WPAC: TALAS - Remnants (1112/15W)

[Chacor]

WTPQ21 RJTD 040600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1112 TALAS (1112)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 040600UTC 36.2N 134.1E FAIR
MOVE NNE 06KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 400NM NORTHEAST 300NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 050600UTC 41.6N 134.8E 85NM 70%
MOVE N 13KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 060600UTC 44.3N 134.3E 110NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

Still 40 kt from JMA.

[Chacor]

For those who need a conversion, the reported 3-day rainfall amounts from Nara of 1800 mm is roughly 70.9 inches... or 5.9 feet.

[RobWESTPACWX]

That is what is being said, that this is a record breaker, whats scary it is not just one site reporting that but several thus confirming it is likely true.

[phwxenthusiast]

here's a rainfall map I made for September 2 to 4... based on JMA weather stations (I probably tallied more than 100 stations)... the legend I used only goes up to 600mm+ because reports beyond that amount are really few and far in between.. I fully agree though with the very heavy rain that Talas has dropped, particularly there in the Kii Peninsula (Nara, Wakayama, and Mie)... highest reports I've seen are around 1300mm in Miyagawa, 1000mm in Owase and Mihama, 1100mm in Kamikitayama, 800mm in Tenkawa, 700mm in Kayumi...
900mm in Yanase and Fukuhara-Asahi (Shikoku)...

i probably missed those stations that reported the highest though...

[RobWESTPACWX]

Yikes Pat, you put a lot of work in to that, on that note very well deserved good job. Great chart! Those numbers are staggering

[Chacor]

WTPQ21 RJTD 041200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1112 TALAS (1112)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 041200UTC 36.8N 134.2E FAIR
MOVE NNE 06KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 400NM NORTHEAST 300NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 051200UTC 41.7N 135.0E 85NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

[artist]

I had no idea it was so bad there. My thoughts and prayers are with all -

Severe tropical storm Talas, which hit western Japan, has left 9 people dead and more than 30 others missing.

In Nara Prefecture in western Japan, an overflowing river washed away 2 houses on Saturday night. 4 of the 11 people who lived there were taken to a hospital. One was confirmed dead. 7 people are still missing.

In neighboring Wakayama Prefecture, one person was found dead in a house which was buried under a mudslide early on Sunday morning. 3 more houses were also destroyed by a landslide. 5 people are missing.

NHK has learned that 9 people are dead and 32 missing in western Japan. 94 people were injured in 18 prefectures in central and western Japan.
Torrential rain continues to pound the Kii Peninsula and neighboring areas with moist air still streaming into the tropical storm. Some areas had more than 50 millimeters of rain in one hour on Sunday morning.

http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/04_10.html

[supercane]

Thanks for the great map, Pat. Didn't know this was going to be such a prolific rainmaker.

Death toll continues to rise, with the following headline from NHK stating 24 dead and 54 missing across the country (Japan):
全国で２４人死亡 ５４人不明

18Z JMA, still at 40kt:

WTPQ21 RJTD 041800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1112 TALAS (1112)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 041800UTC 37.3N 134.5E FAIR
MOVE NNE 06KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 300NM NORTHEAST 210NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 051800UTC 41.6N 134.9E 85NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

JMA seems to be the only agency left writing advisories, as both CMA and JTWC stopped a while ago and KMA has written its final one:
WTKO20 RKSL 041800
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 44
NAME LOW 1112 TALAS
ANALYSIS
POSITION 041800UTC 37.8N 134.5E
MOVEMENT N 6KT
PRES 996HPA
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

[RobWESTPACWX]

Some of the video being put out now are showing nearly small villages under water, crazy! It's astounding the amount of damage this tropical storm has caused.

[RobWESTPACWX]

From the front page of NHK WORLD



http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/index.html

[supercane]

Death toll up by 1 to 25, with 52 missing per NHK:
全国で２５人死亡 ５２人不明
9月5日 8時18分
台風の影響で土砂崩れなどの被害が相次ぎ、奈良県で新たに１人の遺体が見つかり、全国でこれまでに２５人が死亡、５２人が行方不明になっています。

JMA 00Z advisory still at 40kt:

WTPQ21 RJTD 050000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1112 TALAS (1112)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 050000UTC 38.2N 135.7E FAIR
MOVE NE 09KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 300NM NORTHEAST 210NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 060000UTC 41.7N 135.9E 85NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

[Chacor]

JMA the last to drop Talas, now extratropical.

WTPQ21 RJTD 050600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME DEVELOPING LOW FORMER TS 1112 TALAS (1112)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 050600UTC 41N 136E
MOVE N 15KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
30KT 250NM NORTHEAST 210NM SOUTHWEST =

[RobWESTPACWX]

Now up to 33 deaths with over 50 people missing, news here continues to show whole hillsides missing due to mudslides, amazing.

[HurricaneBill]

Talas could be the deadliest typhoon to hit Japan since Tokage in 2004. Tokage left 99 dead or missing.

The last typhoon to kill more than 100 in Japan was Super Typhoon Tip in 1979. Tip left 113 dead or missing.

[supercane]

From NHK, death toll up by 1 and now stands at 34 dead, with 55 missing
台風 ３４人死亡５５人不明
9月6日 10時50分 twitterでつぶやく(クリックするとNHKサイトを離れます)

今回の台風で、兵庫県加古川市で川に流されて行方不明になっていた消防署員の遺体が見つかり、全国では３４人が死亡、５５人が行方不明となっています。

[RobWESTPACWX]

Now 50 dead with 50 still missing as recovery efforts continue to sift through the havoc caused by the flooding.

http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/07_23.html

[Typhoon Hunter]

I see JMA have a special portal now for Talas - not seen that before with a storm. Terrible tragedy!

http://www.jma.go.jp/jma/en/typhoon_Talas.html

[RobWESTPACWX]

Thanks for that!

This still blows my mine though..

Especially over a wide area of the Kii Peninsula (Kii Hanto), the total amount of the precipitation from 17 JST, 30 August exceeded 1,000 mm. The observing station at Kamikitayama-village in Nara Prefecture observed 1,652.5 mm rainfall in 72 hours, hitting the record high in Japan. The total amount of the precipitation at the station reached 1805.5 mm and precipitation amount in some areas was estimated to be over 2,000 mm based on Radar/Raingauge Analyzed Precipitation.

[Chacor]

Seems almost definite that Talas will be retired.

[oaba09]

This is just tragic.

Having experienced "ketsana" in 2009, I know how the people of japan are feeling right now.

My prayers go out to all the casualties and victims of "talas"...