ATL: IRENE - Models

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Jevo
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#5041 Postby Jevo » Thu Aug 25, 2011 10:41 am

12z GFS +12

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#5042 Postby Jevo » Thu Aug 25, 2011 10:43 am

12z GFS +24

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#5043 Postby Jevo » Thu Aug 25, 2011 10:49 am

12z GFS +36
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#5044 Postby PTPatrick » Thu Aug 25, 2011 10:52 am

974 mb this time before NC...maybe it isnt going to get as strong as once thought. also looks like more a wilmington swipe this time.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#5045 Postby clfenwi » Thu Aug 25, 2011 10:53 am

Through 39h, 12Z GFS looks to be faster and to the right of the 06Z run.
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#5046 Postby Jevo » Thu Aug 25, 2011 10:55 am

12 GFS +48 (will post 6hr fixes now)

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12z GFS +54

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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#5047 Postby Jevo » Thu Aug 25, 2011 11:03 am

12z GFS +60

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12z GFS +66

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#5048 Postby Jevo » Thu Aug 25, 2011 11:08 am

12z GFS +72

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12z GFS +78

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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#5049 Postby GTStorm » Thu Aug 25, 2011 11:10 am

12Z GFS insists on plowing the east coast....ugh.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#5050 Postby Listeri69 » Thu Aug 25, 2011 11:11 am

It looks like all the models are agreeing that this is going to slam into my house in CT.... :double: :eek: Got all my stuff prepared today from the checklist though.
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#5051 Postby kamqercam » Thu Aug 25, 2011 11:13 am

Thanks Jevo for doing a lot of WORK for us all! Really means a lot!
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#5052 Postby Jevo » Thu Aug 25, 2011 11:13 am

12z GFS +84

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12 GFS +90

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Im off to work. cheers!
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#5053 Postby hurricaneCW » Thu Aug 25, 2011 11:17 am

The gfs is not budging, I think the track the NHC will probably stick right now, I think the models that are too far west like the GFDL and Euro will come a bit further east and ones that are a bit too far west will come further west and ultimately converge on the NHC track with either a 10-20 miles east to west spread on either side of the current track.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#5054 Postby clfenwi » Thu Aug 25, 2011 11:32 am

Was trying to play with the Wundermap to look closer at the GFS but one of us was kicking the other's butt, so I didn't get a real solid look; but it seems like after 36h or so, any cross-track difference with the 06Z disappears; difference becomes along track; hitting points slightly quicker.. Landfall just east of Moorehead City at 54h followed by a run up the Atlantic coast.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#5055 Postby Listeri69 » Thu Aug 25, 2011 11:32 am

Does anyone know when we will get the EURO for today????
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#5056 Postby southerngale » Thu Aug 25, 2011 11:33 am

Listeri69 wrote:Does anyone know when we will get the EURO for today????


About 1 1/2 hours or so.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#5057 Postby clfenwi » Thu Aug 25, 2011 11:37 am

12Z NOGAPS 54h

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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#5058 Postby clfenwi » Thu Aug 25, 2011 11:39 am

12Z NOGAPS 84h

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Complete loop
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#5059 Postby webke » Thu Aug 25, 2011 11:39 am



That's getting to close for comfort,
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#5060 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Aug 25, 2011 11:42 am

Attention Members

Being the model thread, there are many images posted here. Do not quote someone with an image without removing the IMG tags.
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