WPAC: INVEST 93W

[Nancy Smar]

93W INVEST 200326 0000 2.5N 152.8E WPAC 10 1008

[Hayabusa]

First mention of an invest this year...?

ABPW10 PGTW 260600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/260600Z-270600ZMAR2020//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 2.5N
152.8E, APPROXIMATELY 288 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD, WEAK LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH LIMITED FLARING DEEP CONVECTION OVERHEAD. A
252302Z METOP-B ASCAT PASS REVEAL ELONGATED TROUGHING SURROUNDED BY
5 TO 10 KNOT WINDS. 93W IS CURRENTLY IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH
EXCELLENT POLEWARD OUTFLOW, LOW (5 TO 10 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR,
AND WARM (29 TO 30 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE. GLOBAL MODELS
ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93W WILL TRACK GENERALLY WESTWARD WITH
MINIMAL INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.

[mrbagyo]

[Hayabusa]

ABPW10 PGTW 290600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/290600Z-300600ZMAR2020//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 3.0N 145.0E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

Got duped again by the GFS, another nothingburger like that one.