WPAC: GENEVIEVE - Post-Tropical

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RL3AO
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#261 Postby RL3AO » Wed Aug 06, 2014 11:22 pm

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Convection continues to get colder. I'd estimate 125-130kt
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Re: CPAC: GENEVIEVE - Hurricane

#262 Postby Macrocane » Wed Aug 06, 2014 11:24 pm

What a beautiful parade in the Pacific:

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#263 Postby Kingarabian » Wed Aug 06, 2014 11:35 pm

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Started from the bottom now we here.
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#264 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Aug 06, 2014 11:41 pm

Looks like 0600Z will be the time it crosses the Date Line.
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#265 Postby TropicalAnalystwx13 » Wed Aug 06, 2014 11:42 pm

This thing looks better defined with every new image. The eye temperature is up to +5C.

Wow.

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#266 Postby Kingarabian » Wed Aug 06, 2014 11:44 pm

WPAC ACE is gonna climb.

You're welcome - EPAC
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Re: CPAC: GENEVIEVE - Hurricane

#267 Postby jaguarjace » Wed Aug 06, 2014 11:55 pm

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Last edited by jaguarjace on Thu Aug 07, 2014 12:03 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#268 Postby TropicalAnalystwx13 » Thu Aug 07, 2014 12:02 am

:eek:

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#269 Postby Yellow Evan » Thu Aug 07, 2014 12:09 am

Just mindblowing.
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#270 Postby bahamaswx » Thu Aug 07, 2014 12:12 am

Gorgeous
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Speechless again

#271 Postby Cyclenall » Thu Aug 07, 2014 12:18 am

TropicalAnalystwx13 wrote:This thing looks better defined with every new image. The eye temperature is up to +5C.

Wow.

Absolutely insane, this hurricane is competing with former major's this season for fastest deepening. The explosive deepening of Genevieve could be legendary, this type of EI is the most dramatic as there are different evolutions but this is only one notch down from Wilma-rate level :eek: . Starting to look like some famous tropical cyclones already. Is anyone keeping track of its stats for EI?

The way it posed and positioned made me think CAT5 may be in the cards, now I think its going to happen. There is something about this area that just throws tons of octane on tropical cyclones.

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Re: Speechless again

#272 Postby Yellow Evan » Thu Aug 07, 2014 12:24 am

Cyclenall wrote:
TropicalAnalystwx13 wrote:This thing looks better defined with every new image. The eye temperature is up to +5C.

Wow.

Absolutely insane, this hurricane is competing with former major's this season for fastest deepening. The explosive deepening of Genevieve could be legendary, this type of EI is the most dramatic as there are different evolutions but this is only one notch down from Wilma-rate level :eek: . Starting to look like some famous tropical cyclones already. Is anyone keeping track of its stats for EI?


Yes. It was 40 knts at 0z and 50 knts at 6z. Probs near Cat 5 status, maybe even one already.
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Re: CPAC: GENEVIEVE - Hurricane

#273 Postby supercane4867 » Thu Aug 07, 2014 12:52 am

:eek: :eek: :eek:

CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
6.6 / 933.6mb/129.6kt

Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
6.6 7.2 7.5


Center Temp : +8.0C Cloud Region Temp : -76.7C

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What in the name of Wilma!?

#274 Postby Cyclenall » Thu Aug 07, 2014 1:16 am

supercane4867 wrote::eek: :eek: :eek:

CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
6.6 / 933.6mb/129.6kt

Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
6.6 7.2 7.5


Center Temp : +8.0C Cloud Region Temp : -76.7C

My jaw has a very strong desire to visit the floor just now. Raw T# of 7.5...are you kidding me? :eek: :eek: :eek: . If anyone is planning on going to bed soon, I suggest not to as this is a historic level of intensification. Forget the one notch below Wilma deepening, this Gene is pulling a Wilma on us as its crossing the IDL. It already looks like Rick from '09!!! :eek:

The last advisory for Gene said in 12 hours this would be 115 knots unchanged :lol: . Even better, 120 knots in 24 hours. It could very well be 145 knots currently.

The last 24 hours have been something else.

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Re: CPAC: GENEVIEVE - Hurricane

#275 Postby supercane4867 » Thu Aug 07, 2014 1:37 am

TXPQ23 KNES 070608
TCSWNP
A. 07E (GENEVIEVE)
B. 07/0532Z
C. 14.5N
D. 180.0E
E. ONE/MTSAT
F. T7.0/7.0/D3.5/24HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS...DT=7.0 BASED ON WH RING WITH WMG EYE EMBEDDED BY
CMG. PT=5.5. MET=5.0. FT IS BASED ON DT. CONSTRAINTS BROKEN AS AVERAVE
DT OVER PAST 6 HRS=6.5.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL

...SCHWARTZ
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Re: CPAC: GENEVIEVE - Hurricane

#276 Postby euro6208 » Thu Aug 07, 2014 1:55 am

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Re: CPAC: GENEVIEVE - Hurricane

#277 Postby euro6208 » Thu Aug 07, 2014 2:07 am

Image

Powerful Genevieve crossing the IDL on it's way to the WPAC.

Could JTWC upgrade this to a Category 5?!?!
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#278 Postby vrif » Thu Aug 07, 2014 2:29 am

Passed off to JMA

WTPQ20 RJTD 070600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1413 GENEVIEVE (1413) FORMER HR
ANALYSIS
PSTN 070600UTC 14.4N 180.0E GOOD
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 080600UTC 17.5N 175.0E 75NM 70%
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
48HF 090600UTC 21.0N 174.0E 110NM 70%
MOVE N 09KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
72HF 100600UTC 27.0N 172.0E 210NM 70%
MOVE NNW 16KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT =
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Re: CPAC: GENEVIEVE - Hurricane

#279 Postby euro6208 » Thu Aug 07, 2014 4:38 am

JTWC conitnues where CPHC left off. CATEGORY 4 Super Typhoon with winds of 130 knots and forecast to peak at 145 knots, Cat 5!

WTPN32 PGTW 070900 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. SUPER TYPHOON 07E (GENEVIEVE) WARNING NR 041 UPGRADED FROM TYPHOON 07E 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z --- NEAR 14.5N 179.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N 179.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z --- 15.5N 177.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z --- 17.2N 176.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z --- 19.5N 175.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z --- 22.1N 175.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z --- 26.6N 173.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z --- 30.6N 170.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z --- 32.6N 164.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 070900Z POSITION NEAR 14.8N 179.3E. SUPER TYPHOON 07E (GENEVIEVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 632 NM WEST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z, 072100Z, 080300Z AND 080900Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 11W (HALONG) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN
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#280 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Thu Aug 07, 2014 4:38 am

Amazingly became a major typhoon and did not end like Pewa. Nice name for a typhoon, Genevieve. :) Welcome to the WPAC! BTW this should be moved to the WPAC.
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