WPAC: VONGFONG - Post-Tropical

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
cycloneye
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 110077
Age: 61
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

WPAC: VONGFONG - Post-Tropical

#1 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 30, 2014 2:08 pm

90W INVEST 140930 1800 6.0N 170.0E WPAC 15 NA

Image

Impressive saved images just before,at peak and just after peak.

Image From supercane4867

Image From euro6208

Image From supercane4867

Image From Dr Jeff Masters

Image From Jeff Masters

Image From mrbagyo

Image From supercane4867

Image From supercane4867

Image From TropicalAnalystwx13 :darrow:

Image

Image From mrbagyo
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
cycloneye
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 110077
Age: 61
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: WPAC: INVEST 90W

#2 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 30, 2014 5:50 pm

18z GFS has this as a strong Tropical Storm or minimal Typhoon tracking thru the northern Marianas.Is the first run for 90W so for sure will change in the next runs so stay tuned.

Image
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
cycloneye
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 110077
Age: 61
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: WPAC: INVEST 90W

#3 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 30, 2014 10:46 pm

0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 13365
Age: 30
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam U.S.A

Re: WPAC: INVEST 90W

#4 Postby euro6208 » Wed Oct 01, 2014 2:47 am

Image

Vongfong...
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/guam/

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 13365
Age: 30
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam U.S.A

Re: WPAC: INVEST 90W

#5 Postby euro6208 » Wed Oct 01, 2014 10:44 am

TXPQ22 KNES 011516
TCSWNP

A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (90W)

B. 01/1432Z

C. 5.8N

D. 165.3E

E. FIVE/MTSAT

F. T1.0/1.0/D1.0/24HRS

G. IR/EIR/SWIR

H. REMARKS...DT=1.0 BASED ON .2+ BANDING ON LOG10
SPIRAL. PT=1.0. MET=1.0. FT IS BASED ON DT.

I. ADDL POSITIONS

NIL


...SCHWARTZ
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/guam/

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 13365
Age: 30
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam U.S.A

Re: WPAC: INVEST 90W

#6 Postby euro6208 » Wed Oct 01, 2014 12:21 pm

LOW

AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 5.6N 165.6E,
APPROXIMATELY 450 NM EAST OF POHNPEI. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
IMAGERY AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICT A PERSISTENT AREA OF
CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES
FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY GOOD OUTFLOW
CHANNELS AND LOW TO MODERATE (10 TO 15 KNOTS) OF VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR. BOTH NAVGEM AND GFS MODELS DEVELOP THIS SYSTEM INTO A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL STORM BEYOND TAU 48. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. DUE TO INCREASED CONSOLIDATION AND AN
OVERALL FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF
A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/guam/

User avatar
cycloneye
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 110077
Age: 61
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: WPAC: INVEST 90W

#7 Postby cycloneye » Wed Oct 01, 2014 1:53 pm

18z Best Track:

90W INVEST 141001 1800 5.7N 164.7E WPAC 20 1006
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
cycloneye
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 110077
Age: 61
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: WPAC: INVEST 90W

#8 Postby cycloneye » Wed Oct 01, 2014 7:52 pm

00z Best Track:

90W INVEST 141002 0000 6.0N 163.7E WPAC 20 1006
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
cycloneye
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 110077
Age: 61
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: WPAC: INVEST 90W

#9 Postby cycloneye » Wed Oct 01, 2014 10:02 pm

TCFA issued

WTPN21 PGTW 020300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
140 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 5.2N 165.2E TO 9.1N 159.4E
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT
IMAGERY AT 020000Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 6.0N 163.7E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10
KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.6N
165.6E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.0N 163.7E, APPROXIMATELY 330 NM EAST
OF POHNPEI. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A BROAD
AREA OF TURNING AND PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH AN
ILL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 012230Z AMSU-B
MICROWAVE IMAGE ADDITIONALLY SHOWS DEEP FORMATIVE BANDING BUILDING
ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN FLANK. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A
FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY EXCELLENT OUTFLOW
AND LOW TO MODERATE (5 TO 10 KNOTS) OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AS A
POINT SOURCE REMAINS PERSISTENT OVER THE LLCC. ADDITIONALLY, SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE REGION ARE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. DUE TO
INCREASED CONSOLIDATION AND AN OVERALL FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.

Image
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 13365
Age: 30
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam U.S.A

Re: WPAC: INVEST 90W

#10 Postby euro6208 » Wed Oct 01, 2014 10:18 pm

000
WWPQ80 PGUM 012034
SPSPQ

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
634 AM CHST THU OCT 2 2014

PMZ173-174-021900-
POHNPEI-KOSRAE-
634 AM CHST THU OCT 2 2014

...DEVELOPING TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED NEAR KOSRAE...

A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS CENTERED ABOUT 150 MILES EAST OF KOSRAE
NEAR 6N165E EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. IT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD
THE WEST-NORTHWEST TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT AND PASS JUST NORTH OF
KOSRAE AND POHNPEI.

SATELLITE SHOWS AREAS OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS KOSRAE STATE AND EASTERN POHNPEI STATE. SCATTERED SHOWERS
EXTEND OUTWARD ACROSS THE REST OF POHNPEI STATE AND THE CENTRAL
MARSHALL ISLANDS. HEAVY RAINFALL IS FORECAST FOR KOSRAE AND POHNPEI
WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT.

LATEST ASCAT SATELLITE PASS SHOWS 20 TO 25 KT SOUTHERLY WINDS EAST
AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER OF THE DISTURBANCE. THESE WINDS WILL
CREATE CHOPPY SEAS ACROSS KOSRAE STATE AND POHNPEI STATE AS THE
DISTURBANCE MOVES WEST-NORTHWEST. COMBINED SEAS OF 4 TO 5 FT WILL
BUILD TO BETWEEN 5 TO 7 FEET BY THURSDAY EVENING.

STAY INFORMED ON THIS EVOLVING WEATHER SITUATION...ESPECIALLY IF
PLANNING ANY MARINE ACTIVITIES OR INTER-ISLAND TRAVEL. LISTEN FOR
UPDATES FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
SERVICE AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICES.

$$

AYDLETT/SIMPSON
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/guam/

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 13365
Age: 30
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam U.S.A

Re: WPAC: INVEST 90W

#11 Postby euro6208 » Thu Oct 02, 2014 12:09 am

000
WWPQ80 PGUM 020321
SPSPQ

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
121 PM CHST THU OCT 2 2014

PMZ172-173-174-021900-
CHUUK-POHNPEI-KOSRAE-
121 PM CHST THU OCT 2 2014

...THE DISTURBANCE NEAR KOSRAE IS LIKELY TO BECOME A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION...

A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED JUST NORTH OF KOSRAE NEAR 6N164E IS
NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT FROM THE JOINT
TYPHOON WARNING CENTER...AND IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TONIGHT OR FRIDAY. IT IS FORECAST TO MOVE TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST AWAY FROM KOSRAE...AND SHOULD PASS NORTH OF POHNPEI
AND CHUUK OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

SATELLITE SHOWS AREAS OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS KOSRAE AND POHNPEI STATES...MOVING INTO CHUUK STATE.
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS ALSO EXTEND EASTWARD ACROSS THE
MARSHALL ISLANDS. HEAVY SHOWERS OVER KOSRAE AND POHNPEI STATES ARE
EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN CHUUK STATE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED FOR MOST
LOCATIONS ACROSS THIS AREA THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

WINDS OF 20 TO 30 KNOTS MAY DEVELOP NEAR THE DISTURBANCE TONIGHT AND
SEA CONDITIONS COULD BECOME ROUGH AND CHOPPY. COMBINED SEAS FOR
KOSRAE...POHNPEI AND CHUUK STATES OF 4 TO 7 FEET THIS AFTERNOON MAY
BUILD INTO THE RANGE OF 6 TO 9 FEET LATER TONIGHT OR FRIDAY.

STAY INFORMED ON THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION...ESPECIALLY IF
PLANNING ANY MARINE ACTIVITIES OR INTER-ISLAND TRAVEL. LISTEN FOR
UPDATES FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
SERVICE AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICES.

$$

SIMPSON


000
WWMY80 PGUM 020415
SPSMY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
215 PM CHST THU OCT 2 2014

GUZ001>004-022200-
GUAM-ROTA-TINIAN-SAIPAN-
215 PM CHST THU OCT 2 2014

...DEVELOPING TROPICAL DISTURBANCE MAY THREATEN THE MARIANAS IN A
FEW DAYS...

A DEVELOPING TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED JUST NORTH OF KOSRAE NEAR
LATITUDE 6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 163 DEGREES EAST IS NOW THE
SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT FROM THE JOINT TYPHOON
WARNING CENTER...AND WILL LIKELY BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TONIGHT OR FRIDAY.

LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THIS DISTURBANCE IS LIKELY TO
MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS...ON A TRACK THAT WOULD BRING IT NEAR OR JUST NORTH OF THE
MARIANAS LATE SUNDAY OR MONDAY AS A TROPICAL STORM OR POSSIBLY A
TYPHOON.

THERE IS STILL A HIGH DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE EXACT
TRACK AND INTENSITY OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT DEVELOPS...AND TO WHAT
EXTENT IT MAY ADVERSELY AFFECT THE MARIANA ISLANDS. IN THE ANY
CASE...RESIDENTS OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS SHOULD STAY INFORMED ON THIS
DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION. KEEP ABREAST OF THE LATEST FORECASTS
AND LISTEN FOR ANY STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AND YOUR LOCAL HOMELAND SECURITY OR EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
OFFICE.

$$

MIDDLEBROOKE
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/guam/

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 13365
Age: 30
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam U.S.A

Re: WPAC: INVEST 90W

#12 Postby euro6208 » Thu Oct 02, 2014 2:46 am

90W INVEST 141002 0600 6.5N 163.2E WPAC 20 1006
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/guam/

User avatar
cycloneye
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 110077
Age: 61
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: WPAC: INVEST 90W

#13 Postby cycloneye » Thu Oct 02, 2014 8:05 am

12z Best Track:

90W INVEST 141002 1200 8.1N 161.2E WPAC 20 1006
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 13365
Age: 30
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam U.S.A

Re: WPAC: INVEST 90W

#14 Postby euro6208 » Thu Oct 02, 2014 10:11 am

TPPN10 PGTW 021216

A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 90W (E OF POHNPEI)

B. 02/1132Z

C. 6.5N

D. 161.4E

E. FIVE/MTSAT

F. T1.0/1.0 STT: S0.0/03HRS

G. IR/EIR

H. REMARKS: 38A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. .25 WRAP YIELDS A DT OF 1.0. PT
AGREES; MET WAS N/A. DBO DT.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE


LONG

TXPQ22 KNES 020952
TCSWNP

A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (90W)

B. 02/0832Z

C. 6.0N

D. 161.9E

E. FIVE/MTSAT

F. T1.5/1.5/D1.0/24HRS

G. IR/EIR/SWIR

H. REMARKS...POSITION BASED ON CSC. UNSURE IF CLOSED LLCC EXISTS,
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SUGGESTS NOT. CONVECTION IS VERY ELONGATED IN THE
EAST-WEST DIRECTION. DT OF 1.0 IS BASED ON GT 0.2 BROAD BANDING. MET
AND PT ARE 1.0. FT IS BASED ON CONSTRAINTS PREVENTING LOWERING THE FT
AT NIGHT IN THE FIRST 48HRS.

I. ADDL POSITIONS

NIL


...RAMIREZ
Last edited by euro6208 on Thu Oct 02, 2014 10:26 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/guam/

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 13365
Age: 30
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam U.S.A

Re: WPAC: INVEST 90W

#15 Postby euro6208 » Thu Oct 02, 2014 10:13 am

90W disappeared from the NRLMRY and Best Track websites...

Maybe an upgrade to 19W?
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/guam/

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 13365
Age: 30
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam U.S.A

Re: WPAC: INVEST 90W

#16 Postby euro6208 » Thu Oct 02, 2014 10:25 am

Image

Vongfong
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/guam/

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 13365
Age: 30
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam U.S.A

Re: WPAC: INVEST 90W

#17 Postby euro6208 » Thu Oct 02, 2014 10:30 am

Image
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/guam/

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 13365
Age: 30
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam U.S.A

Re: WPAC: INVEST 90W

#18 Postby euro6208 » Thu Oct 02, 2014 11:17 am

Image
Image
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/guam/

User avatar
cycloneye
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 110077
Age: 61
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: WPAC: NINETEEN - Tropical Depression

#19 Postby cycloneye » Thu Oct 02, 2014 6:00 pm

JTWC upgrades to TD 19W. Another Typhoon down the road.


SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (NINETEEN) WARNING NR 001
WTPN31 PGTW 022100
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (NINETEEN) WARNING NR 001
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
021800Z --- NEAR 7.8N 160.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 7.8N 160.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 8.6N 159.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 10.0N 156.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 11.1N 154.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 12.5N 151.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 15.1N 146.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 17.7N 141.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 19.3N 137.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
022100Z POSITION NEAR 8.0N 160.1E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (NINETEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 147 NM
EAST-NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z IS 8 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 030300Z, 030900Z, 031500Z AND 032100Z.
REFER TO TYPHOON 18W (PHANFONE) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
BT
#0001

Image
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
cycloneye
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 110077
Age: 61
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: WPAC: 19W - Tropical Depression

#20 Postby cycloneye » Thu Oct 02, 2014 6:16 pm

JMA for now has a small mention of the TD.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 08N 161E WNW SLOWLY.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here


Return to “2014”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 4 guests