WPAC: TALIM - Post-Tropical

[Meow]

15Z location of Talim

CWB: 25.4N 121.3E (north of Linkou District, New Taipei)
JMA: 24.6N 120.5E (west of Xihu Township, Miaoli County)

That is really a far distance.

[euro6208]

wow this tropical storm is affecting millions of people...over 6.5m in metro taipei...add in southeast china and soon japan...over 75m? incredible! (only counting tropical system, not extratropical)

incredible amount of rainfall is dumping over taiwan...

[Meow]

wow this tropical storm is affecting millions of people...over 6.5m in metro taipei...add in southeast china and soon japan...over 75m? incredible! (only counting tropical system, not extratropical)

incredible amount of rainfall is dumping over taiwan...

Total precipitation is much much lower than what the CWB estimated (1,500 mm). Since 19 June, the maximum precipitation from Talim in Taiwan is still lower than 700 mm, and the maximum precipitation in Taipei and New Taipei is lower than 100 mm. Here in Xinyi District, Taipei, precipitation is still lower than 50 mm...

[Meow]

The JMA downgraded Talim to a TD, but the CWB still considered it as a minimal tropical storm.



TD
Issued at 18:45 UTC, 20 June 2012

<Analyses at 20/18 UTC>
Scale -
Intensity -
TD
Center position N25°00'(25.0°)
E121°00'(121.0°)
Direction and speed of movement NE 20km/h(10kt)
Central pressure 1000hPa



07fW40201
WTCI RCTP 201800 =
WARNING VALID 211800Z =
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 3 HOURS =
TROPICAL STORM 201205 (TALIM 201205) WARNING =
POSITION 201800Z AT TWO SIX POINT THREE NORTH ( 26.3N ) ONE TWO TWO POINT THREE EAST ( 122.3E ) =
MOVEMENT NEXT 12HRS NE 43KM/HR
MIN SURFACE PRESSURE 995 HPA =
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR CENTER 18 METER PER SECOND GUST 25 METER PER SECOND =
RADIUS OF OVER 15M/S WINDS 120 KM =
FORECAST POSITION =
12HRS VALID AT 210600Z AT TWO NINE POINT SIX NORTH ( 29.6N ) ONE TWO SIX POINT ZERO EAST ( 126.0E )=
24HRS VALID AT 211800Z Extratropical Low.=
SEA WARNING AREA =
THE SEA OF NORTH TAIWAN =

[Meow]

The JTWC also downgraded Talim to a TD.



WTPN32 PGTW 202100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W (TALIM) WARNING NR 013
DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 06W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
201800Z --- NEAR 25.3N 121.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
REPEAT POSIT: 25.3N 121.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z --- 28.4N 125.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z --- 31.2N 129.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 24 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z --- 33.3N 134.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 28 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 35.1N 140.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
202100Z POSITION NEAR 26.1N 122.3E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 06W (TALIM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 20 NM
NORTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z
IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z, 210900Z, 211500Z AND 212100Z.//
NNNN

[francis327]

A quick re-cap of Severe Tropical Storm Talim (06W). Data from JMA.

Name: 06W - Typhoon TALIM
Start Date: 16th June
End Date: 20th June
Max Intensity: 50kt
Min Intensity: 30kt

A total of 35 Advisories issued by RSMC - JMA

Storm Track Summary: http://www.westernpacificweather.com/we ... /06w-tali/

[cycloneye]

Last JTWC warning.

WTPN32 PGTW 210300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W (TALIM) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
210000Z --- NEAR 26.0N 123.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 26.0N 123.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z --- 29.2N 127.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 25 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z --- 31.9N 132.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
210300Z POSITION NEAR 26.8N 124.0E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 06W (TALIM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 100 NM
NORTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 15
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TD 06W HAS WEAKENED SIGNIFICANTLY DUE
TO NEGATIVE TERRAIN INTERACTION WITH TAIWAN AND INCREASED VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE MEI-YU FRONT. DUE TO THE SIGNIFICANT
WEAKENING AND MINIMAL CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION, THERE IS VERY LOW
CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL POSITION. THE INTENSITY IS BASED ON NEARBY
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS OF 1005 MB. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
WILL DISSIPATE BELOW 25 KNOTS WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS IT
INTERACTS WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM THE SOUTH CHINA
SEA TO JAPAN. MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT. THEREFORE, THERE
IS GOOD CONFIDENCE IN THE TRACK FORECAST. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING
ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER. THE SYSTEM WILL
BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z IS 15 FEET.//
NNNN

[Meow]

According to the JMA, Talim was absorbed by an extratropical cyclone in the morning. It died.

[euro6208]

according to JTWC, talim peaked at 50 knots 1 min...JMA also at 50 knots but 10 min...