ATL: ERNESTO - Post-Tropical

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
RL3AO
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 15967
Joined: Thu Jun 14, 2007 10:03 pm
Location: Raleigh, NC
Contact:

#4861 Postby RL3AO » Thu Aug 09, 2012 8:04 am

Depends on weather it keeps a circulation or not. Considering how rough that part of Mexico is I can't see it keeping a circulation into the EPac.
0 likes   
https://twitter.com/codyyeary
Graduate student at NC State studying tropical waves

User avatar
Dave
Retired Staff
Retired Staff
Posts: 13442
Age: 67
Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:57 pm
Location: Milan Indiana
Contact:

#4862 Postby Dave » Thu Aug 09, 2012 8:05 am

000
URNT15 KNHC 091302
AF302 1205A ERNESTO HDOB 26 20120809
125330 1928N 09433W 8429 01515 0036 +170 +126 082046 046 037 002 00
125400 1926N 09434W 8428 01515 0035 +168 +129 081046 046 035 004 00
125430 1925N 09436W 8429 01514 0037 +162 +131 078044 046 034 006 00
125500 1924N 09437W 8429 01514 0038 +163 +133 074042 044 035 004 00
125530 1922N 09438W 8434 01505 0037 +161 +133 074041 042 034 004 00
125600 1921N 09440W 8429 01512 0036 +163 +132 071043 043 036 005 00
125630 1919N 09441W 8431 01510 0035 +162 +132 070042 044 036 005 00
125700 1918N 09443W 8430 01511 0034 +164 +131 071041 042 033 005 00
125730 1916N 09444W 8432 01509 0035 +162 +131 072038 039 035 004 00
125800 1915N 09445W 8429 01512 0035 +163 +131 071038 038 032 005 00
125830 1914N 09447W 8429 01511 0032 +165 +131 070037 038 032 005 00
125900 1912N 09448W 8428 01512 0031 +166 +131 069036 037 031 004 00
125930 1911N 09449W 8430 01509 0031 +167 +133 068037 037 031 003 00
130000 1909N 09451W 8429 01511 0029 +170 +134 071037 038 033 003 00
130030 1908N 09452W 8431 01509 0031 +170 +135 067037 038 032 004 00
130100 1907N 09454W 8429 01511 0029 +169 +136 063036 037 030 005 00
130130 1905N 09455W 8429 01514 0032 +170 +137 062036 037 031 004 00
130200 1904N 09456W 8431 01510 0032 +170 +138 060036 036 028 005 00
130230 1902N 09458W 8432 01510 0033 +170 +139 060037 037 030 004 00
130300 1901N 09459W 8433 01509 0034 +165 +139 058036 037 030 005 03
$$
;
0 likes   

RL3AO
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 15967
Joined: Thu Jun 14, 2007 10:03 pm
Location: Raleigh, NC
Contact:

#4863 Postby RL3AO » Thu Aug 09, 2012 8:07 am

Image
0 likes   
https://twitter.com/codyyeary
Graduate student at NC State studying tropical waves

Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9919
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Tropical Storm

#4864 Postby Sanibel » Thu Aug 09, 2012 8:09 am

Ernesto was definitely getting it back together with its brief overwater window in the BOC.
0 likes   

User avatar
Dave
Retired Staff
Retired Staff
Posts: 13442
Age: 67
Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:57 pm
Location: Milan Indiana
Contact:

#4865 Postby Dave » Thu Aug 09, 2012 8:15 am

000
URNT15 KNHC 091312
AF302 1205A ERNESTO HDOB 27 20120809
130330 1859N 09459W 8429 01512 0033 +168 +140 059034 035 024 007 00
130400 1858N 09458W 8432 01506 0030 +166 +141 059033 034 028 007 00
130430 1857N 09457W 8428 01512 0030 +167 +141 058033 034 029 004 00
130500 1856N 09455W 8430 01505 0028 +167 +140 060033 034 031 006 00
130530 1855N 09454W 8430 01506 0029 +162 +140 062033 034 032 005 00
130600 1854N 09453W 8430 01505 0028 +163 +139 060033 034 031 006 00
130630 1853N 09452W 8431 01504 0025 +166 +138 060033 033 032 001 00
130700 1852N 09450W 8429 01504 0024 +165 +137 058034 035 032 001 00
130730 1851N 09449W 8430 01500 0021 +167 +138 057035 035 032 003 00
130800 1850N 09448W 8429 01500 0020 +165 +140 058035 037 032 004 00
130830 1849N 09447W 8426 01501 0019 +165 +141 061034 035 030 004 00
130900 1848N 09446W 8433 01493 0016 +166 +142 059033 034 031 003 00
130930 1847N 09444W 8441 01483 0015 +165 +144 063034 035 030 004 00
131000 1846N 09443W 8431 01490 0012 +165 +144 057032 033 035 003 00
131030 1845N 09442W 8433 01487 0009 +165 +144 058032 035 035 003 00
131100 1844N 09441W 8426 01492 0008 +165 +145 055032 032 035 005 00
131130 1843N 09439W 8426 01490 0006 +165 +146 057034 037 036 003 00
131200 1842N 09438W 8433 01482 0004 +165 +147 062039 041 036 004 00
131230 1841N 09437W 8430 01483 0000 +165 +147 059037 039 037 003 00
131300 1840N 09436W 8429 01482 9997 +165 +148 059039 040 035 005 00
$$
;
0 likes   

RL3AO
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 15967
Joined: Thu Jun 14, 2007 10:03 pm
Location: Raleigh, NC
Contact:

#4866 Postby RL3AO » Thu Aug 09, 2012 8:19 am

Image
0 likes   
https://twitter.com/codyyeary
Graduate student at NC State studying tropical waves

User avatar
NDG
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8889
Joined: Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:14 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

#4867 Postby NDG » Thu Aug 09, 2012 8:26 am

I get the feeling that the pictures of flooding that will be coming out of MX over the next few days will not be pretty, good thing is moving fast.
0 likes   

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 13365
Age: 54
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Tropical Storm

#4868 Postby tolakram » Thu Aug 09, 2012 8:33 am

Another burst of convection

Image

live loop: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... umframes=5
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
brunota2003
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9477
Age: 27
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2005 9:56 pm
Location: Stanton, KY...formerly Havelock, NC
Contact:

#4869 Postby brunota2003 » Thu Aug 09, 2012 8:33 am

And recon should have been entering that burst on the next set of HDOBs...which hasn't come in yet.
0 likes   
Just a small town southern boy helping other humans.

User avatar
brunota2003
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9477
Age: 27
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2005 9:56 pm
Location: Stanton, KY...formerly Havelock, NC
Contact:

#4870 Postby brunota2003 » Thu Aug 09, 2012 8:34 am

Recon should have entered the deep burst of convection that just blew up a little while ago on that set, too.
0 likes   
Just a small town southern boy helping other humans.

User avatar
Dave
Retired Staff
Retired Staff
Posts: 13442
Age: 67
Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:57 pm
Location: Milan Indiana
Contact:

#4871 Postby Dave » Thu Aug 09, 2012 8:42 am

000
URNT15 KNHC 091338
AF302 1205A ERNESTO HDOB 28 20120809
131330 1839N 09435W 8429 01478 9994 +165 +148 057037 039 037 003 03
131400 1838N 09434W 8430 01475 9992 +165 +149 058037 038 036 004 00
131430 1836N 09433W 8427 01475 9988 +165 +149 058039 040 038 003 00
131500 1835N 09432W 8430 01468 9985 +165 +149 058039 041 037 002 00
131530 1834N 09430W 8429 01466 9985 +161 +148 058040 042 038 004 00
131600 1833N 09429W 8433 01461 9980 +164 +148 055039 040 039 004 00
131630 1832N 09428W 8427 01465 9976 +166 +147 052040 044 040 005 00
131700 1831N 09427W 8431 01455 9970 +168 +147 051038 041 040 003 00
131730 1830N 09426W 8427 01455 9966 +168 +147 047040 043 039 005 00
131800 1828N 09425W 8435 01444 9961 +168 +147 045039 041 041 002 00
131830 1827N 09424W 8438 01433 9953 +172 +148 037039 041 041 003 00
131900 1826N 09422W 8433 01436 9943 +182 +149 033039 042 042 003 00
131930 1825N 09421W 8431 01432 9932 +191 +150 032040 042 040 004 03
132000 1824N 09420W 8433 01430 9927 +195 +153 045032 040 036 004 00
132030 1822N 09419W 8426 01436 9926 +193 +157 050024 027 027 003 00
132100 1821N 09418W 8432 01428 9925 +193 +160 059022 023 024 004 00
132130 1820N 09416W 8429 01428 9921 +194 +163 047018 020 021 002 00
132200 1819N 09415W 8433 01422 9917 +198 +165 035018 019 010 003 00
132230 1818N 09414W 8429 01423 9914 +200 +166 017015 016 002 004 03
132300 1817N 09412W 8430 01421 9910 +199 +168 004015 015 004 004 00
$$
;

991 mb's
0 likes   

User avatar
Dave
Retired Staff
Retired Staff
Posts: 13442
Age: 67
Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:57 pm
Location: Milan Indiana
Contact:

#4872 Postby Dave » Thu Aug 09, 2012 8:44 am

After the delay now coming in again...

000
URNT15 KNHC 091339
AF302 1205A ERNESTO HDOB 29 20120809
132330 1816N 09411W 8433 01415 9908 +199 +168 347014 016 007 003 00
132400 1816N 09409W 8432 01417 9913 +191 +170 321010 014 007 003 00
132430 1815N 09408W 8430 01419 9918 +183 +170 280007 009 015 004 00
132500 1814N 09406W 8430 01422 9920 +185 +170 237009 009 024 002 03
132530 1814N 09404W 8424 01430 9924 +180 +169 195013 014 /// /// 03
132600 1815N 09403W 8433 01421 9927 +177 +168 182016 018 027 004 00
132630 1817N 09402W 8430 01423 9927 +177 +167 174019 020 028 006 00
132700 1818N 09401W 8429 01428 9933 +174 +164 165021 022 035 008 00
132730 1819N 09359W 8427 01433 9941 +165 +162 159025 028 042 012 00
132800 1821N 09358W 8437 01427 9945 +163 +158 153029 030 046 009 00
132830 1822N 09357W 8425 01440 9950 +160 +154 157035 040 049 012 00
132900 1823N 09356W 8433 01438 9952 +167 +150 152036 039 050 010 00
132930 1825N 09355W 8433 01442 9961 +162 +146 158042 045 047 009 00
133000 1826N 09354W 8425 01458 9974 +150 +143 156050 052 047 010 00
133030 1828N 09353W 8437 01447 9983 +145 +139 150055 057 047 012 00
133100 1829N 09352W 8425 01466 9991 +140 +136 144060 063 046 019 00
133130 1831N 09351W 8439 01455 9993 +142 +133 142058 062 046 017 00
133200 1832N 09350W 8419 01478 9996 +142 +130 141058 061 046 012 03
133230 1833N 09349W 8405 01492 9997 +140 +128 140059 064 048 012 00
133300 1835N 09348W 8441 01454 9995 +146 +127 147060 064 052 008 00
$$
;
0 likes   

User avatar
Dave
Retired Staff
Retired Staff
Posts: 13442
Age: 67
Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:57 pm
Location: Milan Indiana
Contact:

#4873 Postby Dave » Thu Aug 09, 2012 8:46 am

000
URNT15 KNHC 091342
AF302 1205A ERNESTO HDOB 30 20120809
133330 1836N 09347W 8421 01482 9998 +148 +126 142060 063 048 005 00
133400 1837N 09345W 8432 01471 9997 +156 +125 140058 059 048 005 00
133430 1838N 09344W 8430 01476 0003 +150 +125 136057 059 046 005 00
133500 1839N 09343W 8429 01478 0002 +156 +125 133054 057 045 005 00
133530 1840N 09342W 8431 01479 0007 +154 +125 130050 052 044 006 00
133600 1841N 09341W 8434 01478 0010 +154 +125 128053 055 044 006 00
133630 1842N 09340W 8428 01488 0014 +150 +125 128056 057 042 007 00
133700 1843N 09338W 8430 01487 0015 +152 +125 128055 056 041 006 00
133730 1844N 09337W 8430 01488 0010 +164 +124 127055 057 040 006 00
133800 1845N 09336W 8428 01493 0014 +162 +125 126056 057 039 004 00
133830 1846N 09335W 8430 01494 0015 +164 +127 126055 055 039 006 00
133900 1847N 09334W 8430 01494 0025 +150 +129 124054 054 039 007 00
133930 1848N 09333W 8429 01498 0026 +154 +130 124051 053 037 006 00
134000 1849N 09332W 8430 01500 0025 +160 +130 123050 051 037 005 00
134030 1850N 09331W 8429 01503 0027 +160 +130 124050 050 036 003 00
134100 1851N 09330W 8428 01506 0029 +160 +131 124049 050 036 002 00
134130 1852N 09328W 8429 01505 0030 +160 +132 124048 048 035 002 00
134200 1853N 09327W 8431 01506 0032 +160 +134 124047 048 034 002 00
134230 1855N 09326W 8430 01506 0032 +160 +137 125047 047 033 002 00
134300 1856N 09325W 8429 01507 0033 +160 +138 125047 047 032 003 00
$$
;
0 likes   

User avatar
Dave
Retired Staff
Retired Staff
Posts: 13442
Age: 67
Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:57 pm
Location: Milan Indiana
Contact:

#4874 Postby Dave » Thu Aug 09, 2012 8:46 am

000
UZNT13 KNHC 091342
XXAA 59138 99182 70941 04684 99992 26006 21512 00572 ///// /////
92616 22605 22512 85352 19613 28507 88999 77999
31313 09608 81324
61616 AF302 1205A ERNESTO OB 14
62626 EYE SPL 1825N09412W 1326 MBL WND 21514 AEV 20802 DLM WND 22
510 991843 WL150 21013 084 REL 1825N09413W 132429 SPG 1825N09412W
132610 =
XXBB 59138 99182 70941 04684 00992 26006 11850 19613 22843 /////
21212 00992 21512 11961 22015 22911 22510 33856 27506 44843 29507
31313 09608 81324
61616 AF302 1205A ERNESTO OB 14
62626 EYE SPL 1825N09412W 1326 MBL WND 21514 AEV 20802 DLM WND 22
510 991843 WL150 21013 084 REL 1825N09413W 132429 SPG 1825N09412W
132610 =
;

992 mb/12kts
0 likes   

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 13365
Age: 54
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Recon

#4875 Postby tolakram » Thu Aug 09, 2012 8:49 am

looks to be raking down the coast.

Image
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 13365
Age: 54
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Recon

#4876 Postby tolakram » Thu Aug 09, 2012 8:51 am

another view

Image
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 13365
Age: 54
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Tropical Storm

#4877 Postby tolakram » Thu Aug 09, 2012 8:53 am

Unfortunately it appears Ernesto wants to follow the coastline for a while.

Image
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
Dave
Retired Staff
Retired Staff
Posts: 13442
Age: 67
Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:57 pm
Location: Milan Indiana
Contact:

#4878 Postby Dave » Thu Aug 09, 2012 8:55 am

000
URNT15 KNHC 091352
AF302 1205A ERNESTO HDOB 31 20120809
134330 1857N 09324W 8430 01506 0032 +160 +139 125046 046 032 003 00
134400 1858N 09323W 8430 01507 0033 +160 +141 124045 046 032 003 00
134430 1859N 09322W 8430 01507 0032 +162 +141 125045 045 033 002 00
134500 1900N 09320W 8429 01510 0033 +163 +143 126045 046 032 003 00
134530 1901N 09319W 8429 01512 0034 +165 +144 126044 045 032 002 00
134600 1902N 09318W 8429 01512 0035 +165 +144 126045 045 033 002 00
134630 1903N 09317W 8432 01512 0036 +165 +146 127044 045 032 002 00
134700 1904N 09316W 8428 01516 0036 +166 +147 130043 044 032 002 03
134730 1906N 09316W 8426 01521 0037 +169 +148 126043 043 /// /// 03
134800 1907N 09317W 8430 01516 0038 +167 +150 123041 042 /// /// 03
134830 1906N 09319W 8429 01516 0038 +165 +152 125041 042 028 004 03
134900 1905N 09319W 8433 01511 0036 +165 +154 125042 042 029 003 00
134930 1903N 09319W 8429 01515 0035 +165 +154 124043 043 030 001 00
135000 1902N 09319W 8430 01512 0035 +165 +154 126043 043 029 002 00
135030 1900N 09319W 8430 01512 0037 +161 +154 124044 045 029 002 00
135100 1859N 09319W 8429 01512 0036 +160 +153 121046 046 027 003 00
135130 1857N 09320W 8430 01510 0035 +161 +152 122046 047 030 002 00
135200 1856N 09320W 8429 01511 0033 +164 +151 126045 046 030 002 00
135230 1855N 09320W 8429 01511 0031 +165 +151 129045 045 028 002 00
135300 1853N 09320W 8430 01510 0031 +164 +150 129045 045 027 002 00
$$
;
0 likes   

User avatar
Dave
Retired Staff
Retired Staff
Posts: 13442
Age: 67
Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:57 pm
Location: Milan Indiana
Contact:

#4879 Postby Dave » Thu Aug 09, 2012 9:05 am

000
URNT15 KNHC 091402
AF302 1205A ERNESTO HDOB 32 20120809
135330 1852N 09320W 8430 01509 0030 +165 +151 137044 045 028 003 00
135400 1851N 09320W 8431 01506 0030 +164 +150 141043 043 027 003 00
135430 1849N 09321W 8429 01509 0031 +160 +150 140043 044 026 004 00
135500 1848N 09321W 8433 01505 0034 +157 +150 136044 045 025 004 00
135530 1847N 09321W 8430 01507 0040 +140 +140 137043 045 029 005 01
135600 1845N 09321W 8433 01507 0039 +155 +146 141044 045 029 006 00
135630 1844N 09321W 8428 01516 0041 +155 +143 141045 045 029 005 00
135700 1843N 09321W 8429 01514 0042 +155 +140 144043 045 031 006 00
135730 1841N 09322W 8430 01515 0042 +156 +137 145043 043 031 006 00
135800 1840N 09322W 8429 01514 0045 +152 +135 144042 043 032 006 00
135830 1839N 09322W 8430 01512 0048 +145 +133 145041 041 031 008 00
135900 1837N 09322W 8428 01514 0049 +142 +132 142040 041 032 008 00
135930 1836N 09322W 8427 01514 0046 +145 +129 143041 043 032 007 00
140000 1835N 09322W 8431 01510 0048 +143 +127 146041 043 033 008 00
140030 1833N 09323W 8429 01511 0040 +153 +125 149042 044 033 007 00
140100 1832N 09323W 8429 01509 0029 +169 +124 151043 045 036 004 00
140130 1831N 09323W 8433 01503 0025 +172 +125 153044 045 034 004 03
140200 1830N 09324W 8425 01510 0025 +168 +128 152045 047 038 003 00
140230 1829N 09325W 8433 01501 0026 +167 +132 155046 047 039 003 00
140300 1829N 09327W 8430 01500 0021 +167 +136 158047 049 039 002 00
$$
;
0 likes   

User avatar
Dave
Retired Staff
Retired Staff
Posts: 13442
Age: 67
Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:57 pm
Location: Milan Indiana
Contact:

#4880 Postby Dave » Thu Aug 09, 2012 9:10 am

Image
0 likes   


Return to “2012”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 4 guests