WPAC: INVEST 92W

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hurricanes1234
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WPAC: INVEST 92W

#1 Postby hurricanes1234 » Fri Jun 06, 2014 9:56 pm

New and strange looking invest in WPAC very close to the equator and quite cute in appearance. :)


REAL TIME VISIBLE FLOATER FROM TROPICAL STORM FLOATERS PAGE
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92W INVEST 140607 0000 6.7N 147.7E WPAC 10 1014

Also notice it's 10 knots, the lowest I've ever seen!
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euro6208
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 92W

#2 Postby euro6208 » Sat Jun 07, 2014 6:05 am

Located in a marginally favorable environment with 5-10 knot shear over the southern part but increasing elsewhere. Vorticity has slightly weakened, convection weakening and none of the major models do not develop this.
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Meow

#3 Postby Meow » Sat Jun 07, 2014 8:35 am

Its upper divergence was 20, but its lower convergence was -10. That is why 92W died so quickly.
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xtyphooncyclonex
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 92W

#4 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Sat Jun 07, 2014 8:38 am

hurricanes1234 wrote:New and strange looking invest in WPAC very close to the equator and quite cute in appearance. :)


REAL TIME VISIBLE FLOATER FROM TROPICAL STORM FLOATERS PAGE
Image

92W INVEST 140607 0000 6.7N 147.7E WPAC 10 1014

Also notice it's 10 knots, the lowest I've ever seen!

Peipah was much lower at latitude, at 2ºN, and Bopha was just a few km North of the equator when it became an invest. 6.7ºN is not too close to the equator, and was close to where Haiyan formed, but still quite close to the equator as it is below 10ºN. And, seriously? 10 kts for an invest is very low.
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#5 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Sat Jun 07, 2014 8:45 am

Despite the low vertical wind shear and very warm SSTs, the area is full of high pressures. No well defined and organized structure. I see that any further development of the system is very unlikely. The high pressures have prevented the development of the disturbances.
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REMINDER: My opinions that I, or any other NON Pro-Met in this forum, are unofficial. Please do not take my opinions as an official forecast and warning. I am NOT a meteorologist. Following my forecasts blindly may lead to false alarm, danger and risk if official forecasts from agencies are ignored.
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Meow

Re:

#6 Postby Meow » Sat Jun 07, 2014 9:01 am

xtyphooncyclonex wrote:Despite the low vertical wind shear and very warm SSTs, the area is full of high pressures. No well defined and organized structure. I see that any further development of the system is very unlikely. The high pressures have prevented the development of the disturbances.

There is no discussion needed for it. 92W has been removed on both of NRL and FNMOC websites.
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