ATL: SANDY - HPC Advisories

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Re: ATL: SANDY - Advisories

#61 Postby cycloneye » Mon Oct 29, 2012 2:12 pm

CANE SANDY TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012
300 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...CENTER OF SANDY HEADING TOWARD SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...
...LANDFALL EXPECTED BY EARLY THIS EVENING...

SUMMARY OF 300 PM EDT...1900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...38.5N 73.5W
ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM SE OF ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY
ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM S OF NEW YORK CITY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 28 MPH...44 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...940 MB...27.76 INCHES

LATEST REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT...
AS WELL AS NOAA DOPPLER RADAR OBSERVATIONS...INDICATE THAT SANDY
CONTINUES MOVING QUICKLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST. ON THIS TRACK...THE
CENTER OF SANDY IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST OF EXTREME SOUTHERN
NEW JERSEY OR CENTRAL DELAWARE WITHIN THE NEXT 3 TO 5 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Advisories

#62 Postby cycloneye » Mon Oct 29, 2012 3:02 pm

HURRICANE SANDY TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012
400 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...CENTER OF SANDY MOVING TOWARD CAPE MAY NEW JERSEY...
...LANDFALL EXPECTED BY EARLY THIS EVENING...

SUMMARY OF 400 PM EDT...2000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...38.6N 74.0W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM ESE OF CAPE MAY NEW JERSEY
ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM SE OF ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 28 MPH...44 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...940 MB...27.76 INCHES

LATEST REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT...
AS WELL AS NOAA DOPPLER RADAR OBSERVATIONS...INDICATE THAT SANDY
IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST. ON THIS TRACK...THE
CENTER OF SANDY IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST OF EXTREME SOUTHERN
NEW JERSEY OR CENTRAL DELAWARE WITHIN THE NEXT 3 TO 5 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Advisories

#63 Postby cycloneye » Mon Oct 29, 2012 4:00 pm

BULLETIN
HURRICANE SANDY ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012
500 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...SANDY MOVING QUICKLY TOWARD SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE...
...LANDFALL EXPECTED EARLY THIS EVENING ACCOMPANIED BY
LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE AND HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...38.8N 74.4W
ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM ESE OF CAPE MAY NEW JERSEY
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM S OF ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 28 MPH...44 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...940 MB...27.76 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA HAVE BEEN
DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HOWEVER...THERE ARE NON-TROPICAL HIGH-WIND WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR
PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NEW ENGLAND STATES. PLEASE SEE
STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COAST
BETWEEN CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA AND CHATHAM MASSACHUSETTS. THIS
INCLUDES THE TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND TO SMITH POINT...THE
MIDDLE AND UPPER CHESAPEAKE BAY...DELAWARE BAY...AND THE COASTS OF
THE NORTHERN DELMARVA PENINSULA...NEW JERSEY...THE NEW YORK CITY
AREA...LONG ISLAND...CONNECTICUT...AND RHODE ISLAND.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED NORTH OF CHATHAM TO
MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS...THE LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY...AND
SOUTH OF CHINCOTEAGUE TO EXTREME NORTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SANDY WAS LOCATED
BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT AND NOAA DOPPLER
WEATHER RADARS TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 38.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.4 WEST.
SANDY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 28 MPH...44 KM/H.
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING
UNTIL LANDFALL OCCURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF SANDY
IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG OR JUST SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN
NEW JERSEY COAST WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SANDY IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION INTO A FRONTAL OR WINTERTIME
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SHORTLY. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED
PRIOR TO LANDFALL. SANDY IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AFTER LANDFALL.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
485 MILES...780 KM. SUSTAINED WINDS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE
OCCURRING FROM SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND THROUGH LONG ISLAND AND LONG
ISLAND SOUND...AND SOUTHWARD ALONG THE COASTS OF NEW JERSEY...
DELAWARE...AND EASTERN VIRGINIA...AND INCLUDING ALL OF THE
CHESAPEAKE AND DELAWARE BAYS. HURRICANE-FORCE WIND GUSTS HAVE BEEN
REPORTED BY HAM RADIO OPERATORS ACROSS PORTIONS OF EXTREME
SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND. A HAM RADIO OPERATOR
RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 64 MPH...103 KM/H...WITH GUST
TO 86 MPH...138 KM/H IN WESTERLY RHODE ISLAND...AND ANOTHER HAM
RADIO OPERATOR REPORTED A WIND GUST TO 76 MPH...122 KM/H IN
BARNSTABLE MASSACHUSETTS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON REPORTS FROM THE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 940 MB...27.76 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING OVER
PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD
TO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
TO SPREAD OVER OTHER PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. HURRICANE-FORCE WIND GUSTS HAVE REACHED THE
SOUTHERN MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SPREAD ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND
MID-ATLANTIC STATES...FROM CONNECTICUT SOUTHWARD TO NEW JERSEY AND
DELAWARE...INCLUDING NEW YORK CITY AND LONG ISLAND.

IT IS IMPORTANT TO NOTE THAT WINDS AFFECTING THE UPPER FLOORS OF
HIGH-RISE BUILDINGS WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY STRONGER THAN THOSE NEAR
GROUND LEVEL.

STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM SURGE
AND THE TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE
FLOODED BY RISING WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING
DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH
TIDE...

NC NORTH OF SURF CITY INCLUDING PAMLICO/ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...3 TO 5 FT
SE VA AND DELMARVA INCLUDING LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY...2 TO 4 FT
UPPER AND MIDDLE CHESAPEAKE BAY...1 TO 3 FT
LONG ISLAND SOUND...RARITAN BAY...AND NEW YORK HARBOR...6 TO 11 FT
ELSEWHERE FROM OCEAN CITY MD TO THE CT/RI BORDER...4 TO 8 FT
CT/RI BORDER TO THE SOUTH SHORE OF CAPE COD INCLUDING BUZZARDS
BAY AND NARRAGANSETT BAY...3 TO 6 FT
CAPE COD TO THE MA/NH BORDER INCLUDING CAPE COD BAY...2 TO 4 FT
MA/NH BORDER TO THE U.S./CANADA BORDER...1 TO 3 FT

SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE
AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES.
GIVEN THE LARGE WIND FIELD ASSOCIATED WITH SANDY...ELEVATED WATER
LEVELS COULD SPAN MULTIPLE TIDE CYCLES RESULTING IN REPEATED AND
EXTENDED PERIODS OF COASTAL AND BAYSIDE FLOODING. IN ADDITION...
ELEVATED WATERS COULD OCCUR FAR REMOVED FROM THE CENTER OF SANDY.
FURTHERMORE...THESE CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR REGARDLESS OF WHETHER
SANDY IS A TROPICAL OR POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE. FOR INFORMATION
SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER FAR
NORTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 8
INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED
OVER PORTIONS OF THE MID ATLANTIC STATES...INCLUDING THE DELMARVA
PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FROM THE SOUTHERN TIER OF NEW YORK STATE
NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH NEW ENGLAND.

SNOWFALL..SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3 FEET ARE EXPECTED IN THE
MOUNTAINS OF WEST VIRGINIA WITH LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS TODAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. SNOWFALL OF 1 TO 2 FEET IS EXPECTED IN THE MOUNTAINS OF
SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA TO THE KENTUCKY BORDER...WITH 12 TO 18 INCHES
OF SNOW EXPECTED IN THE MOUNTAINS NEAR THE NORTH CAROLINA/TENNESSEE
BORDER AND IN THE MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN MARYLAND.

SURF...DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FROM FLORIDA THROUGH
NEW ENGLAND FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT.
TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES WILL BE ISSUED AT 700 AND 900 PM EDT...AND
WHEN LANDFALL OCCURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


HURRICANE SANDY DISCUSSION NUMBER 30...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012
500 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

THE CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE OF SANDY HAS DETERIORATED TODAY...EVEN AS
THE CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS CONTINUED TO SLOWLY FALL...SUGGESTING THAT
THE CONVECTION IS NO LONGER DRIVING THE BUS. THE INTENSIFICATION
OBSERVED THIS MORNING WAS ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG WINDS OCCURRING TO
THE SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER...OUTSIDE OF THE CENTRAL CORE...AND WAS
ALMOST CERTAINLY DUE TO BAROCLINIC FORCING. IN ADDITION...AIRCRAFT
DATA INDICATE THAT THERE ARE STRONG TEMPERATURE CONTRASTS VERY NEAR
A MODEST RESIDUAL WARM CORE. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT
SANDY IS BECOMING ABSORBED WITHIN A LARGE MID-LATITUDE CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION. ALL OF THESE CONSIDERATIONS LEAD US TO CONCLUDE THAT
THE MOST APPROPRIATE CLASSIFICATION AT ADVISORY TIME IS
EXTRATROPICAL. HOWEVER...FOR CONTINUITY OF SERVICE NHC WILL
CONTINUE TO ISSUE ADVISORIES THROUGH LANDFALL. A POST-STORM
ANALYSIS WILL RE-EXAMINE THE TIMING OF EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION.

WE ANTICIPATES THAT THE LAST NHC ADVISORY ON SANDY WILL BE ISSUED AT
11 PM EDT TONIGHT. SINCE ALL COASTAL TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS HAVE
BEEN DISCONTINUED...THERE WILL BE NO INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORIES
ISSUED BETWEEN NOW AND THE 11 PM NHC ADVISORY. TO PROVIDE A
CONTINUOUS FLOW OF INFORMATION...NHC WILL ISSUE TROPICAL CYCLONE
UPDATES AT 7 PM AND 9 PM EDT...AND AT THE TIME OF LANDFALL. THESE
UPDATES ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT63...AND AWIPS HEADER
TCUAT3...AND WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE ON THE NHC WEBSITE. BEGINNING
AT 5 AM EDT TUESDAY...PUBLIC ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...HPC...UNDER THE SAME WMO
AND AWIPS HEADERS AS THE NHC PUBLIC ADVISORIES...WHICH WILL ALSO BE
AVAILABLE VIA THE NHC WEBSITE.

THERE HAS BEEN NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE POST-LANDFALL TRACK OR
INTENSITY FORECAST. DESPITE THE RAPID FORWARD MOTION TODAY...SANDY
IS EXPECTED TO STALL INLAND TOMORROW. THIS...COUPLED WITH THE VERY
LARGE SIZE OF THE SYSTEM...WILL MEAN THAT CONDITIONS WILL BE SLOW
TO IMPROVE IN THE AFFECTED AREAS. STRONG WINDS WILL PERSIST ALONG
THE COAST AND SPREAD FARTHER INLAND THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY. OF
PARTICULAR CONCERN ARE THE UPPER FLOORS OF HIGH-RISE BUILDINGS...AS
RECONNAISSANCE DATA INDICATE THAT WINDS JUST A FEW HUNDRED FEET IN
ALTITUDE ARE VERY MUCH STRONGER THAN THOSE NEAR THE SURFACE. EVEN
AS SANDY WEAKENS...HEAVY RAINS WILL PERSIST OVER A LARGE
AREA...POSING A VERY SIGNIFICANT INLAND FLOOD RISK.

TO AVOID A HIGHLY DISRUPTIVE CHANGE FROM TROPICAL TO NON-TROPICAL
WARNINGS AS SANDY BECOMES POST-TROPICAL...THE WIND AND OTHER
HAZARDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE CONVEYED THROUGH HIGH WIND WARNINGS
ISSUED BY LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 29/2100Z 38.8N 74.4W 80 KT 90 MPH
12H 30/0600Z 39.8N 76.6W 65 KT 75 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24H 30/1800Z 40.4N 78.3W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36H 31/0600Z 41.3N 78.2W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48H 31/1800Z 42.8N 77.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 01/1800Z 45.1N 75.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 02/1800Z 46.3N 72.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 03/1800Z 47.5N 65.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

$$
FORECASTER KNABB/FRANKLIN
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Advisories

#64 Postby cycloneye » Mon Oct 29, 2012 5:59 pm

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SANDY TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012
700 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...SANDY BECOMES POST-TROPICAL...
...CENTER EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO...

SUMMARY OF 700 PM EDT...2300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...39.1N 74.4W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM ENE OF CAPE MAY NEW JERSEY
ABOUT 20 MI...35 KM S OF ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 28 MPH...44 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...946 MB...27.93 INCHES

AS INDICATED IN THE 5 PM DISCUSSION...SATELLITE...RADAR...AND
AIRCRAFT DATA INDICATE THAT SANDY HAS CONTINUED TO LOSE TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS. NHC IS NOW DESIGNATING SANDY AS A POST-TROPICAL
CYCLONE. IN ADDITION...THE MAXIMUM WINDS HAVE DECREASED SLIGHTLY
AND ARE NOW NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H.

NATIONAL OCEAN SERVICE TIDE GAUGES HAVE RECENTLY REPORTED STORM
SURGE HEIGHTS OF 12.4 FEET AT KINGS POINT NEW YORK...AND 7.2 FEET
AT THE BATTERY NEW YORK...AND 7.5 FEET AT SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY.
TOTAL WATER LEVELS WILL BE EVEN HIGHER WHEN HIGH TIDE OCCURS.

A WIND GUST TO 82 MPH WAS RECENTLY REPORTED AT ISLIP NEW YORK. A
SUSTAINED WIND OF 45 MPH WITH A GUST TO 67 MPH WAS RECENTLY
REPORTED AT JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT IN NEW YORK.

ANOTHER UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED AT THE TIME OF LANDFALL AND AT 900 PM
EDT. NHC WILL ISSUE ITS LAST ADVISORY ON SANDY AT 1100 PM EDT. THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...HPC...WILL BEGIN ISSUING
PUBLIC ADVISORIES AT 500 AM EDT TUESDAY. HPC PUBLIC ADVISORIES WILL
BE ISSUED UNDER THE SAME WMO AND AWIPS HEADERS AS THE NHC PUBLIC
ADVISORIES...AND WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE VIA THE NHC WEBSITE.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/ROBERTS
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Advisories

#65 Postby cycloneye » Mon Oct 29, 2012 7:04 pm

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SANDY TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012
800 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SANDY MAKES LANDFALL ALONG THE COAST
OF SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...

SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...39.4N 74.5W
ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM SW OF ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM NE OF CAPE MAY NEW JERSEY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...946 MB...27.93 INCHES

SURFACE...RADAR...AND AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
DATA INDICATE THAT POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SANDY MADE LANDFALL NEAR
ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY AROUND 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...WITH
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 80 MPH...130 KM/H.

NATIONAL OCEAN SERVICE TIDE GAUGES HAVE RECENTLY REPORTED STORM
SURGE HEIGHTS OF 11.9 FEET AT KINGS POINT NEW YORK...8.4 FEET
AT THE BATTERY NEW YORK...AND 8.6 FEET AT SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY.

WITHIN THE PAST HOUR OR SO...A SUSTAINED WIND OF 49 MPH WITH A GUST
TO 73 MPH WAS REPORTED AT JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT IN NEW YORK. A
WIND GUST TO 71 MPH WAS RECENTLY OBSERVED AT FARMINGDALE NEW YORK.

ANOTHER UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED AT 900 PM EDT. NHC WILL ISSUE ITS LAST
ADVISORY ON SANDY AT 1100 PM EDT. THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER...HPC...WILL BEGIN ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AT
500 AM EDT TUESDAY. HPC PUBLIC ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED UNDER THE
SAME WMO AND AWIPS HEADERS AS THE NHC PUBLIC ADVISORIES...AND WILL
ALSO BE AVAILABLE VIA THE NHC WEBSITE.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/ROBERTS
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#66 Postby cycloneye » Mon Oct 29, 2012 8:03 pm

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SANDY TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012
900 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS GUSTS REPORTED OVER LONG ISLAND AND THE NEW
YORK METROPOLITAN AREAS...

SUMMARY OF 900 PM EDT...0100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...39.6N 74.6W
ABOUT 15 MI...24 KM NW OF ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...947 MB...27.96 INCHES

NATIONAL OCEAN SERVICE TIDE GAUGES HAVE RECENTLY REPORTED STORM
TIDE HEIGHT...THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND TIDE RELATIVE TO
MEAN LOWER LOW WATER...OF 13.3 FEET AT KINGS POINT NEW YORK...13.7
FEET AT THE BATTERY NEW YORK...AND 13.3 FEET AT SANDY HOOK NEW
JERSEY.

A WIND GUST TO 79 MPH WAS REPORTED AT JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT IN
NEW YORK. A WIND GUST TO 90 MPH WAS REPORTED EARLIER THIS EVENING
AT ISLIP NEW YORK.

NHC WILL ISSUE ITS LAST ADVISORY ON SANDY AT 1100 PM EDT. THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...HPC...WILL BEGIN ISSUING
PUBLIC ADVISORIES AT 500 AM EDT TUESDAY. HPC PUBLIC ADVISORIES WILL
BE ISSUED UNDER THE SAME WMO AND AWIPS HEADERS AS THE NHC PUBLIC
ADVISORIES...AND WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE VIA THE NHC WEBSITE.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/ROBERTS
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Advisories

#67 Postby cycloneye » Mon Oct 29, 2012 9:53 pm

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SANDY ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012
1100 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...SANDY STILL PACKING HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS...
...NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY TO BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...39.8N 75.4W
ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM SW OF PHILADELPHIA PENSYLVANIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.11 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HOWEVER...THERE ARE NON-TROPICAL HIGH-WIND WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR
PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NEW ENGLAND STATES. PLEASE SEE
STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES.

HURRICANE-FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COAST
BETWEEN CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA AND CHATHAM MASSACHUSETTS DURING THE
NEXT FEW HOURS. THIS INCLUDES THE TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND
TO SMITH POINT...THE MIDDLE AND UPPER CHESAPEAKE BAY...DELAWARE
BAY...AND THE COASTS OF THE NORTHERN DELMARVA PENINSULA...NEW
JERSEY...THE NEW YORK CITY AREA...LONG ISLAND...CONNECTICUT...AND
RHODE ISLAND.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE NORTH OF CHATHAM
THROUGH MUCH OF NEW ENGLAND...AND OVER THE LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY...
AND SOUTH OF CHINCOTEAGUE TO EXTREME NORTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
SANDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.4 WEST.
THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AT 18
MPH...30 KM/H. A WEST-NORTHWEST TO NORTHWEST MOTION WITH SOME
REDUCTION IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST IS FORECAST TUESDAY NIGHT. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF SANDY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS
PENNSYLVANIA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...THEN MOVE INTO WESTERN NEW
YORK TUESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE OCCURRING OVER WATER TO THE EAST OF
THE CENTER. STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM...TO
THE EAST OF THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD
UP TO 485 MILES...780 KM FROM THE CENTER. A SUSTAINED WIND OF 56
MPH...WITH A GUST TO 71 MPH WAS RECENTLY REPORTED AT LAGUARDIA
AIRPORT IN NEW YORK. A TEXAS TECH UNIVERSITY AUTOMATED OBSERVING
SITE HAS REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 MPH...WITH A GUST TO 67
MPH...ALONG THE COAST OF NORTHERN NEW JERSEY WITHIN THE PAST HOUR.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON SURFACE DATA IS 952
MB...28.11 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE
MID-ATLANTIC STATES FROM VIRGINIA NORTHWARD THROUGH NEW ENGLAND.
HURRICANE-FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST OF NEW
JERSEY...NEW YORK...SOUTHERN MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND DURING
THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

IT IS IMPORTANT TO NOTE THAT WINDS AFFECTING THE UPPER FLOORS OF
HIGH-RISE BUILDINGS WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY STRONGER THAN THOSE NEAR
GROUND LEVEL.

STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM SURGE
AND THE TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE
FLOODED BY RISING WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING
DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH
TIDE...

NC NORTH OF SURF CITY INCLUDING PAMLICO/ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...2 TO 4 FT
SE VA AND DELMARVA INCLUDING LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY...2 TO 4 FT
UPPER AND MIDDLE CHESAPEAKE BAY...1 TO 3 FT
LONG ISLAND SOUND...RARITAN BAY...AND NEW YORK HARBOR...6 TO 11 FT
ELSEWHERE FROM OCEAN CITY MD TO THE CT/RI BORDER...4 TO 8 FT
CT/RI BORDER TO THE SOUTH SHORE OF CAPE COD INCLUDING BUZZARDS
BAY AND NARRAGANSETT BAY...3 TO 6 FT
CAPE COD TO THE MA/NH BORDER INCLUDING CAPE COD BAY...2 TO 4 FT
MA/NH BORDER TO THE U.S./CANADA BORDER...1 TO 3 FT

SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE
AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES.
GIVEN THE LARGE WIND FIELD ASSOCIATED WITH SANDY...ELEVATED WATER
LEVELS COULD SPAN MULTIPLE TIDE CYCLES RESULTING IN REPEATED AND
EXTENDED PERIODS OF COASTAL AND BAYSIDE FLOODING. IN ADDITION...
ELEVATED WATERS COULD OCCUR FAR REMOVED FROM THE CENTER OF SANDY.
FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER FAR
NORTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 8
INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED
OVER PORTIONS OF THE MID ATLANTIC STATES...INCLUDING THE DELMARVA
PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FROM THE SOUTHERN TIER OF NEW YORK STATE
NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH NEW ENGLAND.

SNOWFALL..SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3 FEET ARE EXPECTED IN THE
MOUNTAINS OF WEST VIRGINIA WITH LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS TODAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. SNOWFALL OF 1 TO 2 FEET IS EXPECTED IN THE MOUNTAINS OF
SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA TO THE KENTUCKY BORDER...WITH 12 TO 18 INCHES
OF SNOW EXPECTED IN THE MOUNTAINS NEAR THE NORTH CAROLINA/TENNESSEE
BORDER AND IN THE MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN MARYLAND.

SURF...DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FROM FLORIDA THROUGH
NEW ENGLAND FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON SANDY. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN
PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION
CENTER...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT33
KWNH...BEGINNING AT 500 AM EDT. THESE PUBLIC ADVISORIES WILL ALSO
BE AVAILABLE ON THE NHC WEBSITE.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/ROBERTS



POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SANDY DISCUSSION NUMBER 31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012
1100 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

SATELLITE...RADAR...SURFACE...AND RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT DATA
INDICATE THAT SANDY MADE LANDFALL NEAR ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY
AROUND 0000 UTC. THE INTENSITY OF THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE WAS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 80 KT AT LANDFALL WITH A MINIMUM PRESSURE OF
946 MB. AT LANDFALL...THE STRONGEST WINDS WERE OCCURRING OVER
WATER TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. HURRICANE-FORCE
WINDS GUSTS HAVE BEEN REPORTED ACROSS LONG ISLAND AND THE NEW YORK
METROPOLITAN AREA THIS EVENING. IN ADDITION...A SIGNIFICANT STORM
SURGE HAS OCCURRED ALONG A LONG STRETCH OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST.

ALTHOUGH THE CYCLONE SHOULD STEADILY WEAKEN AS IT MOVES FURTHER
INLAND....CONDITIONS WILL BE SLOW TO IMPROVE AS STRONG WINDS AND
ELEVATED WATER LEVELS WILL PERSIST ALONG THE COAST FOR ANOTHER DAY
OR SO. HEAVY RAINS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER A LARGE
AREA OF THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES...POSING A VERY
SIGNIFICANT INLAND FLOOD RISK. SANDY TOOK A NORTHWARD JOG BEFORE
LANDFALL THIS EVENING AND HAS ALSO SLOWED DOWN. THE POST-TROPICAL
CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN FURTHER AND TURN NORTHWARD...THEN
NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE NHC TRACK IS
SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND IS A BLEND OF THE ECMWF AND
GFS MODELS.

NOW THAT SANDY IS A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE...THE NEXT PUBLIC
ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION
CENTER...HPC...AT 500 AM EDT TUESDAY. THE PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE
ISSUED UNDER THE SAME WMO AND AWIPS HEADERS AS THE NHC PUBLIC
ADVISORIES...AND WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE VIA THE NHC WEBSITE.
HIGH WIND WARNINGS ISSUED BY THE LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICES REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR A LARGE PORTION OF THE
MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES.

THANKS GO OUT TO THE CREWS OF THE AIR FORCE RESERVE AND NOAA
HURRICANE HUNTERS FOR PROVIDING CRITICAL MEASUREMENTS IN AND AROUND
SANDY DURING THE LAST SEVEN DAYS. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
WOULD ALSO LIKE TO THANK THE LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES ACROSS
THE COUNTRY THAT HAVE CONDUCTED SPECIAL RADIOSONDE RELEASES AS SANDY
APPROACHED THE COAST.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 30/0300Z 39.8N 75.4W 65 KT 75 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
12H 30/1200Z 40.5N 77.2W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24H 31/0000Z 41.3N 78.3W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36H 31/1200Z 42.6N 77.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48H 01/0000Z 44.0N 76.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 02/0000Z 46.5N 74.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 03/0000Z 48.5N 70.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 04/0000Z...ABSORBED

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
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Re: ATL: SANDY - HPC Advisories

#68 Postby cycloneye » Tue Oct 30, 2012 5:42 am

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SANDY ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL182012
500 AM EDT TUE OCT 30 2012

...POST TROPICAL CYCLONE SANDY MOVING WESTWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN
PENNSYLVANIA...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...40.5N 77.0W
ABOUT 15 MILES...24 KM...E OF YORK PENNSYLVANIA.
ABOUT 90 MILES...145 KM...W OF PHILADELPHIA PENNSYLVANIA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...105 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE HIGH-WIND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...INCLUDING GALE FORCE
WINDS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES...NEW
YORK AND NEW ENGLAND. STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS
OF THE MID ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT OVER
PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST STATES.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
SANDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 40.5 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 77.0
WEST. THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE WAS MOVING TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH...25 KPH. A WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION WITH
REDUCED FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY INTO WESTERN
PENNSYLVANIA...WITH A TURN NORTH INTO WESTERN NEW YORK TONIGHT.
THE CYCLONE WILL MOVE INTO CANADA WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...105 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
WIND...GALE-FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE EARLY TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF
THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES FROM VIRGINIA NORTHWARD THROUGH NEW
ENGLAND.

STORM SURGE...EVEN THOUGH WATER LEVELS ALONG THE COAST HAVE BEEN
SUBSIDING...THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE COULD
STILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY
RISING WATERS...ESPECIALLY DURING THE NEXT HIGH TIDE CYCLE. THE
WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND AT THE TIME OF
HIGH TIDE...

PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...2 TO 4 FT
DELMARVA PENINSULA AND DELAWARE BAY...2 TO 4 FT
UPPER AND MIDDLE CHESAPEAKE BAY...2 TO 4 FT
JERSEY SHORE NORTHWARD TO MASSACHUSETTS...1 TO 3 FT

SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE
AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES.
THE SURGE COULD BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES ALONG
PORTIONS OF THE COAST EXPOSED TO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER FAR
NORTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 8
INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED
OVER PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES...INCLUDING THE DELMARVA
PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FROM THE SOUTHERN TIER OF NEW YORK STATE
NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH NEW ENGLAND.

SNOWFALL...SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 3 FEET ARE EXPECTED IN THE
MOUNTAINS OF WEST VIRGINIA WITH LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS TODAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 FEET ARE EXPECTED IN
THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA TO THE KENTUCKY
BORDER...WITH 12 TO 18 INCHES OF SNOW EXPECTED IN THE MOUNTAINS
ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA/TENNESSEE BORDER AND IN THE MOUNTAINS OF
FAR WESTERN MARYLAND.

SURF...DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FROM FLORIDA
THROUGH NEW ENGLAND FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 2 AM EDT

...WASHINGTON DC...
WASHINGTON/NATIONAL 4.11

...DELAWARE...
MILFORD 9.55
DOVER AFB 8.46
WILMINGTON ARPT 4.17

...MASSACHUSETTS...
EAST MILTON 2.87
FITCHBURG (FIT) 2.32
NANTUCKET MEMORIAL ARPT 2.00
BEDFORD/HANSCOM FIELD 2.00
NORWOOD MEMORIAL ARPT 1.84
WORCESTER MUNI ARPT 1.67

...MARYLAND...
PATUXENT RIVER NAS 7.90
OCEAN CITY MUNI ARPT 7.16
SALISBURY RGNL ARPT 7.10
BALTIMORE SCIENCE CENTER 6.40
ANNAPOLIS - US NAVAL ACADEMY 6.29
1 NE PIMLICO 6.44
BALTIMORE/WASHINGTON INTL ARPT 5.93
HAGERSTOWN RGNL ARPT 4.11


...NORTH CAROLINA...
HATTERAS/BILLY MITCHELL AP 6.26
ELIZABETH CITY MUNI ARPT 3.46
NEW BERN/CRAVEN CO. ARPT 2.34

...NEW HAMPSHIRE...
JAFFREY MUNI ARPT 3.63
NASHUA/BOIRE FIELD 1.98
MOUNT WASHINGTON 1.87
MANCHESTER AIRPARK 1.56

...NEW JERSEY...
WILDWOOD CREST 11.62
WEST CAPE MAY 9.37
WOODBINE 7.82
ATLANTIC CITY 8.01
ESTELLE HARBOR 6.57
MILLVILLE MUNI ARPT 5.28

...NEW YORK...
NIAGARA FALLS INTL ARPT 2.69
JAMESTOWN AIRPORT 2.46
ROCHESTER/MONROE CO. ARPT 2.19
DANSVILLE MUNI ARPT 2.13
DUNKIRK AIRPORT 2.06
PENN YAN AIRPORT 1.74
BUFFALO WFO 1.46

...OHIO...
CLEVELAND-HOPKINS INTL ARPT 3.14
ASHTABULA CO. ARPT 2.77
YOUNGSTOWN MUNI ARPT 2.54
WOOSTER/WAYNE CO. ARPT 2.46
LORAIN/ELYRIA 2.42
AKRON/FULTON INTL ARPT 2.19
NEW PHILADELPHIA/CLEVER FIELD 2.04
AKRON-CANTON RGNL ARPT 2.04
MANSFIELD/LAHM MUNI ARPT 1.85
ZANESVILLE MUNI ARPT 1.53
CLEVELAND/BURKE LAKEFRONT 1.51

...PENNSYLVANIA...
LIGONIER 3.62
YORK ARPT 3.27
JOHNSTOWN/CAMBRIA CO. ARPT 3.22
ERIE INTL ARPT 3.01
CONNELLSVILLE 2.98
DU BOIS-JEFFERSON COUNTY ARPT 2.95
WALTERSBURG 2.87
CLEARFIELD-LAWRENCE ARPT 2.40
PHILADELPHIA INTL ARPT 2.36
ALTOONA/BLAIR CO. ARPT 2.36
PITTSBURGH/ALLEGHENY CO. ARPT 2.35
BUTLER CO. AIRPORT 2.35
READING/SPAATZ FIELD 2.32
PITTSBURGH INTL ARPT 2.32
POTTSTOWN LIMERICK ARPT 2.29
LANCASTER AIRPORT 2.29
MIDDLETOWN/OLMSTED 2.28
HARRISBURG/CAPITAL CITY ARPT 2.20
PHILADELPHIA/NE PHIL. ARPT 1.93

...RHODE ISLAND...
PAWTUCKET/NORTH CENTRAL ST ARPT 1.32

...VIRGINIA...
OCEANA NAS/SOUCEK 9.54
WALLOPS ISLAND 8.40
PURCELLVILLE 7.89
NEWPORT NEWS/WILLIAMSBURG INL AP 7.31
LANGLEY AFB/HAMPTON 7.17
FORT EUSTIS/FELKER 6.71
NORFOLK INTL ARPT 5.91
WASHINGTON/DULLES 4.78
WEST POINT 4.15
NORFOLK NAS 3.29
WAKEFIELD MUNI ARPT 2.92
QUANTICO MCAF 2.75
RICHMOND 2.39


...WEST VIRGINIA...
MORGANTOWN/HART FIELD 2.95
SPRINGFIELD 2.77
PARKERSBURG/WILSON 2.01
HUNTINGTON/TRI-STATE ARPT 1.98
WHEELING/OHIO CO. ARPT 1.88
MARTINSBURG RGNL ARPT 1.73
ELKINS/RANDOLPH FIELD 1.63

SNOWFALL TOTALS
---------------

...NORTH CAROLINA...
6 N BAKERSVILLE 8 INCHES
6 NW LANSING 5 INCHES
4 NW FAUST 6 INCHES

...PENNSYLVANIA...
MOUNT DAVIS 9 INCHES

...VIRGINIA...
1 E TAZEWELL 5 INCHES

...WEST VIRGINIA...
BOWDEN 14 INCHES
CANVAS 12 INCHES
2 S COAL CITY 12 INCHES
SUMMERSVILLE 10 INCHES
ELKINS 7 INCHES
1 E KITZMILLER 6 INCHES
1 S BLUEFIELD 6 INCHES

WIND GUSTS
---------------

ISLIP NY 90 MPH
2 N TOMPKINSVILLE NJ 90 MPH
SURF CITY NJ 89 MPH
TUCKERTON NJ 88 MPH
1 N MONTCLAIR NJ 88 MPH
PLUM ISLAND NY 84 MPH
CUTTYHUNK MA 83 MPH
GROTON CT 76 MPH
HARVEY CEDARS NJ 75 MPH


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED AT 1100 AM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION
ON THIS STORM.

PETERSEN

FORECAST POSITIONS

INITIAL 30/0900Z 40.5N 77.0W POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
12HR VT 30/1800Z 40.6N 78.5W POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24HR VT 31/0600Z 41.3N 79.0W POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36HR VT 31/1800Z 44.1N 77.6W POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48HR VT 01/0600Z 47.0N 76.9W POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72HR VT 02/0600Z ABSORBED

$$
$$
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Re: ATL: SANDY - HPC Advisories

#69 Postby cycloneye » Tue Oct 30, 2012 11:24 am

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SANDY ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL182012
1100 AM EDT TUE OCT 30 2012

...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SANDY SLOWLY MOVING WESTWARD WHILE
WEAKENING ACROSS SOUTHERN PENNSYLVANIA...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...40.2N 78.4W
ABOUT 120 MILES...190 KM...ESE OF PITTSBURGH PENNSYLVANIA.
ABOUT 145 MILES...235KM...W OF PHILADELPHIA PENNSYLVANIA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...72 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...16 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.0 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

HIGH WIND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT ALONG THE CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS AND ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE GREAT LAKES. STORM
WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NEW ENGLAND
COAST...FROM VIRGINIA TO MASSACHUSETTS. STORM WARNINGS ARE ALSO
IN EFFECT ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES.

FLOOD AND COASTAL FLOOD WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND ADVISORIES ARE IN
EFFECT OVER PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST STATES.

BLIZZARD WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT ALONG THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF
THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS. WINTER STORM WARNINGS AND WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR EXTREME WESTERN MARYLAND
AND SOUTHWESTWARD INTO EASTERN TENNESSEE...EASTERN KENTUCKY...AND
EXTREME WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF SANDY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 40.2 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 78.4 WEST. THE POST-TROPICAL
CYCLONE WAS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 10 MPH...16 KM/H. SANDY HAS
SLOWED IN FORWARD MOTION AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ITS WESTWARD
TRACK ACROSS SOUTHERN PENNSYLVANIA THIS AFTERNOON...AND SHOULD
TAKE A TURN TOWARD WESTERN NEW YORK TONIGHT. THE CYCLONE WILL
MOVE INTO CANADA ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...72 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 MB...29.0 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
WIND...STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS AFTERNOON OVER
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...AND
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES.

STORM SURGE...EVEN THOUGH WATER LEVELS ALONG THE COAST HAVE BEEN
SUBSIDING...THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE COULD
STILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY
RISING WATERS...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS APPROACHING HIGH TIDE. THE
WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND AT THE TIME OF
HIGH TIDE...

PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...2 TO 4 FT
UPPER AND MIDDLE CHESAPEAKE BAY AND DELAWARE BAY...2 TO 4 FT
DELMARVA PENINSULA NORTHWARD THROUGH THE JERSEY SHORE...1 TO 3 FT
NEW YORK NORTHWARD TO MASSACHUSETTS...1 TO 2 FT

DUE TO STRONG AND PERSISTENT NORTHERLY WINDS...COASTAL FLOODING
ALONG PORTIONS OF THE GREAT LAKES IS POSSIBLE.

SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE
AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES.
THE SURGE COULD BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES ALONG
PORTIONS OF THE COAST EXPOSED TO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO AN INCH ARE
EXPECTED FROM THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES...ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC
AND INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...BRINGING STORM TOTAL PRECIPITATION
AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION FROM
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY ACROSS DELAWARE...MARYLAND...NORTHERN
VIRGINIA AND SOUTHERN PENNSYLVANIA. STORM TOTAL PRECIPITATION
AMOUNT OF 2 TO 5 INCHES LIKELY ACROSS WESTERN
PENNSYLVANIA...EASTERN OHIO AND WESTERN NEW YORK. PRECIPITATION
AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN MAINE.

SNOWFALL...SNOWFALL STORM TOTALS OF 2 TO 3 FEET ARE EXPECTED IN
THE MOUNTAINS OF WEST VIRGINIA INTO FAR WESTERN MARYLAND. SNOWFALL
STORM TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 FEET ARE EXPECTED IN THE MOUNTAINS OF
SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA INTO EASTERN PORTIONS OF KENTUCKY...IN THE
MOUNTAINS ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA/TENNESSEE BORDER.

SURF...DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FROM FLORIDA
THROUGH NEW ENGLAND FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 11 AM EDT

...WASHINGTON DC...
WASHINGTON/NATIONAL 4.66

...DELAWARE...
DOVER AFB 8.51
WILMINGTON ARPT 4.23

...MASSACHUSETTS...
EAST MILTON 3.00
FITCHBURG 2.43
BEDFORD/HANSCOM FIELD 2.29
NORWOOD MEMORIAL ARPT 2.02
NANTUCKET MEMORIAL ARPT 2.00


...MARYLAND...
PATUXENT RIVER NAS 8.20
SALISBURY RGNL ARPT 7.24
OCEAN CITY MUNI ARPT 7.20
ANNAPOLIS - US NAVAL ACADEMY 6.94
BALIMORE SCIENCE CENTER 6.94

BALTIMORE/WASHINGTON INTL ARPT 6.51
HAGERSTOWN RGNL ARPT 4.76


...NORTH CAROLINA...
HATTERAS/BILLY MITCHELL AP 6.26
ELIZABETH CITY MUNI ARPT 3.46
NEW BERN/CRAVEN CO. ARPT 2.34

...NEW HAMPSHIRE...
JAFFREY MUNI ARPT 3.81
MOUNT WASHINGTON 2.44
NASHUA/BOIRE FIELD 2.36
MANCHESTER AIRPARK 1.76

...NEW JERSEY...
MILLVILLE MUNI ARPT 5.37
ATLANTIC CITY INTL ARPT 4.13
WILDWOOD - CAPE MAY CO. ARPT 3.11
MCGUIRE AFB/WRIGHTSTOWN 2.57
MOUNT HOLLY 1.85

...NEW YORK...
NIAGARA FALLS INTL ARPT 3.02
JAMESTOWN AIRPORT 2.57
DUNKIRK AIRPORT 2.27
DANSVILLE MUNI ARPT 2.20
ROCHESTER/MONROE CO. ARPT 2.19

BUFFALO WFO 1.98

...OHIO...
CLEVELAND-HOPKINS INTL ARPT 4.07
LORAIN/ELYRIA 3.85
ASHTABULA CO. ARPT 3.67
WOOSTER/WAYNE CO. ARPT 2.98
YOUNGSTOWN MUNI ARPT 2.87
AKRON/FULTON INTL ARPT 2.70
NEW PHILADELPHIA/CLEVER FIELD 2.37
MANSFIELD/LAHM MUNI ARPT 2.06
ZANESVILLE MUNI ARPT 1.66
CLEVELAND/BURKE LAKEFRONT 1.51

...PENNSYLVANIA...
JOHNSTOWN/CAMBRIA CO. ARPT 3.79
YORK ARPT 3.77
ERIE INTL ARPT 3.35
DU BOIS-JEFFERSON COUNTY ARPT 3.04
ALTOONA/BLAIR CO. ARPT 2.97
PITTSBURGH INTL ARPT 2.71
BUTLER CO. AIRPORT 2.59
CLEARFIELD-LAWRENCE ARPT 2.56
POTTSTOWN LIMERICK ARPT 2.55
PHILADELPHIA INTL ARPT 2.41


...RHODE ISLAND...
PAWTUCKET/NORTH CENTRAL ST ARPT 1.53

...VIRGINIA...
OCEANA NAS/SOUCEK 9.57
WALLOPS ISLAND 8.45
NEWPORT NEWS/WILLIAMSBURG INL AP 7.35
LANGLEY AFB/HAMPTON 7.25
FORT EUSTIS/FELKER 6.79
NORFOLK INTL ARPT 5.93
WASHINGTON/DULLES 5.40
WEST POINT 4.31
NORFOLK NAS 3.35

RICHMOND 2.91

...WEST VIRGINIA...
MORGANTOWN/HART FIELD 2.95
BECKLEY MEMORIAL ARPT 2.48
HUNTINGTON/TRI-STATE ARPT 2.36
PARKERSBURG/WILSON 2.13
WHEELING/OHIO CO. ARPT 2.09



SNOWFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 11 AM EDT

..KENTUCKY...
LYNCH 3S 12.0
ELKO 1NW 9.0
BENHAM 3S 6.0

...MARYLAND...
REDHOUSE 26.0
GARRETT 26.0
DEEP CREEK LAKE 20.0
OAKLAND 12.0

...NORTH CAROLINA...
BAKERSVILLE 6N 8.0
FAUST 4NW 6.0
LANSING 6NW 5.0
CRESTON 4.0

...PENNSYLVANIA...
CHAMPION 4SE 13.0
MOUNT DAVIS 9.0
LAUREL SUMMIT 6.0

...VIRGINIA...
TAZEWELL 1E 5.0
CLINTWOOD 2WSW 4.0
BURKES GARDEN 3.0

...WEST VIRGINIA...
DAVIS 23.0
BAYARD 19.0
TERRA ALTA 1N 18.0
WEBSTER SPINGS 17.0
FAYETTEVILLE 11E 15.0
SHADY SPRING 14.0
MORGANTOWN 3SE 12.0
SNOWSHOE 1S 11.0


WIND GUSTS
---------------

ISLIP NY 90 MPH
2 N TOMPKINSVILLE NJ 90 MPH
SURF CITY NJ 89 MPH
TUCKERTON NJ 88 MPH
1 N MONTCLAIR NJ 88 MPH
MADISON CT 85 MPH
PLUM ISLAND NY 84 MPH
CUTTYHUNK MA 83 MPH
DENNISVILLE 81 MPH
SANDY HOOK NJ 81 MPH
WELLFLEET MA 81 MPH
JFK NY 79 MPH
NEWARK NJ 78 MPH
ATLANTIC CITY NJ 77 MPH
GROTON CT 76 MPH
HARVEY CEDARS NJ 75 MPH

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 500 PM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

GERHARDT/KREKELER

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 30/1500Z 40.2N 78.4W POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
12HR VT 31/0000Z 40.7N 79.6W POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24HR VT 31/1200Z 42.3N 79.5W POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36HR VT 01/0000Z 46.2N 77.7W POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48HR VT 01/1200Z 48.9N 76.4W POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72HR VT 02/1200Z ABSORBED
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#70 Postby cycloneye » Tue Oct 30, 2012 3:54 pm

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SANDY ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL182012
0500 PM EDT TUE OCT 30 2012

...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SANDY CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVER
PENNSYLVANIA...

SUMMARY OF 0500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...40.8N 79.2W
ABOUT 50 MILES...80 KM...ENE OF PITTSBURGH PENNSYLVANIA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...72 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...16 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT OVER PORTIONS OF THE GREAT LAKES.
GALE WARNING ARE IN EFFECT ALONG PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND
NORTHEAST COASTS.

FLOOD AND COASTAL FLOOD WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND ADVISORIES ARE IN
EFFECT OVER PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST STATES.

BLIZZARD WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT ALONG THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF
THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS. WINTER STORM WARNINGS AND WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME WESTERN MARYLAND
AND SOUTHWESTWARD INTO EASTERN TENNESSEE...EASTERN KENTUCKY...AND
EXTREME WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 0500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF SANDY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 40.8 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 79.2 WEST. THE POST-TROPICAL
CYCLONE WAS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH...16 KM/H.
SANDY IS EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS WESTERN
PENNSYLVANIA TONIGHT...AND CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWARD INTO CANADA
ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...72 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
WIND...STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY NIGHT OVER PORTIONS
OF THE NORTHEAST...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...AND ACROSS THE
GREAT LAKES.

STORM SURGE...EVEN THOUGH WATER LEVELS ALONG THE COAST HAVE BEEN
SUBSIDING...THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE COULD
STILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY
RISING WATERS...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS APPROACHING HIGH TIDE. THE
WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND AT THE TIME OF
HIGH TIDE...

UPPER AND MIDDLE CHESAPEAKE BAY...2 TO 4 FT

ELSEWHEREELEVATED WATER LEVELS ALONG THE COAST OF NORTH
CAROLINA TO MASSACHUSETTS WILL SUBSIDE OVERNIGHT AND ON WEDNESDAY.
DUE TO STRONG AND PERSISTENT NORTHERLY WINDS...COASTAL FLOODING
ALONG PORTIONS OF THE GREAT LAKES IS POSSIBLE.

SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE
AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES.
THE SURGE COULD BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES ALONG
PORTIONS OF THE COAST EXPOSED TO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO AN INCH ARE
EXPECTED FROM THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES...ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC
AND INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. THIS WILL BRING STORM TOTAL
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC
REGION FROM SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY ACROSS
DELAWARE...MARYLAND...NORTHERN VIRGINIA AND SOUTHERN PENNSYLVANIA.
ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED
OVER EASTERN MAINE THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SNOWFALL...ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED IN THE MOUNTAINS OF WEST VIRGINIA INTO FAR WESTERN
MARYLAND...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES. THIS WILL BRING
STORM SNOWFALL TOTALS TO 2 TO 3 FEET OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS...AND 1 TO 2 FEET OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF KENTUCKY
AND THE MOUNTAINS ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA/TENNESSEE BORDER.

SURF...DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FROM FLORIDA
THROUGH NEW ENGLAND FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 5 PM EDT

...WASHINGTON DC...
WASHINGTON 5.1 NW 5.83
WASHINGTON/NATIONAL 4.78

...DELAWARE...
GEORGETOWN 10.20
DOVER 6.4 WNW 9.62
MILFORD 9.55
INDIAN RIVER ACRES 9.49
REHOBOTH BEACH 9.37
CLAYTON 6.6 W 8.62
DELANEY CORNER 8.33
MILTON 8.30
SMYRNA 2.7 SSE 8.30
SEAFORD 2.3 SSE 8.27
FELTON 3.6 NE 8.00
VIOLA 7.84
GEORGETOWN 5.8 W 7.76
NEWARK 3.9 SSW 7.68
MAGNOLIA 2.4 NW 7.60
DELMAR 4.3 E 7.13
WILMINGTON ARPT 4.34

...MASSACHUSETTS...
EAST MILTON 3.03
LEOMINSTER 1.5 S 2.92
NATICK 1.7 NNE 2.85
NORTON 1.8 NNE 2.80
ACTON 1.3 SW 2.76
MILLIS 0.6 SSE 2.65
NORTHBOROUGH 0.6 SSE 2.60
NORWOOD 1.3 NW 2.59
FITCHBURG 1.6 SSW 2.58
LOWELL 1.9 ENE 2.55
ANDOVER 1.5 W 2.48
BEDFORD/HANSCOM FIELD 2.40

NANTUCKET MEMORIAL ARPT 2.01


...MARYLAND...
EASTON 0.7 NNW 12.55
GREENSBORO 1.4 ENE 10.53
QUEENSTOWN 2.6 S 9.89
TRAPPE 3.5 NE 9.78
BISHOPVILLE 3.1 E 9.48
DENTON 5.8 WSW 9.18
PRINCESS ANNE 4.4 WSW 8.81
PASADENA 2.6 ESE 8.60
PATUXENT RIVER NAS 8.29
LA PLATA 5.8 SE 8.23
SALISBURY RGNL ARPT 7.41
OCEAN CITY MUNI ARPT 7.20
BALIMORE SCIENCE CENTER 7.10
ANNAPOLIS - US NAVAL ACADEMY 7.08
BALTIMORE/WASHINGTON INTL ARPT 6.61

...NORTH CAROLINA...
SALVO 0.9 NNE 8.09
AVON 0.7 NE 8.00
COROLLA 3.2 SSE 7.66
DUCK 0.3 SE 7.22
KILL DEVIL HILLS 2.5 NNW 6.47
HATTERAS/BILLY MITCHELL AP 6.26
COROLLA 11.7 NNW 5.90
KITTY HAWK 4.0 NNW 5.89
TRENT WOODS 1.3 SSE 4.11
JAMESVILLE 6.1 SW 3.84
JACKSONVILLE 2.0 E 3.75
HOLLY RIDGE 4.8 ENE 3.63
ELIZABETH CITY 10.5 NNW 3.56
MERRY HILL 3.8 E 3.51

...NEW HAMPSHIRE...
GORHAM 3.1 S 4.85
CENTER SANDWICH 4.9 E 4.57
RANDOLPH 1.4 NE 4.51
NEWBURY 1.6 NW 4.00
JAFFREY MUNI ARPT 3.83
EFFINGHAM 0.9 NNW 3.35
NEWBURY 4.0 SE 3.07
HILLSBOROUGH 2.1 NNW 3.00
BROOKLINE 2.1 SW 3.00
MADISON 1.7 SE 2.99
GREENVILLE 1.1 ENE 2.96
BROOKFIELD 0.9 WSW 2.91
UNITY 3.2 ENE 2.83
MILFORD 2.7 SE 2.77
NASHUA/BOIRE FIELD 2.62

...NEW JERSEY...
WILDWOOD CREST 0.6 NNE 11.91
NORTH WILDWOOD 10.24
WEST CAPE MAY 9.37
LOWER TWP 2.2 NE 8.41
ERMA 8.20
ATLANTIC CITY 8.15
CAPE MAY 8.10
WOODBINE 0.8 NNW 7.84
UPPER TWP 3.2 SE 7.75
HAMILTON TWP 2.1 SE 7.56
WOODBINE 5.1 NE 7.52
NEWPORT 7.30
CAPE MAY 0.4 NNW 7.28
VINELAND 2.6 WSW 7.07
ESTELL MANOR 7.06
CEDARVILLE 7.00
EGG HARBOR TWP 1.3 NW 6.83
LINWOOD 0.7 SSW 6.82
UPPER DEERFIELD TWP 1.9 E 6.22

...NEW YORK...
SHERMAN 0.4 ENE 3.42
LOCKPORT 2.8 ENE 3.31
NIAGARA FALLS INTL ARPT 3.27
LANCASTER 4.1 ENE 3.26
ELMA CENTER 0.7 SE 3.06
DANSVILLE 1.0 ENE 3.06
LOCKPORT 0.8 NE 3.05
WEST ALMOND 3.6 SW 3.04
LITTLE VALLEY 1.1 N 2.96
KENNEDY 0.3 NE 2.96
PENDLETON 1.4 NE 2.93
ORCHARD PARK 0.5 N 2.90


...OHIO...
KIRTLAND 0.9 SW 5.69
MAYFIELD 0.2 NW 5.10
NORTH RIDGEVILLE 2.8 SSW 5.06
PAINESVILLE 3.8 SSW 5.02
ELYRIA 3.0 SE 4.77
BROADVIEW HEIGHTS 1.5 NW 4.44
ASHTABULA CO. ARPT 4.36
CLEVELAND-HOPKINS INTL ARPT 4.36
AVON 1.6 SW 4.14
BRUNSWICK 0.5 NE 4.08
PARMA 1.9 NNW 3.96
RICHMOND HEIGHTS 0.4 NNE 3.88
LORAIN/ELYRIA 3.85
WAKEMAN 4.6 NNE 3.77
ELYRIA 0.4 SE 3.70
MONTVILLE 1.2 SSE 3.65

...PENNSYLVANIA...
HANOVER 5.4 S 7.61
SCHELLSBURG 2.6 WNW 7.32
GLEN ROCK 2.2 ESE 6.54
MALVERN 0.5 NNE 6.32
LANDENBERG 1.8 ENE 5.96
NEW SALEM 0.3 WSW 5.92
LITTLESTOWN 3.7 WNW 5.84
LATROBE 0.6 NW 5.76
WEST CHESTER 1.8 SE 5.54
HANOVER 3.0 WSW 5.51
ABBOTTSTOWN 2.4 N 5.43

...RHODE ISLAND...
WOONSOCKET 1.3 ESE 1.87
MANVILLE 0.2 NE 1.76
PAWTUCKET/NORTH CENTRAL ST ARPT 1.57

...VIRGINIA...
OCEANA NAS/SOUCEK 9.57
CASHVILLE .01 S 9.38
WHITE STONE 8.0 SSW 8.96
GREENBACKVILLE 0.4 WNW 8.64
PORT HAYWOOD 1.0 SE 8.59
ONLEY 0.6 SE 8.47
WALLOPS ISLAND 8.45
ONANCOCK 3.9 SW 8.39
VIRGINIA BEACH 1.7 NE 7.99
YORKTOWN 0.8 SE 7.73
NEWPORT NEWS 5.8 NE 7.63

...WEST VIRGINIA...
SHENANDOAH JUNCTION 4.46
FALLING WATERS 2.4 NW 4.36
SLANESVILLE 2.1 SE 3.99
MCMECHEN 6.0 E 3.56
MORGANTOWN/HART FIELD 3.17
CHARLES TOWN 2.5 NE 3.15
BUNKER HILL 0.8 WNW 3.06
SPRINGFIELD 2.3 ESE 3.04
BOOTHSVILLE 1.4 SE 2.83
MIDDLEBOURNE 0.3 ENE 2.80


SNOWFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 5 PM EDT

..KENTUCKY...
PAYNE GAP 14.0
LYNCH 3S 12.0
ELKO 1NW 9.0
BENHAM 3S 6.0

...MARYLAND...
REDHOUSE 29.0
FINZEL 24.0
OAKLAND 24.0
DEEP CREEK LAKE 20.0

...NORTH CAROLINA...
COVE CREEK 10NW 24.0
FAUST 24.0
NEWFOUND GAP 22.0
ELK PARK 14.0
BULADEAN 12.0
BAKERSVILLE 5N 11.0
BEECH MOUNTAIN 1 SE 10.0
ASHLAND 9.0
FLAT SPRINGS 1E 7.0
LANSING 6NW 5.0
CRUSO 3 ESE 5.0
CRESTON 4.0

...OHIO...
BELLEFONTAINE 2N 3.0

...PENNSYLVANIA...
CHAMPION 4SE 13.0
LAUREL SUMMIT 10.0
MOUNT DAVIS 9.0

...TENNESSEE...
GATLINBURG 7SE 22.0

...VIRGINIA...
NORTON 2S 24.0
TAZEWELL 2N 15.0
WISE 6E 14.0
LEBANON 12.0
HONAKER 8.0
CLINTWOOD 2WSW 4.0
BURKES GARDEN 3.0

...WEST VIRGINIA...
DAVIS 28.0
NETTIE 24.0
TERRA ALTA 24.0
BEVERLY 21.0
BAYARD 19.0
BEAVER 18.0
CRAIGSVILLE 17.0
WEBSTER SPINGS 17.0
FAYETTEVILLE 11E 15.0
SHADY SPRING 14.0
MORGANTOWN 3SE 12.0
SNOWSHOE 1S 11.0
CHERRY GROVE 3WSW 10.0


WIND GUSTS
-----------
SELECTED PEAK WIND GUSTS IN MILES PER HOUR FROM EARLIER IN THE
EVENT

...CONNECTICUT...
MADISON 85
BRIDGEPORT AIRPORT 76
GROTON 76
GREENWICH 70

...MAINE...
BATH 76
PORTLAND JETPORT 63
KENNEBUNK 2NE 62

...MARYLAND...
LAYTONSVILLE 1ESE 76
OCEAN CITY 74
ANNAPOLIS 69
ARBUTUS 68
FREDRICK 1NE 62

...MASSACHUSETTS...
CUTTYHUNK 83
WELLFLEET 81
BARNSTABLE 79
WRENTHAM 77

...MICHIGAN...
FORT GRATIOT 74
TOLEDO HARBOR 66
PORT SANILAC 65
SOUTH BASS ISLAND 63
SOUTH HAVEN 1W 60

...NEW HAMPSHIRE...
GOSHEN 70
LONDONDERRY 62
PORTSMOUTH INTL AIRP 60

...NEW JERSEY...
TOMPKINSVILLE 2N 90
SURF CITY 89
TUCKERTON 88
MONTCLAIR 1N 88
NEWPORT 87
SANDY HOOK NOS BUOY 87
DENNISVILLE 81
CLIFTON 80
NEWARK 78
ATLANTIC CITY 77
BAYONNE 1ENE 77

...NEW YORK...
ISLIP 90
PLUM ISLAND 4 ENE 85
SYOSSET 82
POINT LOOKOUT 1E 80
JFK 79

..OHIO...
BURKE LAKEFRONT ARPT 67
CLEVELAND HOPKINS ARPT 63
SOUTH BASS ISLAND 62

...PENNSYLVANIA...
ALLENTOWN 81
BENSALEM 76
BUSHKILL CENTER 70
PHILADELPHIA INTL ARPT 68
MOUNT POCONO AIRPORT 66
MOUNT AETNA 64
WIND GAP 62

...RHODE ISLAND...
WESTERLY 86
WARREN 73

...VIRGINIA...
CHESTER GAP 3NNE 79
WINTERGREEN 4 NW 72

...WEST VIRGINIA...
RANSON 1 NNW 65
KEYSER 2 SSW 64
MARTINSBURG ARPT 60


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 500 PM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

GERHARDT/KREKELER/SULLIVAN

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 30/2100Z 40.8N 79.2W POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
12HR VT 31/0600Z 42.1N 80.2W POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24HR VT 31/1800Z 44.3N 78.6W POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36HR VT 01/0600Z 47.6N 77.0W POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48HR VT 01/1800Z 51.8N 77.3W POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72HR VT 02/1800Z ABSORBED
$$
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Re: ATL: SANDY - HPC Advisories

#71 Postby cycloneye » Tue Oct 30, 2012 9:56 pm

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SANDY ADVISORY NUMBER 35
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL182012
1100 PM EDT TUE OCT 30 2012

...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SANDY CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVER
PENNSYLVANIA...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...41.3N 79.4W
ABOUT 50 MILES...80 KM...ENE OF PITTSBURGH PENNSYLVANIA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...64 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 08 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

GALE WARNINGS AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR
PORTIONS OF THE GREAT LAKES. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT
ALONG MUCH OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST COASTS.

FLOOD AND COASTAL FLOOD WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND ADVISORIES ARE IN
EFFECT OVER PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST STATES.

BLIZZARD WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT ALONG THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF
THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS. WINTER STORM WARNINGS AND WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHWEST
PENNSYLVANIA...WESTERN MARYLAND...AND SOUTHWESTWARD INTO EASTERN
TENNESSEE...EASTERN KENTUCKY...AND EXTREME WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF SANDY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 41.3 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 79.4 WEST. THE POST-TROPICAL
CYCLONE WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AT 08 MPH...13 KM/H.
SANDY IS EXPECTED TO TURN NORTH ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK OR LAKE
ERIE...AND CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWARD INTO CANADA ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...64 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
WIND...STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING OVER
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...AND
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES.

STORM SURGE...EVEN THOUGH WATER LEVELS ALONG THE COAST HAVE BEEN
SUBSIDING...THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE COULD
STILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY
RISING WATERS...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS APPROACHING HIGH TIDE. THE
WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND AT THE TIME OF
HIGH TIDE.

THE FRESHWATER FLOOD WATERS ORIGINATING IN THE UPPER POTOMAC FROM
THE RAINS OF SANDY WILL START TO IMPACT THE TIDAL
POTOMAC...RESULTING IN A SIGNIFICANT FLOOD STARTING THIS EVENING
AND CONTINUING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

ELSEWHEREELEVATED WATER LEVELS ALONG THE COAST OF NORTH
CAROLINA TO MASSACHUSETTS WILL SUBSIDE OVERNIGHT AND ON WEDNESDAY.

DUE TO STRONG AND PERSISTENT NORTHERLY WINDS...COASTAL FLOODING
ALONG PORTIONS OF THE GREAT LAKES IS POSSIBLE.

SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE
AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES.
THE SURGE COULD BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES ALONG
PORTIONS OF THE COAST EXPOSED TO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO AN INCH ARE
EXPECTED FROM THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES...ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC
AND INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. THIS WILL BRING STORM TOTAL
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC
REGION FROM SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY ACROSS
DELAWARE...MARYLAND...NORTHERN VIRGINIA AND SOUTHERN PENNSYLVANIA.
ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED
OVER EASTERN MAINE THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SNOWFALL...ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED IN THE MOUNTAINS OF WEST VIRGINIA INTO FAR WESTERN
MARYLAND...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES. THIS WILL BRING
STORM SNOWFALL TOTALS TO 2 TO 3 FEET OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS...AND 1 TO 2 FEET OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF KENTUCKY
AND THE MOUNTAINS ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA/TENNESSEE BORDER.

SURF...DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FROM FLORIDA
THROUGH NEW ENGLAND FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 10 PM EDT

...WASHINGTON DC...
WASHINGTON 5.1 NW 5.83
WASHINGTON/NATIONAL 4.78

...DELAWARE...
GEORGETOWN 10.20
DOVER 6.4 WNW 9.62
MILFORD 9.55
INDIAN RIVER ACRES 9.49
REHOBOTH BEACH 9.37
CLAYTON 6.6 W 8.62
DOVER AFB 8.47
DELANEY CORNER 8.33
MILTON 8.30
SMYRNA 2.7 SSE 8.30
SEAFORD 2.3 SSE 8.27
FELTON 3.6 NE 8.00
DOVER 7.98
VIOLA 7.84
GEORGETOWN 5.8 W 7.76
NEWARK 3.9 SSW 7.68
WILMINGTON ARPT 4.34

...MASSACHUSETTS...
NORTH ASHBURNHAM 3.70
FITCHBURG 3.69
PEPPERELL 3.30
ASHBURNHAM 3.20
AYER 3.11
EAST MILTON 3.03
LEOMINSTER 1.5 S 2.92
NATICK 1.7 NNE 2.85
NORTON 1.8 NNE 2.80
ACTON 1.3 SW 2.76
MILLIS 0.6 SSE 2.65
NORTHBOROUGH 0.6 SSE 2.60
NORWOOD 1.3 NW 2.59
FITCHBURG 1.6 SSW 2.58
ANDOVER 1.5 W 2.48
BEDFORD/HANSCOM FIELD 2.40

NANTUCKET MEMORIAL ARPT 2.01


...MARYLAND...
EASTON 0.7 NNW 12.55
1 NNW EASTON 12.49
GREENSBORO 1.4 ENE 10.53
1 E GREENSBORO 9.93
QUEENSTOWN 2.6 S 9.89
TRAPPE 3.5 NE 9.78
BISHOPVILLE 3.1 E 9.48
DENTON 5.8 WSW 9.18
PRINCESS ANNE 4.4 WSW 8.81
PASADENA 2.6 ESE 8.60
PATUXENT RIVER NAS 8.32
LA PLATA 5.8 SE 8.23
SALISBURY RGNL ARPT 7.53
OCEAN CITY MUNI ARPT 7.20
BALIMORE SCIENCE CENTER 7.15
ANNAPOLIS - US NAVAL ACADEMY 7.09
BALTIMORE/WASHINGTON INTL ARPT 6.65

...NORTH CAROLINA...
SALVO 0.9 NNE 8.09
AVON 0.7 NE 8.00
COROLLA 3.2 SSE 7.66
DUCK 0.3 SE 7.22
KILL DEVIL HILLS 2.5 NNW 6.47
HATTERAS/BILLY MITCHELL AP 6.26
COROLLA 11.7 NNW 5.90
KITTY HAWK 4.0 NNW 5.89
TRENT WOODS 1.3 SSE 4.11
JAMESVILLE 6.1 SW 3.84
JACKSONVILLE 2.0 E 3.75
HOLLY RIDGE 4.8 ENE 3.63
ELIZABETH CITY 10.5 NNW 3.56
MERRY HILL 3.8 E 3.51

...NEW HAMPSHIRE...
GORHAM 3.1 S 4.85
JAFFREY MUNI ARPT 4.63
CENTER SANDWICH 4.9 E 4.57
RANDOLPH 1.4 NE 4.51
MT WASHINGTON 4.05
NEWBURY 1.6 NW 4.00
EFFINGHAM 0.9 NNW 3.35
NEWBURY 4.0 SE 3.07
HILLSBOROUGH 2.1 NNW 3.00
BROOKLINE 2.1 SW 3.00
MADISON 1.7 SE 2.99
GREENVILLE 1.1 ENE 2.96
BROOKFIELD 0.9 WSW 2.91
PETERBOROUGH 2.98
KEENE 2.85

...NEW JERSEY...
WILDWOOD CREST 0.6 NNE 11.91
NORTH WILDWOOD 10.24
WEST CAPE MAY 9.37
LOWER TWP 2.2 NE 8.41
ERMA 8.20
ATLANTIC CITY 8.15
CAPE MAY 8.10
WOODBINE 0.8 NNW 7.84
UPPER TWP 3.2 SE 7.75
HAMILTON TWP 2.1 SE 7.56
WOODBINE 5.1 NE 7.52
NEWPORT 7.30
CAPE MAY 0.4 NNW 7.28
VINELAND 2.6 WSW 7.07
ESTELL MANOR 7.06
CEDARVILLE 7.00
EGG HARBOR TWP 1.3 NW 6.83
LINWOOD 0.7 SSW 6.82
UPPER DEERFIELD TWP 1.9 E 6.22

...NEW YORK...
WHITESVILLE 4.83
1 S HAMBURG 4.59
PERRYSBURG 4.41
1 SW DUNKIRK 4.09
BATAVIA GENESSEE 3.80
3 ENE LOCKPORT 3.63
SHERMAN 0.4 ENE 3.42
NIAGARA FALLS INTL ARPT 3.27
LOCKPORT 2.8 ENE 3.31
LANCASTER 4.1 ENE 3.26
ALCOTT CENTER 3.25
ELMA CENTER 0.7 SE 3.06
DANSVILLE 1.0 ENE 3.06
LOCKPORT 0.8 NE 3.05
WEST ALMOND 3.6 SW 3.04



...OHIO...
KIRTLAND 0.9 SW 5.69
MAYFIELD 0.2 NW 5.10
NORTH RIDGEVILLE 2.8 SSW 5.06
PAINESVILLE 3.8 SSW 5.02
ASHTABULA CO. ARPT 4.70
ELYRIA 3.0 SE 4.77
LORAIN/ELYRIA 4.61
CLEVELAND-HOPKINS INTL ARPT 4.56
BROADVIEW HEIGHTS 1.5 NW 4.44
AVON 1.6 SW 4.14
BRUNSWICK 0.5 NE 4.08
PARMA 1.9 NNW 3.96
RICHMOND HEIGHTS 0.4 NNE 3.88
WAKEMAN 4.6 NNE 3.77
ELYRIA 0.4 SE 3.70


...PENNSYLVANIA...
HANOVER 5.4 S 7.61
SCHELLSBURG 2.6 WNW 7.32
GLEN ROCK 2.2 ESE 6.54
MALVERN 0.5 NNE 6.32
LANDENBERG 1.8 ENE 5.96
NEW SALEM 0.3 WSW 5.92
2 ENE LANDEBERG 5.90
LITTLESTOWN 3.7 WNW 5.84
WEST CHESTER 5.78
LATROBE 0.6 NW 5.76
EXTON 5.59
WEST CHESTER 1.8 SE 5.54
HANOVER 3.0 WSW 5.51
ABBOTTSTOWN 2.4 N 5.43

...RHODE ISLAND...
WOONSOCKET 1.3 ESE 1.87
MANVILLE 0.2 NE 1.76
PAWTUCKET/NORTH CENTRAL ST ARPT 1.57

...VIRGINIA...
REEDVILLE 9.90
VIRGINIA BEACH 9.58
OCEANA NAS/SOUCEK 9.57
CASHVILLE .01 S 9.38
WHITE STONE 8.0 SSW 8.96
GREENBACKVILLE 0.4 WNW 8.64
PORT HAYWOOD 1.0 SE 8.59
ONLEY 0.6 SE 8.47
WALLOPS ISLAND 8.48
ONANCOCK 3.9 SW 8.39
VIRGINIA BEACH 1.7 NE 7.99
PURCELLVILLE 7.89
5 S MAYSVILLE 7.75
YORKTOWN 0.8 SE 7.73
NEWPORT NEWS 5.8 NE 7.63

...WEST VIRGINIA...
SHENANDOAH JUNCTION 4.46
FALLING WATERS 2.4 NW 4.36
SLANESVILLE 2.1 SE 3.99
MCMECHEN 6.0 E 3.56
MORGANTOWN/HART FIELD 3.42
CHARLES TOWN 2.5 NE 3.15
BUNKER HILL 0.8 WNW 3.06
SPRINGFIELD 2.3 ESE 3.04
BOOTHSVILLE 1.4 SE 2.83
MIDDLEBOURNE 0.3 ENE 2.80


SNOWFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 10 PM EDT

..KENTUCKY...
PAYNE GAP 14.0
LYNCH 3S 12.0
ELKO 1NW 9.0
BENHAM 3S 6.0

...MARYLAND...
REDHOUSE 29.0
FINZEL 24.0
OAKLAND 24.0
DEEP CREEK LAKE 20.0
4 SE CHAMPOIN 13.0
GRANTSVILLE 12.0
FROSTBURG 6.0

...NORTH CAROLINA...
COVE CREEK 10NW 24.0
FAUST 24.0
NEWFOUND GAP 22.0
ELK PARK 14.0
BULADEAN 12.0
BAKERSVILLE 5N 11.0
BEECH MOUNTAIN 1 SE 10.0
FLAT SPRINGS 9.8
ASHLAND 9.0
LANSING 8.0
FLAT SPRINGS 1E 7.0

...OHIO...
BELLEFONTAINE 4.5
BELLEFONTAINE 2N 3.0
WASHINGTON COURT HOUSE 3.0
MANSFIELD 2.5

...PENNSYLVANIA...
CHAMPION 4SE 13.0
LAUREL SUMMIT 10.0
MOUNT DAVIS 9.0
FARMINGTON 8.8
LAUREL SUMMIT 9.6

...TENNESSEE...
GATLINBURG 7SE 22.0
ROAN MOUNTAIN 19.0
NEWFOUND GAP 18.0
MOUNT LECONTE 17.0

...VIRGINIA...
NORTON 2S 24.0
TAZEWELL 2N 15.0
WISE 6E 14.0
LEBANON 12.0
BURKES GARDEN 8.4
RICHLANDS 8.0
HONAKER 8.0
MOUTH OF WILSON 8.0

...WEST VIRGINIA...
5 WSW HUTTONSVILLE 28.0
DAVIS 28.0
FLAT TOP 28.0
QUINWOOD 24.0
NETTIE 24.0
TERRA ALTA 24.0
KITZMILLER 24.0
BEVERLY 21.0
BAYARD 21.5
HUTTONSVILLE 18.0
BEAVER 18.0
1 E MACARTHUR 18.0
1 N TERRA ALTA 18.0
CRAIGSVILLE 17.0
WEBSTER SPINGS 17.0
FAYETTEVILLE 11E 15.0
SHADY SPRING 14.0
MORGANTOWN 3SE 12.0


WIND GUSTS
-----------
SELECTED PEAK WIND GUSTS IN MILES PER HOUR FROM EARLIER IN THE
EVENT

...CONNECTICUT...
MADISON 85
BRIDGEPORT AIRPORT 76
GROTON 76
GREENWICH 70

...MAINE...
BATH 76
PORTLAND JETPORT 63
KENNEBUNK 2NE 62

...MARYLAND...
LAYTONSVILLE 1ESE 76
OCEAN CITY 74
CROCHERON 2SSE 70
ANNAPOLIS 69
ARBUTUS 68
FREDRICK 1NE 62

...MASSACHUSETTS...
CUTTYHUNK 83
WELLFLEET 81
BARNSTABLE 79
WRENTHAM 77

...MICHIGAN...
FORT GRATIOT 74
TOLEDO HARBOR 66
PORT SANILAC 65
SOUTH BASS ISLAND 63
SOUTH HAVEN 1W 60

...NEW HAMPSHIRE...
GOSHEN 70
LONDONDERRY 62
PORTSMOUTH INTL AIRP 60

...NEW JERSEY...
TOMPKINSVILLE 2N 90
SURF CITY 89
TUCKERTON 88
MONTCLAIR 1N 88
NEWPORT 87
SANDY HOOK NOS BUOY 87
DENNISVILLE 81
CLIFTON 80
NEWARK 78
ATLANTIC CITY 77
BAYONNE 1ENE 77

...NEW YORK...
ISLIP 90
PLUM ISLAND 4 ENE 85
SYOSSET 82
POINT LOOKOUT 1E 80
JFK 79

..OHIO...
BURKE LAKEFRONT ARPT 67
CLEVELAND HOPKINS ARPT 63
SOUTH BASS ISLAND 62

...PENNSYLVANIA...
ALLENTOWN 81
BENSALEM 76
BUSHKILL CENTER 70
PHILADELPHIA INTL ARPT 68
MOUNT POCONO AIRPORT 66
MOUNT AETNA 64
WIND GAP 62

...RHODE ISLAND...
WESTERLY 86
WARREN 73

...VERMONT...
STOWE 8NW 72
LYNDON CENTER 61
UNDERHILL 60

...VIRGINIA...
CHESTER GAP 3NNE 79
WINTERGREEN 4 NW 72
WALLOPS ISLAND 68
MELFA/ACCOMACK ARPT 62
HACKSHECK 1NW 60

...WEST VIRGINIA...
RANSON 1 NNW 65
KEYSER 2 SSW 64
MARTINSBURG ARPT 60


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED AT 500 AM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON
THIS STORM.

PETERSEN/MONARSKI/SULLIVAN/ORRISON

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 31/0300Z 41.3N 79.4W POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
12HR VT 31/1200Z 42.3N 79.5W POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24HR VT 01/0000Z 46.2N 77.7W ABSORBED
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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: SANDY - HPC Advisories

#72 Postby cycloneye » Wed Oct 31, 2012 5:37 am

REMNANTS OF SANDY ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL182012
0500 AM EDT WED OCT 31 2012

...REMNANTS OF SANDY CONTINUE TO WEAKEN OVER PENNSYLVANIA...

SUMMARY OF 0500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...NO DISCERNIBLE SURFACE CIRCULATION


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

GALE WARNINGS AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR
PORTIONS OF THE GREAT LAKES. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT
ALONG MUCH OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST COASTS.

FLOOD AND COASTAL FLOOD WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND ADVISORIES ARE IN
EFFECT OVER PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST STATES.

WINTER STORM WARNINGS AND WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES REMAIN IN
EFFECT FOR THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...WESTERN
MARYLAND...WEST VIRGINIA...EASTERN TENNESSEE...EASTERN
KENTUCKY...AND EXTREME WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING WATCHES AND
WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 0500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THERE WAS NO DISCERNIBLE SURFACE
CIRCULATION FOR THE REMNANTS OF SANDY. SANDY HAS WEAKENED INTO A
SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA.


HAZARDS
-------
WIND...STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING OVER
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST AND GREAT LAKES.

STORM SURGE...ELEVATED WATER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE ALONG
THE COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA TO MASSACHUSETTS DURING THE DAY. IN
PORTIONS OF CHESAPEAKE BAY...NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST
COULD STILL BE FLOODED BY RISING WATERS AROUND THE TIME OF THE
NEXT HIGH TIDE. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE
GROUND:

UPPER AND MIDDLE CHESAPEAKE BAY...1 TO 2 FEET.

FRESHWATER FLOOD WATERS ORIGINATING IN THE UPPER POTOMAC FROM THE
RAINS OF SANDY WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE TIDAL
POTOMAC...RESULTING IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

DUE TO STRONG AND PERSISTENT NORTHERLY WINDS...COASTAL FLOODING
ALONG PORTIONS OF THE GREAT LAKES IS POSSIBLE.

RAINFALL...ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO AN INCH ARE
EXPECTED IN THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES AND ALSO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND.

SNOWFALL...ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED IN THE MOUNTAINS OF WEST VIRGINIA INTO FAR WESTERN
MARYLAND AND SOUTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

SURF...DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FROM FLORIDA
THROUGH NEW ENGLAND FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 04 AM EDT

...WASHINGTON DC...
WASHINGTON 5.1 NW 5.83
WASHINGTON/NATIONAL 4.84

...DELAWARE...
GEORGETOWN 10.20
DOVER 6.4 WNW 9.62
MILFORD 9.55
INDIAN RIVER ACRES 9.49
REHOBOTH BEACH 9.37
CLAYTON 6.6 W 8.62
DOVER AFB 8.47
DELANEY CORNER 8.33
MILTON 8.30
SMYRNA 2.7 SSE 8.30
SEAFORD 2.3 SSE 8.27
FELTON 3.6 NE 8.00
DOVER 7.98
VIOLA 7.84
GEORGETOWN 5.8 W 7.76

...MASSACHUSETTS...
FITCHBURG 3.85
NORTH ASHBURNHAM 3.70
PEPPERELL 3.30
ASHBURNHAM 3.20
AYER 3.11
EAST MILTON 3.03
LEOMINSTER 1.5 S 2.92
NATICK 1.7 NNE 2.85
NORTON 1.8 NNE 2.80
ACTON 1.3 SW 2.76
BEDFORD/HANSCOM FIELD 2.40
MILLIS 0.6 SSE 2.65
NORTHBOROUGH 0.6 SSE 2.60
NORWOOD 1.3 NW 2.59

...MARYLAND...
EASTON 0.7 NNW 12.55
1 NNW EASTON 12.49
GREENSBORO 1.4 ENE 10.53
QUEENSTOWN 2.6 S 9.89
TRAPPE 3.5 NE 9.78
BISHOPVILLE 3.1 E 9.48
DENTON 5.8 WSW 9.18
PRINCESS ANNE 4.4 WSW 8.81
PASADENA 2.6 ESE 8.60
PATUXENT RIVER NAS 8.32
LA PLATA 5.8 SE 8.23
SALISBURY RGNL ARPT 7.55
OCEAN CITY MUNI ARPT 7.22
BALIMORE SCIENCE CENTER 7.18
ANNAPOLIS - US NAVAL ACADEMY 7.09
BALTIMORE/WASHINGTON INTL ARPT 6.67

...NORTH CAROLINA...
SALVO 0.9 NNE 8.09
AVON 0.7 NE 8.00
COROLLA 3.2 SSE 7.66
DUCK 0.3 SE 7.22
KILL DEVIL HILLS 2.5 NNW 6.47
HATTERAS/BILLY MITCHELL AP 6.26
COROLLA 11.7 NNW 5.90
KITTY HAWK 4.0 NNW 5.89
TRENT WOODS 1.3 SSE 4.11
JAMESVILLE 6.1 SW 3.84
JACKSONVILLE 2.0 E 3.75
HOLLY RIDGE 4.8 ENE 3.63
ELIZABETH CITY 10.5 NNW 3.56
MERRY HILL 3.8 E 3.51

...NEW HAMPSHIRE...
GORHAM 3.1 S 4.85
JAFFREY MUNI ARPT 4.78
CENTER SANDWICH 4.9 E 4.57
RANDOLPH 1.4 NE 4.51
MT WASHINGTON 4.05
NEWBURY 1.6 NW 4.00
NASHUA 3.53
EFFINGHAM 0.9 NNW 3.35
NEWBURY 4.0 SE 3.07
HILLSBOROUGH 2.1 NNW 3.00
BROOKLINE 2.1 SW 3.00
MADISON 1.7 SE 2.99
GREENVILLE 1.1 ENE 2.96
BROOKFIELD 0.9 WSW 2.91
PETERBOROUGH 2.98

...NEW JERSEY...
WILDWOOD CREST 0.6 NNE 11.91
GREEN CREEK 11.40
NORTH WILDWOOD 10.24
SEAVILLE 10.06
RIO GRANDE 9.51
WEST CAPE MAY 9.37
LOWER TWP 2.2 NE 8.41
ERMA 8.20
ATLANTIC CITY 8.15
CAPE MAY 8.10
WOODBINE 0.8 NNW 7.84
UPPER TWP 3.2 SE 7.75
HAMILTON TWP 2.1 SE 7.56
NEWPORT 7.30
CAPE MAY 0.4 NNW 7.28
VINELAND 2.6 WSW 7.07
ESTELL MANOR 7.06
CEDARVILLE 7.00


...NEW YORK...
WHITESVILLE 4.83
1 S HAMBURG 4.59
PERRYSBURG 4.41
1 SW DUNKIRK 4.09
BATAVIA GENESSEE 3.80
3 ENE LOCKPORT 3.63
SHERMAN 0.4 ENE 3.42
NIAGARA FALLS INTL ARPT 3.27
LOCKPORT 2.8 ENE 3.31
LANCASTER 4.1 ENE 3.26
ALCOTT CENTER 3.25
ELMA CENTER 0.7 SE 3.06
DANSVILLE 1.0 ENE 3.06
LOCKPORT 0.8 NE 3.05
WEST ALMOND 3.6 SW 3.04



...OHIO...
KIRTLAND 0.9 SW 5.69
CLEVELAND HOPKINS AIRPORT 5.14
MAYFIELD 0.2 NW 5.10
NORTH RIDGEVILLE 2.8 SSW 5.06
PAINESVILLE 3.8 SSW 5.02
LORAIN/ELYRIA 4.98
ASHTABULA CO. ARPT 4.83
ELYRIA 3.0 SE 4.77
CLEVELAND-HOPKINS INTL ARPT 4.56
BROADVIEW HEIGHTS 1.5 NW 4.44
AVON 1.6 SW 4.14
BRUNSWICK 0.5 NE 4.08
PARMA 1.9 NNW 3.96
RICHMOND HEIGHTS 0.4 NNE 3.88
WAKEMAN 4.6 NNE 3.77
ELYRIA 0.4 SE 3.70


...PENNSYLVANIA...
HANOVER 5.4 S 7.61
SCHELLSBURG 2.6 WNW 7.32
GLEN ROCK 2.2 ESE 6.54
MALVERN 0.5 NNE 6.32
LANDENBERG 1.8 ENE 5.96
NEW SALEM 0.3 WSW 5.92
2 ENE LANDEBERG 5.90
LITTLESTOWN 3.7 WNW 5.84
WEST CHESTER 5.78
LATROBE 0.6 NW 5.76
EXTON 5.59
WEST CHESTER 1.8 SE 5.54
HANOVER 3.0 WSW 5.51
ABBOTTSTOWN 2.4 N 5.43

...RHODE ISLAND...
PAWTUCKET/NORTH CENTRAL ST ARPT 2.71
WOONSOCKET 1.3 ESE 1.87
MANVILLE 0.2 NE 1.76

...VIRGINIA...
REEDVILLE 9.90
VIRGINIA BEACH 9.58
OCEANA NAS/SOUCEK 9.57
CASHVILLE .01 S 9.38
WHITE STONE 8.0 SSW 8.96
GREENBACKVILLE 0.4 WNW 8.64
PORT HAYWOOD 1.0 SE 8.59
ONLEY 0.6 SE 8.47
WALLOPS ISLAND 8.48
ONANCOCK 3.9 SW 8.39
VIRGINIA BEACH 1.7 NE 7.99
PURCELLVILLE 7.89
5 S MAYSVILLE 7.75
YORKTOWN 0.8 SE 7.73
NEWPORT NEWS 5.8 NE 7.63

...WEST VIRGINIA...
SHENANDOAH JUNCTION 4.46
FALLING WATERS 2.4 NW 4.36
SLANESVILLE 2.1 SE 3.99
MORGANTOWN/HART FIELD 3.67
MCMECHEN 6.0 E 3.56
CHARLES TOWN 2.5 NE 3.15
BUNKER HILL 0.8 WNW 3.06
SPRINGFIELD 2.3 ESE 3.04
HUNTINGTON 2.88
BOOTHSVILLE 1.4 SE 2.83


SNOWFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 04 AM EDT

..KENTUCKY...
PAYNE GAP 14.0
LYNCH 3S 12.0
ELKO 1NW 9.0
BENHAM 3S 6.0
VIPER 6.0

...MARYLAND...
REDHOUSE 29.0
FINZEL 24.0
OAKLAND 24.0
DEEP CREEK LAKE 20.0
4 SE CHAMPOIN 13.0
GRANTSVILLE 12.0
FROSTBURG 6.0

...NORTH CAROLINA...
COVE CREEK 10NW 24.0
FAUST 24.0
NEWFOUND GAP 22.0
ELK PARK 14.0
BULADEAN 12.0
BAKERSVILLE 5N 11.0
BEECH MOUNTAIN 1 SE 10.0
FLAT SPRINGS 9.8
ASHLAND 9.0
LANSING 8.0
FLAT SPRINGS 1E 7.0

...OHIO...
BELLEFONTAINE 4.5
BELLEFONTAINE 2N 3.0
WASHINGTON COURT HOUSE 3.0
MANSFIELD 2.5

...PENNSYLVANIA...
CHAMPION 4SE 13.0
LAUREL SUMMIT 10.0
MOUNT DAVIS 9.0
FARMINGTON 8.8
LAUREL SUMMIT 9.6

...TENNESSEE...
GATLINBURG 7SE 22.0
ROAN MOUNTAIN 19.0
NEWFOUND GAP 18.0
MOUNT LECONTE 17.0

...VIRGINIA...
NORTON 2S 24.0
TAZEWELL 2N 15.0
WISE 6E 14.0
LEBANON 12.0
BURKES GARDEN 8.4
RICHLANDS 8.0
HONAKER 8.0
MOUTH OF WILSON 8.0

...WEST VIRGINIA...
5 WSW HUTTONSVILLE 28.0
DAVIS 28.0
FLAT TOP 28.0
CRAIGSVILLE 26.0
ALEXANDER 24.0
QUINWOOD 24.0
NETTIE 24.0
TERRA ALTA 24.0
KITZMILLER 24.0
BEVERLY 21.0
BAYARD 21.5
HUTTONSVILLE 18.0
BEAVER 18.0
1 E MACARTHUR 18.0
WEBSTER SPINGS 17.0
FAYETTEVILLE 11E 15.0
ELKINS 14.0


WIND GUSTS
-----------
SELECTED PEAK WIND GUSTS IN MILES PER HOUR FROM EARLIER IN THE
EVENT

...CONNECTICUT...
MADISON 85
BRIDGEPORT AIRPORT 76
GROTON 76
GREENWICH 70

...MAINE...
BATH 76
PORTLAND JETPORT 63
KENNEBUNK 2NE 62

...MARYLAND...
LAYTONSVILLE 1ESE 76
OCEAN CITY 74
CROCHERON 2SSE 70
ANNAPOLIS 69
ARBUTUS 68
FREDRICK 1NE 62

...MASSACHUSETTS...
CUTTYHUNK 83
WELLFLEET 81
BARNSTABLE 79
WRENTHAM 77

...MICHIGAN...
FORT GRATIOT 74
TOLEDO HARBOR 66
PORT SANILAC 65
SOUTH BASS ISLAND 63
SOUTH HAVEN 1W 60

...NEW HAMPSHIRE...
GOSHEN 70
LONDONDERRY 62
PORTSMOUTH INTL AIRP 60

...NEW JERSEY...
TOMPKINSVILLE 2N 90
SURF CITY 89
TUCKERTON 88
MONTCLAIR 1N 88
NEWPORT 87
SANDY HOOK NOS BUOY 87
DENNISVILLE 81
CLIFTON 80
NEWARK 78
ATLANTIC CITY 77
BAYONNE 1ENE 77

...NEW YORK...
ISLIP 90
PLUM ISLAND 4 ENE 85
SYOSSET 82
POINT LOOKOUT 1E 80
JFK 79

..OHIO...
BURKE LAKEFRONT ARPT 67
CLEVELAND HOPKINS ARPT 63
SOUTH BASS ISLAND 62

...PENNSYLVANIA...
ALLENTOWN 81
BENSALEM 76
BUSHKILL CENTER 70
PHILADELPHIA INTL ARPT 68
MOUNT POCONO AIRPORT 66
MOUNT AETNA 64
WIND GAP 62

...RHODE ISLAND...
WESTERLY 86
WARREN 73

...VERMONT...
STOWE 8NW 72
LYNDON CENTER 61
UNDERHILL 60

...VIRGINIA...
CHESTER GAP 3NNE 79
WINTERGREEN 4 NW 72
WALLOPS ISLAND 68
MELFA/ACCOMACK ARPT 62
HACKSHECK 1NW 60

...WEST VIRGINIA...
RANSON 1 NNW 65
KEYSER 2 SSW 64
MARTINSBURG ARPT 60


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED AT 1100 AM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON
THIS STORM.

PETERSEN/ORRISON/TERRY

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 31/0900Z NO DISCERNIBLE SURFACE CIRCULATION
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Re: ATL: SANDY - HPC Advisories

#73 Postby cycloneye » Wed Oct 31, 2012 11:46 am

Last Advisory written by HPC.

REMNANTS OF SANDY ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL182012
1100 AM EDT WED OCT 31 2012

...WINDS...ACCUMULATING SNOWS...AND RAIN FROM THE REMNANTS OF
SANDY CONTINUE TO DIMINISH...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...MULTIPLE CENTERS OF CIRCULATION IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE
REMNANTS OF SANDY CAN BE FOUND ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES.


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

GALE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE GREAT LAKES.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT ALONG MUCH OF THE NORTHERN
MID-ATLANTIC AND NEW ENGLAND COASTS.

FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT ACROSS NORTHERN NEW
ENGLAND...AND FLOOD WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR AREAS OF THE
NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC STATES. LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNINGS HAVE BEEN
ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE GREAT LAKES.

WINTER STORM WARNINGS AND WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES REMAIN IN
EFFECT ALONG THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING WATCHES AND
WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...SANDY HAS WEAKENED...AND MULTIPLE
CENTERS OF CIRCULATION IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE REMNANTS OF SANDY
CAN BE FOUND ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES.


HAZARDS
-------
WIND...STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...BUT SHOULD DIMINISH IN THE AFTERNOON.

STORM SURGE...ELEVATED WATER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE IN
PORTIONS OF THE UPPER AND MIDDLE CHESAPEAKE BAY DURING THE DAY.

FRESHWATER FLOOD WATERS ORIGINATING IN THE UPPER POTOMAC FROM THE
RAINS OF SANDY WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE TIDAL
POTOMAC...RESULTING IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

DUE TO PERSISTENT NORTHERLY WINDS AND LARGE FETCH...COASTAL
FLOODING ALONG PORTIONS OF THE GREAT LAKES IS STILL POSSIBLE.

FOR STORM SURGE INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF LESS THAN AN INCH
ARE EXPECTED IN THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES.

SNOWFALL...ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED IN THE MOUNTAINS OF WEST VIRGINIA INTO FAR WESTERN
MARYLAND AND SOUTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 11 AM EDT


...DELAWARE...
GEORGETOWN 10.20
DOVER 6.4 WNW 9.62
MILFORD 9.55
INDIAN RIVER ACRES 9.49
REHOBOTH BEACH 9.37
CLAYTON 6.6 W 8.62
DOVER AFB 8.60
SEAFORD 2.3 SSE 8.45
DELANEY CORNER 8.33
MILTON 8.30
SMYRNA 2.7 SSE 8.30

FELTON 3.6 NE 8.20
GEORGETOWN 5.8 W 7.94
VIOLA 7.84

...MAINE...
KINGBURY 2 SSE 4.60
GREENVILLE 2 E 4.24
PEMBROKE 5.4 SSE 3.30
NORWAY 11.5 WNW 3.26
OLD TOWN 1 SE 3.24
WHITING 3 NNE 3.00
NEW SHARON 2.0 NW 2.95
ACTON 2.7 NW 2.69
LUBEC 4.1 W 2.65
BELMONT 2.7 SSE 2.62
BLANCHARD 2.58
SHIRLEY 2.52

...MARYLAND...
EASTON 0.7 NNW 12.55
CAVETOWN 3 ESE 11.15
GREENSBORO 1.4 ENE 10.70
RIDGELY 0.2 ESE 10.68
RIDGE 1.0 N 10.36
QUEENSTOWN 2.6 S 10.29
TRAPPE 3.5 NE 9.78
CHURCHTON 1 ENE 9.50
BISHOPVILLE 3.1 E 9.48
ST. MICHAELS 0.7 SE 9.38
DENTON 5.8 WSW 9.28
PRINCESS ANNE 4.4 WSW 9.08
PASADENA 2.6 ESE 8.70
OCEAN CITY MUNI ARPT 7.22
BALTIMORE SCIENCE CENTER 7.18
ANNAPOLIS - US NAVAL ACADEMY 7.09
BALTIMORE/WASHINGTON INTL ARPT 6.67

...MASSACHUSETTS...
LEOMINSTER 1.5 S 4.40
FOXBOROUGH 0.4 S 3.91
FITCHBURG 3.86
NORTH ASHBURNHAM 3.70
NATICK 1.7 NNE 3.56
ACTON 1.3 SW 3.49
NORWOOD 1.3 NW 3.47
EAST MILTON 3.39
ANDOVER 1.5 W 3.34
PEPPERELL 3.30
ASHBURNHAM 3.20
AYER 3.11
BEDFORD/HANSCOM FIELD 2.84
NORTON 1.8 NNE 2.80
MILLIS 0.6 SSE 2.65
NORWOOD MEMORIAL ARPT 2.63
NORTHBOROUGH 0.6 SSE 2.60

...NEW HAMPSHIRE...
RANDOLPH 1.4 NE 6.05
CENTER SANDWICH 4.9 E 5.19
MT WASHINGTON 4.87
GORHAM 3.1 S 4.85
JAFFREY MUNI ARPT 4.82
NEW IPSWICH 0.8 S 4.72
UNITY 3.2 ENE 4.14
GREENVILLE 1.1 ENE 4.06
NEWBURY 1.6 NW 4.00
NASHUA/BOIRE FIELD 3.54
HILLSBOROUGH 2.1 NNW 3.51
BROOKFIELD 0.9 WSW 3.50
HOLLIS 2.9 ENE 3.50

...NEW JERSEY...
WILDWOOD CREST 0.6 NNE 11.91
MIDDLE TWP 4.4 SW 11.41
GREEN CREEK 11.40
NORTH WILDWOOD 10.24
SEAVILLE 10.06
RIO GRANDE 9.51
WEST CAPE MAY 9.37
LOWER TWP 2.2 NE 8.41
ERMA 8.20
ATLANTIC CITY 8.15
CAPE MAY 8.10
WOODBINE 0.8 NNW 7.87
UPPER TWP 3.2 SE 7.82
HAMILTON TWP 2.1 SE 7.57
NEWPORT 7.30

VINELAND 2.6 WSW 7.07
ESTELL MANOR 7.06
CEDARVILLE 7.00

...NEW YORK...
WHITESVILLE 4.83
HAMBURG 1 S 4.59
PERRYSBURG 4.41
DUNKIRK 1 SW 4.09
LOCKPORT 0.8 NE 3.87
BATAVIA GENESSEE 3.80
SHERMAN 0.4 ENE 3.50
NIAGARA FALLS INTL ARPT 3.32
LANCASTER 4.1 ENE 3.26
ALCOTT CENTER 3.25
WEST ALMOND 3.6 SW 3.14
DANSVILLE 1.0 ENE 3.06
ELMA CENTER 0.7 SE 3.06

...NORTH CAROLINA...
SALVO 0.9 NNE 8.09
AVON 0.7 NE 8.00
COROLLA 3.2 SSE 7.66
DUCK 0.3 SE 7.22
KILL DEVIL HILLS 2.5 NNW 6.47
HATTERAS/BILLY MITCHELL AP 6.26
KITTY HAWK 4.0 NNW 5.89
TRENT WOODS 1.3 SSE 4.11
JAMESVILLE 6.1 SW 3.84
JACKSONVILLE 2.0 E 3.75
HOLLY RIDGE 4.8 ENE 3.63
ELIZABETH CITY 10.5 NNW 3.56
MERRY HILL 3.8 E 3.51

...OHIO...
KIRTLAND 0.9 SW 7.04
NORTH RIDGEVILLE 2.8 SSW 6.79
PAINESVILLE 3.8 SSW 6.51
BROADVIEW HEIGHTS 1.5 NW 6.33
ELYRIA 0.4 SE 5.80
CLEVELAND HOPKINS AIRPORT 5.63
BRUNSWICK 0.5 NE 5.57
WAKEMAN 4.6 NNE 5.50
SOUTH RUSSELL 2.0 W 5.42

...PENNSYLVANIA...
HANOVER 5.4 S 8.15
SCHELLSBURG 2.6 WNW 7.94
FLEETWOOD 2.0 ESE 7.26
GLEN ROCK 2.2 ESE 6.82
NEW SALEM 0.3 WSW 6.47
LANDENBERG 1.8 ENE 6.38
MALVERN 0.5 NNE 6.32
LITTLESTOWN 0.8 NNW 6.05
WEST CHESTER 1.8 SE 5.96
EXTON 5.59

...RHODE ISLAND...
WOONSOCKET 1.3 ESE 2.98
MANVILLE 0.2 NE 2.83
LITTLE COMPTON 1.7 NW 2.40
PAWTUCKET/NORTH CENTRAL ST ARPT 2.72

...VIRGINIA...
REEDVILLE 9.90
VIRGINIA BEACH 9.58
OCEANA NAS/SOUCEK 9.57
CASHVILLE .01 S 9.38
WHITE STONE 8.0 SSW 8.96
GREENBACKVILLE 0.4 WNW 8.64
PORT HAYWOOD 1.0 SE 8.59
ONLEY 0.6 SE 8.47
WALLOPS ISLAND 8.48
ONANCOCK 3.9 SW 8.39
VIRGINIA BEACH 1.7 NE 7.99
PURCELLVILLE 7.89
MAYSVILLE 5 S 7.75
YORKTOWN 0.8 SE 7.73
NEWPORT NEWS 5.8 NE 7.63

...WASHINGTON DC...
WASHINGTON 5.1 NW 5.83
WASHINGTON/NATIONAL 4.84

...WEST VIRGINIA...
SHENANDOAH JUNCTION 4.46
FALLING WATERS 2.4 NW 4.36
SLANESVILLE 2.1 SE 3.99
MORGANTOWN/HART FIELD 3.97
MCMECHEN 6.0 E 3.56
CHARLES TOWN 2.5 NE 3.15
BUNKER HILL 0.8 WNW 3.06
SPRINGFIELD 2.3 ESE 3.04
HUNTINGTON/TRI-STATE ARPT 2.94
BOOTHSVILLE 1.4 SE 2.83


SNOWFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 11 AM EDT

..KENTUCKY...
WHITESBURG 4 SE 18.0
PAYNE GAP 14.0
LYNCH 3 S 12.0
ELKO 1NW 9.0
BENHAM 3 S 6.0
VIPER 6.0

...MARYLAND...
REDHOUSE 29.0
DEEP CREEK LAKE 26.0
FINZEL 24.0
OAKLAND 24.0
CHAMPOIN 4 SE 13.0
GRANTSVILLE 12.0
FROSTBURG 6.0

...NORTH CAROLINA...
COVE CREEK 10 NW 24.0
FAUST 24.0
NEWFOUND GAP 22.0
CLIFTON 14.0
ELK PARK 14.0
BULADEAN 12.0
BAKERSVILLE 5 N 11.0
BOONE 11.0
BEECH MOUNTAIN 1 SE 10.0
FLAT SPRINGS 9.8
ASHLAND 9.0
LANSING 8.0
FLAT SPRINGS 1 E 7.0

...OHIO...
BELLEFONTAINE 4.5
WASHINGTON COURT HOUSE 3.0
MANSFIELD 2.5

...PENNSYLVANIA...
CHAMPION 4 SE 13.0
LAUREL SUMMIT 10.0
MOUNT DAVIS 9.0
FARMINGTON 8.8
STAHLSTOWN 6.0
CHALKHILL 2 ENE 5.1

...TENNESSEE...
GATLINBURG 5 SE 34.0
ROAN MOUNTAIN 19.0
NEWFOUND GAP 18.0
MOUNT LECONTE 17.0

...VIRGINIA...
NORTON 2 S 24.0
TAZEWELL 2 N 15.0
WISE 6 E 14.0
LEBANON 12.0
BURKES GARDEN 8.4
HONAKER 8.0
MOUTH OF WILSON 8.0
RICHLANDS 8.0
MARION 2.4 ENE 6.0

...WEST VIRGINIA...
CLAYTON 2 NNW 33.0
QUINWOOD 29.0
DAVIS 28.0
FLAT TOP 28.0
HUTTONSVILLE 5 WSW 28.0
CRAIGSVILLE 26.0
ALEXANDER 24.0
ALPINE LAKE 24.0
KITZMILLER 24.0
MINGO 2 SSE 24.0
NETTIE 24.0
TERRA ALTA 24.0
BAYARD 22.3
BEVERLY 21.0
FRENCH CREEK 18.5
RUNA 0.1 W 18.1
BEAVER 18.0
MACARTHUR 1 E 18.0
SNOWSHOE 1 S 18.0
WEBSTER SPRINGS 17.0
HAZELTON 16.0
BUCKHANNON 15.0
FAYETTEVILLE 11 E 15.0
PRINCETON 15.0
ELKINS 14.0


WIND GUSTS
-----------
SELECTED PEAK WIND GUSTS IN MILES PER HOUR FROM EARLIER IN THE
EVENT

...CONNECTICUT...
MADISON 85
BRIDGEPORT AIRPORT 76
GROTON 76
GREENWICH 70

...INDIANA...
TOWN OF PINES 2 NNE 69

...MAINE...
BATH 76
PORTLAND JETPORT 63
KENNEBUNK 2 NE 62

...MARYLAND...
LAYTONSVILLE 1 ESE 76
OCEAN CITY 74
COLESVILLE 1 SSE 70
CROCHERON 2 SSE 70
ANNAPOLIS 69
ARBUTUS 68
SAINT INIGOES 2 W 64
FREDRICK 1 NE 62

...MASSACHUSETTS...
CUTTYHUNK 83
WELLFLEET 81
BARNSTABLE 79
WRENTHAM 77

...MICHIGAN...
FORT GRATIOT 74
TOLEDO HARBOR 66
PORT SANILAC 65
SOUTH BASS ISLAND 63
SOUTH HAVEN 1 W 60

...NEW HAMPSHIRE...
GOSHEN 70
LONDONDERRY 62
PORTSMOUTH INTL AIRP 60

...NEW JERSEY...
TOMPKINSVILLE 2 N 90
SURF CITY 89
TUCKERTON 88
MONTCLAIR 1 N 88
NEWPORT 87
SANDY HOOK NOS BUOY 87
DENNISVILLE 81
CLIFTON 80
NEWARK 78
ATLANTIC CITY 77
BAYONNE 1 ENE 77

...NEW YORK...
ISLIP 90
PLUM ISLAND 4 ENE 85
SYOSSET 82
POINT LOOKOUT 1 E 80
JFK 79

..OHIO...
BURKE LAKEFRONT ARPT 67
CLEVELAND HOPKINS ARPT 63
SOUTH BASS ISLAND 62

...PENNSYLVANIA...
ALLENTOWN 81
BENSALEM 76
BUSHKILL CENTER 70
PHILADELPHIA INTL ARPT 68
MOUNT POCONO AIRPORT 66
MOUNT AETNA 64
WIND GAP 62

...RHODE ISLAND...
WESTERLY 86
WARREN 73

...VERMONT...
STOWE 8 NW 72
LYNDON CENTER 61
UNDERHILL 60

...VIRGINIA...
CHESTER GAP 3 NNE 79
WINTERGREEN 4 NW 72
WALLOPS ISLAND 68
MELFA/ACCOMACK ARPT 62
HACKSHECK 1 NW 60

...WEST VIRGINIA...
RANSON 1 NNW 65
KEYSER 2 SSW 64
MARTINSBURG ARPT 60


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS WILL BE THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER FOR THIS SYSTEM. PLEASE
REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION ON THIS STORM.

GERHARDT

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 31/1500Z MULTIPLE CENTERS OF CIRCULATION CAN BE FOUND IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THE REMNANTS OF SANDY ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT
LAKES.
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