ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

[Lowpressure]

looks really ragged, I swear she looks like she si struggling, looks like dry air coming in on her nnw side.

Not sure we are looking at the same system.

[UpTheCreek]

My kids are evacuating Wilmington tomorrow around noon. UNCW has issued voluntary evacuations and is cancelling classes at 12:00 PM.

Good to hear, I was wondering what they were going to do.

[CronkPSU]

I guess if you are comparing it to katrina or ivan or tip...it looks ragged...

Kind of looks like she is trying to parallel park on the entire southeast coast right now!

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KWBC 252318
NOAA2 2309A IRENE HDOB 21 20110825
230900 2603N 07549W 7536 02447 9993 +133 +104 214071 071 /// /// 03
230930 2606N 07549W 7538 02444 9991 +134 +105 210073 075 /// /// 03
231000 2607N 07551W 7537 02442 9991 +128 +118 209072 073 045 004 00
231030 2609N 07553W 7538 02439 9982 +135 +120 209073 074 045 004 00
231100 2610N 07554W 7536 02436 9977 +135 +124 209067 069 046 004 00
231130 2612N 07556W 7535 02434 9977 +131 +129 210064 065 046 002 00
231200 2613N 07558W 7534 02431 9973 +132 +132 211066 067 047 000 00
231230 2615N 07559W 7535 02428 9970 +132 +125 212068 069 046 001 00
231300 2617N 07601W 7535 02425 9965 +132 +126 212069 071 047 001 00
231330 2618N 07603W 7536 02419 9956 +138 +120 212074 074 048 001 00
231400 2620N 07604W 7536 02416 9950 +142 +106 211075 076 048 000 00
231430 2622N 07606W 7535 02412 9947 +141 +101 211077 078 050 001 00
231500 2623N 07608W 7536 02407 9940 +141 +111 209078 079 050 004 00
231530 2625N 07609W 7537 02401 9935 +141 +121 209078 078 050 004 00
231600 2626N 07611W 7532 02401 9929 +138 +137 211075 076 051 004 00
231630 2628N 07613W 7534 02395 9920 +142 +143 211084 086 052 002 00
231700 2630N 07614W 7535 02388 9917 +140 +141 209087 089 052 005 00
231730 2631N 07616W 7531 02389 9911 +139 //// 206081 086 053 015 01
231800 2633N 07618W 7518 02398 9909 +135 //// 210079 080 053 007 01
231830 2634N 07619W 7511 02400 9901 +137 +140 212077 077 056 007 00

[CrazyC83]

Why is the eastern side so much bigger than the western side? Trough interaction?

[Dave]

000
UZNT13 KWBC 252325
XXAA 75238 99261 70758 08065 99999 28238 18045 00510 ///// /////
92679 22204 20070 85412 18421 20567 88999 77999
31313 09608 82309
51515 10167 07775
61616 NOAA2 2309A IRENE OB 16
62626 REL 2612N07584W 230951 SPG 2617N07581W 231326 WL150 18553 0
85 DLM WND 20066 998754 MBL WND 19060=
XXBB 75238 99261 70758 08065 00999 28238 11986 27031 22939 23208
33915 21603 44864 19004 55856 18627 66814 15608 77754 13016
21212 00999 18045 11990 19051 22978 18561 33974 18557 44968 19067
55963 19063 66956 19568 77946 19563 88939 19567 99928 20064 11923
20073 22878 20064 33754 21071
31313 09608 82309
51515 10167 07775
61616 NOAA2 2309A IRENE OB 16
62626 REL 2612N07584W 230951 SPG 2617N07581W 231326 WL150 18553 0
85 DLM WND 20066 998754 MBL WND 19060=

[Dave]

NOAA2

[littlevince]

000
URNT15 KNHC 252335
AF306 2109A IRENE HDOB 49 20110825
232530 2813N 07813W 6967 03009 9871 +112 +055 056072 075 058 003 00
232600 2814N 07815W 6967 03014 9868 +117 +054 056068 068 058 003 00
232630 2816N 07816W 6965 03019 9864 +122 +054 055065 066 059 002 00
232700 2817N 07817W 6966 03020 9862 +126 +054 054064 065 058 001 00
232730 2818N 07819W 6971 03020 9872 +125 +054 054062 063 059 000 03
232800 2819N 07820W 6965 03030 9873 +124 +054 053059 061 058 000 03
232830 2821N 07821W 6969 03028 9887 +116 +054 056056 058 058 000 03
232900 2822N 07823W 6970 03031 9897 +111 +054 057056 056 057 000 03
232930 2823N 07824W 6967 03037 9905 +108 +054 059055 056 057 001 03
233000 2824N 07826W 6965 03045 9917 +102 +054 059055 056 056 001 03
233030 2826N 07827W 6966 03047 9922 +100 +054 061055 056 056 002 03
233100 2827N 07829W 6969 03045 9924 +100 +054 060055 056 056 001 03
233130 2828N 07830W 6968 03049 9930 +100 +053 062057 059 057 001 03
233200 2830N 07832W 6971 03050 9938 +097 +052 065060 063 057 001 00
233230 2831N 07833W 6967 03059 9946 +093 +052 067064 066 056 006 00
233300 2832N 07835W 6978 03050 9967 +080 +051 065063 066 055 008 00
233330 2834N 07836W 6963 03066 9966 +082 +049 065058 059 056 003 00
233400 2835N 07837W 6968 03064 9967 +084 +048 065056 059 053 004 00
233430 2836N 07839W 6965 03075 9952 +100 +047 067053 054 049 000 03
233500 2838N 07840W 6970 03072 9960 +099 +047 068053 053 048 000 03
$$
;

[littlevince]

AF303

000
URNT12 KNHC 252337
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL092011
A. 25/23:06:10Z
B. 27 deg 28 min N
077 deg 20 min W
C. 700 mb 2629 m
D. 76 kt
E. 114 deg 17 nm
F. 205 deg 87 kt
G. 126 deg 55 nm
H. 947 mb
I. 8 C / 3046 m
J. 16 C / 3045 m
K. 6 C / NA
L. OPEN S
M. C25
N. 12345 / 07
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF306 2109A IRENE OB 21
MAX FL WIND 100 KT NE QUAD 20:52:20Z
MAX OUTBOUND FL WIND 91 KT NW QUAD 23:12:10Z
;

[Dave]

Anyone want to take over the hdobs & graphics for awhile on NOAA 2? If so go for it....could use a break. Thanks!

[Fyzn94]

That eye is frightening...

[tolakram]

[CrazyC83]

Yet Recon doesn't even support its current intensity still despite the pressure dropping. I would still only put it at 95 kt right now personally.

[Dave]

Grab the hdobs too for awhile...eye break time & i've got to reboot this system...all pages loading slow now. Thanks

[TheBurn]

23:15Z Shortwave

[tolakram]

will do

[tolakram]

000
URNT15 KWBC 252328
NOAA2 2309A IRENE HDOB 22 20110825
231900 2636N 07621W 7517 02389 9890 +142 +140 211077 077 055 013 00
231930 2638N 07622W 7514 02385 9887 +139 +144 209079 080 056 010 00
232000 2639N 07624W 7515 02382 9882 +139 +144 210079 081 056 005 00
232030 2641N 07626W 7515 02377 9876 +139 +144 209083 085 056 005 00
232100 2642N 07627W 7515 02371 9866 +142 //// 207083 085 056 007 01
232130 2644N 07629W 7512 02366 9857 +143 //// 205080 080 059 007 01
232200 2645N 07631W 7512 02360 9852 +142 //// 212087 088 061 007 01
232230 2647N 07633W 7518 02346 9844 +143 +146 212088 088 059 004 00
232300 2648N 07634W 7517 02340 9834 +146 +138 212091 092 060 004 00
232330 2650N 07636W 7515 02335 9827 +146 +131 213094 094 061 007 00
232400 2652N 07637W 7516 02328 9822 +143 +135 211095 096 063 010 00
232430 2653N 07639W 7515 02320 9813 +141 +142 209094 095 064 009 00
232500 2654N 07641W 7513 02317 9800 +147 //// 210090 091 064 008 01
232530 2656N 07642W 7516 02308 9790 +149 //// 212090 091 065 010 01
232600 2657N 07644W 7516 02299 9777 +154 //// 217091 092 063 010 01
232630 2659N 07646W 7515 02292 9766 +156 //// 216091 094 063 002 01
232700 2700N 07647W 7516 02284 9757 +157 //// 215087 088 063 002 01
232730 2702N 07649W 7513 02279 9748 +158 +162 215085 087 061 004 00
232800 2703N 07650W 7515 02269 9738 +160 +154 215084 084 060 001 00
232830 2705N 07652W 7515 02260 9729 +160 +151 214084 085 061 000 00

[supercane]

000
WTNT34 KNHC 252349
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IRENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 22A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011
800 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

...EYE OF IRENE GRADUALLY MOVING AWAY FROM ABACO ISLAND IN THE
BAHAMAS...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.7N 77.4W
ABOUT 530 MI...855 KM SSW OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...946 MB...27.93 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE


SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
* THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET NORTHWARD TO
THE VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO...ALBEMARLE...AND
CURRITUCK SOUNDS

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE VIRGINIA/NORTH CAROLINA BORDER NORTHWARD TO SANDY HOOK NEW
JERSEY...INCLUDING DELAWARE BAY...AND CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF SMITH
POINT

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO LITTLE RIVER INLET

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT NORTHWARD AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES AND NEW ENGLAND
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRENE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.4 WEST. IRENE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH FRIDAY.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...IRENE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS TONIGHT...AND THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL
PASS WELL OFFSHORE OF THE EAST COAST OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
FLORIDA LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY. THE HURRICANE IS FORECAST
TO APPROACH THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IRENE IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND
FRIDAY.

IRENE IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290 MILES...465 KM.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AN AIR FORCE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 946 MB...27.93 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE BEGINNING TO
SUBSIDE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE WARNING AREA ALONG
THE UNITED STATES EAST COAST BY LATE FRIDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA BY SATURDAY.

STORM SURGE...WATER LEVELS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE OVER THE
NORTHWESTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS TONIGHT. ALONG THE EASTERN COAST
OF THE UNITED STATES...AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL
RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 5 TO 10 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL
WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA INCLUDING THE ALBEMARLE AND
PAMLICO SOUNDS. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY
LARGE...DESTRUCTIVE...AND LIFE-THREATENING WAVES. IRENE ALSO HAS
THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE FLOODING WITHIN
THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA INCLUDING PORTIONS OF THE CHESAPEAKE
BAY...TRIBUTARIES...AND THE EASTERN SHORE.

RAINFALL...IRENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6
TO 12 INCHES OVER THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15
INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND IN
THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES ALONG THE PATH OF IRENE.

SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY IRENE ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE COAST
OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE SWELLS WILL CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

[SNOW_JOKE]

I posted this list earlier on in the week. But reposting for those in the path. Its a list of 11 Emergency food items that literally are non-perishable, and worth their weight in gold to stock up on.

Honey, Salt, Sugar, Wheat, Dried Corn, Baking Soda, Instant coffee, tea, and cocoa, Non-carbonated soft drinks, White rice, Bouillon products, Powdered milk – in nitrogen packed cans.

Water also stagnates if left still over a period of time. Which is why the bathtub/bottle method is only used as a last resort. It may sound 'odd' but canned beer is your best source of water..obviously lower alcohol content, but its purified and contained source lessens the chance of it becoming contained with bacteria over the short-term.

[timeflow]

http://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/images ... 2_anim.gif

Why does it appear that the overall volume and intensity of precipitation in the larger area around the eye dropped off so suddenly in the radar loop? Dry air getting in there?