ATL: SEAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: SEAN - Advisories

#81 Postby cycloneye » Thu Nov 10, 2011 5:12 am

TROPICAL STORM SEAN DISCUSSION NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192011
400 AM EST THU NOV 10 2011

INFRARED AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS MORNING SHOWS THAT
SEAN IS SLOWLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED...WITH INCREASING
CONVECTIVE BANDING AROUND THE CENTER AND OCCASIONAL ATTEMPTS AT EYE
FORMATION. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM SAB AND TAFB ARE 55
KT...AND THAT REMAINS THE INITIAL INTENSITY. THE CYCLONE CURRENTLY
HAS GOOD CIRRUS OUTFLOW IN THE NORTH SEMICIRCLE.

SEAN CONTINUES ITS NORTHERLY TRACK WITH AN INITIAL MOTION OF 355/7.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS SOUTHWESTERLY MID/UPPER-LEVEL FLOW
ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES APPROACHING
THE CYCLONE...AND THE GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THIS
SHOULD CAUSE SEAN TO TURN NORTHEASTWARD IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
AFTER THAT...THE CYCLONE SHOULD ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARD DURING THE
REMAINDER OF ITS LIFETIME. THE NEW FORECAST TRACK FOLLOWS THIS
SCENARIO AND IS SIMILAR TO...BUT NORTH OF...THE PREVIOUS TRACK.
THE FORECAST TRACK IS NEAR THE CENTER OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE
ENVELOPE.

THERE IS PERHAPS 12-24 HOURS FOR SEAN TO STRENGTHEN BEFORE STRONG
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IMPACTS THE STORM. GIVEN THE CURRENT
STRUCTURE...THE INTENSITY FORECAST CALLS FOR SEAN TO REACH HURRICANE
STRENGTH IN 24 HOURS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST.
AFTER THAT...STRONG SHEAR AND THE START OF EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION
SHOULD CAUSE WEAKENING. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS EXPECTED TO BE
COMPLETE BY 48 HOURS...AND BY 72 HOURS SEAN IS EXPECTED TO BE
ABSORBED BY A LARGER BAROCLINIC SYSTEM TO ITS NORTH. AS NOTED IN
THE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...IT IS POSSIBLE THAT SEAN COULD DISSIPATE
EARLIER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 10/0900Z 30.2N 70.9W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 10/1800Z 31.2N 69.8W 60 KT 70 MPH
24H 11/0600Z 33.4N 67.2W 65 KT 75 MPH
36H 11/1800Z 37.0N 63.0W 55 KT 65 MPH
48H 12/0600Z 41.5N 56.5W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 13/0600Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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Re: ATL: SEAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#82 Postby TheEuropean » Thu Nov 10, 2011 7:07 am

eye can be clearly seen:

Image
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Re: ATL: SEAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#83 Postby Chickenzilla » Thu Nov 10, 2011 7:58 am

Tropical Storm Sean,2011
Image

Hurricane Shary,2010
Image

Sean looks much better organized than Shary and I think it will become a Category 2 hurricane.
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ATL: SEAN - Recon

#84 Postby brunota2003 » Thu Nov 10, 2011 8:15 am

POD from yesterday:

WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1200 PM EST WED 09 NOVEMBER 2011
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 10/1100Z TO 11/1100Z NOVEMBER 2011
TCPOD NUMBER.....11-162

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. TROPICAL STORM SEAN
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 72
A. 10/1800Z
B. AFXXX 0119A SEAN
C. 10/1345Z
D. 30.5N 69.3W
E. 10/1730Z TO 10/2100Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

FLIGHT TWO -- TEAL 73
A. 11/1200Z
B. AFXXX 0219A SEAN
C. 11/0730Z
D. 33.0N 65.5W
E. 11/1130Z TO 11/1500Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.

NOTES: 1. THE WINTER STORM REQUIREMENTS ARE NEGATIVE.
2. WINTER STORM MISSION FOR THE 10/1200Z CONTROL
TIME WAS CANCELED BY NCEP/NCO AT 09/1455Z.
THE 10/0000Z MISSION WILL PROCEED AS PLANNED.
SEF

REMEMBER: DST is now over, and EST is 5 hours behind UTC! So that 1800Z fix time is no longer 2 pm, but instead is 1 pm!
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Re: ATL: SEAN - Advisories

#85 Postby Macrocane » Thu Nov 10, 2011 10:08 am

TROPICAL STORM SEAN DISCUSSION NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192011
1000 AM EST THU NOV 10 2011

THERE HAS NOT BEEN MUCH CHANGE WITH SEAN OVER THE PAST SEVERAL
HOURS. THE STORM CONTINUES TO SHOW A RAGGED EYE...WITH A MORE
COMPACT APPEARANCE ON SATELLITE THAN YESTERDAY. DVORAK ESTIMATES
REMAIN THE SAME...SO THE INITIAL WIND SPEED WILL REMAIN AT 55 KT.
AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO BE IN
THE CYCLONE AROUND 1800 UTC TO PROVIDE A BETTER ESTIMATE OF THE
INITIAL WINDS. SEAN STILL HAS A DAY OR SO OF MARGINAL WATER
TEMPERATURES AND MODERATE SHEAR LEFT TO INTENSIFY. SOUTHWESTERLY
SHEAR SHOULD NOTABLY INCREASE AFTER THAT TIME...WHICH SHOULD CAUSE
WEAKENING OF THE STORM. MODEL GUIDANCE IS A LITTLE LOWER THAN SIX
HOURS AGO...AND THE NHC FORECAST IS REDUCED FROM THE PREVIOUS ONE.
SEAN COULD STILL BECOME A HURRICANE...ALTHOUGH IT IS NOT EXPLICITLY
FORECAST.

THE STORM HAS MADE THE TURN TO THE NORTHEAST...MOVING ABOUT 035/6.
GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THIS TRACK CONTINUING WITH A
SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED BY FRIDAY MORNING DUE TO AN
APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. THE NEW FORECAST IS BASICALLY AN
UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS ONE...SHOWING THE CYCLONE PASSING A FAIR
DISTANCE NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA. STRONG SHEAR...COOLER WATERS...AND
A COLD FRONT ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IN
ABOUT 36 HOURS...WITH SEAN BECOMING ABSORBED BY THAT FRONT WITHIN
48 HOURS. IT WOULD NOT BE SURPRISING IF SEAN DISSIPATED A LITTLE
FASTER THAN SHOWN BELOW...AS INDICATED BY THE GFS AND UKMET MODELS.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 10/1500Z 30.4N 70.5W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 11/0000Z 31.8N 69.0W 60 KT 70 MPH
24H 11/1200Z 34.7N 65.6W 60 KT 70 MPH
36H 12/0000Z 39.0N 60.0W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48H 12/1200Z...ABSORBED

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
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#86 Postby TheEuropean » Thu Nov 10, 2011 10:40 am

Recon is on the way:

000
URNT15 KNHC 101512
AF309 0119A SEAN HDOB 03 20111110
133530 3027N 08853W 9317 00739 0196 +052 +019 015043 047 /// /// 03
133600 3028N 08851W 8997 01035 0183 +085 +015 350030 034 /// /// 03
133630 3028N 08851W 8997 01035 0173 +092 +013 346026 028 /// /// 03
133700 3029N 08848W 8518 01491 0166 +093 +014 340019 021 /// /// 03
133730 3031N 08846W 8265 01738 0160 +082 +015 331014 017 /// /// 03
133800 3032N 08845W 8030 01974 0153 +072 +016 276015 018 /// /// 03
133830 3033N 08843W 7795 02218 0148 +063 +017 251022 024 /// /// 03
133900 3034N 08841W 7503 02533 0156 +038 +020 261021 022 /// /// 03
133930 3035N 08839W 7222 02854 0176 +011 //// 271024 025 /// /// 05
134000 3036N 08837W 6963 03146 //// -010 //// 283029 032 /// /// 05
134030 3037N 08834W 6738 03409 //// -023 //// 285038 039 /// /// 05
134100 3038N 08832W 6544 03641 //// -033 //// 276039 040 /// /// 05
134130 3039N 08830W 6341 03885 //// -048 //// 272034 036 /// /// 05
134200 3040N 08828W 6128 04160 //// -064 //// 270027 028 /// /// 05
134230 3041N 08826W 5923 04414 //// -080 //// 264023 024 /// /// 05
134300 3042N 08824W 5739 04656 //// -095 //// 256021 022 /// /// 05
134330 3043N 08822W 5577 04878 //// -109 //// 253025 027 /// /// 05
134400 3044N 08820W 5442 05071 0126 -120 //// 257029 029 /// /// 05
134430 3044N 08817W 5358 05186 0127 -125 //// 251031 033 /// /// 05
134500 3044N 08814W 5253 05338 0129 -128 //// 241037 038 /// /// 05
$$
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Re: ATL: SEAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#87 Postby Macrocane » Thu Nov 10, 2011 10:45 am

Let's see if RECON finds a hurricane, this one will be exciting :wink:
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#88 Postby TheEuropean » Thu Nov 10, 2011 11:05 am

000
URNT15 KNHC 101555
AF309 0119A SEAN HDOB 11 20111110
154530 3024N 07506W 3764 07944 0331 -215 -258 276030 030 020 000 00
154600 3024N 07502W 3756 07953 0331 -216 -257 277030 030 020 000 00
154630 3024N 07459W 3759 07950 0331 -215 -258 277030 030 020 000 00
154700 3024N 07456W 3763 07944 0330 -215 -258 279029 030 019 001 00
154730 3024N 07453W 3755 07961 0330 -215 -262 279030 030 021 000 00
154800 3024N 07449W 3762 07945 0329 -215 -255 280030 030 020 000 00
154830 3024N 07446W 3761 07942 0329 -215 -258 282029 030 020 001 00
154900 3024N 07443W 3754 07961 0330 -215 -260 285028 028 023 000 00
154930 3024N 07440W 3765 07939 0330 -213 -257 286028 028 021 000 00
155000 3024N 07437W 3755 07954 0329 -215 -260 286027 028 021 000 00
155030 3024N 07434W 3759 07949 0328 -215 -258 288026 027 020 001 00
155100 3024N 07430W 3758 07950 0329 -215 -265 288027 027 024 000 00
155130 3024N 07427W 3758 07952 0328 -215 -256 286027 027 022 001 00
155200 3024N 07424W 3762 07942 0328 -215 -256 288027 027 023 000 03
155230 3024N 07421W 3755 07952 0327 -215 -262 289027 027 022 000 00
155300 3024N 07418W 3765 07935 0326 -215 -258 287026 027 022 000 00
155330 3024N 07414W 3755 07948 0325 -213 -261 293029 029 021 001 00
155400 3024N 07411W 3759 07947 0325 -210 -259 296029 030 022 001 00
155430 3024N 07408W 3764 07934 0324 -210 -262 296028 028 023 000 03
155500 3024N 07405W 3754 07954 0324 -208 -260 299028 028 023 000 00
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Re: ATL: SEAN - Recon

#89 Postby Macrocane » Thu Nov 10, 2011 11:13 am

Image
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#90 Postby TheEuropean » Thu Nov 10, 2011 11:19 am

000
URNT15 KNHC 101605
AF309 0119A SEAN HDOB 12 20111110
155530 3024N 07402W 3762 07936 0322 -205 -261 299028 029 023 000 00
155600 3024N 07358W 3757 07946 0321 -205 -260 300030 030 024 000 00
155630 3023N 07355W 3758 07943 0322 -205 -261 301030 030 024 000 03
155700 3023N 07352W 3762 07934 0321 -205 -260 301031 031 024 000 03
155730 3023N 07349W 3755 07950 0321 -205 -260 302032 032 025 000 03
155800 3023N 07346W 3762 07934 0321 -205 -260 303032 032 025 001 00
155830 3023N 07343W 3755 07945 0321 -205 -260 303031 032 026 000 00
155900 3023N 07339W 3762 07938 0321 -205 -260 303031 031 025 001 00
155930 3023N 07336W 3762 07933 0319 -205 -260 303031 031 026 000 00
160000 3023N 07333W 3755 07945 0319 -205 -260 304031 031 025 000 00
160030 3023N 07330W 3762 07931 0319 -204 -260 306031 031 027 000 00
160100 3023N 07327W 3758 07943 0319 -204 -260 307032 032 026 001 00
160130 3023N 07324W 3758 07942 0318 -203 -261 308031 031 027 001 00
160200 3023N 07320W 3762 07932 0318 -201 -260 308030 031 028 000 00
160230 3023N 07317W 3757 07944 0318 -201 -261 309030 031 027 001 00
160300 3023N 07314W 3761 07931 0317 -200 -260 311032 032 027 001 00
160330 3023N 07311W 3758 07936 0316 -200 -260 315032 032 027 001 00
160400 3023N 07308W 3759 07934 0314 -200 -260 317031 032 027 001 00
160430 3023N 07305W 3758 07940 0313 -200 -259 318031 032 028 001 00
160500 3023N 07301W 3758 07934 0311 -200 -260 316034 035 028 000 00

000
URNT15 KNHC 101615
AF309 0119A SEAN HDOB 13 20111110
160530 3023N 07258W 3758 07930 0308 -199 -260 314037 037 029 000 03
160600 3023N 07255W 3762 07921 0306 -198 -260 314038 038 028 001 00
160630 3023N 07252W 3758 07929 0308 -199 -260 317037 038 029 002 03
160700 3023N 07249W 3759 07925 0308 -200 -259 316037 038 029 002 00
160730 3023N 07246W 3758 07930 0308 -200 -259 314038 038 029 001 00
160800 3023N 07242W 3759 07928 0306 -199 -260 316038 039 029 002 00
160830 3022N 07239W 3759 07922 0303 -199 -260 315040 040 028 003 00
160900 3022N 07236W 3758 07925 0303 -198 -260 317040 041 027 000 00
160930 3022N 07233W 3759 07923 0303 -196 -258 318041 041 027 000 00
161000 3022N 07230W 3761 07924 0303 -195 -260 321041 041 025 002 00
161030 3022N 07226W 3758 07929 0304 -196 -259 322041 042 026 001 00
161100 3022N 07223W 3759 07924 0302 -201 -261 319040 042 029 001 00
161130 3022N 07220W 3758 07924 0301 -201 -261 318041 042 029 004 00
161200 3022N 07217W 3761 07918 0300 -205 -263 315043 044 028 002 00
161230 3022N 07214W 3758 07928 0299 -205 -266 313044 045 026 000 00
161300 3022N 07210W 3761 07910 0296 -205 -267 312046 046 026 001 00
161330 3022N 07207W 3761 07917 0296 -205 -269 312046 047 026 001 00
161400 3022N 07204W 3755 07924 0294 -208 -276 312048 048 026 000 00
161430 3022N 07200W 3759 07916 0293 -209 -273 313048 049 026 001 00
161500 3022N 07157W 3763 07904 0292 -211 -281 317045 047 027 001 00
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#91 Postby TheEuropean » Thu Nov 10, 2011 11:28 am

000
URNT15 KNHC 101625
AF309 0119A SEAN HDOB 14 20111110
161530 3021N 07154W 3759 07909 0291 -210 -279 321042 042 027 001 00
161600 3021N 07151W 3755 07918 0290 -210 -287 317045 046 027 001 00
161630 3021N 07148W 3762 07903 0289 -207 -287 318044 045 028 000 03
161700 3021N 07144W 3759 07907 0286 -209 -276 319044 044 029 001 03
161730 3021N 07141W 3759 07903 0287 -205 -296 322043 043 030 001 00
161800 3021N 07138W 3758 07909 0287 -205 -279 324042 043 031 000 00
161830 3021N 07135W 3758 07905 0285 -205 -287 325042 043 030 001 03
161900 3021N 07132W 3762 07892 0283 -205 -284 324042 043 031 000 03
161930 3021N 07129W 3757 07910 0282 -206 -277 322041 041 032 002 00
162000 3021N 07125W 3759 07899 0282 -204 -282 322042 042 032 001 00
162030 3021N 07122W 3758 07903 0280 -201 -277 322043 043 033 001 00
162100 3021N 07119W 3759 07900 0280 -198 -277 323043 043 032 001 00
162130 3020N 07116W 3758 07899 0276 -195 -281 321045 046 032 001 00
162200 3020N 07113W 3761 07891 0273 -196 -275 314047 048 032 002 00
162230 3020N 07109W 3757 07894 0271 -200 -274 316043 044 032 001 00
162300 3020N 07106W 3762 07895 0269 -200 -267 327042 044 032 002 00
162330 3020N 07103W 3759 07885 0266 -199 -248 345032 033 034 001 00
162400 3020N 07100W 3758 07884 0261 -194 -266 351033 034 /// /// 03
162430 3019N 07057W 3757 07882 0256 -196 -256 349035 035 037 001 03
162500 3017N 07055W 3758 07872 0254 -200 -263 339035 035 039 002 00
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Re: ATL: SEAN - Recon

#92 Postby Macrocane » Thu Nov 10, 2011 11:36 am

Image
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#93 Postby TheEuropean » Thu Nov 10, 2011 11:46 am

000
URNT15 KNHC 101635
AF309 0119A SEAN HDOB 15 20111110
162530 3016N 07052W 3758 07871 0250 -202 -251 325035 037 042 003 00
162600 3014N 07049W 3760 07866 0247 -198 -250 320036 037 043 005 00
162630 3013N 07046W 3759 07867 0247 -186 -247 324035 036 044 005 00
162700 3012N 07043W 3761 07860 0243 -184 -238 326044 050 045 004 00
162730 3010N 07041W 3775 07831 0243 -181 -223 316043 044 045 006 00
162800 3009N 07038W 3753 07869 0240 -185 -226 312052 053 044 007 03
162830 3007N 07035W 3763 07847 0234 -180 -219 309055 056 044 006 03
162900 3006N 07033W 3760 07855 0234 -179 -211 306056 056 044 005 00
162930 3005N 07030W 3757 07851 0234 -180 -214 305058 058 045 004 00
163000 3003N 07027W 3759 07848 0233 -184 -206 304055 058 045 004 00
163030 3002N 07024W 3760 07856 0234 -181 -210 298052 053 046 005 00
163100 3000N 07022W 3758 07859 0235 -182 -201 297050 051 046 007 00
163130 2959N 07019W 3759 07858 0238 -191 -203 294046 048 047 008 00
163200 2958N 07017W 3756 07862 0241 -184 -196 289047 048 047 008 00
163230 2956N 07014W 3765 07855 0243 -183 -190 289046 047 046 004 00
163300 2955N 07011W 3761 07860 0244 -188 //// 285044 045 044 004 01
163330 2954N 07009W 3754 07876 0248 -190 //// 278042 044 045 004 01
163400 2952N 07006W 3762 07861 0249 -190 //// 278043 044 045 003 01
163430 2951N 07004W 3761 07867 0252 -193 //// 276043 044 045 004 01
163500 2950N 07001W 3761 07874 0254 -195 //// 266042 043 046 006 01
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Re: ATL: SEAN - Recon

#94 Postby wxman57 » Thu Nov 10, 2011 11:47 am

That appears to be a very old satellite image on that graphic above, Macrocane. The plane passed southwest of the center and was at a flight level of about 26,000ft. It's just starting to descend now:

Image
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#95 Postby TheEuropean » Thu Nov 10, 2011 11:48 am

000
URNT15 KNHC 101645
AF309 0119A SEAN HDOB 16 20111110
163530 2948N 06958W 3882 07650 0245 -180 -194 263044 044 046 008 00
163600 2947N 06956W 4038 07344 0226 -161 -188 256042 043 046 005 03
163630 2946N 06953W 4245 06969 0205 -136 -182 252044 047 /// /// 03
163700 2944N 06951W 4451 06601 0184 -123 -173 240051 053 044 005 03
163730 2943N 06948W 4658 06255 0164 -101 -171 235054 055 042 001 03
163800 2941N 06945W 4884 05891 0144 -066 -165 237044 046 /// /// 03
163830 2940N 06943W 5111 05531 0119 -062 -163 256051 054 /// /// 03
163900 2939N 06940W 5326 05212 0103 -049 -144 255046 048 /// /// 03
163930 2937N 06937W 5551 04879 9938 -028 -139 246048 051 /// /// 03
164000 2936N 06935W 5761 04571 9938 -016 -125 242049 051 /// /// 03
164030 2935N 06932W 6008 04271 9971 -002 -116 239050 052 /// /// 03
164100 2933N 06930W 6256 03943 9998 +014 -104 234048 049 /// /// 03
164130 2932N 06928W 6516 03614 9982 +042 -093 232046 047 /// /// 03
164200 2931N 06925W 6765 03304 9990 +058 -086 229044 044 /// /// 03
164230 2930N 06923W 7017 03003 9992 +071 -074 232044 045 /// /// 03
164300 2929N 06921W 7268 02710 9983 +093 -063 231045 046 /// /// 03
164330 2927N 06919W 7546 02396 9981 +114 -047 230046 046 /// /// 03
164400 2926N 06917W 7836 02083 9992 +125 -034 231046 047 /// /// 03
164430 2925N 06915W 8095 01810 9991 +143 -017 231046 047 033 000 03
164500 2924N 06913W 8133 01768 9990 +143 +006 230047 047 033 001 00

descending to operational height
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Re: ATL: SEAN - Recon

#96 Postby Macrocane » Thu Nov 10, 2011 11:49 am

That's why it looked so weird, thanks wman57!
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Re: ATL: SEAN - Recon

#97 Postby wxman57 » Thu Nov 10, 2011 11:58 am

Image
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#98 Postby TheEuropean » Thu Nov 10, 2011 11:58 am

000
URNT15 KNHC 101655
AF309 0119A SEAN HDOB 17 20111110
164530 2923N 06911W 8115 01789 9987 +146 +015 230046 046 032 001 03
164600 2922N 06909W 8118 01785 9987 +147 +022 229045 045 034 000 03
164630 2921N 06907W 8121 01782 9989 +146 +028 229045 045 035 001 03
164700 2920N 06905W 8121 01784 9990 +145 +035 227045 045 034 001 03
164730 2919N 06903W 8117 01790 9990 +147 +040 228046 046 036 002 00
164800 2918N 06901W 8121 01787 9992 +144 +045 229045 045 035 001 03
164830 2917N 06859W 8119 01788 9995 +145 +050 227043 044 035 001 03
164900 2916N 06857W 8117 01793 9997 +142 +054 227044 044 033 001 03
164930 2915N 06856W 8119 01792 0000 +141 +058 227044 044 033 000 00
165000 2914N 06854W 8128 01789 0004 +143 +061 226043 044 /// /// 03
165030 2913N 06855W 8118 01801 0006 +140 +064 222040 041 /// /// 03
165100 2915N 06856W 8118 01794 0001 +140 +066 221040 040 /// /// 03
165130 2916N 06857W 8118 01790 9995 +143 +066 224040 040 033 002 03
165200 2917N 06858W 8121 01787 9994 +142 +066 222039 039 033 001 00
165230 2919N 06859W 8119 01788 9993 +142 +065 224040 040 033 002 00
165300 2920N 06901W 8119 01786 9989 +145 +065 224040 040 033 001 00
165330 2921N 06902W 8118 01788 9986 +146 +065 224041 041 033 002 00
165400 2922N 06903W 8119 01785 9985 +147 +065 223040 040 032 001 00
165430 2923N 06905W 8121 01782 9986 +145 +066 223041 042 033 000 00
165500 2925N 06906W 8119 01783 9984 +145 +066 225042 042 033 000 00

Somebody please take over the obs, thanks.
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wxman57
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Re: ATL: SEAN - Recon

#99 Postby wxman57 » Thu Nov 10, 2011 12:13 pm

I can post for a short time. Have to go in 15 min.

Highest unflagged SFMR wind 37 kts in SE quadrant.

028
URNT15 KNHC 101705
AF309 0119A SEAN HDOB 18 20111110
165530 2926N 06907W 8118 01782 9985 +143 +066 225041 042 033 001 00
165600 2927N 06909W 8121 01776 9983 +141 +066 225042 043 032 002 00
165630 2928N 06910W 8119 01775 9978 +148 +065 222041 041 032 001 00
165700 2929N 06911W 8121 01778 9981 +142 +065 223042 043 033 001 00
165730 2930N 06913W 8117 01777 9980 +140 +066 224044 045 032 000 00
165800 2932N 06914W 8119 01775 9979 +140 +065 226044 044 032 000 03
165830 2933N 06915W 8117 01776 9980 +137 +065 226043 043 034 002 00
165900 2934N 06917W 8114 01777 9978 +137 +065 224043 043 034 003 00
165930 2935N 06918W 8126 01765 9975 +139 +065 224044 044 033 004 00
170000 2936N 06919W 8116 01772 9974 +138 +065 227045 046 034 001 00
170030 2937N 06921W 8119 01766 9970 +139 +064 227045 046 035 002 00
170100 2939N 06922W 8123 01761 9967 +141 +064 227046 046 035 002 00
170130 2940N 06923W 8111 01772 9965 +140 +064 228046 047 033 002 00
170200 2941N 06924W 8122 01761 9966 +138 +064 228045 046 034 002 03
170230 2942N 06926W 8117 01762 9970 +128 +065 227045 045 034 004 00
170300 2943N 06927W 8115 01764 9962 +137 +064 225044 044 035 003 00
170330 2944N 06928W 8127 01747 9962 +136 +062 226047 048 035 005 00
170400 2946N 06930W 8110 01762 9956 +140 +060 227047 047 035 005 00
170430 2947N 06931W 8116 01757 9959 +132 +060 226050 051 037 003 00
170500 2948N 06932W 8118 01748 9954 +135 +061 233049 049 039 003 00
$$
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Re: ATL: SEAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#100 Postby Epsilon_Fan » Thu Nov 10, 2011 12:16 pm

It's getting a fairly compact shape, the convection is basically where the eyewall is and the eye feature is relatively large.

Go Epsilon Jr., Go!
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