ATL: JOYCE - Models

[rainstorm]

Seems to me when a storm "follows" a developing storm in front of it; the 2nd storm either dies or is a Fish Storm. I see 96L having this fate.
Maybe there is upwelling or a weakness created, but I seem to remember this happening time after time.

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1955 with connie and diane. 1979 with david and frederick. fred almost croaked behind dave, but made a big comeback.

[Ptarmigan]

Storms that take longer to develop are more likely to become a threat for America. My thinking is that TD10 will be a slow developer and once Isaac is away, it could intensify.

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[abacorun]

My question to all the Pros is, if the ridge that is affecting Issac to a more current westward shift, would this not also shift TD10 more west?

[cycloneye]

Look what 12z CMC does.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... =Animation

[sandyb]

My question to all the Pros is, if the ridge that is affecting Issac to a more current westward shift, would this not also shift TD10 more west?

I wanna know the samething hope we get an answer looks like it would keep on a westward movement as well.

[cycloneye]

12z EURO.

[FutureEM]

Look what 12z CMC does.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... =Animation

One after the other if that scenario happens, that would be absolutely crazy.

[KWT]

Can't see any exit route for the CMC's version of TD10, sorta similar to what some of the models were doing orginally with Issac.

[rainstorm]

euro makes sense with the placement of the high

[Jevo]

Poor TD is like the forgotten stepchild with Isaac so active.. I did take time to look at the 18z HWRF... It showed a very interesting scenario 126 hours out.. I looks like it's going to remain fairily weak if you trust in the intensity forecast, but the location is pretty interesting



18Z Loop
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... fLoop.html

[artist]

Poor TD is like the forgotten stepchild with Isaac so active.. I did take time to look at the 18z HWRF... It showed a very interesting scenario 126 hours out.. I looks like it's going to remain fairily weak if you trust in the intensity forecast, but the location is pretty interesting



18Z Loop
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... fLoop.html

not something I want to see. We may not sleep for weeks if this keeps up.