Hayabusa wrote:JTWC is forecasting and the models (GFS) this Veronica to be a cat 5, which is slightly surprising as the OHC isn't much compared to Trevor's path, but then again there was Wutip that made an example. SSTs are a factor too but Trevor's SST path is more than Veronica's
The heat potential of the ocean is actually much larger in Veronica's path compared to Trevor's due to the Gulf of Carpentaria being very shallow:
It doesn't really make a difference though since the MPI for both areas is at or above Tip/Patricia's intensity levels: