WPAC: 04W- Tropical Depression

[xtyphooncyclonex]

Finally after days without "proper" rain, Caloy made our place really wet!

[ManilaTC]

Still tracking... 04W FOUR 140323 1800 9.6N 121.2E WPAC 15 1010

[Grifforzer]

Japan Meteorological Agency is still monitoring "CALOY" 04W as well.

WWJP25 RJTD 240000
WARNING AND SUMMARY 240000.
WARNING VALID 250000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1010 HPA AT 09N 121E WEST 10 KT.

[Meow]

Japan Meteorological Agency is still monitoring "CALOY" 04W as well.

AN AREA OF CONVECTION (THE REMNANTS OF TD 04W) HAS
PERSISTED NEAR 9.1N 119.4E, APPROXIMATELY 50 NM SOUTHEAST OF PUERTO
PRINCESA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
DEPICTS A POORLY DEFINED AND LOOSELY WRAPPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER (LLCC) WITH FLARING AND DISORGANIZED CONVECTION. A 240353Z
TRMM MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS A POOR CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE WITH AN ILL-
DEFINED LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS THE SYSTEM IS EQUATORWARD
OF THE RIDGE AXIS WITH SLIGHTLY DIVERGENT OUTFLOW AND MODERATE (15
TO 20 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS
ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1009 MB. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE IS TRACKING THE
REMNANTS INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA WITH NO DEVELOPMENT. THE POTENTIAL
FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.

[euro6208]

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.1N 119.4E
(THE REMNANTS OF TD 04W) IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.8N 115.6E,
APPROXIMATELY 540 NM EAST OF HO CHI MINH, VIETNAM. RECENT ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS LIMITED DEEP CONVECTION
FLARING OVER A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EVIDENT IN A
250023Z SSMIS PASS. THIS DISTURBANCE LIES EQUATORWARD OF AN UPPER-
LEVEL RIDGE AXIS, IN AN AREA OF WESTWARD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND
MODERATE, BUT INCREASING, EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. NUMERICAL
MODELS DO NOT FORECAST SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1009 MB. BASED ON
MARGINAL ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS AND THE LACK OF MODEL DEVELOPMENT,
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.

[euro6208]

THE AREA OF CONVECTION (REMNANTS OF TD 04W) PREVIOUSLY
LOCATED NEAR 8.8N 115.6E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.