CPAC: Invest 92C

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somethingfunny
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CPAC: Invest 92C

#1 Postby somethingfunny » Fri Oct 19, 2012 12:38 am

Image

Image

Central Pacific Hurricane Center wrote:Issued: Oct 18, 2012 2:00 pm HST

For the central north Pacific, between 140°W and 180.

1. A surface trough about 900 miles south of Kauai is moving west slowly. Thunderstorms are flaring up along the trough but there is little sign of a circulation. There is a low chance, 10 percent, of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.

Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected through Saturday afternoon.

MORRISON
Last edited by somethingfunny on Fri Oct 19, 2012 12:51 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Kingarabian
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#2 Postby Kingarabian » Fri Oct 19, 2012 12:42 am

If it had a nice LLC this thing would be at 60% IMO.
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Yellow Evan
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#3 Postby Yellow Evan » Fri Oct 19, 2012 7:33 am

Any shot at becoming Pewa?
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Zanthe
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Re:

#4 Postby Zanthe » Fri Oct 19, 2012 10:59 am

Yellow Evan wrote:Any shot at becoming Pewa?


There's probably about a 10% chance, at least in the next couple days.
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#5 Postby Hurricane_Luis » Fri Oct 19, 2012 1:07 pm

1. A weak surface low about 900 miles south-southwest of Lihue is moving west slowly. Thunderstorms near the low weakened since last night as the low moved into a higher wind shear environment. While thunderstorms may redevelop, they will likely remain disorganized. There is a low chance, near 0 percent, of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.
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Re: CPAC: Invest 92C

#6 Postby cycloneye » Fri Oct 19, 2012 6:54 pm

BEGIN
CPHC_ATCF
invest_DEACTIVATE_cp922012.ren
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201210191218
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
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#7 Postby Kingarabian » Fri Oct 19, 2012 7:17 pm

What a fail.
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