EPAC: HECTOR - Post-Tropical

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tolakram
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EPAC: HECTOR - Post-Tropical

#1 Postby tolakram » Fri Aug 10, 2012 1:02 pm

BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_ep942012.invest
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201208101740
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
INVEST, EP, E, , , , , 94, 2012, DB, O, 2012081018, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , EP942012
EP, 94, 2012081018, , BEST, 0, 175N, 1025W, 25, 0, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 94E

#2 Postby tolakram » Fri Aug 10, 2012 1:04 pm

This is the remnants of Ernesto. As discussed in the final Ernesto advisory; Ernesto dissipated so this will get a new number and name in the EPAC.
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 94E (Remnants of Ernesto)

#3 Postby tolakram » Fri Aug 10, 2012 2:47 pm

Latest Loop

Image
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 94E (Remnants of Ernesto)

#4 Postby Weatherguy173 » Fri Aug 10, 2012 2:50 pm

it surely looks like it's getting its act together
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 94E (Remnants of Ernesto)

#5 Postby somethingfunny » Fri Aug 10, 2012 4:12 pm

Crossposted from the Ernesto thread...

[img]http://i50.tinypic.com/33064bb.gi f[/img] (.Gif cut out since Tolakram posted the same loop just above)

Image

Check this out... I believe Ernesto's remnant LLC may be located in the middle of Mexico near the blowup of convection around 18.5°N/99°W. But that blowup of convection on the coastline near 18°N/102°W may be a new LLC forming. It's rare to see a loop actually showing the transition here... and it clearly shows why the regenerated system would not be named Ernesto.

Although looking at that loop makes my head spin because there's so many competing circulations. It's definitely related to Ernesto in that regard! :double: :lol:
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#6 Postby Yellow Evan » Fri Aug 10, 2012 5:05 pm

Hmm, Hector is coming.
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 94E (Remnants of Ernesto)

#7 Postby hurricanes1234 » Fri Aug 10, 2012 5:20 pm

So if this really becomes Hector, in the future will the tropical cyclone be called Hurricane Ernesto-Hector?
Also, does anyone think the remnants of Ernesto will become a hurricane, or even a major hurricane?

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Re: EPAC: INVEST 94E (Remnants of Ernesto)

#8 Postby Weatherguy173 » Fri Aug 10, 2012 5:58 pm

hurricanes1234 wrote:So if this really becomes Hector, in the future will the tropical cyclone be called Hurricane Ernesto-Hector?
Also, does anyone think the remnants of 94E will become a hurricane, or even a major hurricane?


what do you mean by "remnants of 94E"? 94E is the remnants of Ernesto (the name of this thread is EPAC: INVEST 94E (Remnants of Ernesto)), it is just designated as an invest because it is not a tropical cyclone and has the potential to develop into one. Please correct me if I am wrong.
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 94E (Remnants of Ernesto)

#9 Postby hurricanes1234 » Fri Aug 10, 2012 6:01 pm

I meant Ernesto...sorry. This is the only time I didn't check back my comment and look, there was a major mistake in it. I am very prone to mistakes...just wanted to warn you.
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 94E (Remnants of Ernesto)

#10 Postby Weatherguy173 » Fri Aug 10, 2012 6:02 pm

hurricanes1234 wrote:I meant Ernesto...sorry. This is the only time I didn't check back my comment and look, there was a major mistake in it. I am very prone to mistakes...just wanted to warn you.


it's cool
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 94E (Remnants of Ernesto)

#11 Postby hurricanes1234 » Fri Aug 10, 2012 6:19 pm

Thanks! :) :)
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 94E (Remnants of Ernesto)

#12 Postby cycloneye » Fri Aug 10, 2012 6:47 pm

Up to 80%

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT FRI AUG 10 2012

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM GILMA...LOCATED ABOUT 675 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.

A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES ALONG THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO...ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF
ERNESTO. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TO FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THE DISTURBANCE
MOVES WESTWARD AWAY FROM THE COAST OF MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM HAS A
HIGH CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 94E (Remnants of Ernesto)

#13 Postby cycloneye » Fri Aug 10, 2012 7:34 pm

00z Best Track

EP, 94, 2012081100, , BEST, 0, 170N, 1030W, 30, 1003, DB

ftp://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/inves ... 012.invest
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#14 Postby greenkat » Fri Aug 10, 2012 9:23 pm

That'd be cool to have a crossover storm, simply 'cuz crossover storms are really cool. :lol:
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#15 Postby Hurricane Jed » Sat Aug 11, 2012 1:10 am

This thing looks really impressive. It would be nice if that moisture got picked up and flowed into Texas. We could sure use the rain and cooler temperatures.
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 94E (Remnants of Ernesto)

#16 Postby Chickenzilla » Sat Aug 11, 2012 8:20 am

Really strong burst on the west side of 94E!
Image
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 94E (Remnants of Ernesto)

#17 Postby Blown Away » Sat Aug 11, 2012 8:24 am

This is cool, always amazed with systems that cross over!
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 94E (Remnants of Ernesto)

#18 Postby Macrocane » Sat Aug 11, 2012 9:42 am

This thing is huge! I agree crossover storms are cool. The last time there was some sort of crossover was in 2010 when TD 11E formed in the gulf of Tehuantepec and then it became tropical storm Hermine in the gulf of Mexico.
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#19 Postby Yellow Evan » Sat Aug 11, 2012 9:52 am

Looks close to TD status IMO. I wonder how strong it will get.
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#20 Postby RL3AO » Sat Aug 11, 2012 9:53 am

Impressive convection.

Image
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