCSWNP
A. 07W (MEARI)
B. 24/2032Z
C. 25.7N
D. 123.5E
E. THREE/MTSAT
F. T3.5/3.5/D0.5/24HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS...SYSTEM CENTER TO RIGHT OF MAIN CONVECTION AND DT=3.5 BASED
ON 6/10 BANDING. MET=3.0 AND PAT=3.5. FT IS BASED ON PT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...SWANSON

#264 Postby **oaba09** » Fri Jun 24, 2011 6:17 pm

PAGASA expecting for the weather to improve gradually today....

#265 Postby **StormingB81** » Fri Jun 24, 2011 6:26 pm

Had a couple bands come through but besides teh one last night where we had sustained winds over 40 we have havent really got anything

#266 Postby **oaba09** » Fri Jun 24, 2011 6:46 pm

Flooding reported in multiple areas of metro manila....

#267 Postby **StormingB81** » Fri Jun 24, 2011 6:48 pm

Pouring here now for the last 15 minutes..cable went out....movie time!

#268 Postby **RobWESTPACWX** » Fri Jun 24, 2011 7:02 pm

Gust up to 40kts in Kadena currently, a little breezy but not as bad as it could have been.

RODN 242330Z 16024G40KT 4800/-RA BR BKN012 OVC024 26/26 A2959 RMK A02A PK WND 17040/2320 VIS 1200 RWY23 RAB2307 OVCVBKN SLP013

#269 Postby **StormingB81** » Fri Jun 24, 2011 7:06 pm

nope last night when it moved nw I knew it was going to be nothing even if for some off readon it turned to hit us straight on I have been in thunderstorms worse then this

#270 Postby **RobWESTPACWX** » Fri Jun 24, 2011 7:30 pm

Is there anyone in Taiwan here? Curios how it effected that region?

#271 Postby **supercane** » Fri Jun 24, 2011 8:10 pm

WTPQ21 RJTD 250000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1105 MEARI (1105)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 250000UTC 27.2N 123.5E FAIR
MOVE NNW 10KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 180NM EAST 120NM WEST
30KT 400NM SOUTHEAST 210NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 260000UTC 34.1N 124.1E 85NM 70%
MOVE N 18KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
48HF 270000UTC 38.7N 124.4E 180NM 70%
MOVE N 12KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
72HF 280000UTC 43.3N 126.6E 250NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

WTPQ20 BABJ 250000 CCA
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
STS MEARI 1105 (1105) INITIAL TIME 250000 UTC
00HR 26.8N 123.1E 970HPA 30M/S
30KTS 300KM
50KTS 80KM
P12HR NNW 30KM/H
P+24HR 34.0N 123.2E 955HPA 40M/S
P+48HR 39.6N 122.9E 985HPA 23M/S
P+72HR 45.0N 130.7E 1004HPA 10M/S=

TPPN11 PGTW 250024
A. TROPICAL STORM 07W (MEARI)
B. 24/2332Z
C. 26.7N
D. 123.6E
E. FIVE/MTSAT
F. T3.0/3.0/D1.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/06HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 40A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CONVECTIVE WRAP OF .65 YIELDS A
3.0 DT. MET AND PT AGREE.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
KIENZLE

#272 Postby **supercane** » Fri Jun 24, 2011 8:44 pm

WTPN32 PGTW 250300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 07W (MEARI) WARNING NR 014
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
250000Z --- NEAR 27.4N 123.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 355 DEGREES AT 19 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 27.4N 123.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 31.0N 123.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
225 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 34.4N 123.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 37.5N 123.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 40.0N 124.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 44.8N 130.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
250300Z POSITION NEAR 28.3N 123.7E.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (MEARI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 225 NM
WEST-NORTHWEST OF KADENA AIR BASE, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT
19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
250000Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z, 251500Z, 252100Z AND
260300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W (HAIMA) WARNINGS (WTPN31
PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THAT SYSTEM.
//
NNNN

Amoygal · #273 Postby **Amoygal** » Fri Jun 24, 2011 9:27 pm

It's been raining hard off and on here in Taipei since last night, and pouring pretty steadily for the last few hours. Not too much wind here in the city right now, but friends farther north and on the coast have reported gusting winds. Hoping that precautions have been taken in the mountainous areas around us, as it looks like they are getting drenched. Some areas have recorded more than 200 mm just since midnight today, with more to come.

#274 Postby **oaba09** » Sat Jun 25, 2011 2:00 am

A couple of articles showing the aftermath of MAERI in the Philippines:

Rain Prompts Philippine Evacuations; Storms Damage Homes, Cars

Over 300,000 affected by storm falcon

phwxenthusiast · #275 Postby **phwxenthusiast** » Sat Jun 25, 2011 3:15 am

WPAC: MEARI [Falcon] - Remnants

Re: WPAC: MEARI [Falcon] - Severe Tropical Storm

Re: WPAC: MEARI [Falcon] - Severe Tropical Storm

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