EPAC: KARINA - Post-Tropical

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cycloneye
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Re: EPAC: KARINA - Tropical Depression

#301 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 26, 2014 3:52 pm

TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARINA DISCUSSION NUMBER 56
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112014
200 PM PDT TUE AUG 26 2014

After a brief convection hiatus, a small band of thunderstorms has
redeveloped in the southwestern quadrant. As a result, tropical
depression status and a 25-kt intensity are being maintained for
this advisory. Although the easterly shear induced by the large
upper-level outflow pattern of Hurricane Marie located well to the
northeast of Karina should act to suppress the development of any
persistent deep convection after 12 hours, the cyclone could still
produce intermittent convective bursts until the system opens up
into a trough by Thursday.

The initial motion estimate is south-southeastward or 150/04 kt
based on a combination of conventional and microwave satellite
fixes. The small circulation of Karina is expected to be advected
southeastward and eastward within the southern semicircle of
Hurricane Marie over the next 24-36 hours as the the latter cyclone
continues to lift out to the northwest. The only change to the
previous advisory track has been the addition of points at 24 and
36 hours due to some of the models still depicting Karina as a small
but closed remnant low at those times periods.

Karina is now the seventh-longest-lasting tropical cyclone in the
eastern North Pacific basin during the satellite era.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 26/2100Z 16.2N 127.2W 25 KT 30 MPH
12H 27/0600Z 15.8N 126.0W 25 KT 30 MPH
24H 27/1800Z 16.0N 124.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 28/0600Z 16.7N 123.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 28/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Stewart
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#302 Postby hurricanes1234 » Tue Aug 26, 2014 4:11 pm

STILL there! And look, it set a record!

Karina is now the seventh-longest-lasting tropical cyclone in the
eastern North Pacific basin during the satellite era.


I am very impressed with Karina. Almost 60 advisories. Just 4 more to go. Can she make it?
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#303 Postby Yellow Evan » Tue Aug 26, 2014 7:38 pm

EP, 11, 2014082700, , BEST, 0, 160N, 1269W, 25, 1005, LO, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1008, 110, 30, 0, 0, E, 0, , 0, 0, KARINA, S,
:( :(
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#304 Postby supercane4867 » Tue Aug 26, 2014 7:47 pm

R.I.P Karina

What a long and unusual trip its been
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Re: EPAC: KARINA - Post-Tropical

#305 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 26, 2014 9:35 pm

She was a good one to track but finally the end has arrived.


POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE KARINA DISCUSSION NUMBER 57
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112014
800 PM PDT TUE AUG 26 2014

Karina hasn't been producing a significant mass of deep convection
for 12-18 hours, and the last few visible images of the day suggest
that the circulation is already becoming stretched due to its
proximity to Hurricane Marie. Therefore, Karina is being declared
a remnant low, and this is the last advisory. The official
forecast shows the low opening up into a trough by 36 hours, but
this could occur earlier.

Karina has turned southeastward, or 135/4 kt. The remnant low will
turn eastward and east-northeastward during the next day as it moves
within the southern part of Marie's circulation.

For additional information on the remnant low please see High
Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service...under
AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI and WMO header FZPN01 KWBC.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 27/0300Z 15.9N 126.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
12H 27/1200Z 15.7N 125.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 28/0000Z 16.3N 124.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 28/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Berg
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#306 Postby hurricanes1234 » Tue Aug 26, 2014 9:57 pm

Nooooo! Aww, Karina, I will miss you, it was good seeing you becoming the 7th longest lived system in the basin! :( :( :( :( :(
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Re: EPAC: KARINA - Post-Tropical

#307 Postby somethingfunny » Wed Aug 27, 2014 12:26 am

The last advisory may have been written, but Post-Tropical Karina is still fighting!

Image
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Re: EPAC: KARINA - Post-Tropical

#308 Postby somethingfunny » Wed Aug 27, 2014 12:28 am

It's got deeper convection than Marie has! :lol:

Image

Image

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I_izvAbhExY[/youtube]
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Re: EPAC: KARINA - Post-Tropical

#309 Postby jaguarjace » Wed Aug 27, 2014 4:44 am

Go Karina Go! :lol:
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#310 Postby HurricaneRyan » Wed Aug 27, 2014 6:27 pm

R.I.P. Karina

But then again, maybe it will come back from the dead once Marie leaves.
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#311 Postby hurricanes1234 » Thu Aug 28, 2014 7:53 am

HurricaneRyan wrote:R.I.P. Karina

But then again, maybe it will come back from the dead once Marie leaves.


I see what you mean, but I doubt it. I think it may be absorbed soon.
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#312 Postby weathernerdguy » Sat Aug 30, 2014 1:18 am

It's still here. :D
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