ATL: ARTHUR - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[bahamaswx]

Here's the VDM:

URNT12 KNHC 041121
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL012014
A. 04/11:00:30Z
B. 36 deg 31 min N
074 deg 47 min W
C. 700 mb 2878 m
D. 53 kt
E. 220 deg 31 nm
F. 293 deg 76 kt
G. 220 deg 31 nm
H. 977 mb
I. 9 C / 3050 m
J. 14 C / 3053 m
K. 9 C / NA
L. OPEN NE
M. C16
N. 12345 / 7
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF303 1501A ARTHUR OB 05
MAX FL WIND 76 KT 220 / 31 NM 10:52:00Z
eyewall ragged and thin with heavier rainshield NE thru SE and multiple rainbands NW
cntr dropsonde sfc wind 340 / 11 kt
;

Don't think they're gonna find much to support 100mph winds.

[Pack11]

Some photos from Avon on Hatteras Island from this morning.


http://www.packbaseball.com/images/Arthur8_Medium_.jpg
Yard and the street in front of the house

http://www.packbaseball.com/images/Arthur4_Medium_.jpg
Back yard and canal - the fish cleaning table sits about 4 feet high on the dock that is submerged

http://www.packbaseball.com/images/Arthur11_Medium_.jpg
Across the canal - Pamlico Sound is right behind (and under!) these houses

http://www.packbaseball.com/images/Arthur6_Medium_.jpg
Under the house - about 3 feet deep

http://www.packbaseball.com/images/Arthur10_Medium_.jpg

http://www.packbaseball.com/images/Arthur7_Medium_.jpg

[TheAustinMan]

A beautiful but dangerous storm as it heads off the US Coast this morning.

[seahawkjd]

The power is back on here but doesn't seem to be for a lot of the county. I live next to the hospital so it was a priority I guess. Went through the eye and then the back part of the eye wall actually seemed a bit worse (but shorter) than the northern part.

[HurricaneEarl]

It's been a while since I've last signed on...anyways, I live on Cape Cod. Should be interesting when we start getting the first feeder bands here. They say my area could get as much as 5" of rain by tomorrow morning. Peak of the storm seems to be predicted for 11/12ish tonight. I'll share photos later.

[seahawkjd]

By the way, this is what it was like on the outskirts of the eye wall. I almost lost my phone to a wind gust and I was in a sheltered area. After that, the power went out for the night and it was the usual laying in the dark listening to the gusts and things blowing around. In the light of day, things here look fine but it was a wild night. I think its the first time I've gone through the eye (usually end up in the eye wall the whole time on one edge or the other.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3EjoPacD3Jc

[bahamaswx]

973.7mb extrap, which matches the previous pass.

95kt FL winds in the SE quad--by far stronger than any other quadrants.

[TheStormExpert]

Looks like from here on out Arthur will continue to weaken which is good news for those still in it's path. The bad news is it still remains a dangerous 100mph Cat.2 hurricane.

[TheStormExpert]

Since this storm hit NC in the late overnight hours and I haven't been keeping tuned on the TV, what is the latest from across Eastern/Outer Banks of NC? Just curious how badly they got it. Hope not too bad.

[seahawkjd]

Since this storm hit NC in the late overnight hours and I haven't been keeping tuned on the TV, what is the latest from across Eastern/Outer Banks of NC? Just curious how badly they got it. Hope not too bad.

Lots of power outages, lots of beach erosion, some flooding, etc. We had a couple of ice storms earlier in the year so I'm hoping that that brought down a lot of the weak stuff. The local media isn't reporting anything major so thats a good sign.

[cycloneye]

...ARTHUR BEGINS TO WEAKEN AS IT PULLS AWAY FROM NORTH CAROLINA...


SUMMARY OF 900 AM EDT...1300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...37.1N 74.0W
ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM E OF NORFOLK VIRGINIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB...28.82 INCHES

[Sanibel]

Those landfall reports are cool. There's posters who got hit directly. It's one thing to be watching it. It's another to be in it.

TWC is reporting Arthur is back down to category 1.

SST's should drop on its present path.

[ninel conde]

very little here in virginia beach. some rain and gusty winds.

[vbhoutex]

By the way, this is what it was like on the outskirts of the eye wall. I almost lost my phone to a wind gust and I was in a sheltered area. After that, the power went out for the night and it was the usual laying in the dark listening to the gusts and things blowing around. In the light of day, things here look fine but it was a wild night. I think its the first time I've gone through the eye (usually end up in the eye wall the whole time on one edge or the other.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3EjoPacD3Jc

Glad you made it through in good shape. Thanks for keeping us updated. I hear you on the eye wall! That is not fun!! 6 hours in the eye wall of Ike in 2008.

[Frank2]

After the last advisory is written in the coming day or two, I hope there will be discussion on how rare a system this is - not many mid-latitude lows from the continental US become hurricanes....

[TheStormExpert]

After the last advisory is written in the coming day or two, I hope there will be discussion on how rare a system this is - not many mid-latitude lows from the continental US become hurricanes....

IMO this system is not all that rare. Since the beginning of the year we've been constantly mentioning on here about how just off the SE U.S. has the best chance of seeing some action this season, with that region having the best conditions throughout the entire North Atlantic many expected the bulk of the activity this season could be confined to just off the SE U.S. And what do you know come the end of June/beginning of July we have our first storm and hurricane in the makings just off the SE U.S. aiming to hit Eastern/Outer Banks of NC as a Cat.2 hurricane! I don't see how this storm is all that rare when conditions have been at the very least primed in that region for months! Arthur forming in that region was not all that surprising despite the fact that the first storm of the season in the beginning of July was a hurricane and a Cat.2 at that, and made a U.S. at that strength as well.

[Rail Dawg]

OK everyone it looks like you all did a great job with this one!

Looking over there at Cape Verde and it's quiet...

We are warmed-up and ready!

[HurricaneEarl]

One monstrous beaut right there. Wonder how close he'll actually pass to CC/Nantucket.

[weathernerdguy]

Now where is Bertha going to appear?

[TheEuropean]

Now where is Bertha going to appear?

This is the Arthur-thread and he is still alive...