BoB: INVEST 90B


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Imran_doomhaMwx
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BoB: INVEST 90B

#1 Postby Imran_doomhaMwx » Sat Nov 11, 2017 9:28 pm

Off the east coast of South India...
90B INVEST 171111 1800 12.3N 82.9E IO 15 1010

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Imran_doomhaMwx
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Re: BoB: INVEST 90B

#2 Postby Imran_doomhaMwx » Sat Nov 11, 2017 10:15 pm

The global models don't develop it much as it heads north towards India's Andhra Pradesh state, most probably a Tropical Depression or minimal TS at most...

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Re: BoB: INVEST 90B

#3 Postby Imran_doomhaMwx » Wed Nov 15, 2017 4:45 am

25kts Tropical Depression by NRL/JTWC...
90B INVEST 171115 0600 15.8N 84.2E IO 25 1002

The system is not well-organized, with convection being sheared to the north and leaving the Low-Level Circulation Center exposed, while a recent ASCAT pass showed an elongated circulation with Tropical Depression-threshold winds.

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Re: BoB: INVEST 90B

#4 Postby Imran_doomhaMwx » Wed Nov 15, 2017 4:59 am

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Development into a Tropical Storm seems unlikely, but it will continue dumping heavy rainfall to northern Andhra Pradesh, parts of Odisha, and in some parts of West Bengal during the next couple of days, with totals of 200mm+ possible in some places.

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