ATL: SANDY - Models

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
RL3AO
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 16137
Joined: Thu Jun 14, 2007 10:03 pm
Location: NC

#741 Postby RL3AO » Sat Oct 27, 2012 12:17 pm

Picture perfect rex blocking pattern.

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
x-y-no
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8360
Age: 59
Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2004 12:14 pm
Location: Fort Lauderdale, FL

#742 Postby x-y-no » Sat Oct 27, 2012 1:03 pm

12z ECMWF is rolling ...

24 hours:

Image

48 hours:

Image

500mb geopotential heights at 48 hours:

Image

72 hours:

Image
0 likes   

jhpigott
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 460
Joined: Wed Jan 02, 2008 8:09 pm
Location: North Palm Beach, Florida

Re: ATL: SANDY - Models

#743 Postby jhpigott » Sat Oct 27, 2012 1:20 pm

How low is the pressure at landfall in this run of the Euro
0 likes   

User avatar
x-y-no
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8360
Age: 59
Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2004 12:14 pm
Location: Fort Lauderdale, FL

Re: ATL: SANDY - Models

#744 Postby x-y-no » Sat Oct 27, 2012 1:25 pm

jhpigott wrote:How low is the pressure at landfall in this run of the Euro


Low 950's.
0 likes   

HurrMark
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 769
Joined: Tue Aug 12, 2008 10:18 pm
Location: Somerville, MA

Re: ATL: SANDY - Models

#745 Postby HurrMark » Sat Oct 27, 2012 1:35 pm

x-y-no wrote:
jhpigott wrote:How low is the pressure at landfall in this run of the Euro


Low 950's.


Hard to say since it makes landfall in between 48 and 72 hrs...and there are no images between that time with the Euro.
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 117577
Age: 63
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ATL: SANDY - Models

#746 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 27, 2012 1:37 pm

Hurricane Central ‏@twc_hurricane

Latest European model is in, shifts #Sandy landfall point north into central NJ, now in good agreement with American GFS model.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
Listeri69
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 24
Age: 42
Joined: Wed Sep 01, 2010 3:08 pm
Location: Meriden CT

#747 Postby Listeri69 » Sat Oct 27, 2012 1:39 pm

At 66hrs the pressure is 952 just off the NJ coast, appears to be further north on this run too.....
0 likes   
Scotland the only place where you can get a suntan and trench foot on the same day :)

KBBOCA
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1326
Joined: Fri Sep 05, 2003 5:27 am
Location: Formerly Boca Raton, now in West Africa

#748 Postby KBBOCA » Sat Oct 27, 2012 1:42 pm

The irony would just be too incredible if it made landfall at Sandy Hook!!

But alot of other things (e.g. storm surge / storm tide / flooding) for the NYC metro area & long island would be incredible too if that's where Sandy lands. Eeeeeek.
0 likes   

HurrMark
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 769
Joined: Tue Aug 12, 2008 10:18 pm
Location: Somerville, MA

#749 Postby HurrMark » Sat Oct 27, 2012 1:46 pm

Where do you see the 66 hour forecast?
0 likes   

User avatar
Listeri69
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 24
Age: 42
Joined: Wed Sep 01, 2010 3:08 pm
Location: Meriden CT

Re: ATL: SANDY - Models

#750 Postby Listeri69 » Sat Oct 27, 2012 2:08 pm

Image

Euro 66hrs
0 likes   
Scotland the only place where you can get a suntan and trench foot on the same day :)

HurrMark
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 769
Joined: Tue Aug 12, 2008 10:18 pm
Location: Somerville, MA

Re: ATL: SANDY - Models

#751 Postby HurrMark » Sat Oct 27, 2012 2:25 pm

Have the link?
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 117577
Age: 63
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ATL: SANDY - Models

#752 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 27, 2012 2:38 pm

Here are the latest tracks by the models. The spagetti is not unanimous as some models are more north than the majority.

Image
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6859
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: SANDY - Models

#753 Postby GCANE » Sat Oct 27, 2012 5:25 pm

Whoa - just saw this from Dr Maue

GFS is showing a massive PV anomaly along Long Island when Sandy Landfalls.

110 knot jet, 1000' altitude!

http://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/2623 ... to/1/large
0 likes   

GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6859
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: SANDY - Models

#754 Postby GCANE » Sat Oct 27, 2012 5:34 pm

0 likes   

GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6859
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: SANDY - Models

#755 Postby GCANE » Sat Oct 27, 2012 5:47 pm

Good warm core all the way to the coast

http://weatherbellmodels.com/weather/gf ... s_anim.gif
0 likes   

GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6859
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: SANDY - Models

#756 Postby GCANE » Sat Oct 27, 2012 6:29 pm

Wave model shows wave+swell large area of 35-feet up to 52 feet east of center

http://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/2623 ... to/1/large
0 likes   

Ken711
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 879
Joined: Tue Aug 28, 2012 12:48 pm

Re: ATL: SANDY - Models

#757 Postby Ken711 » Sat Oct 27, 2012 8:07 pm

When are the next model run updates expected?
0 likes   

nashrobertsx
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 85
Joined: Fri Aug 15, 2008 3:55 pm

#758 Postby nashrobertsx » Sat Oct 27, 2012 8:31 pm

I am still amazed of the predicted intensity of this super storm and there is no one posting a damn thing on here... WTH? LOL.... where are all the models... slosh models, graphics that local wx services and HPC must be issuing.. I feel like I am void of info, maps, models, etc... crazy...
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 117577
Age: 63
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ATL: SANDY - Models

#759 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 27, 2012 8:38 pm

Here are the latest model tracks.

Image
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

Ken711
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 879
Joined: Tue Aug 28, 2012 12:48 pm

Re: ATL: SANDY - Models

#760 Postby Ken711 » Sat Oct 27, 2012 8:43 pm

cycloneye wrote:Here are the latest model tracks.

http://oi48.tinypic.com/33ypegi.jpg


Thanks. Am I seeing a slightly more Northern agreement on the tracks from the last runs?
0 likes   


Return to “2012”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest