ATL: ALBERTO - Post-Tropical

[gotoman38]

URNT15 KNHC 212128
AF307 0201A ALBERTO HDOB 36 20120521
212000 3118N 07958W 6308 03953 0108 +005 -171 306013 015 /// /// 03
212030 3118N 08000W 6026 04317 0104 -018 -193 314019 019 /// /// 03
212100 3117N 08002W 5763 04666 0108 -045 -217 310019 019 /// /// 03
212130 3117N 08004W 5522 05000 0116 -070 -279 309017 019 /// /// 03
212200 3117N 08006W 5308 05306 0177 -088 -322 295018 019 /// /// 03
212230 3116N 08008W 5090 05629 0189 -098 -391 289022 023 /// /// 03
212300 3116N 08010W 4896 05927 0200 -114 -426 282023 023 /// /// 03
212330 3116N 08013W 4724 06201 0212 -132 -310 286019 022 /// /// 03
212400 3115N 08015W 4600 06403 0221 -148 -290 282013 015 /// /// 03
212430 3115N 08017W 4477 06607 0229 -161 -360 285010 011 /// /// 03
212500 3115N 08019W 4351 06822 0238 -178 -316 287010 011 /// /// 03
212530 3114N 08022W 4223 07045 0247 -195 -295 283010 010 /// /// 03
212600 3114N 08024W 4104 07262 0260 -212 -329 278008 009 /// /// 03
212630 3113N 08026W 3985 07481 0272 -227 -365 253009 010 /// /// 03
212700 3113N 08029W 3926 07597 0283 -239 -366 245010 010 /// /// 03
212730 3113N 08031W 3922 07614 0290 -243 -354 249009 010 /// /// 03
212800 3112N 08034W 3923 07615 0295 -242 -352 242009 009 /// /// 03
212830 3112N 08037W 3925 07618 0300 -241 -341 241009 009 /// /// 03
212900 3111N 08040W 3925 07621 0303 -245 -345 250009 009 /// /// 03
212930 3111N 08043W 3927 07618 0303 -245 -345 248009 009 /// /// 03
$$

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Thats awesome that they are getting data from the yachts lol. I bet they are loving the tailwind

[gotoman38]

URNT15 KNHC 212138
AF307 0201A ALBERTO HDOB 37 20120521
213000 3110N 08046W 3925 07624 0307 -245 -353 228009 009 /// /// 03
213030 3110N 08049W 3925 07624 0308 -245 -372 232009 010 /// /// 03
213100 3110N 08049W 3925 07624 0309 -245 -391 234011 011 /// /// 03
213130 3109N 08056W 3926 07626 0309 -245 -391 231010 011 /// /// 03
213200 3108N 08059W 3925 07627 0309 -245 -368 230011 011 /// /// 03
213230 3107N 08102W 3926 07626 0309 -244 -399 236012 013 /// /// 03
213300 3106N 08105W 3926 07623 0309 -240 -435 251013 013 000 001 03
213330 3105N 08108W 3926 07623 0309 -240 -468 255013 013 000 002 03
213400 3104N 08110W 3924 07627 0308 -240 -480 263014 015 000 002 03
213430 3103N 08113W 3925 07627 0309 -240 -483 271017 018 000 001 03
213500 3102N 08116W 3927 07622 0310 -241 -492 272017 017 000 002 03
213530 3100N 08119W 3926 07627 0311 -241 -505 275019 020 001 000 03
213600 3059N 08122W 3926 07624 0310 -244 -518 277020 020 015 000 03
213630 3058N 08125W 3927 07622 0310 -244 -527 274021 022 084 008 03
213700 3057N 08128W 3927 07621 0309 -240 -534 274020 021 /// /// 03
213730 3056N 08130W 3927 07624 0310 -240 -538 275020 020 /// /// 03
213800 3055N 08133W 3926 07628 0312 -239 -541 266022 022 /// /// 03
213830 3054N 08136W 3926 07626 0310 -240 -542 273022 023 /// /// 03
213900 3053N 08139W 3929 07619 0309 -240 -542 272019 021 /// /// 03
213930 3053N 08142W 3926 07624 0309 -241 -544 272018 020 /// /// 03
$$

[gotoman38]

URNT15 KNHC 212148
AF307 0201A ALBERTO HDOB 38 20120521
214000 3053N 08145W 3925 07629 0311 -240 -546 270021 022 /// /// 03
214030 3053N 08148W 3929 07622 0310 -237 -526 267022 023 /// /// 03
214100 3053N 08151W 3925 07628 0310 -240 -499 265022 022 /// /// 03
214130 3053N 08154W 3925 07626 0309 -240 -491 267022 022 /// /// 03
214200 3053N 08157W 3927 07621 0308 -240 -475 267022 022 /// /// 03
214230 3052N 08201W 3925 07626 0308 -241 -476 266022 022 /// /// 03
214300 3052N 08204W 3927 07621 0308 -242 -481 267022 022 /// /// 03
214330 3052N 08207W 3926 07624 0308 -241 -478 266022 022 /// /// 03
214400 3052N 08210W 3926 07624 0308 -240 -476 266022 023 /// /// 03
214430 3052N 08213W 3926 07622 0309 -244 -479 266023 023 /// /// 03
214500 3052N 08216W 3925 07627 0309 -245 -477 267024 024 /// /// 03
214530 3052N 08219W 3926 07622 0308 -245 -472 269024 024 /// /// 03
214600 3052N 08222W 3926 07624 0308 -245 -469 270024 025 /// /// 03
214630 3051N 08225W 3926 07623 0308 -245 -458 270024 024 /// /// 03
214700 3051N 08228W 3926 07622 0307 -245 -464 272024 024 /// /// 03
214730 3051N 08231W 3926 07621 0306 -244 -470 271024 024 /// /// 03
214800 3051N 08234W 3926 07621 0305 -245 -474 270023 023 /// /// 03
214830 3051N 08237W 3926 07619 0305 -245 -478 269022 022 /// /// 03
214900 3051N 08240W 3926 07618 0304 -245 -478 269021 022 /// /// 03
214930 3051N 08243W 3925 07622 0305 -245 -480 270021 021 /// /// 03
$$

[gotoman38]

000
URNT11 KNHC 212152
97779 21484 20309 82600 73100 27022 75981 /5749
RMK AF307 0201A ALBERTO OB 14
last report
;

[gotoman38]

*IF* they go ...

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL70
A. 22/1800Z
B. AFXXX 0301A ALBERTO
C. 22/1500Z
D. 33.5N 74.3W
E. 22/1700Z TO 22/2100Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

[tolakram]

Game over.

[AHS2011]

look on the bright side, there's a much healthier looking system in the Caribbean.......any thoughts?

[cycloneye]

look on the bright side, there's a much healthier looking system in the Caribbean.......any thoughts?

There is a topic at Talking Tropics forum about that area of interest so you can make comments about the system over there.

viewtopic.php?f=31&t=112769&p=2224105#p2224105

[AHS2011]

thanks for the link

[cycloneye]

Well,the final requiem for Alberto. But,it racked some ACE numbers for the North Atlantic.

AL, 01, 2012052200, , BEST, 0, 307N, 771W, 30, 1008, TD

http://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/inve ... 012.invest

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALBERTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012012
1100 PM EDT MON MAY 21 2012

STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS FINALLY TAKING ITS TOLL
ON ALBERTO. THE ONLY DEEP CONVECTION REMAINING IS RESTRICTED TO THE
NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE DEPRESSION AND BARELY MEETS THE CRITERIA
TO KEEP ALBERTO CLASSIFIED AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE. THE INITIAL
INTENSITY IS LOWERED TO 30 KT BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY
ESTIMATES OF T2.0 FROM TAFB AND T1.5 FROM SAB. THE LAST RECON PASS
THROUGH ALBERTO AROUND 21Z INDICATED THE STRONGEST SURFACE AND
FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS WERE LOCATED IN THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT...AND THE
LACK OF CONVECTION IN THAT PART OF THE CYCLONE FURTHER JUSTIFIES
DOWNGRADING ALBERTO TO DEPRESSION STATUS. NOAA BUOY 41002 DIRECTLY
AHEAD OF ALBERTO SHOULD PROVIDE SOME GROUND TRUTH LATER TONIGHT.

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 065/11. ALTHOUGH ALBERTO HAS BEEN
MOVING MORE EASTWARD OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS...THE CYCLONE APPEARS TO
BE STARTING TO GAIN SOME LATITUDE. THE NEW TRACK FORECAST HAS BEEN
SHIFTED TO THE EAST OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY DUE TO THE MORE
EASTWARD INITIAL POSITION. OTHERWISE THERE IS NO CHANGE TO THE
PREVIOUS FORECAST REASONING. A DEEPENING MID-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE
SOUTHEASTERN U.S. IS FORECAST TO MOVE TO THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...WHICH SHOULD CAUSE ALBERTO TO
GRADUALLY ACCELERATE TO THE NORTHEAST. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST
IS CLOSE TO A BLEND OF THE ECMWF...UKMET...AND GFS MODELS...WHICH
KEEP THE CYCLONE WELL OFFSHORE OF THE U.S. EAST COAST.

INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OF MORE THAN 50 KT AHEAD OF THE
AFOREMENTIONED DEEPENING TROUGH...ALONG WITH SSTS DECREASING TO
LESS THAN 22C...SHOULD CONTINUE THE RECENT WEAKENING TREND...AND IT
IS POSSIBLE THAT ALBERTO COULD DEGENERATE INTO A POST-TROPICAL
CYCLONE SOONER THAN INDICATED IN THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 22/0300Z 30.9N 76.5W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 22/1200Z 32.1N 75.0W 30 KT 35 MPH
24H 23/0000Z 34.2N 72.4W 30 KT 35 MPH
36H 23/1200Z 36.3N 70.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48H 24/0000Z 38.3N 67.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 25/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

[Blown Away]

Yeah, and for all of the folks like me that bet the "over" in the number of storms poll, that bet is off to a good start! Thanks Alberto!

[tolakram]

Where's Alberto?

[wxman57]

Final advisory in another hour, most likely. There's nothing left of Alberto.

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALBERTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012012
500 AM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

GOES-E SHORTWAVE AND ENHANCED BD-CURVE INFRARED IMAGERY SHOW BANDING
REDEVELOPMENT DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS OVER THE NORTHERN PORTION OF
THE CYCLONE. ALTHOUGH THIS DEEP CONVECTIVE BAND IS MORE THAN
LIKELY TEMPORARY...GIVEN THE HOSTILE WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT...I
HAVE ELECTED TO MAINTAIN ALBERTO AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOR THIS
ADVISORY. NOAA BUOY 41002 LOCATED ABOUT 65 NMI EAST-NORTHEAST OF
THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION REPORTED A PEAK 1-MINUTE WIND OF 33 KT.
STRONG 50-60 KT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND DECREASING SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES OF 22 DEGREES CELSIUS OR LESS SHOULD PROMOTE FURTHER
WEAKENING AND ULTIMATELY DISSIPATION IN ABOUT 2 DAYS.

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 045/13. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED
TO ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARD DURING THE NEXT 36-48 HOURS BEFORE
DISSIPATION IN RESPONSE TO AN AMPLIFYING MID-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE
EASTERN UNITED STATES. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS CLOSE TO THE
PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK AND THE GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS...ALL OF
WHICH SHOW DISSIPATION IN LESS THAN 48 HOURS.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 22/0900Z 32.0N 75.5W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 22/1800Z 33.4N 73.8W 30 KT 35 MPH
24H 23/0600Z 35.5N 71.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 23/1800Z 37.5N 68.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 24/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS

[cycloneye]

Last written advisory

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ALBERTO ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012012
1100 AM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

...ALBERTO BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE...THIS IS THE LAST
ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.1N 74.0W
ABOUT 170 MI...270 KM SSE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 295 MI...470 KM SSE OF NORFOLK VIRGINIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
ALBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.0 WEST.
THE CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT 17 MPH...28
KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR SO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE WITHIN THE NEXT 36
HOURS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON ALBERTO. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.



$$
FORECASTER PASCH


POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ALBERTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012012
1100 AM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR HAS CONTINUED TO TAKE ITS TOLL ON ALBERTO.
THE CYCLONE NOW LACKS SUFFICIENT ORGANIZED CONVECTION TO BE
CLASSIFIED AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE. THEREFORE ADVISORIES ARE BEING
DISCONTINUED AT THIS TIME.

THE REMNANT LOW OF ALBERTO IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD OR 045/15. A
CONTINUED NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS LIKELY UNTIL THE SYSTEM LOSES ITS
IDENTITY.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 22/1500Z 33.1N 74.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
12H 23/0000Z 34.6N 72.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 23/1200Z 36.8N 69.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 24/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER PASCH