ATL: HELENE - Post-Tropical

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#1121 Postby Dave » Fri Aug 17, 2012 2:45 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 171941
AF303 0207A INVEST HDOB 13 20120817
193300 2345N 09448W 3980 07650 0426 -158 -176 098014 015 019 000 00
193330 2343N 09449W 3980 07643 0425 -160 -182 102017 018 018 000 00
193400 2341N 09450W 3980 07644 0425 -160 -177 115014 016 018 001 00
193430 2339N 09451W 3976 07655 0425 -161 -177 109012 013 020 000 00
193500 2337N 09453W 3979 07646 0426 -160 -179 109013 014 021 000 00
193530 2334N 09454W 3979 07646 0425 -159 -180 108015 015 021 001 00
193600 2332N 09455W 3979 07644 0425 -160 -175 101015 016 020 001 00
193630 2330N 09457W 3980 07647 0424 -163 -170 096014 015 019 001 00
193700 2328N 09458W 3980 07640 0423 -160 -170 101018 018 020 000 00
193730 2325N 09459W 3979 07645 0423 -160 -169 106017 018 020 000 00
193800 2323N 09500W 3980 07643 0422 -160 -176 108016 019 019 000 00
193830 2321N 09502W 3980 07636 0422 -160 -175 106014 014 019 000 00
193900 2319N 09503W 3980 07635 0422 -159 -175 106013 015 020 000 00
193930 2317N 09504W 4012 07582 0418 -152 -173 103014 016 018 000 00
194000 2314N 09505W 4051 07507 0413 -149 -170 098016 017 019 001 00
194030 2312N 09507W 4127 07372 0405 -139 -161 098015 017 019 000 00
194100 2310N 09508W 4238 07161 0393 -136 -155 108023 025 019 000 00
194130 2308N 09509W 4391 06893 0376 -120 -162 102026 027 019 000 00
194200 2306N 09510W 4556 06613 0361 -103 -185 095028 029 018 000 00
194230 2304N 09511W 4720 06345 0348 -086 -165 102027 027 019 001 00
$$
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#1122 Postby Dave » Fri Aug 17, 2012 2:51 pm

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Re: ATL: SEVEN - Remnants

#1123 Postby ROCK » Fri Aug 17, 2012 2:52 pm

Rgv20 wrote:
wxman57 wrote:I don't buy the formation of a new center off the TX coast by the Canadian/GFS. They both look bogus. Center appears to be moving inland now. It may well stay inland as it drifts slowly northward over the next few days, eventually losing what LLC it has. No sign of recon leaving yet, though the NHC just said recon will investigate it "later this afternoon".


This would be the best case scenario for Central/South Texas Rainfall wise.



yes it would be lots of moisture already starting to surge up with active sea breeze....
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#1124 Postby Dave » Fri Aug 17, 2012 2:55 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 171951
AF303 0207A INVEST HDOB 14 20120817
194300 2302N 09512W 4880 06089 0338 -071 -101 097024 025 017 001 00
194330 2300N 09513W 5059 05804 0320 -055 -099 086025 026 020 000 00
194400 2258N 09514W 5249 05512 0302 -035 -134 083029 030 019 000 00
194430 2256N 09516W 5438 05234 0283 -025 -069 086029 030 019 000 00
194500 2254N 09517W 5612 04981 0118 -011 -033 088026 027 020 000 00
194530 2252N 09518W 5799 04721 0112 +005 -023 085029 030 020 001 00
194600 2250N 09519W 5991 04436 0117 +020 -002 092028 030 021 000 00
194630 2249N 09520W 6174 04220 0140 +030 +011 098024 027 021 000 00
194700 2247N 09521W 6302 04049 0131 +047 +014 103025 025 022 000 00
194730 2245N 09522W 6457 03853 0127 +059 +023 116024 025 022 000 00
194800 2244N 09523W 6629 03631 0129 +070 +032 122027 028 022 000 00
194830 2242N 09523W 6809 03408 0125 +085 +043 120026 028 023 000 00
194900 2241N 09524W 7021 03157 0124 +099 +053 115024 025 023 000 00
194930 2239N 09525W 7227 02905 0113 +117 +057 117024 026 022 000 00
195000 2237N 09526W 7410 02696 0113 +128 +063 118026 027 023 000 00
195030 2236N 09527W 7616 02462 0114 +139 +081 117023 025 023 001 00
195100 2234N 09528W 7829 02234 0124 +151 +084 115021 023 022 000 00
195130 2233N 09529W 8028 02018 0124 +161 +097 119019 020 022 000 00
195200 2231N 09529W 8238 01795 0123 +170 +118 128021 022 022 001 00
195230 2230N 09530W 8419 01605 0123 +176 +133 142020 021 023 000 00
$$
;


Operational Altitude
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Re: ATL: SEVEN - Recon Discussion

#1125 Postby cycloneye » Fri Aug 17, 2012 2:57 pm

Plane at operational altitud.
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#1126 Postby Dave » Fri Aug 17, 2012 3:03 pm

000
URNT11 KNHC 171957
97779 19564 61223 95600 03600 14016 23228 /0012
41225
RMK AF303 0207A INVEST OB 06
SWS = 21 KTS
INBOUND NE
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#1127 Postby Dave » Fri Aug 17, 2012 3:05 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 172001
AF303 0207A INVEST HDOB 15 20120817
195300 2229N 09531W 8660 01364 0125 +186 +150 152020 022 022 000 03
195330 2227N 09532W 8982 01061 0139 +197 +171 154017 019 024 000 00
195400 2226N 09533W 9246 00798 0128 +212 +179 160016 017 024 000 00
195430 2224N 09533W 9514 00541 0121 +222 +201 150018 018 024 000 00
195500 2223N 09534W 9698 00379 0124 +231 +223 140017 018 022 001 00
195530 2221N 09535W 9684 00388 0123 +230 +225 140017 017 022 000 00
195600 2220N 09536W 9701 00375 0124 +232 +221 138017 019 021 000 00
195630 2218N 09537W 9700 00375 0124 +232 +222 136017 018 022 001 00
195700 2217N 09537W 9699 00376 0123 +235 +214 143017 018 024 001 00
195730 2215N 09538W 9703 00372 0122 +233 +222 140018 018 024 000 00
195800 2214N 09539W 9700 00374 0122 +230 +229 136016 018 024 000 00
195830 2213N 09540W 9699 00375 0122 +232 +227 133015 016 023 000 00
195900 2211N 09541W 9703 00371 0121 +236 +223 126015 016 020 000 00
195930 2209N 09542W 9700 00374 0122 +234 +227 118015 016 019 000 00
200000 2208N 09542W 9700 00374 0122 +233 +226 123015 016 020 000 00
200030 2206N 09543W 9701 00374 0122 +234 +226 128016 016 020 000 00
200100 2205N 09544W 9700 00374 0122 +235 +230 128016 018 020 000 00
200130 2203N 09545W 9704 00370 0122 +236 +225 132017 017 021 000 00
200200 2202N 09546W 9699 00375 0121 +235 +225 135017 017 021 000 00
200230 2200N 09547W 9703 00371 0121 +238 +222 134016 017 021 000 00
$$
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Re: ATL: SEVEN - Recon Discussion

#1128 Postby wxman57 » Fri Aug 17, 2012 3:06 pm

It looks less impressive than earlier today. Not sure they'll find enough of a tight circulation to warrant an upgrade.
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#1129 Postby Dave » Fri Aug 17, 2012 3:15 pm

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#1130 Postby Dave » Fri Aug 17, 2012 3:15 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 172011
AF303 0207A INVEST HDOB 16 20120817
200300 2159N 09547W 9700 00373 0120 +236 +227 134016 016 020 001 00
200330 2157N 09548W 9699 00374 0120 +238 +226 134016 017 020 000 00
200400 2156N 09549W 9703 00371 0120 +235 +230 134016 017 022 000 00
200430 2154N 09550W 9704 00369 0120 +234 +233 138017 018 024 001 00
200500 2153N 09551W 9698 00373 0119 +234 +227 135016 017 023 000 00
200530 2151N 09552W 9736 00337 0118 +235 +228 134017 018 023 000 00
200600 2150N 09552W 9736 00337 0117 +238 +221 131016 017 022 000 00
200630 2148N 09553W 9737 00336 0117 +235 +226 133017 017 023 000 00
200700 2147N 09554W 9737 00336 0117 +233 +225 134017 017 023 001 00
200730 2145N 09555W 9735 00339 0117 +234 +223 131016 017 023 000 00
200800 2144N 09556W 9737 00336 0116 +240 +208 126015 015 022 001 00
200830 2142N 09557W 9736 00336 0116 +235 +220 126016 016 022 000 00
200900 2141N 09557W 9736 00336 0116 +234 +224 124016 016 021 000 00
200930 2139N 09558W 9737 00335 0116 +234 +223 122016 016 021 000 00
201000 2138N 09559W 9736 00336 0115 +237 +210 119015 015 021 000 00
201030 2136N 09600W 9734 00337 0115 +236 +210 120015 015 018 001 00
201100 2135N 09601W 9738 00334 0115 +235 +218 118015 015 018 000 00
201130 2133N 09602W 9738 00334 0114 +233 +220 116015 016 022 000 00
201200 2132N 09602W 9738 00333 0114 +233 +220 113015 016 021 000 00
201230 2130N 09603W 9737 00333 0113 +236 +215 112015 016 021 000 00
$$
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Re: ATL: SEVEN - Remnants

#1131 Postby SoupBone » Fri Aug 17, 2012 3:15 pm

For anyone interested. Here are the current drought conditions for the State of Texas.

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Re: ATL: SEVEN - Remnants

#1132 Postby Pearl River » Fri Aug 17, 2012 3:19 pm

18z Best Track

AL, 07, 2012081718, , BEST, 0, 203N, 959W, 25, 1009, LO,
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#1133 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Aug 17, 2012 3:20 pm

it appears it has stalled just off shore. or slowly drifting with a northerly direction
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#1134 Postby Dave » Fri Aug 17, 2012 3:24 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 172021
AF303 0207A INVEST HDOB 17 20120817
201300 2129N 09604W 9737 00333 0112 +239 +206 111016 016 019 000 00
201330 2127N 09605W 9737 00332 0112 +241 +200 109014 015 019 000 00
201400 2126N 09606W 9738 00332 0112 +239 +206 106014 015 018 001 00
201430 2124N 09607W 9737 00332 0112 +235 +219 103014 014 021 000 00
201500 2122N 09607W 9737 00331 0111 +238 +204 102013 014 021 000 00
201530 2121N 09608W 9737 00330 0111 +240 +203 099013 013 021 001 00
201600 2119N 09609W 9737 00330 0110 +237 +212 098013 013 019 002 00
201630 2118N 09610W 9736 00332 0110 +237 +211 102014 015 019 001 00
201700 2116N 09610W 9735 00333 0110 +237 +212 104015 016 019 000 00
201730 2114N 09611W 9740 00327 0109 +239 +212 105017 017 018 000 00
201800 2113N 09611W 9737 00327 0108 +235 +219 102017 018 019 000 00
201830 2111N 09612W 9736 00329 0107 +233 +225 097017 018 019 000 00
201900 2109N 09612W 9737 00327 0106 +235 +221 094017 018 020 000 00
201930 2108N 09613W 9737 00327 0107 +232 +228 097018 019 021 000 00
202000 2106N 09614W 9740 00323 0107 +231 +228 097019 019 022 001 00
202030 2104N 09614W 9772 00295 0106 +235 +228 094018 019 022 000 00
202100 2103N 09614W 9773 00293 0105 +235 +228 093019 019 021 000 00
202130 2101N 09615W 9773 00294 0104 +237 +228 089019 019 022 001 00
202200 2059N 09615W 9770 00295 0105 +235 +231 086018 019 021 000 00
202230 2058N 09615W 9774 00293 0104 +238 +227 080018 019 021 000 00
$$
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#1135 Postby somethingfunny » Fri Aug 17, 2012 3:28 pm

What exactly did that oil rig measure that makes the NHC suspicious of a TD forming?
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#1136 Postby Dave » Fri Aug 17, 2012 3:29 pm

Image

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Re:

#1137 Postby Hammy » Fri Aug 17, 2012 3:31 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:it appears it has stalled just off shore. or slowly drifting with a northerly direction


I'm tending to think same, especially given the wind direction in the last recon data.
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#1138 Postby NDG » Fri Aug 17, 2012 3:32 pm

I wouldn't doubt that they find the COC further offshore, by the way the recon is heading and the wind's direction, it does appear to be broader than we thought earlier.
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#1139 Postby Dave » Fri Aug 17, 2012 3:34 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 172031
AF303 0207A INVEST HDOB 18 20120817
202300 2056N 09615W 9771 00296 0105 +239 +225 076017 017 019 001 00
202330 2054N 09616W 9773 00292 0105 +239 +228 077017 017 019 001 00
202400 2052N 09616W 9772 00294 0105 +237 +232 075016 017 019 001 00
202430 2051N 09616W 9772 00294 0105 +237 +227 076016 017 018 000 00
202500 2049N 09615W 9773 00293 0104 +241 +213 077017 018 018 000 00
202530 2047N 09615W 9775 00290 0104 +237 +225 075016 017 017 000 00
202600 2045N 09615W 9772 00293 0102 +235 +227 067017 017 018 000 00
202630 2044N 09615W 9774 00288 0100 +236 +229 061017 018 018 000 00
202700 2042N 09614W 9771 00290 0098 +236 +227 051016 017 018 000 00
202730 2040N 09614W 9773 00287 0097 +236 +229 043016 017 017 001 00
202800 2039N 09613W 9772 00284 0093 +240 +221 033019 020 021 001 00
202830 2037N 09612W 9773 00279 0087 +244 +219 024023 024 025 000 00
202900 2035N 09611W 9774 00272 0081 +244 +224 020028 029 029 001 00
202930 2034N 09610W 9778 00259 0071 +240 +240 017029 030 031 001 01
203000 2032N 09610W 9774 00254 0062 +246 +233 004031 032 033 000 00
203030 2031N 09609W 9769 00254 0055 +247 +240 343029 031 035 002 00
203100 2029N 09608W 9773 00247 0052 +250 +246 310027 029 035 000 00
203130 2028N 09606W 9768 00258 0058 +247 +244 281031 034 032 002 00
203200 2027N 09605W 9771 00263 0067 +240 +240 257044 049 042 004 01
203230 2025N 09604W 9762 00279 0077 +230 +230 246046 048 042 004 05
$$
;

1005.2 mbs
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#1140 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Aug 17, 2012 3:36 pm

recon just found the center and west winds... center offshore. with winds of TS force.
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