EPAC: KARINA - Post-Tropical

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138886
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: EPAC: KARINA - Tropical Depression

#301 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 26, 2014 3:52 pm

TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARINA DISCUSSION NUMBER 56
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112014
200 PM PDT TUE AUG 26 2014

After a brief convection hiatus, a small band of thunderstorms has
redeveloped in the southwestern quadrant. As a result, tropical
depression status and a 25-kt intensity are being maintained for
this advisory. Although the easterly shear induced by the large
upper-level outflow pattern of Hurricane Marie located well to the
northeast of Karina should act to suppress the development of any
persistent deep convection after 12 hours, the cyclone could still
produce intermittent convective bursts until the system opens up
into a trough by Thursday.

The initial motion estimate is south-southeastward or 150/04 kt
based on a combination of conventional and microwave satellite
fixes. The small circulation of Karina is expected to be advected
southeastward and eastward within the southern semicircle of
Hurricane Marie over the next 24-36 hours as the the latter cyclone
continues to lift out to the northwest. The only change to the
previous advisory track has been the addition of points at 24 and
36 hours due to some of the models still depicting Karina as a small
but closed remnant low at those times periods.

Karina is now the seventh-longest-lasting tropical cyclone in the
eastern North Pacific basin during the satellite era.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 26/2100Z 16.2N 127.2W 25 KT 30 MPH
12H 27/0600Z 15.8N 126.0W 25 KT 30 MPH
24H 27/1800Z 16.0N 124.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 28/0600Z 16.7N 123.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 28/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Stewart
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

hurricanes1234
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2903
Joined: Sat Jul 28, 2012 6:19 pm
Location: Trinidad and Tobago

#302 Postby hurricanes1234 » Tue Aug 26, 2014 4:11 pm

STILL there! And look, it set a record!

Karina is now the seventh-longest-lasting tropical cyclone in the
eastern North Pacific basin during the satellite era.


I am very impressed with Karina. Almost 60 advisories. Just 4 more to go. Can she make it?
0 likes   
PLEASE NOTE: With the exception of information from weather agencies that I may copy and paste here, my posts will NEVER be official, since I am NOT a meteorologist. They are solely my amateur opinion, and may or may not be accurate. Therefore, please DO NOT use them as official details, particularly when making important decisions. Thank you.

User avatar
Yellow Evan
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 15948
Age: 25
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2011 12:48 pm
Location: Henderson, Nevada/Honolulu, HI
Contact:

#303 Postby Yellow Evan » Tue Aug 26, 2014 7:38 pm

EP, 11, 2014082700, , BEST, 0, 160N, 1269W, 25, 1005, LO, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1008, 110, 30, 0, 0, E, 0, , 0, 0, KARINA, S,
:( :(
0 likes   

supercane4867
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4966
Joined: Wed Nov 14, 2012 10:43 am

#304 Postby supercane4867 » Tue Aug 26, 2014 7:47 pm

R.I.P Karina

What a long and unusual trip its been
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138886
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: EPAC: KARINA - Post-Tropical

#305 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 26, 2014 9:35 pm

She was a good one to track but finally the end has arrived.


POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE KARINA DISCUSSION NUMBER 57
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112014
800 PM PDT TUE AUG 26 2014

Karina hasn't been producing a significant mass of deep convection
for 12-18 hours, and the last few visible images of the day suggest
that the circulation is already becoming stretched due to its
proximity to Hurricane Marie. Therefore, Karina is being declared
a remnant low, and this is the last advisory. The official
forecast shows the low opening up into a trough by 36 hours, but
this could occur earlier.

Karina has turned southeastward, or 135/4 kt. The remnant low will
turn eastward and east-northeastward during the next day as it moves
within the southern part of Marie's circulation.

For additional information on the remnant low please see High
Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service...under
AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI and WMO header FZPN01 KWBC.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 27/0300Z 15.9N 126.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
12H 27/1200Z 15.7N 125.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 28/0000Z 16.3N 124.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 28/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Berg
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

hurricanes1234
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2903
Joined: Sat Jul 28, 2012 6:19 pm
Location: Trinidad and Tobago

#306 Postby hurricanes1234 » Tue Aug 26, 2014 9:57 pm

Nooooo! Aww, Karina, I will miss you, it was good seeing you becoming the 7th longest lived system in the basin! :( :( :( :( :(
0 likes   
PLEASE NOTE: With the exception of information from weather agencies that I may copy and paste here, my posts will NEVER be official, since I am NOT a meteorologist. They are solely my amateur opinion, and may or may not be accurate. Therefore, please DO NOT use them as official details, particularly when making important decisions. Thank you.

User avatar
somethingfunny
ChatStaff
ChatStaff
Posts: 3926
Age: 35
Joined: Thu May 31, 2007 10:30 pm
Location: McKinney, Texas

Re: EPAC: KARINA - Post-Tropical

#307 Postby somethingfunny » Wed Aug 27, 2014 12:26 am

The last advisory may have been written, but Post-Tropical Karina is still fighting!

Image
0 likes   
I am not a meteorologist, and any posts made by me are not official forecasts or to be interpreted as being intelligent. These posts are just my opinions and are probably silly opinions.

User avatar
somethingfunny
ChatStaff
ChatStaff
Posts: 3926
Age: 35
Joined: Thu May 31, 2007 10:30 pm
Location: McKinney, Texas

Re: EPAC: KARINA - Post-Tropical

#308 Postby somethingfunny » Wed Aug 27, 2014 12:28 am

It's got deeper convection than Marie has! :lol:

Image

Image

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I_izvAbhExY[/youtube]
0 likes   
I am not a meteorologist, and any posts made by me are not official forecasts or to be interpreted as being intelligent. These posts are just my opinions and are probably silly opinions.

User avatar
jaguarjace
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 975
Age: 29
Joined: Sat Jun 11, 2011 7:38 am
Location: Khon Kaen, Thailand

Re: EPAC: KARINA - Post-Tropical

#309 Postby jaguarjace » Wed Aug 27, 2014 4:44 am

Go Karina Go! :lol:
0 likes   
Owner of the Tropical Archive YouTube channel
Web Developer at Force Thirteen
Twitter/X : @force13_support

HurricaneRyan
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 712
Age: 30
Joined: Sun Dec 05, 2010 3:05 pm

#310 Postby HurricaneRyan » Wed Aug 27, 2014 6:27 pm

R.I.P. Karina

But then again, maybe it will come back from the dead once Marie leaves.
0 likes   
Kay '22 Hilary '23

hurricanes1234
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2903
Joined: Sat Jul 28, 2012 6:19 pm
Location: Trinidad and Tobago

Re:

#311 Postby hurricanes1234 » Thu Aug 28, 2014 7:53 am

HurricaneRyan wrote:R.I.P. Karina

But then again, maybe it will come back from the dead once Marie leaves.


I see what you mean, but I doubt it. I think it may be absorbed soon.
0 likes   
PLEASE NOTE: With the exception of information from weather agencies that I may copy and paste here, my posts will NEVER be official, since I am NOT a meteorologist. They are solely my amateur opinion, and may or may not be accurate. Therefore, please DO NOT use them as official details, particularly when making important decisions. Thank you.

User avatar
weathernerdguy
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 188
Age: 21
Joined: Wed Jul 10, 2013 8:44 pm

#312 Postby weathernerdguy » Sat Aug 30, 2014 1:18 am

It's still here. :D
0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products


Return to “2014”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 26 guests