ATL: GORDON - Post-Tropical

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WilmingtonSandbar
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L

#41 Postby WilmingtonSandbar » Thu Aug 09, 2012 8:53 pm

I mentioned this in the TD7 post, but people should be careful calling that Gorden and this one Helene. this could very well form faster and become Gordon.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L

#42 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 09, 2012 8:55 pm

WilmingtonSandbar wrote:I mentioned this in the TD7 post, but people should be careful calling that Gorden and this one Helene. this could very well form faster and become Gordon.


That will be an interesting race so to speak between the systems to see which gets the G and H.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L

#43 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 09, 2012 9:01 pm

Note=All off Topic posts will be deleited by staff to keep the discussions only about Invest 93L,thanks for the cooperation.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L

#44 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 09, 2012 9:13 pm

One word,impressive.

93L loop
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L

#45 Postby pgoss11 » Thu Aug 09, 2012 9:15 pm

cycloneye wrote:One word,impressive.

93L loop

That's amazing how great that system looks already! Thanks for sharing cycloneye!
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L

#46 Postby WilmingtonSandbar » Thu Aug 09, 2012 9:17 pm

cycloneye wrote:One word,impressive.

93L loop



That isn't a second system right to the south of 93L is it?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L

#47 Postby RL3AO » Thu Aug 09, 2012 9:19 pm

alienstorm wrote:FISH STORM OUT TO SEA

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Until you can provide proof that it won't do the following, please don't call it a fish, especially without evidence.

1. Its going to track over Cape Verde and if it develops we would probably have an official landfall.
2. Even if it curves it could impact Bermuda in about 8 or 9 days.
3. Even if it doesn't effect Bermuda it could still impact Nova Scotia or Newfoundland in 10 to 12 days.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L

#48 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 09, 2012 9:19 pm

WilmingtonSandbar wrote:
cycloneye wrote:One word,impressive.

93L loop



That isn't a second system right to the south of 93L is it?


No,is part of ITCZ.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L

#49 Postby TCmet » Thu Aug 09, 2012 9:21 pm

Of the 31 storms to have ever formed within 200nmi of 93L, three monsters have gone on to US landfall: Cat 2 Able (South Carolina in 1952), Cat 3 Dora (Jacksonville in 1964), and the 1947 Ft. Lauderdale hurricane, which was a Cat 4 at landfall.

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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L

#50 Postby pgoss11 » Thu Aug 09, 2012 9:22 pm

So.... Se Hits? Odds are still low, but it will be fun storm to track nonetheless.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L

#51 Postby meriland23 » Thu Aug 09, 2012 9:27 pm

TCmet wrote:Of the 31 storms to have ever formed within 200nmi of 93L, three monsters have gone on to US landfall: Cat 2 Able (South Carolina in 1952), Cat 3 Dora (Jacksonville in 1964), and the 1947 Ft. Lauderdale hurricane, which was a Cat 4 at landfall.

http://i47.tinypic.com/125repd.png

I wouldn't put to much faith into that observation. Given true, the years have shown it is likely to fish out to sea, but seems like we have been breaking or surpassing 20-30-50 year meteorological records of many kinds. You really never know. Still keepin my close eye on invest
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#52 Postby FutureEM » Thu Aug 09, 2012 9:30 pm

It is pretty rare for the actual Cape Verde Islands to get a cane, could potentially get a TS at this rate.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L

#53 Postby floridasun78 » Thu Aug 09, 2012 9:37 pm

TCmet wrote:Of the 31 storms to have ever formed within 200nmi of 93L, three monsters have gone on to US landfall: Cat 2 Able (South Carolina in 1952), Cat 3 Dora (Jacksonville in 1964), and the 1947 Ft. Lauderdale hurricane, which was a Cat 4 at landfall.

http://i47.tinypic.com/125repd.png

were that map from ?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L

#54 Postby Hurricaneman » Thu Aug 09, 2012 9:41 pm

In the forecast contest forum I put up a poll on which one would become Gordon

IMO I think either one could, but this one is looking the best to do so

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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#55 Postby boca » Thu Aug 09, 2012 9:46 pm

I agree it will be a hurricane I think and just bother the fishes its too far north unless it dives sw like td7 did yesterday
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#56 Postby brunota2003 » Thu Aug 09, 2012 10:04 pm

Interesting that DSHPS is actually stronger than SHIPS almost the whole time...how often does that happen?
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ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#57 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Thu Aug 09, 2012 10:05 pm

20N yeah....fish storm no but recurving seems a good possibility. What a circulation, it's nice to be able to watch beautiful storms like this.

Edit: can a pro met or otherwise find an analog for a 20N dipping southwest and causing significant damage to the US?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L

#58 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 09, 2012 10:20 pm

OSCAT pass made around 9 PM EDT.Impressive just emerging the coast.

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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#59 Postby ROCK » Thu Aug 09, 2012 10:48 pm

Weatherfreak000 wrote:20N yeah....fish storm no but recurving seems a good possibility. What a circulation, it's nice to be able to watch beautiful storms like this.

Edit: can a pro met or otherwise find an analog for a 20N dipping southwest and causing significant damage to the US?


Ike was at 20N dipped southwest into Cuba...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#60 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 09, 2012 11:01 pm

ROCK wrote:
Weatherfreak000 wrote:20N yeah....fish storm no but recurving seems a good possibility. What a circulation, it's nice to be able to watch beautiful storms like this.

Edit: can a pro met or otherwise find an analog for a 20N dipping southwest and causing significant damage to the US?


Ike was at 20N dipped southwest into Cuba...


It all depends on how the pattern is at the time as system moves. Ike was caught south of a big ridge that sent him WSW for a while. We dont know yet where this is going nor what pattern awaits for the system down the road and the uncertainty for now will be facinating to follow.

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