ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
Chacor
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10229
Joined: Mon Oct 02, 2006 10:43 pm
Location: Singapore

ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#1 Postby Chacor » Mon Oct 03, 2011 5:17 am

Looks like a low cloud swirl at the moment. We'll see if convection develops.

Image

39.4N 26.5W in the ATCF, 30 kts 1004 hPa.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
bg1
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 408
Joined: Fri May 13, 2011 11:14 am
Location: near Santee, SC

Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#2 Postby bg1 » Mon Oct 03, 2011 6:39 am

I saw where this was on the map and thought this can be a repeat of Vince, or Grace 2 years ago.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 22480
Age: 66
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#3 Postby wxman57 » Mon Oct 03, 2011 8:15 am

Looks very impressive! NOT!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
jimvb
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 397
Joined: Wed Sep 15, 2004 8:03 am
Location: Richmond, Virginia
Contact:
Contact jimvb

Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#4 Postby jimvb » Mon Oct 03, 2011 9:02 am

What gets me about Invest 92L is that NOAA seems to think there is enough chance that this will develop into something to the extent of defining an Invest for it, but in the latest TWO for the North Atlantic (after saying NHC is tracking Ophelia and Phillippe) it says "Elsewhere... tropical storm formation is not expected in the next 48 hours." Huhh??
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
somethingfunny
ChatStaff
ChatStaff
Posts: 3926
Age: 35
Joined: Thu May 31, 2007 10:30 pm
Location: McKinney, Texas

#5 Postby somethingfunny » Mon Oct 03, 2011 9:48 am

It really popped out of nowhere didn't it? I don't think it's going to have enough time to develop into anything, with Ophelia's remnants racing across the Atlantic just north of it and likely to absorb it.
0 likes   
I am not a meteorologist, and any posts made by me are not official forecasts or to be interpreted as being intelligent. These posts are just my opinions and are probably silly opinions.
Top
tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 19165
Age: 60
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#6 Postby tolakram » Mon Oct 03, 2011 10:06 am

jimvb wrote:What gets me about Invest 92L is that NOAA seems to think there is enough chance that this will develop into something to the extent of defining an Invest for it, but in the latest TWO for the North Atlantic (after saying NHC is tracking Ophelia and Phillippe) it says "Elsewhere... tropical storm formation is not expected in the next 48 hours." Huhh??


Invest does not mean they think something might develop and invest does not indicate what chance. They do an invest in order to run some models.
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
AdamFirst
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2487
Age: 34
Joined: Thu Aug 14, 2008 10:54 am
Location: Port Saint Lucie, FL

#7 Postby AdamFirst » Mon Oct 03, 2011 10:09 am

I saw the globals (ECWMF, GFS) picking this system up a couple days ago and turning it into some kind of tropical entity.
0 likes   
Dolphins Marlins Canes Golden Panthers HEAT
Andrew 1992 - Irene 1999 - Frances 2004 - Jeanne 2004 - Wilma 2005 - Fay 2008 - Isaac 2012 - Matthew 2016 - Irma 2017 - Dorian 2019 - Ian 2022 - Nicole 2022
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 139025
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#8 Postby cycloneye » Mon Oct 03, 2011 2:14 pm

That was quick!

NHC_ATCF
invest_DEACTIVATE_al922011.ren
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201110031907
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
TheEuropean
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 1793
Age: 58
Joined: Tue Sep 20, 2005 3:17 pm
Location: Voerde, Germany
Contact:
Contact TheEuropean

#9 Postby TheEuropean » Mon Oct 03, 2011 2:25 pm

Yes, this is only a naked swirl of cloud, but with clear rotation: Flores in the western azores had at 18z nothern winds with gust up to 29 kt, farther east Horta hat winds from the southsoutheast (160°) with gusts up to 29 kt.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
brunota2003
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9476
Age: 33
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2005 9:56 pm
Location: Stanton, KY...formerly Havelock, NC
Contact:
Contact brunota2003

#10 Postby brunota2003 » Mon Oct 03, 2011 4:40 pm

They just popped it up to run some models that, otherwise, would not normally run. Once the models showed for a couple runs that 92L was not destined to become anything, they deactivated it.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
fci
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3296
Joined: Tue Sep 14, 2004 10:29 am
Location: Lake Worth, FL

#11 Postby fci » Mon Oct 03, 2011 5:14 pm

I already miss it......... :( :( :(
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
jimvb
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 397
Joined: Wed Sep 15, 2004 8:03 am
Location: Richmond, Virginia
Contact:
Contact jimvb

Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#12 Postby jimvb » Mon Oct 03, 2011 6:10 pm

Reminds me of the old Wonder Twins cartoon. Wonder Invest, Activate! Wonder Invest, Deactivate! I wish they could have deactivated Irene.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2011”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 35 guests