ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

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Re: ATL: IRENE - Recon

#7181 Postby littlevince » Thu Aug 25, 2011 6:52 pm

AF303 leaving

000
URNT15 KNHC 252345
AF306 2109A IRENE HDOB 50 20110825
233530 2839N 07842W 6965 03081 9965 +095 +047 067053 053 047 000 03
233600 2840N 07843W 6967 03081 9968 +095 +047 067052 052 048 001 00
233630 2841N 07845W 6966 03086 9973 +095 +048 068052 053 051 001 03
233700 2843N 07846W 6969 03087 9978 +096 +047 065051 052 052 002 03
233730 2843N 07849W 6902 03167 9987 +081 +046 061052 053 053 005 03
233800 2842N 07851W 6805 03285 0002 +062 +043 061053 054 057 007 00
233830 2841N 07854W 6714 03397 0007 +055 +040 054054 057 058 008 00
233900 2841N 07856W 6625 03509 0014 +045 +037 024069 070 057 010 00
233930 2840N 07858W 6544 03610 0003 +050 +034 023064 065 059 006 00
234000 2840N 07901W 6462 03725 9985 +059 +031 026062 063 057 005 00
234030 2839N 07903W 6368 03847 9991 +051 +028 024060 061 053 006 00
234100 2839N 07905W 6280 03963 9999 +040 +025 025059 061 052 007 00
234130 2838N 07908W 6189 04084 9993 +037 +021 022060 060 052 006 00
234200 2838N 07910W 6104 04193 9994 +029 +018 022056 059 052 006 00
234230 2837N 07913W 6013 04320 9989 +025 +014 017053 054 052 004 00
234300 2837N 07915W 5930 04429 9986 +020 +011 022051 051 052 005 00
234330 2836N 07917W 5847 04544 9992 +010 +007 026048 050 051 006 00
234400 2836N 07920W 5757 04668 9994 -000 //// 027047 049 050 005 01
234430 2835N 07923W 5673 04786 9975 +002 +001 026044 044 050 002 00
234500 2835N 07925W 5556 04948 9954 +000 -000 022044 045 050 000 03
$$
;

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#7182 Postby Tstormwatcher » Thu Aug 25, 2011 6:52 pm

Newest advisory has the pressure down to 946mb. So it is intensifying but winds are still 115mph.
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Re:

#7183 Postby Cranica » Thu Aug 25, 2011 6:55 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:Yet Recon doesn't even support its current intensity still despite the pressure dropping. I would still only put it at 95 kt right now personally.


Irene's been struggling for days to establish a proper eyewall - until that happens, the energy that would normally focus into powerful eyewall winds is instead spread out over hundreds of miles of ocean. I wonder whether that's good or bad for surge levels - broad windfield but weaker max winds.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Recon

#7184 Postby tolakram » Thu Aug 25, 2011 6:56 pm

000
URNT15 KWBC 252338
NOAA2 2309A IRENE HDOB 23 20110825
232900 2707N 07654W 7513 02250 9712 +166 +149 213084 084 061 001 00
232930 2708N 07655W 7513 02239 9696 +171 +145 215082 083 061 001 00
233000 2710N 07657W 7512 02227 9679 +174 +150 216086 088 063 003 00
233030 2711N 07659W 7517 02210 9669 +168 +163 213085 088 063 009 00
233100 2713N 07700W 7517 02194 9651 +171 +170 213079 080 065 005 00
233130 2714N 07702W 7516 02184 9635 +170 +170 214081 082 066 005 00
233200 2716N 07704W 7510 02171 9616 +172 +161 215082 083 067 006 00
233230 2717N 07705W 7514 02148 9591 +175 +172 213082 084 070 003 00
233300 2719N 07707W 7513 02128 9564 +179 +177 211080 081 071 006 00
233330 2721N 07709W 7515 02101 9540 +179 +181 210080 082 070 009 00
233400 2722N 07710W 7516 02078 9515 +181 +184 208070 075 070 006 00
233430 2723N 07712W 7517 02064 9498 +184 +182 207057 061 058 000 03
233500 2724N 07714W 7516 02053 9481 +192 +175 205047 050 048 000 00
233530 2725N 07716W 7514 02044 9472 +190 +174 201036 039 035 001 00
233600 2726N 07718W 7514 02037 9464 +188 +181 200025 029 027 001 00
233630 2727N 07720W 7513 02036 9463 +186 +179 201014 018 022 000 00
233700 2727N 07722W 7511 02038 9460 +188 +186 226004 005 020 001 03
233730 2729N 07724W 7515 02035 9463 +188 +180 026004 008 021 000 00
233800 2730N 07726W 7512 02039 9464 +189 +178 034014 017 023 001 00
233830 2731N 07728W 7511 02048 9469 +194 +177 033024 027 029 001 00
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#7185 Postby tropicwatch » Thu Aug 25, 2011 6:56 pm




That is a really good image. I think Irene is starting to get her act back together. The pressure is dropping, she will start crossing the warm waters of the Gulf Stream and she has a lot of warm warm to cover before the expected windshear takes effect. There is I believe a distinct possibly of finally reaching a Cat 4 before the wind shear starts effecting it.

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The above comments our my personal opinion and is not an official forecast.
Last edited by tropicwatch on Thu Aug 25, 2011 7:14 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#7186 Postby Dean4Storms » Thu Aug 25, 2011 6:56 pm

TheBurn wrote:23:15Z Shortwave

img]http://img845.imageshack.us/img845/5323/ir2l.jpg[/img]



Reminds me of the pics of Camille in the southern Gulf in 69 right before she bombed!
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#7187 Postby StarmanHDB » Thu Aug 25, 2011 6:59 pm

lostsole wrote:looks really ragged, I swear she looks like she si struggling, looks like dry air coming in on her nnw side.


Please explain as I am seeing a cyclone with a clearly defined eye (and eyewall) with some great outflow. Looks very healthy to me.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#7188 Postby Hurricaneman » Thu Aug 25, 2011 6:59 pm

Dean4Storms wrote:



Reminds me of the pics of Camille in the southern Gulf in 69 right before she bombed!


This is not going to be anywhere near as strong

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Re: ATL: IRENE - Recon

#7189 Postby tolakram » Thu Aug 25, 2011 7:02 pm

Image
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#7190 Postby supercane » Thu Aug 25, 2011 7:04 pm

Latest microwave image:
Image
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Recon

#7191 Postby tolakram » Thu Aug 25, 2011 7:05 pm

000
URNT15 KWBC 252348
NOAA2 2309A IRENE HDOB 24 20110825
233900 2733N 07729W 7511 02056 9475 +199 +169 034033 036 032 000 00
233930 2734N 07731W 7513 02066 9489 +193 +182 033039 042 040 002 00
234000 2736N 07733W 7510 02078 9502 +190 +185 028052 058 048 002 00
234030 2737N 07734W 7511 02096 9524 +186 +182 035068 072 054 005 00
234100 2738N 07736W 7513 02114 9538 +199 +165 033075 076 062 003 00
234130 2740N 07737W 7515 02128 9560 +194 +165 034075 075 063 005 00
234200 2741N 07739W 7513 02148 9579 +193 +168 035073 074 063 005 00
234230 2742N 07740W 7514 02163 9594 +194 +171 035081 084 062 006 00
234300 2743N 07742W 7519 02175 9616 +192 +152 034081 082 060 006 00
234330 2745N 07743W 7514 02196 9642 +180 +149 038078 079 059 002 00
234400 2746N 07744W 7513 02210 9658 +180 +142 038075 076 060 001 00
234430 2747N 07746W 7515 02222 9672 +180 +143 039072 074 061 001 00
234500 2749N 07747W 7511 02237 9685 +179 +146 039071 071 062 001 00
234530 2750N 07749W 7515 02245 9704 +169 +156 043069 069 061 003 00
234600 2751N 07751W 7514 02255 9717 +166 +163 044067 068 062 004 00
234630 2753N 07752W 7512 02267 9729 +164 +163 045067 069 063 002 00
234700 2754N 07754W 7514 02274 9738 +162 //// 048067 069 065 003 01
234730 2756N 07755W 7511 02286 9751 +160 +165 050067 067 064 004 00
234800 2757N 07757W 7512 02295 9764 +158 +159 053065 068 065 004 00
234830 2759N 07759W 7517 02297 9771 +159 +160 058069 073 064 005 00

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouthdobs_2007.shtml
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Recon

#7192 Postby tolakram » Thu Aug 25, 2011 7:08 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#7193 Postby Stephanie » Thu Aug 25, 2011 7:08 pm

Trishasmom wrote:yep been there done that. I've been in several Hurricanes and Typhoons and they never came at a convenient time. I will also fill my washing machine up as well. I will fill anything within reason I can and try to get a few gallons of bottled water as well. We were without power for 2 weeks with Isabel and I really hope this doesn't happen this time but the way it's looking we just have to be as prepared as possible.

I wonder what VA did to upset mother nature earthquake, severe storms this evening and Irene on the way. I sure hope those buildings affected by the quake doesn't come crashing down with Irene.


I've been wondering about that for NJ. I think our thunderstorms are finally done for the evening.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#7194 Postby SNOW_JOKE » Thu Aug 25, 2011 7:11 pm

Fill your car petrol tanks, as petrol stations don't work without electricity.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Recon

#7195 Postby tolakram » Thu Aug 25, 2011 7:15 pm

000
URNT15 KWBC 252358
NOAA2 2309A IRENE HDOB 25 20110825
234900 2800N 07800W 7516 02302 9779 +156 //// 063077 080 065 006 01
234930 2802N 07802W 7511 02318 9792 +153 //// 063082 083 065 006 01
235000 2803N 07804W 7514 02322 9805 +150 //// 063084 085 066 009 01
235030 2805N 07806W 7513 02333 9818 +148 //// 061082 084 063 010 01
235100 2806N 07808W 7492 02369 9833 +142 //// 055087 091 063 010 01
235130 2807N 07809W 7521 02345 9836 +151 +152 051076 081 062 019 00
235200 2809N 07811W 7504 02371 9841 +155 +152 052073 074 061 019 00
235230 2810N 07813W 7491 02393 9852 +150 +151 052074 077 057 008 00
235300 2811N 07815W 7514 02375 9863 +149 +151 052074 075 057 008 00
235330 2813N 07817W 7526 02367 9869 +149 +149 053076 077 057 002 00
235400 2814N 07818W 7515 02383 9877 +147 +135 055078 079 057 002 00
235430 2815N 07820W 7523 02380 9890 +142 +132 056075 077 056 002 00
235500 2817N 07822W 7528 02379 9893 +146 +126 055073 074 056 001 00
235530 2818N 07824W 7532 02379 9898 +146 +126 054069 071 056 000 00
235600 2820N 07825W 7531 02386 9906 +145 +125 054066 067 057 002 00
235630 2821N 07827W 7529 02392 9917 +137 +125 054068 070 057 001 00
235700 2823N 07829W 7528 02398 9926 +133 +130 055073 073 056 003 00
235730 2824N 07830W 7530 02400 9932 +133 +127 056073 073 055 001 00
235800 2826N 07832W 7530 02406 9937 +133 +127 056071 073 055 002 00
235830 2827N 07834W 7528 02414 9946 +130 +125 052065 066 054 001 00

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouthdobs_2007.shtml
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#7196 Postby Elsiecoro » Thu Aug 25, 2011 7:19 pm

eye of irene almost dead east of me, appearing on my local radar now, we have some slight gusty winds, and quick passing rain.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Recon

#7197 Postby tolakram » Thu Aug 25, 2011 7:19 pm

Image
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Re:

#7198 Postby Aja » Thu Aug 25, 2011 7:22 pm

If Irene is moving north, why is there deep red in the north west side? Wouldn't that red be closer to the north & east?

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Last edited by Aja on Thu Aug 25, 2011 7:57 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#7199 Postby tolakram » Thu Aug 25, 2011 7:22 pm

Radar Loop

Image
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#7200 Postby PTPatrick » Thu Aug 25, 2011 7:24 pm

Well managed to get my flight to Europe through Philly moved to Saturday from Sunday. Don't leave philly til Saturday evening at 6 though. So Miss Thing better not speed up. I based moving it on the premise that NHC has the cent around ATlantic city at 2pm Sunday. At 2 pm Saturday it should still be near the OBX. So hopefully this works. If not I may get to ride Irene out in the Philly airport also that the overall air travel Mahem will be worse Sunday, and Monday after it's passed the big hub cities of the north east.
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