ATL: LEE - Remnants - Discussion

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#2941 Postby Chacor » Sun Sep 04, 2011 10:29 pm

If that were true, the NHC would refer to this as "Post-Tropical Cyclone Lee", not "Tropical Depression Lee".
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Re: ATL: LEE - Remnants - Discussion

#2942 Postby Nikki » Sun Sep 04, 2011 10:35 pm

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON LEE. FUTURE INFORMATION ON LEE CAN BE FOUND IN PUBLIC
ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...
UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT33 KWNH...BEGINNING AT
400 AM CDT.
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Re: ATL: LEE - Remnants - Discussion

#2943 Postby psyclone » Sun Sep 04, 2011 10:38 pm

Chacor wrote:
cycloneye wrote:After the last advisory is written on a system we always put the word Remnants.

But the last advisory hasn't been written. The HPC could still warn on this at 4 am as a tropical depression!

will this matter a week from now? will it make one iota of difference as to what type of flood precautions those in the path of potentially heavy rain take? who cares. we're still watching it.
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Re: ATL: LEE - Remnants - Discussion

#2944 Postby bamajammer4eva » Sun Sep 04, 2011 10:42 pm

I think the NHC hands advisories off to the HPC when Coastal watches and warning are no longer needed in the US. With Irene, they stopped advisories while tropical storm warning were still in effect for Canada but Canada has their own Hurricane centre'. Gale warnings and coastal flood advisories have been issued again for the areas needed like they would for any other baroclinic system
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#2945 Postby supercane » Sun Sep 04, 2011 10:50 pm

Agree with Chacor's reasoning that changing the thread title to remnants may be premature, because a) NHC has not called Lee post-tropical or a remnant low (although one could argue maybe it should be), and b) HPC has in the past titled its advisories with the term "tropical depression" if warranted. Doing a quick internet search reveals a relevant example:
PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 32 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATRINA
NWS...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...CAMP SPRINGS MD
4 PM CDT TUE AUG 30 2005

...KATRINA CONTINUES PUSHING THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY...THREAT FOR
FLOODING REMAINS...
<snip>

In any event, the first HPC advisory will tell the tale.
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#2946 Postby Will504 » Sun Sep 04, 2011 11:03 pm

I've had more rain today then the previous 3 days combined. Before today I had about 3 inches, now my total for this storm is approaching 8 inches. Been stuck under a feeder ban for most of the day and the last 8 hours or so straight!! (just west of Covington, La)
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Re: ATL: LEE - Remnants - Discussion

#2947 Postby SapphireSea » Sun Sep 04, 2011 11:33 pm

As it was said, the NHC no longer needs to issue warnings based off this system. There are no discernible sustained TS winds anywhere around this system. There are barely if any SUSTAINED TD winds at the surface with the system. This is a rain event now. TD/Remnants/Trough/PostTrop-Low it's all the same to the environment. There will be dangerous amounts of rain in the path of the system, and there is still a moderate tornado threat. There is no storm surge, no damaging winds (outside of a tornado) to warn about, there is no difference between this and any other major flood producing system, tropical or non.

The term TD will probably be used by the HPC to keep records straight probably to describe the type of system this was, although with the way it looks entrenched in the front, I'd say it will be post tropical soon enough for the HPC to call it out as such.
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ATL: LEE - Remnants - Discussion

#2948 Postby 7&COUNTING » Mon Sep 05, 2011 2:51 am

Preparing for 3-5" rain here in Covington,Ga. I know the grass will be happy! Can anyone tell me if the advancing cold front that will mingle with Lee's remnants will increase the rainfall? I am a weather novice. Thanks in advance. :)
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#2949 Postby Chacor » Mon Sep 05, 2011 4:13 am

Now it's officially extratropical.

REMNANTS OF LEE ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL132011
400 AM CDT MON SEP 05 2011

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION LEE BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL IN SOUTHERN
LOUISIANA...
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Re: ATL: LEE - Advisories

#2950 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 05, 2011 5:12 am

REMNANTS OF LEE ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL132011
400 AM CDT MON SEP 05 2011

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION LEE BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL IN SOUTHERN
LOUISIANA...

SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.2N 90.8W
ABOUT 35 MILES...55 KM...WNW OF NEW ORLEANS/MOISANT LOUISIANA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 090 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FROM
THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EASTWARD INTO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
AND THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. WIND ADVISORIES ARE ALSO IN EFFECT
FROM THE LOWER AND MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WESTWARD INTO EASTERN
TEXAS.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF LEE WAS RELOCATED TO NEAR
LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 90.8 WEST. LEE HAS BECOME
EXTRATROPICAL OVER SOUTHERN LOUISIANA AS IT HAS MERGED WITH A
FRONTAL ZONE WITH COOL AND DRY AIR INFILTRATING THE CIRCULATION
CENTER FROM THE NORTH AND WEST. THE EXTRATROPICAL LOW CENTER IS
EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST...BRINGING THE CENTER INTO
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI TODAY AND INTO ALABAMA ON TUESDAY. TROPICAL
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF LEE WILL CONTINUE TO
INTERACT WITH THE FRONTAL ZONE...AND EXTREMELY HEAVY RAIN IS
EXPECTED TO FALL IN LOCATIONS WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CIRCULATION
CENTER.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.36 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...THE REMNANTS OF LEE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
REGION...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES
THROUGH TUESDAY. HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND NORTHEASTWARD
INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS
THROUGH TUESDAY...WHERE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE
RAINS MAY CAUSE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 3 AM CDT

...ALABAMA...
MOBILE/BATES FIELD 9.80
MUSCLE SHOALS RGNL ARPT 2.52
CAIRNS AAF/OZARK 1.55
EVERGREEN 1.47

...FLORIDA...
DESTIN AIRPORT 5.78
MILTON/WHITING FIELD NAS 5.25
HURLBURT FIELD AWS 5.24
PENSACOLA RGNL ARPT 4.37
APALACHICOLA MUNI ARPT 4.25
VALPARAISO/EGLIN AFB 4.24
TYNDALL AFB/PANAMA CITY 3.36
PENSACOLA NAS 3.29

...KENTUCKY...
HENDERSON CITY 0.95
BOWLING GREEN-WARREN CO. ARPT 0.84
FORT KNOX AAF 0.43

...LOUISIANA...
NEW ORLEANS/MOISANT 10.91
NEW ORLEANS/LAKEFRONT 9.85
BOOTHVILLE 8.64
BATON ROUGE/RYAN MUNI ARPT 8.20
SLIDELL 6.07
NEW IBERIA/ACADIANA 6.01
ALEXANDRIA/ESLER 5.90
LAFAYETTE RGNL ARPT 5.65

...MISSISSIPPI...
PASCAGOULA 10.43
KEESLER AFB/BILOXI 9.79
GULFPORT-BILOXI 9.16
MCCOMB/LEWIS FIELD 6.35
HATTIESBURG/LAUREL 6.04
HATTIESBURG/CHAIN MUNI ARPT 6.00
JACKSON WFO 5.43

...TENNESSEE...
CLARKSVILLE/OUTLAW FIELD 1.68
OAK RIDGE (ASOS) 1.58
CROSSVILLE MEMORIAL ARPT 1.46
KNOXVILLE MUNI ARPT 1.02
NASHVILLE METRO ARPT 1.00

...TEXAS...
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR 3.20


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED AT 1000 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION
ON THIS STORM.

FORECASTER KONG

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 05/0900Z 30.2N 90.8W
12HR VT 05/1800Z 31.9N 89.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24HR VT 06/0600Z 32.9N 88.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
$$
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Re: ATL: LEE - Remnants - Discussion

#2951 Postby wxman57 » Mon Sep 05, 2011 7:59 am

Don't think that a remnant low is necessarily any less of a threat. Allison was a remnant low in 2001 when it dumped 36" on Houston 4 days after it moved inland then swung back around to the south. In this case, though, Lee is much less of a threat.
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Re: ATL: LEE - Remnants - Discussion

#2952 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Sep 05, 2011 8:12 am

Major tornado threat today.

SPC AC 051257

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0757 AM CDT MON SEP 05 2011

VALID 051300Z - 061200Z

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF AL AND GA...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SURROUNDING THE MDT RISK
AREA...FROM ERN MS ENE INTO THE CAROLINAS...

...SYNOPSIS...
SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW DROPPING SE ACROSS THE LWR MS VLY WILL CONTINUE
TO INTERACT WITH REMNANTS OF T.S. LEE TODAY/TNGT...WITH THE COMBINED
CIRCULATION CENTER LIKELY EVOLVING INTO AN ELONGATED CLOSED LOW OVER
THE MS/AL BORDER BY 12Z TUE. AT THE SAME TIME...SEPARATE...MORE
STRONGLY AMPLIFIED SHORTWAVE IMPULSE NOW OVER THE CNTRL GRT LKS
SHOULD CONTINUE E TO THE LWR LKS/NRN NEW ENGLAND BY EARLY TUE AS
BROAD RIDGE PERSISTS OVER THE RCKYS.

AT LWR LVLS...REMNANT SFC CIRCULATION CENTER OF LEE...NOW OVER FAR
SRN MS...IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SLOWLY NEWD...REACHING CNTRL AL THIS
EVE AND NRN GA BY 12Z TUE.

...SERN STATES TODAY/TNGT...
SHOWERS/TSTMS SHOULD INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND STRENGTH OVER PARTS OF
AL AND GA LATER TODAY AS MODEST SFC HEATING BOOSTS SBCAPE TO BETWEEN
1000 AND 2000 J/KG IN WARM SECTOR OF REMNANT T.D. LEE. CONTINUED
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION OF THE SYSTEM THAT ALREADY WAS OF HYBRID
ORIGIN WILL STRENGTHEN AND POSSIBLY BROADEN ASSOCIATED SSWLY
LLJ...WITH SPEEDS INCREASING TO AOA 50 KTS. AT THE SAME
TIME...700-500 MB FLOW WILL INCREASE TO 50-60 KTS AS UPR CIRCULATION
BEGINS TO ELONGATE.

LOW LVL CONVERGENCE MAY FOCUS IN SEVERAL AREAS INCLUDING /1/ ALONG
NWD-MOVING CSTL BOUNDARY NOW OVER SRN AL AND THE FL PANHANDLE.../2/
ALONG DEVELOPING N/S CONFLUENCE ZONE NOW ALONG THE MS-AL
BORDER...AND /3/ ALONG AXIS OF LOW LVL FRONTOGENESIS EXTENDING
WSW-ENE ACROSS NRN PARTS OF AL AND GA. EACH OF THESE AXES MAY SERVE
TO CONCENTRATE STORM/SHOWER DEVELOPMENT...WITH MOIST LOW LVL
ENVIRONMENT AND MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG LOW LVL DIRECTIONAL SHEAR
FOSTERING SPORADIC EPISODES OF MESOCYCLONES AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES.
THE GREATEST TORNADO THREAT MAY DEVELOP ALONG AND N OF THE CSTL
BOUNDARY LATER THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE THIS AFTN...WHERE THE
LARGEST LOW LVL HODOGRAPHS WILL COINCIDE WITH AXIS OF GREATEST
BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE. SCTD SMALL BOWS WITH LOCALLY DMGG WIND
ALSO MAY OCCUR.

LATER TODAY...AND CONTINUING TNGT THROUGH EARLY TUE...EMBEDDED
ROTATING STRUCTURES/LEWPS MAY POSE A THREAT FOR MORE ISOLD TORNADOES
AND LOCALLY DMGG WIND GUSTS ALONG THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONTOGENETIC
ZONE AS THAT FEATURE DEVELOPS ENEWD FROM NRN GA INTO WRN AND CNTRL
PARTS OF THE CAROLINAS.

...MID-ATLANTIC TO SRN NEW ENGLAND THIS AFTN...
THE STRONGEST LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT AND SHEAR WITH GRT LKS
TROUGH WILL LAG ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT SETTLING SE ACROSS THE MID
ATLANTIC AND NEW ENGLAND STATES TODAY...RESULTING IN AN ANA-TYPE
FRONTAL SETUP. COUPLED WITH WIDESPREAD EXISTING CONVECTION/CLOUD
COVER AND DIMINISHED SFC HEATING...PROSPECTS FOR
APPRECIABLE SVR ACTIVITY APPEAR LOW. NEVERTHELESS...POTENTIAL WILL
EXIST FOR A FEW POCKETS OF SUFFICIENT DESTABILIZATION TO SUPPORT
ISOLD STRONG TO LOCALLY SVR WIND GUSTS...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE CST FROM NJ TO ME.

..CORFIDI/GARNER.. 09/05/2011

CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z
CURRENT UTC TIME: 1312Z (9:12AM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME
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#2953 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Sep 05, 2011 8:18 am

A bit old but probs are 95/40. Could we see a PDS watch today?

SEL8

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 838
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
540 AM CDT MON SEP 5 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

MUCH OF ALABAMA
THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
SOUTHWEST GEORGIA
EASTERN MISSISSIPPI
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 540 AM UNTIL 400
PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 75 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 130 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH OF TUSCALOOSA
ALABAMA TO 40 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 837. WATCH NUMBER 837 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
540 AM CDT.

DISCUSSION...BANDS AND SMALL CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS/TSTMS WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THIS AFTN OVER
PARTS OF THE SERN STATES...IN ERN QUADRANT OF HYBRID T.D. LEE.
SATELLITE AND SFC OBS SUGGEST THAT LEE WILL CONTINUE TO UNDERGO
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN STRENGTHENING AND
PERHAPS BROADENING OF SSWLY LLJ EXTENDING FROM THE NERN GULF OF
MEXICO INTO AL AND THE WRN FL PANHANDLE BY MIDDAY...WITH SPEEDS AOA
50 KTS. AT THE SAME TIME...A BELT OF STRENGTHENING 700-500 MB FLOW
WILL OVERSPREAD REGION AS UPR CIRCULATION OF LEE ELONGATES ENEWD.
COUPLED WITH SFC HEATING AND LOW LVL UPLIFT ALONG NWD MOVING CSTL
BOUNDARY...SETUP MAY YIELD INCREASING NUMBERS OF SUPERCELLS RELATIVE
TO THE PAST TWO DAYS...ESPECIALLY OVER SRN/CNTRL AL AND PERHAPS THE
WRN FL PANHANDLE/SW GA. OTHER STORMS /INCLUDING TRAINING CELLS AND
LEWPS/ CAPABLE OF ISOLD TORNADOES AND DMGG WIND MAY EVOLVE ALONG
DEVELOPING STNRY FRONT EXTENDING ENE FROM THE CENTER OF LEE INTO NRN
AL/NW GA.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 19040.


...CORFIDI
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#2954 Postby gone2beach » Mon Sep 05, 2011 9:23 am

We are still under a tornado watch here....

Rain total here to date, 11.5"
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Re: ATL: LEE - Remnants - Advisories

#2955 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 05, 2011 10:02 am

REMNANTS OF LEE ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL132011
1000 AM CDT MON SEP 05 2011

...REMNANTS OF LEE EXPECTED TO CAUSE FLOODING FROM THE GULF COAST
STATES TO NEW ENGLAND...

SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.5N 89.9W
ABOUT 40 MILES...65 KM...NNE OF NEW ORLEANS, LA.
ABOUT 125 MILES...200 KM...S OF JACKSON, MS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 77 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...23 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT
FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL APPALACHIANS.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF LEE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.5 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 89.9 WEST. LEE HAS BECOME
EXTRATROPICAL OVER SOUTHERN LOUISIANA AS IT HAS MERGED WITH A
FRONTAL ZONE WITH COOL AND DRY AIR INFILTRATING THE CIRCULATION
CENTER FROM THE NORTH AND WEST. THE EXTRATROPICAL LOW CENTER IS
EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST...BRINGING THE CENTER INTO
ALABAMA BY MONDAY NIGHT. TROPICAL MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE
REMNANTS OF LEE WILL CONTINUE TO INTERACT WITH THE FRONTAL
ZONE...AND EXTREMELY HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO FALL IN LOCATIONS
WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.39 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...THE REMNANTS OF LEE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
REGION...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES
THROUGH TUESDAY. HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND NORTHEASTWARD
INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS
THROUGH TUESDAY...WHERE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE
RAINS MAY CAUSE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 10 AM CDT

...ALABAMA...
MOBILE 10.2 WSW 11.35
GRAND BAY 0.6 NW 10.39
THEODORE 3.7 WNW 9.78
ORANGE BEACH 3.0 ENE 9.75
FOLEY 2.0 SSW 9.73
ELBERTA 3.1 SSW 9.65
TILLMANS CORNER 4.3 WNW 9.47
MOBILE/BATES FIELD 9.19
POINT CLEAR 1.6 SSW 7.90
WILMER 7.9 SE 7.51
FAIRHOPE 0.9 N 7.41

...FLORIDA...
MILTON 1.4 NNE 10.03
NICEVILLE 4.5 SE 7.35
PENSACOLA 3.8 N 6.57
WEST PENSACOLA 10.9 SW 6.35
ENSLEY 2.1 ENE 6.10
PACE 2.4 N 6.06
NAVARRE 2.3 NNW 6.02
DESTIN AIRPORT 5.93
GONZALEZ 2.1 E 5.68
APALACHICOLA MUNI ARPT 5.37
EGLIN AFB 5.6 NE 5.33
VALPARAISO/EGLIN AFB 5.30
HURLBURT FIELD AWS 5.30
BELLVIEW 1.7 NW 5.13

...KENTUCKY...
PLUM SPRINGS 0.8 NNW 3.10
LAWRENCEBURG 5.2 S 2.34
BOWLING GREEN 5.9 ESE 2.33
SMITHS GROVE 0.3 SE 2.14
LEXINGTON 1.7 SSE 2.08
GUTHRIE 0.8 WNW 2.00

...LOUISIANA...
HOLDEN 15.43
N.O. CAROLLTON 14.32
MAUREPAS 13.63
PONCHATOULA 4 SE 13.22
CONVENT 2 S 13.04
RESERVE 0.5 SSE 12.43
GRAY 0.5 ENE 12.15
MARRERO 1.9 E 11.21
MONTICELLO 3.0 ENE 10.91
NEW ORLEANS/MOISANT 10.80
MERAUX 0.8 WNW 10.10
ABITA SPRINGS 2.2 SSW 9.93
LACOMBE 1.4 N 9.79
TERRYTOWN 3.3 S 9.10
ZACHARY 3.5 WNW 9.04
BATON ROUGE 3.5 E 9.00
SLIDELL 2.2 NE 8.20

...MISSISSIPPI...
FLORENCE 0.9 E 13.45
WAVELAND 1.1 NW 13.20
SAUCIER 6.4 ESE 11.75
GULFPORT 2.0 NE 11.71
LONG BEACH 0.7 S 11.59
PASS CHRISTIAN 5.0 N 11.31
RICHLAND 0.3 WSW 11.25
PHILADELPHIA 5.4 E 11.18
PEARL 3.4 ESE 11.14
JACKSON WFO 11.13
KILN 6.6 N 10.90
GULFPORT-BILOXI 10.78

...TENNESSEE...
CUMBERLAND CITY 1.2 ESE 5.09
LAWRENCEBURG 8.8 SE 4.95
CLARKSVILLE 14.4 WSW 4.87
LORETTO 2.8 NNW 4.50
ALEXANDRIA 0.5 SW 4.48
COOKEVILLE 4.6 WNW 4.23
CHRISTIANA 6.5 E 4.22
LEBANON 4.0 SE 4.21
JAMESTOWN 6.7 W 4.07

...TEXAS...
BRIDGE CITY 1.3 NW 3.12
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR 3.04
JASPER 6.7 W 2.12


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 400 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER GERHARDT

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 05/1500Z 30.5N 89.9W
12HR VT 06/0000Z 32.1N 87.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24HR VT 06/1200Z 34.3N 84.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36HR VT 07/0000Z 34.7N 83.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48HR VT 07/1200Z 36.0N 82.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
$$
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stormy70
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Re: ATL: LEE - Remnants - Discussion

#2956 Postby stormy70 » Mon Sep 05, 2011 10:24 am

Getting some pretty heavy rains over here south of Fairhope. Has been raining off and on all morning long. Wind picks up good bit during the storms. Someone said that at one time during one of the storms we were having 50 mph winds but I have not heard that through the local weather. That is just hear say. I do know a couple that live on a boat near Fly Creek and Fairhope Yacht Club had water almost over the pier. Water is up over the causeway. Actually I think the causeway is close right now. Will update later. Doing okay right now.
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Sanibel
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Re: ATL: LEE - Remnants - Discussion

#2957 Postby Sanibel » Mon Sep 05, 2011 10:48 am

Windy from the south way down here from Lee.
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SunnyThoughts
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#2958 Postby SunnyThoughts » Mon Sep 05, 2011 1:02 pm

I"m absolutely exhausted. Here in Pace, ( just to the east of Pensacola) we had 3 tornado warnings last night...from before midnight to around 3 am. Made it through fine, no loss of power or anything. Now today we get this: Winds of 30 to 40 mph with gusts to 60...more rain, with a tornado watch until 7pm HIgh wind warning until 7pm also. Take a hike lee...we've had enough dude. They are saying the weak saturated roots on many trees will probably cause a few to fall today with the high winds. NWS words out of Mobile today: " Tropical depression Lee will strengthen as a non-tropical low today bringing wide spread high winds across the area".
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Kennethb
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Re: ATL: LEE - Remnants - Discussion

#2959 Postby Kennethb » Mon Sep 05, 2011 1:14 pm

Here in south Baton Rouge we ended up with 8.7 inches.

Too we had three days of gusty winds. I would think the maximum sustained was around 30 mph, but some gusts to near 50 in the heaviest squalls.
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SIMWMBA
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Re: ATL: LEE - Remnants - Discussion

#2960 Postby SIMWMBA » Mon Sep 05, 2011 1:26 pm

Part of the Mobile Bay Causeway (HWY 90/98) has been closed all morning due to flooding by wind driven waves on top of astronomical high tide.
This plus the holiday traffic exodus has overloaded I-10 westbound causing delays from Mobile east to Malbis.
local reports @
http://www2.wkrg.com/weather/2011/sep/0 ... r-2365090/
http://blog.al.com/live/2011/09/portion ... _down.html

The 'good news' is the rain has ended in Mobile and the winds are switching to NW as the remnant low is pulling out.
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