WPAC: INVEST 97W

[Extratropical94]

NRL: 97WINVEST.15kts-NAmb-55N-1449E

South of Guam

[euro6208]

000
WWPQ80 PGUM 030333
SPSPQ

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
133 PM CHST SUN JUN 3 2012

PMZ161-171-040100-
KOROR PALAU-YAP-
133 PM CHST SUN JUN 3 2012

...A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS SOUTHEAST OF KOROR...

THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE WAS ROUGHLY NEAR
4N AND 137E AT 100 PM CHST. THIS WAS ABOUT 275 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
KOROR...ABOUT 290 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NGULU ATOLL AND 375 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF YAP. THE DISTURBANCE HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY
AND NEEDS TO BE MONITORED.

SHOWERS HAVE PERSISTED ACROSS YAP STATE AND THE REPUBLIC OF PALAU
WITH HEAVIER SHOWERS IN AN AREA FROM YAP ACROSS NGULU TO SOUTHEAST
OF KOROR TOWARD THE EQUATOR. RAINFALL ACROSS FAR WESTERN MICRONESIA
WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. WINDS MAY ALSO
INCREASE WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 MPH NEAR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
AT THIS TIME...RAINFALL ACCUMULATION IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE HEAVY
ENOUGH TO PRODUCE MUDSLIDES FOR PALAU.

SEAS NEAR KOROR...NGULU AND YAP WILL BUILD TO A RANGE OF 4 TO 5 FEET
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HAZARDOUS SURF IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS
TIME.

PEOPLE PLANNING INTER-ISLAND TRAVEL BY BOAT SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM...AND CHECK WITH THEIR WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE BEFORE ATTEMPTING SUCH TRAVEL. KEEP ALERT FOR ANY LATER
STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS OR THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

$$

SIMPSON/MLA

[climateconcern23]

B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 3.2N 138.2E,
APPROXIMATELY 380 NM SOUTH OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS A REGION OF BROAD WEAK TURNING TO THE SOUTH OF YAP.
THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS CURRENTLY LOCATED ALONG
THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF A REGION OF PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION. A
021419Z OSCAT PASS SHOWED A 05 TO 10 KNOT CIRCULATION, WITH RECENT
DATA SUGGESTING WIND SPEEDS REMAIN IN THIS RANGE. UPPER LEVEL
ANALYSIS INDICATES THE LLCC IS LOCATED UNDER A NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE
WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) LOCATED WITHIN FIVE
DEGREES TO THE NORTH HINDERING POLEWARD VENTING. SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES WITHIN THE REGION ARE FAVORABLE FOR POSSIBLE
DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 05 TO
10 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008
MB. BASED ON THE BROAD WEAK STRUCTURE OF THE LLCC AND THE PROXIMITY
TO THE TUTT, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.



** It seems that the latest animation imagery of the system shows a time to time development.

[euro6208]

possible development?

[Infdidoll]

I wonder if this is the system the Euro is hinting at to blow up next?

[euro6208]

no longer on nrlmry..dissipated