WPAC: SANBA - Post-Tropical

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Re: WPAC: SANBA - Typhoon

#121 Postby P.K. » Thu Sep 13, 2012 1:54 pm

Yes the highest winds and lowest centre pressure since Megi in 2010.
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Re: WPAC: SANBA - Typhoon

#122 Postby mrbagyo » Thu Sep 13, 2012 2:00 pm

THE PHILIPPINE SEA NEVER FAILS TO AMAZE EVERYONE!! WHAT A MONSTER TYPHOON
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#123 Postby Extratropical94 » Thu Sep 13, 2012 2:01 pm

18Z NRL update:

17WSANBA.150kts-911mb-172N-1297E
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Re: WPAC: SANBA - Typhoon

#124 Postby DukeDevil91 » Thu Sep 13, 2012 2:06 pm

Any guesses on how strong she will get? I'll say 160 knots around noon eastern.
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Re: WPAC: SANBA - Typhoon

#125 Postby Meow » Thu Sep 13, 2012 2:11 pm

DukeDevil91 wrote:Any guesses on how strong she will get? I'll say 160 knots around noon eastern.

Sanba means Paul the Apostle, so it is a male.. :cheesy:
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Re: WPAC: SANBA - Typhoon

#126 Postby DukeDevil91 » Thu Sep 13, 2012 2:16 pm

Meow wrote:
DukeDevil91 wrote:Any guesses on how strong she will get? I'll say 160 knots around noon eastern.

Sanba means Paul the Apostle, so it is a male.. :cheesy:


but..but... i thought her name was Karen :(
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#127 Postby SouthDadeFish » Thu Sep 13, 2012 2:22 pm

A true monster:

Image
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Re: WPAC: SANBA - Typhoon

#128 Postby mrbagyo » Thu Sep 13, 2012 2:27 pm

DukeDevil91 wrote:
Meow wrote:
DukeDevil91 wrote:Any guesses on how strong she will get? I'll say 160 knots around noon eastern.

Sanba means Paul the Apostle, so it is a male.. :cheesy:


but..but... i thought her name was Karen :(


yeah , that's right, Karen is the local name given by PAGASA- which is a feminine name.

Paul or Karen, Female or Male, It doesn't matter, this is a Monster, Beautiful Monster...
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Re: WPAC: SANBA - Typhoon

#129 Postby hurricanes1234 » Thu Sep 13, 2012 2:33 pm

Great 900 mbar storm!!! Will it be able to go below 900 mbar? If so, that'll be the first below-900 mbar storm I've ever tracked!!! :jump: :jump: :jump:
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Re: WPAC: SANBA - Typhoon

#130 Postby P.K. » Thu Sep 13, 2012 2:33 pm

Couple more of the 18Z advisories:

CMA

** WTPQ20 BABJ 131800 ***
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
SuperTY SANBA 1216 (1216) INITIAL TIME 131800 UTC
00HR 17.1N 129.7E 915HPA 60M/S
30KTS 350KM
50KTS 150KM
P12HR N 15KM/H
P+24HR 20.5N 129.1E 905HPA 65M/S
P+48HR 24.7N 127.8E 915HPA 60M/S
P+72HR 29.8N 126.7E 940HPA 48M/S
P+96HR 36.3N 127.1E 955HPA 40M/S
P+120HR 43.2N 130.9E 992HPA 20M/S=

---

KMA

** WTKO20 RKSL 131800 ***
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 12
NAME 1216 SANBA
ANALYSIS
POSITION 131800UTC 17.2N 129.7E
MOVEMENT N 9KT
PRES/VMAX 915HPA 105KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 141800UTC 21.1N 128.3E WITHIN 80NM
PRES/VMAX 910HPA 109KT
48HR
POSITION 151800UTC 25.4N 127.4E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 925HPA 99KT
72HR
POSITION 161800UTC 30.6N 126.9E WITHIN 215NM
PRES/VMAX 945HPA 87KT
96HR
POSITION 171800UTC 36.8N 127.5E WITHIN 295NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 70KT
120HR
POSITION 181800UTC 44.6N 130.9E WITHIN 380NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

---

CWB

1800UTC 13 September 2012
Center Location 17.2N 129.7E
Movement N 17km/hr
Minimum Pressure 915 hpa
Maximum Wind Speed 53 m/s
Gust 65 m/s
Radius of 15m/s 200km
Radius of 25m/s 80km
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#131 Postby Meow » Thu Sep 13, 2012 3:06 pm

JTWC: 150 knots

Image

WTPN31 PGTW 132100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. SUPER TYPHOON 17W (SANBA) WARNING NR 013
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
131800Z --- NEAR 17.2N 129.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 005 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.2N 129.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 19.1N 129.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 21.1N 129.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 22.9N 128.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 25.4N 127.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 32.0N 127.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z --- 38.9N 128.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 22 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z --- 47.2N 133.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
132100Z POSITION NEAR 17.7N 129.7E.
SUPER TYPHOON 17W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 565 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED
NORTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z IS 50 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 140300Z, 140900Z, 141500Z AND 142100Z.//
NNNN
Last edited by Meow on Thu Sep 13, 2012 3:12 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#132 Postby Extratropical94 » Thu Sep 13, 2012 3:10 pm

155 kt forecast with gusts of 190kt!
That´s 220 mph or 350 kph, UNBELIEVABLE!
You don't even get tornadoes with such high wind speeds too often.

EDIT: PAGASA is sleeping ... AGAIN!
They carry Sanba at 165 kph sustained with 200 kph gusts (90/110 kt) and a central pressure of 954 mbars. Hello? Wake up please... :roll:

I remember them being that stubborn back in 2010 with Megi. Hard to believe that they are one of the official agencies and not the JTWC.
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Re: WPAC: SANBA - Typhoon

#133 Postby hurricanes1234 » Thu Sep 13, 2012 3:39 pm

What a glorious storm - this is the kind of Category 5 I've been waiting a whole year for. This has truly been an interesting and active wPac season so far, surpassing all the other seasons with its favorable environment, particularly the depressing and dead Central Pacific. :)
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Re: WPAC: SANBA - Typhoon

#134 Postby HurricaneAndrew92 » Thu Sep 13, 2012 3:46 pm

Utterly beautiful, no words explain its beauty to amateurs and pros.

Image
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#135 Postby SouthDadeFish » Thu Sep 13, 2012 3:51 pm

What 150 knots looks like on IR:

Image

And WV:

Image
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Re: WPAC: SANBA - Typhoon

#136 Postby Macrocane » Thu Sep 13, 2012 4:12 pm

I can't believe it, Sanba is such a beautiful monster!! :eek:
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Re: WPAC: SANBA - Typhoon

#137 Postby hurricanes1234 » Thu Sep 13, 2012 4:47 pm

Pure majestic beauty! ♪♪♪
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#138 Postby Janie2006 » Thu Sep 13, 2012 5:15 pm

You don't see storms like that very often, although you find them more frequently in the Pacific than the Atlantic, for several reasons. Very impressive tropical cyclone. 150kts and the attendant storm surge would nicely erase your infrastructure.
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Re: WPAC: SANBA - Typhoon

#139 Postby HurricaneAndrew92 » Thu Sep 13, 2012 5:19 pm

Is she he/she still strengthening?
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Re: WPAC: SANBA - Typhoon

#140 Postby Weatherguy173 » Thu Sep 13, 2012 5:26 pm

this storm is a beast! does anyone have the most recent pressure reading?
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