ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion
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tobol.7uno
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Does not look like much rain associated with, it will be a dry breezy day there!
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still 0%
1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A SMALL AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS HAVE DIMINISHED.
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW IS NOT EXPECTED...AND THE SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT CONTINUES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.
1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A SMALL AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS HAVE DIMINISHED.
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW IS NOT EXPECTED...AND THE SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT CONTINUES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.
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tobol.7uno
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Re:
westwind wrote:still 0%
1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A SMALL AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS HAVE DIMINISHED.
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW IS NOT EXPECTED...AND THE SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT CONTINUES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.
Who thinks this could be another Jose and go from 0% to a tropical storm? I don't really, since there has been very little new convection today.
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tobol.7uno
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
No update at 18z has 99 been dropped again?
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wxman57
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Looks like it. Just a short-term flare up of storms this morning. Shear has torn it apart (again).
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
wxman57 wrote:Looks like it. Just a short-term flare up of storms this morning. Shear has torn it apart (again).
Convection could blow up again tonight though as it did the last couple of nights, the circulation still looks very well defined.
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AJC3
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The skeletal circulation of 99L is now visible from the San Juan radar...
http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes
http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes
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tobol.7uno
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion
Still have that circulation nearing Puerto Rico now.
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Hylian Auree
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It's extremely defined, though I doubt it'll survive its trip to near over Puerto Rico. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-vis.html
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tobol.7uno
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
westwind wrote:
Convection could blow up again tonight though as it did the last couple of nights, the circulation still looks very well defined.
Nope, still a defined low level circulation, but no convection. I think this is our final goodbye to 99L.
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ConvergenceZone
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
wxman57 wrote:Shear has torn it apart (again).
Welcome to 2011.....I think the season will end early this year.....
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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion
Here it comes to pass over my house. I can report that a strong band moved thru San Juan 30 minutes ago from the time of this post with a heavy downpour with thunder and gusts around 30mph.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
ConvergenceZone wrote:wxman57 wrote:Shear has torn it apart (again).
Welcome to 2011.....I think the season will end early this year.....
Late season, NW Carib, not a good combination and a pretty good chance to defy the prior pattern of the season.
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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion
For the second time is deactivated.
BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_DEACTIVATE_al992011.ren
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201109222047
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_DEACTIVATE_al992011.ren
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201109222047
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
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somethingfunny
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion
Is this our 20% blob currently over the Bahamas?
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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion
somethingfunny wrote:Is this our 20% blob currently over the Bahamas?
No,different system. Going to move this thread to the archives.
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