SPAC: Tropical Depression 02F

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Chacor
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SPAC: Tropical Depression 02F

#1 Postby Chacor » Fri Dec 30, 2011 8:18 am

Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Dec 30/0847 UTC 2011 UTC.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TD02F CENTRE [1002HPA] ANALYSED NEAR 20.0S 160.0W
AT 300600 UTC SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT IR. SST
AROUND 28 DEGREES.

ORGANISATION HAS NOT IMPROVED SIGNIFICANTLY AND CONVECTION REMAINS
PERSISTENT IN THE PAST 24 HOURS. CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS FROM SURFACE
TO 700HPA. THE SYSTEM LIES UNDER AN UPPER DIFFLUENT REGION AND HIGHLY
SHEARED ENVIRONMENT.

GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND ARE SLOWLY MOVING IT
SOUTHEASTWARD WITH LITTLE INTENSIFICATION.

POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE
NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS LOW.

NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE
AREA.
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Chickenzilla
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Re: SPAC: Tropical Depression 02F

#2 Postby Chickenzilla » Fri Dec 30, 2011 11:22 am

Is TD 02F this?
Image
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Chacor
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#3 Postby Chacor » Fri Dec 30, 2011 11:25 am

Fairly plausibly, yes. Fiji likes to analyse random lows within fronts and troughs as TDs, from past experience.
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#4 Postby Chacor » Sat Dec 31, 2011 7:41 am

Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Dec 31/0851 UTC 2011 UTC.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TD02F CENTRE [1004HPA] ANALYSED NEAR 21.0S 157.0W
AT 310600 UTC SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT IR IMAGERY
AND PERIPHERAL OBSERVATIONS. SST AROUND 28 DEGREES.

ORGANISATION HAS NOT IMPROVED SIGNIFICANTLY AND CONVECTION REMAINS
PERSISTENT IN THE PAST 24 HOURS. CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS FROM SURFACE
TO 700HPA. THE SYSTEM LIES UNDER AN UPPER DIFFLUENT REGION AND HIGHLY
SHEARED ENVIRONMENT.

GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND ARE SLOWLY MOVING IT
SOUTHEASTWARD WITH LITTLE INTENSIFICATION.

POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE
NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS LOW.

NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE
AREA.
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Grifforzer
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#5 Postby Grifforzer » Sat Dec 31, 2011 4:28 pm

heh

all the marine warnings states "tropical disturbance 02F" while tropical disturbance summary state tropical depression.
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