EPAC: INVEST 99E

[TropicalAnalystwx13]

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INVEST, EP, E, , , , , 99, 2012, DB, O, 2012071800, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , EP992012
EP, 99, 2012071700, , BEST, 0, 83N, 1091W, 15, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
EP, 99, 2012071706, , BEST, 0, 83N, 1102W, 15, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
EP, 99, 2012071712, , BEST, 0, 83N, 1113W, 20, 1008, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
EP, 99, 2012071718, , BEST, 0, 84N, 1124W, 20, 1008, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
EP, 99, 2012071800, , BEST, 0, 85N, 1135W, 20, 1007, DB

[Kingarabian]

SHIPS model likes it, could be our next storm Gilma!

[TropicalAnalystwx13]

WHXX01 KMIA 180300
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0300 UTC WED JUL 18 2012

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP992012) 20120718 0000 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
120718 0000 120718 1200 120719 0000 120719 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 8.5N 113.5W 9.0N 115.1W 9.6N 116.7W 10.2N 118.5W
BAMD 8.5N 113.5W 8.7N 115.7W 8.7N 118.0W 8.6N 120.4W
BAMM 8.5N 113.5W 8.8N 115.4W 9.1N 117.2W 9.3N 119.3W
LBAR 8.5N 113.5W 8.7N 115.8W 9.2N 118.6W 9.4N 121.5W
SHIP 20KTS 26KTS 34KTS 44KTS
DSHP 20KTS 26KTS 34KTS 44KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
120720 0000 120721 0000 120722 0000 120723 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 10.6N 120.4W 11.2N 124.8W 11.5N 129.7W 11.7N 134.7W
BAMD 8.6N 122.9W 8.2N 128.0W 7.6N 134.1W 6.8N 140.6W
BAMM 9.5N 121.4W 9.7N 125.9W 10.0N 130.8W 10.2N 135.5W
LBAR 10.0N 124.5W 11.0N 130.8W 10.8N 136.0W .0N .0W
SHIP 51KTS 56KTS 51KTS 52KTS
DSHP 51KTS 56KTS 51KTS 52KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 8.5N LONCUR = 113.5W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR = 11KT
LATM12 = 8.3N LONM12 = 111.3W DIRM12 = 273DEG SPDM12 = 11KT
LATM24 = 8.3N LONM24 = 109.1W
WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 80NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 200NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

$$
NNNN

[cycloneye]

It looks like nothing will come out of this area.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT WED JUL 18 2012

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE LAST ADVISORY ON
FABIO...LOCATED ABOUT 425 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PUNTA BAJA MEXICO.

SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS DECREASED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A BROAD TROUGH OF
LOW PRESSURE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS
NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

[TropicalAnalystwx13]

Good bye.

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[Kingarabian]

Wow waste of an Invest ahaha.

[brunota2003]

Wow...not even 24 hours