ATL: EMILY - Remnants

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#8601 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Aug 06, 2011 6:31 pm

...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATES THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION
EMILY HAS STRENGTHENED SLIGHTLY...

SUMMARY OF 0720 EDT...2320 UTC...INFORMATION
--------------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.1N 78.2W
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM NE OF FREEPORT GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.85 INCHES

$$
FORECASTER STEWART/FRANKLIN
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Recon

#8602 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Aug 06, 2011 6:32 pm

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#8603 Postby KWT » Sat Aug 06, 2011 6:40 pm

Yeah think Emily is probably heading into a weakening phase tonight again...
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#8604 Postby artist » Sat Aug 06, 2011 6:41 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 062336
AF307 1405A INVEST HDOB 42 20110806
232630 2700N 07729W 9952 00154 0127 +245 +233 200015 016 003 003 03
232700 2700N 07731W 9952 00153 0127 +242 +230 194014 015 001 001 03
232730 2700N 07733W 9952 00152 0127 +241 +229 192013 014 /// /// 03
232800 2700N 07735W 9955 00149 0126 +243 +231 186012 013 /// /// 03
232830 2700N 07738W 9953 00151 0126 +245 +234 185011 012 000 003 03
232900 2700N 07740W 9955 00149 0126 +244 +237 183012 012 000 003 03
232930 2700N 07742W 9952 00150 0125 +246 +240 189010 011 000 000 03
233000 2700N 07744W 9956 00147 0125 +250 +239 201007 008 /// /// 03
233030 2700N 07746W 9953 00151 0125 +248 +237 214007 008 /// /// 03
233100 2700N 07748W 9955 00149 0125 +248 +232 209009 009 002 001 03
233130 2700N 07750W 9952 00152 0125 +245 +233 213010 011 000 001 03
233200 2700N 07752W 9953 00151 0126 +245 +235 204012 013 000 004 03
233230 2700N 07754W 9953 00151 0125 +244 +234 200013 014 003 003 03
233300 2700N 07756W 9952 00152 0125 +245 +235 196013 014 002 002 03
233330 2700N 07758W 9957 00146 0125 +245 +235 199011 012 001 001 03
233400 2700N 07800W 9953 00151 0125 +245 +234 204011 012 001 001 03
233430 2700N 07802W 9956 00147 0124 +246 +238 207012 013 006 000 03
233500 2700N 07804W 9962 00137 0119 +250 +238 211009 010 /// /// 03
233530 2700N 07806W 9960 00133 0112 +251 +240 215012 012 000 002 03
233600 2701N 07808W 9929 00158 0111 +249 +242 212011 012 /// /// 03
$$
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#8605 Postby maxintensity » Sat Aug 06, 2011 6:41 pm

It's not dead, Jim!
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#8606 Postby artist » Sat Aug 06, 2011 6:42 pm

can anyone finish the obs for me on recon? Family is screaming for me to finish fixing dinner! lol
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Recon

#8607 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Aug 06, 2011 6:44 pm

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#8608 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Aug 06, 2011 6:48 pm

712
URNT15 KNHC 062346
AF307 1405A INVEST HDOB 43 20110806
233630 2701N 07809W 9912 00173 0111 +238 +237 253009 010 /// /// 03
233700 2702N 07811W 9918 00167 0109 +247 +231 267008 009 /// /// 03
233730 2703N 07812W 9910 00175 0109 +247 +238 288006 007 /// /// 03
233800 2703N 07813W 9913 00171 0108 +253 +238 338005 007 /// /// 03
233830 2704N 07815W 9916 00168 0107 +256 +235 360009 010 /// /// 03
233900 2705N 07816W 9914 00170 0108 +254 +239 356008 010 /// /// 03
233930 2706N 07817W 9794 00279 0109 +250 +234 349009 010 /// /// 03
234000 2706N 07819W 9765 00307 0111 +249 +233 358011 011 /// /// 03
234030 2706N 07821W 9777 00297 0111 +250 +237 347013 013 /// /// 03
234100 2706N 07822W 9767 00305 0111 +251 +240 346014 016 /// /// 03
234130 2706N 07824W 9768 00305 0111 +253 +235 345016 017 /// /// 03
234200 2705N 07826W 9659 00406 0113 +246 +230 343017 018 /// /// 03
234230 2705N 07827W 9629 00434 0114 +249 +216 341018 019 /// /// 03
234300 2705N 07829W 9630 00434 0115 +244 +228 343018 019 /// /// 03
234330 2705N 07831W 9630 00435 0116 +244 +223 345019 020 001 001 03
234400 2704N 07832W 9628 00437 0117 +243 +224 347019 019 001 002 03
234430 2704N 07834W 9631 00434 0117 +245 +214 348019 019 001 001 03
234500 2704N 07836W 9627 00438 0118 +246 +208 342020 022 002 000 03
234530 2704N 07837W 9629 00437 0119 +244 +223 344019 019 004 000 03
234600 2703N 07839W 9630 00439 0121 +236 +235 340017 018 002 002 03
$$
;
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Recon

#8609 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Aug 06, 2011 6:52 pm

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#8610 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Aug 06, 2011 6:59 pm

092
URNT15 KNHC 062356
AF307 1405A INVEST HDOB 44 20110806
234630 2703N 07841W 9630 00438 0121 +236 +233 346017 018 005 000 03
234700 2703N 07842W 9630 00437 0121 +239 +233 340019 020 005 003 03
234730 2703N 07844W 9629 00439 0120 +240 +235 343018 018 009 001 03
234800 2702N 07846W 9632 00436 0121 +241 +227 347017 018 007 002 03
234830 2702N 07847W 9631 00436 0121 +242 +213 350018 018 010 002 03
234900 2702N 07849W 9630 00439 0123 +235 +223 354017 017 018 004 00
234930 2702N 07851W 9638 00433 0126 +218 //// 360017 021 036 015 05
235000 2701N 07852W 9628 00439 //// +198 //// 002023 024 042 025 05
235030 2701N 07854W 9623 00445 //// +203 //// 360022 023 042 039 05
235100 2701N 07856W 9627 00441 //// +203 //// 011024 026 047 038 01
235130 2700N 07857W 9644 00432 //// +211 //// 009018 020 047 026 05
235200 2700N 07859W 9620 00448 0124 +223 //// 355019 020 031 005 05
235230 2700N 07901W 9468 00594 0128 +224 //// 345021 022 024 004 05
235300 2659N 07902W 9264 00792 0137 +218 +215 343022 022 /// /// 03
235330 2659N 07904W 8974 01074 0143 +205 +190 338021 022 /// /// 03
235400 2658N 07906W 8560 01478 0142 +183 +171 333021 022 /// /// 03
235430 2658N 07908W 8168 01889 0148 +164 +124 321025 025 /// /// 03
235500 2657N 07910W 8108 01956 0157 +157 +109 322026 026 /// /// 03
235530 2656N 07912W 8131 01934 0158 +162 +103 323026 026 /// /// 03
235600 2656N 07914W 8130 01939 0160 +161 +098 320027 027 /// /// 03
$$
;

plane leaving!
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#8611 Postby dolebot_Broward_NW » Sat Aug 06, 2011 7:00 pm

Had our fairly typical afternoon t-storms this evening, nothing out of the ordinary other than northerly winds. Its been calm here in Broward besides that.
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#8612 Postby stormreader » Sat Aug 06, 2011 7:23 pm

wxman57 wrote:The poorly-defined center is definitely north of Grand Bahama Island and moving northward. Convection is building westward due to northeasterly wind shear over Emily. At least Emily is producing a little rain over SE FL. I don't expect much rain impact north of Okeechobee, though.


Wxman I understand what you're saying about the northeast shear producing convection further west. I would assume that as Emily begins to be scooped north and east away from Fl that the convection further west will die. My question is, is there a chance that some of this leftover energy from Emily might get into the SE GOM near the keys and sort of be left stranded there?
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Remnants - Discussion

#8613 Postby CronkPSU » Sat Aug 06, 2011 7:26 pm

NDG wrote:

I live on the south side of 436, we have been getting rain just about every afternoon, my backyard smells like mildew. My plants are growing crazy wild.
[/quote]

while everyone else on the west side of town got rain tonight, it missed us again!!!
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#8614 Postby jinftl » Sat Aug 06, 2011 7:28 pm

Peak gust of 42.6 mph from reporting station on Great Abaco (NW Bahamas)...at 8pm was reporting sustained winds out of the wsw at 34 mph.

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http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstat ... =IABACOEL1
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Recon

#8615 Postby Blown Away » Sat Aug 06, 2011 7:34 pm

About 40 minutes ago they flew at a very low altitude right over my house in Hobe Sound, pretty sure it was them, I think?
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#8616 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 06, 2011 7:42 pm

00z Best Track

AL, 05, 2011080700, , BEST, 0, 271N, 782W, 30, 1011, TD

ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/ ... 011.invest
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#8617 Postby sponger » Sat Aug 06, 2011 7:50 pm

On a side note the weather channel had the worst tropical update in my 20 years of watching.

Back to Emily, fun waves today at Guana State Park/ 3-4 with 5 foot sets. A good day of surfing!
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#8618 Postby stormreader » Sat Aug 06, 2011 8:04 pm

sponger wrote:On a side note the weather channel had the worst tropical update in my 20 years of watching.

Back to Emily, fun waves today at Guana State Park/ 3-4 with 5 foot sets. A good day of surfing!


Are you sure??the worst in 20 years??? been a lot of bad tropical updates in that time!
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Recon

#8619 Postby Blown Away » Sat Aug 06, 2011 8:10 pm

What is the link to get the recon data and the flight path graphic that is posted?
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#8620 Postby crimi481 » Sat Aug 06, 2011 8:15 pm

Why is NHC say its going north now. Radar shows it going...
http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... b&loop=yes
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