ATL: NADINE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[cycloneye]

Hey Luis, where is Nadine now on the list of longest storms?

1) Ginger, 1971: 21.25 named storm days
2) Carrie, 1957: 19.5 named storm days
3) Alberto, 2000: 19.25 named storm days
4) Nadine, 2012: 17.0 named storm days

The all-time record is held by the San Ciriaco Hurricane of 1899, which had 28 named storm days.

[ozonepete]

Wow! thanks buddy. Looks like Nadine will easily grab the #2 spot and has a pretty good shot at number 1. Very historical in the middle of a very quiet September.

[WeatherGuesser]

Looks like Nadine will easily grab the #2 spot and has a pretty good shot at number 1.

Meaning 22 days, or 29? I'm thinking either is possible.

17 days now with NHC still showing a 5 day track puts it at 22, but I'm not sure anybody has answered a key question. Since it dropped out for a day or so, will NHC consider this a continuous event? Is the fact that they continued the Advisory numbering instead of starting over the answer to that question?

[ozonepete]

Looks like Nadine will easily grab the #2 spot and has a pretty good shot at number 1.

Meaning 22 days, or 29? I'm thinking either is possible.

22 days. I should have clarified, thanks. That 29 is pretty untouchable for Nadine I would think. The next storm to break that would most likely have to be another Cape Verde type like San Ciriaco that goes all the way across the Atlantic as a full TC, slowly recurves, and then does one or more stallouts.

[cycloneye]

00z Best Track stays at 70kts.

AL, 14, 2012093000, , BEST, 0, 352N, 372W, 70, 987, HU

http://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/inve ... 012.invest

[jinftl]

If latest model runs verify, Nadine will have no problem surpassing Ginger...132 hours out, Nadine would be up to 22.5 named storm days...and counting...

Hey Luis, where is Nadine now on the list of longest storms?

1) Ginger, 1971: 21.25 named storm days
2) Carrie, 1957: 19.5 named storm days
3) Alberto, 2000: 19.25 named storm days
4) Nadine, 2012: 17.0 named storm days

The all-time record is held by the San Ciriaco Hurricane of 1899, which had 28 named storm days.

[Florida1118]

If latest model runs verify, Nadine will have no problem surpassing Ginger...132 hours out, Nadine would be up to 22.5 named storm days...and counting...

Hey Luis, where is Nadine now on the list of longest storms?

1) Ginger, 1971: 21.25 named storm days
2) Carrie, 1957: 19.5 named storm days
3) Alberto, 2000: 19.25 named storm days
4) Nadine, 2012: 17.0 named storm days

The all-time record is held by the San Ciriaco Hurricane of 1899, which had 28 named storm days.

She will likely be ET by that time, probably around 120hrs.

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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[CrazyC83]

If some of those models are accurate, Europe may have a problem down the road...

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
HURRICANE NADINE ADVISORY NUMBER 70
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142012
1100 PM AST SAT SEP 29 2012

...STUBBORN NADINE NOT ONLY SURVIVES BUT STRENGTHENS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.6N 37.5W
ABOUT 605 MI...970 KM WSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES

[galaxy401]

Strongest she's been so far in wind speeds. At advisory number 70 and we can clearly see the NHC is getting tired of it.

[ozonepete]

Strongest she's been so far in wind speeds. At advisory number 70 and we can clearly see the NHC is getting tired of it.

naw, c'mon, they love this...

[Parungo]

If some of those models are accurate, Europe may have a problem down the road...

South East of Spain, 28 Sep:

http://youtu.be/bb2S9c7M3Y4

http://youtu.be/5ebWgzUKZog

[WeatherGuesser]

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142012
500 AM AST SUN SEP 30 2012

NADINE APPEARS TO HAVE GAINED A LITTLE MORE STRENGTH THIS MORNING.
GEOSTATIONARY SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS
EXPANDED AND BECOME MORE SYMMETRIC AROUND THE RAGGED EYE DURING THE
LAST SEVERAL HOURS. DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS ARE T4.5/77 KT FROM
TAFB AND SAB...AND ADT VALUES FROM UW-CIMSS ARE 4.7/82 KT. BASED ON
THESE ESTIMATES...THE INITIAL WIND SPEED IS NUDGED UPWARD TO 80 KT.

[Hurricane_Luis]

Hurricane Nadine might be nearing Category 2 strength, and an eye is appearing.

[tolakram]

IR from CIMSS



Natural Color from http://oiswww.eumetsat.org/IPPS/html/MS ... /index.htm

[greenkat]

I'm getting a headache...

[Hurricane_Luis]

You can Just tell the NHC is sick and tiered of Nadine

...STUBBORN NADINE NOT ONLY SURVIVES BUT STRENGTHENS...

...NADINE FORECAST TO REMAIN A TROPICAL CYCLONE FOR AT LEAST FIVE
MORE DAYS...

...LONG-LIVED NADINE LINGERS OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC...

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
HURRICANE NADINE ADVISORY NUMBER 72
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142012
1100 AM AST SUN SEP 30 2012

...LONG-LASTING NADINE EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN ONCE AGAIN...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...37.1N 38.6W
ABOUT 640 MI...1025 KM W OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES

[cycloneye]

Nadine keeps getting ACE units and now is at 21.0625.Source from Wiki

Code: Select all

14L (Nadine)
 
Operational
 
21.0625


North Atlantic Total

94.52


[WeatherGuesser]

I think NHC is having fun with her. There really isn't much else to do in what should be the peak of the season. Now, if there were 2 or 3 other storms out there, they might be more annoyed.

And hey, if she can break some records in the process ......