ATL: MICHAEL - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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#141 Postby KBBOCA » Thu Sep 06, 2012 4:52 am

What an odd season! The first major hurricane has most everybody yawning and this thread hardly any comments - the average invest gets many more pages than Michael has!
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#142 Postby hurricanes1234 » Thu Sep 06, 2012 5:00 am

THE FIRST MAJOR HURRICANE OF THE YEAR!!! :jump: :jump: :jump:!!!!!!
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#143 Postby rainstorm » Thu Sep 06, 2012 5:54 am

michael got into the one place in the atlantic thats favorable.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#144 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 06, 2012 6:15 am

Something important to mention about what Michael has done is that is the first completely non-tropical developing major hurricane since Hurricane Claudette in 1991.

(Not developing from a tropical wave)
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#145 Postby Chickenzilla » Thu Sep 06, 2012 6:25 am

Cyclenall wrote:NHC pulled the trigger, Michael looked too good. I'm amazed that at one point I thought this Invest that is now a major was nothing at all. Here is the first forecast:

NHC Discussion 1 wrote:FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 03/2100Z 25.6N 42.2W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 04/0600Z 25.8N 42.9W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 04/1800Z 26.4N 43.7W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 05/0600Z 27.3N 44.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
48H 05/1800Z 28.0N 44.5W 30 KT 35 MPH
72H 06/1800Z 28.5N 44.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 07/1800Z 29.5N 44.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 08/1800Z 30.5N 44.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

This shows well how tropical cyclones are complex to forecast and that there is still a lot of room for improvement.

Michael is looking good ATM at both visible and infrared images.

Image
Image
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#146 Postby SouthDadeFish » Thu Sep 06, 2012 6:54 am

What a beautiful fish storm:

Image
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#147 Postby brunota2003 » Thu Sep 06, 2012 7:13 am

WITH MICHAEL BECOMING THE SEVENTH HURRICANE OF THE SEASON EARLIER
TODAY...IT MARKS THE THIRD EARLIEST FORMATION OF THE SEVENTH
HURRICANE IN A YEAR...ONLY BEHIND 1886 AND 1893.

Interesting.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#148 Postby rainstorm » Thu Sep 06, 2012 7:19 am

cycloneye wrote:Something important to mention about what Michael has done is that is the first completely non-tropical developing major hurricane since Hurricane Claudette in 1991.

(Not developing from a tropical wave)


that says it all about the season. just a few days ago a big time met was disgusted the NHC named another storm in the middle of nowhere, but it turned out to be the best storm of the season by far.
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#149 Postby Janie2006 » Thu Sep 06, 2012 7:36 am

He's looking very impressive this morning, and even more so when you look at his means of origin. I agree, a beautiful fish storm indeed. That's the way we like 'em, heading out for a tour of the North Atlantic. :wink:
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#150 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 06, 2012 7:43 am

12z Best Track remains at 100kts.

AL, 13, 2012090612, , BEST, 0, 299N, 414W, 100, 964, HU

ftp://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/inves ... 012.invest
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#151 Postby tolakram » Thu Sep 06, 2012 7:52 am

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M a r k
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#152 Postby tolakram » Thu Sep 06, 2012 7:59 am

Big Picture, from the GOES FTP site.

Image

ftp://goes.gsfc.nasa.gov/pub/goeseast/overview2/vis/
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Re:

#153 Postby WeatherGuesser » Thu Sep 06, 2012 8:11 am

Hammy wrote: looks like another system fails to reach Cat 3...


One of the hazards of jumping to conclusions that I see so often here.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#154 Postby Fyzn94 » Thu Sep 06, 2012 8:19 am

I have to say, this is the most impressive RI I've seen in quite a while! Reminds me a bit of Julia.
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#155 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Sep 06, 2012 8:56 am

The eye looks to have cleared out more - I would say 105-110 kt.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#156 Postby dexterlabio » Thu Sep 06, 2012 9:04 am

I must say this is one impressive hurricane! And I thought Leslie has the shot of becoming the first major cane this year...
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#157 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Sep 06, 2012 9:08 am

If Gordon gets upgraded in post-analysis, it would seem that the eastern subtropical Atlantic is the place to be...
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#158 Postby Tireman4 » Thu Sep 06, 2012 9:14 am

I stand corrected. My name did not go poof. LOL
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#159 Postby tolakram » Thu Sep 06, 2012 9:25 am

Latest

13:45Z, 9:45AM EDT
Image
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#160 Postby Macrocane » Thu Sep 06, 2012 9:58 am

I'm proud of Michael, he is the little storm that could, the ugly duckling of the season. And the best thing is that he is a fish storm. Good for him!!!
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