WPAC: Tropical Depression 13w

[Chacor]

WTPQ20 RJTD 110600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 110600UTC 27.3N 137.1E FAIR
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 1006HPA
MXWD 030KT
GUST 045KT
FORECAST
24HF 120600UTC 29.0N 138.9E 120NM 70%
MOVE NE 06KT
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT =

JMA still hopeful.

[Chacor]

Still hanging around...
WTPQ20 RJTD 111200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 111200UTC 28.0N 137.7E FAIR
MOVE NE 08KT
PRES 1006HPA
MXWD 030KT
GUST 045KT
FORECAST
24HF 121200UTC 29.5N 140.1E 120NM 70%
MOVE NE 06KT
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT =

[HURAKAN]

just a bit exposed! lol

[RobWESTPACWX]

With all do respect, this storm is kind of a joke now, it is a few low clouds spinning around with all the convection all but gone. Im surprised JMA decided they wanted to strengthen it, maybe there were counting on a added effect from the Kurioshio or it sparking for a brief period of time. All I see now is a lot of wind shear ahead of, dry air wrapping around and and well now loss of all convection.. Would not be surprised if this is canexed out here real soon.

[HURAKAN]

not much left

[supercane]

JMA no longer issuing advisories on this as of 00Z:

and JTWC also issuing last advisory:

WTPN31 PGTW 120300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (THIRTEEN) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
120000Z --- NEAR 28.8N 139.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 28.8N 139.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 30.0N 140.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 31.4N 141.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
120300Z POSITION NEAR 29.1N 139.4E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 390 NM SOUTH OF
YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION HAS REMAINED FULLY EXPOSED AND TOTALLY VOID OF ANY
DEEP CONVECTION. THE SYSTEM IS STRIPPED OF VERTICAL STRUCTURE AND
IS NOW IN A WEAK STEERING PATTERN NORTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IN
COOL WATERS (BELOW 26 CELSIUS). IT IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AS A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THIS
IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING
CENTER (NAVMARFCSTCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z
IS 6 FEET.//
NNNN
Latest vis shows nothing more than a swirl of low clouds:

[phwxenthusiast]

well what do you think about this reforming again??

wind shear has really weakened in that area (~10kts) and SSTs are still around 26C south of Japan... surface is still intact and still some convection (albeit very weak) so i'm kinda giving it 20-30%.... what do you think??

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the JMA and JTWC products.

[underthwx]

Hopefully its a weak system and stays a fish.

[supercane]

While not issuing advisories, JMA still calling this a tropical depression as of 00Z:
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 37N 149E ENE 15 KT.

Not enough convection really, and latest ASCAT suggests the circulation is not closed.