WPAC: INVEST 94W

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dexterlabio
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WPAC: INVEST 94W

#1 Postby dexterlabio » Sun Jul 13, 2014 11:42 pm

And another one on the western pacific...

94W INVEST 15kts-1010mb

7.7N 157.3E

Image
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euro6208
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 94W

#2 Postby euro6208 » Mon Jul 14, 2014 7:54 am

LOW chance

AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 7.7N 157.3E,
APPROXIMATELY 75 NM NORTHWEST OF POHNPEI. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A BROAD AND POORLY DEVELOPED LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FLARING CONVECTION. A 132326 ASCAT
PASS SHOWS BROAD TROUGHING WITH RELATIVELY WEAK (10 TO 15 KNOTS)
WINDS AND NO LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINAL
ENVIRONMENT WITH LIMITED OUTFLOW AND LOW (05 TO 10 KNOTS) VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO
15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1010
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
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https://www.weather.gov/gum/

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euro6208
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 94W

#3 Postby euro6208 » Mon Jul 14, 2014 8:27 am

Image

94W INVEST 140714 1200 7.9N 155.3E WPAC 15 1010

Northwest of Pohnpei...
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euro6208
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 94W

#4 Postby euro6208 » Tue Jul 15, 2014 9:46 am

Image

Poof :D

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.7N
157.3E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 155.5E, APPROXIMATELY 331 NM
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF POHNPEI. A 150247Z AMSU-B AND 150208Z GCOM
MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS A BROAD AND POORLY DEVELOPED LLCC WITH
SOME FLARING CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINAL
ENVIRONMENT WITH LIMITED OUTFLOW AND VERY HIGH (20 TO 30 KNOTS)
VWS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1010 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
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Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/


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